Gale Warning 454, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 091915 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

CORRECTION FOR ZONE 175

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-100300-
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 995 MB LOW 100 NM NW OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO ADAK TUE AFTERNOON AT
998 MB. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALUEUTIAN
ISLANDS MON THEN TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS MON NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE SOUTH AND
EAST MON NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ150-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-100300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-100300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-100300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-100300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-100300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-100300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

886 
FZAK52 PAFC 092346
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-101500-
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 994 MB LOW 90 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 120 NM SOUTH OF SAND
POINT AT 994 MB WED AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
BERING SEA WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE SOUTH AND EAST TONIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-101500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-101500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-101500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-101500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ180-101500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS
OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-101500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ171-101500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-101500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ175-101500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ176-101500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-101500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ179-101500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 9 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKDT SUN JUL 8 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE COLD CORE UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA PERSISTS AS THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW
CONTINUES TO SLOWLY BACK TO THE WEST. CLEARING CONDITIONS IN THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL LIKELY RESULT IN THERMAL HEATING AND ENHANCE
THE INSTABILITY IN THE WESTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN THIS EVENING. WEST
OF THE SURFACE AND UPPER TROUGH CLEARER CONDITIONS WITH HIGHER CAPE
VALUES SHOULD BE THE FOCUS OF THE CONVECTION FROM THE INLAND PORTION
OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA TO THE KILBUCK MOUNTAIND THIS EVENING. THE
UPPER TROUGH IS SUPPORTING RAIN AND SHOWERS ALONG THE SOUTHERN
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY INTO COASTAL BRISTOL BAY. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION AS IT DRIFTS SOUTH AND
SLOWLY DISSIPATES BY TUESDAY. A RIDGE HAS BUILT IN ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST AS THE TROUGH MOVES WEST AND THAT IS SUPPORTING THE GUSTY
WIND ACROSS THE NORTH GULF COAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. A RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC EAST CENTRAL BERING SEA RESULTING IN
FOGGY CONDITIONS. THE UPPER LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS MONDAY. THE SURFACE LOW AND FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LOW WILL PUSH EAST AND THE FRONT WILL PUSH
TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TUESDAY MORNING. THIS SHOULD PRODUCE ENOUGH
MIXING TO LIFT THE FOG OUT OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND PRIBLIOFS
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE TUE MORNING. DIFFERENCES
ARISE TUE AFTERNOON WITH RESPECT TO THE LOW MOVING SOUTH OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA. THE UKMET IS THE OUTLIER AS IT IS BRINGING A STRONG
LOW TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA  WHILE THE GFS AND NAM BOTH HAVE THIS LOW
WEAKER AND FURTHER SOUTH. MODELS ALL AGREE WITH A MORE PRONOUNCED
RIDGE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA BY TUE. IN THE LONG TERM THE GFS
AND EC ARE SIMILAR TO HPC.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO BACK TO THE WEST
WITH CLEARING BEHIND IT ALTHOUGH MOISTURE IS ADVECTING IN FROM THE
EAST. THE PRIMARY CONCERNS ARE THE WINDS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
TO COOK INLET. THE GUSTY SOUTHEAST WIND SHOULD STAY UP INTO THE
EVENING THEN SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT. AS PREVIOUSLY DISCUSSED CONVECTIVE
LIFT MAY GENERATE SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN THE WESTERN
COPPER RIVER BASIN THOUGH SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THIS SHORTWAVE WILL CAP
THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. THE LATEST MODEL RUN SHOWS MORE
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. ANOTHER SHOT OF CLOUDY
RAINY WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN TUESDAY AS AN
EASTERLY WAVE ROTATES ACROSS THE REGION.

.SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...
THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWEST THROUGH THIS
EVENING. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR MAINLY NORTH OF BRISTOL BAY
AND ALONG THE KILBUCK MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING. BY MONDAY THE UPPER LOW
WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION AND BRING CLOUDY COOLER WEATHER THUS ENDING
THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS.

.ALEUTIANS AND BERING...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EAST CENTRAL BERING CONTINUES TO
SUPPORT FOG AND STRATUS ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL BERING. A
FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE CENTRAL CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BY THIS EVENING.
THIS WILL SUPPORT RAIN AND SOME GUSTY WINDS. THIS WILL ALSO BRING
STRONG WIND TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THAT SHOULD MIX OUT THE FOG.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO INDICATE A PATTERN CHANGE WILL TAKE PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION BY EARLY TO MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. A RIDGE SHOULD
BUILD INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AS THE LOW
MOVES TO THE BERING SEA. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN DRIER AND WARMER
WEATHER IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION BY THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE...176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SAM JUL 12