Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 40, NWS Albuquerque, NM

May 21, 2012Guadalupe County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 21, 2012, 4:11 PM MDT for Guadalupe County, New Mexico. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 21, 2012, 4:11 PM MDT (22:11 UTC)
Expired: May 21, 2012, 4:45 PM MDT
In force: 34 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Guadalupe County, NM

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 21, 2:24 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 98 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -229 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1679 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 58 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 130 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

962 
WUUS55 KABQ 212211 RRA
SVRABQ
NMC019-212315-
/O.NEW.KABQ.SV.W.0040.120521T2211Z-120521T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
411 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL GUADALUPE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 515 PM MDT

* AT 411 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 13
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO DE LUNA...OR ABOUT 16 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  SANTA ROSA...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL CENTRAL GUADALUPE COUNTY...PORTIONS OF STATE ROAD 91

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS AND LARGE HAIL CAN SPREAD QUICKLY ACROSS OPEN RANGELAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3502 10447 3463 10447 3466 10490 3482 10490
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 251DEG 21KT 3475 10481

$$
KJ

1 follow-up statement

537 
WWUS55 KABQ 212245
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
445 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

NMC019-212254-
/O.CAN.KABQ.SV.W.0040.000000T0000Z-120521T2315Z/
GUADALUPE-
445 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CANCELLED FOR CENTRAL GUADALUPE
COUNTY...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3502 10447 3463 10447 3466 10490 3482 10490
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 251DEG 21KT 3481 10459

$$



43

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 21, 3:20 PM MDT, 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 21, 3:20 PM MDT, 51 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
320 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENTLY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 287 JUST HIT
THE WIRE COVERING NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO FROM THE
SANGRE DE CRISTOS...GUADALUPE COUNTY...AND DE BACA COUNTY EAST TO
THE TEXAS BORDER TIL 10 PM MDT. CHIEF THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH MID EVENING. ACTIVE CONVECTION UNDERWAY
HAS ALREADY DROPPED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN LINCOLN COUNTY...WITH
NICKELS IN COLFAX AS CONVECTION DEVELOPS IN ERNEST THIS AFTERNOON.
ALOFT...RIDGE CORE CENTERED OVER CHIHUAHUA AND OUT OVER THE
TROPICAL EAST PACIFIC DEFLECTING STRONG JET FLOW SLAMMING INTO THE
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND OREGON COASTS UP AND OVER TO DEEP BROAD
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S.

MODELS...IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT INTO EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK. FAST
FLOW ROARING OVER THE NORTHWEST WILL PENETRATE TO THE FOUR CORNERS
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A PARADE OF UPSTREAM PULSES OF
ENERGY DEEPENING AND STRENGTHENING THE TROUGH. TROUGH BASE WILL
ROUND OUT OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. BY MIDWEEK BUT FLOW ALOFT
WILL REMAIN VERY STRONG. ENERGY WORKING OUT OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE
ISLANDS OFF THE CANADIAN COAST WILL PLUNGE SOUTH AND EAST TO
CENTRAL OREGON LATE THURSDAY AND SOUTHERN NEVADA BY
FRIDAY...BACKING FLOW ALOFT OVER NEW MEXICO SOLIDLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY AND REMAINING FAST AS THE WORK WEEK WINDS UP. CLOSED
LOW WILL BEGIN EASTWARD DRIFT TO THE SALT LAKE AREA SATURDAY AND
LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY. CIRCULATION REMAINING
TIGHT ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN CONTINUED SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER NEW MEXICO
INTO MONDAY WITH FLOWS VEERING TO ZONAL AND STARTING TO EASE UP AS
RIDGE CORE BUILDS OVER NORTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO TO START THE
FOLLOWING WORK WEEK.

FOR TONIGHT...CONVECTION CONTINUING WELL INTO THE EVENING FOR THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST...WITH SOME STORMS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS BEFORE THINGS CALM DOWN BY LATE EVENING...AND SOME
LINGERING STORMS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL REMAIN BREEZY WELL PAST MIDNIGHT OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS NEAR
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

FOR TUESDAY...DEEPENING SURFACE TROUGH FROM EASTERN COLORADO INTO
EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL PUT TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE...WITH COPIOUS MOMENTUM ALOFT
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. WILL UPGRADE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO
WARNING FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND HIGHLANDS...AND THE
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN WITH LOW HUMIDITIES
AND WIDESPREAD BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AND BEST DYNAMICS GOOD ENOUGH FOR SOME THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE EAST
OF A RATON TO RUIDOSO LINE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED THIS ROUND. TUESDAY TEMPERATURES WILL RUN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL...ESPECIALLY OVER THE EAST WHERE UPPER 90S HIGH TEMPS
WILL BE COMMON.

FOR WEDNESDAY...SURFACE TROUGH DEEPENING RAPIDLY INTO CYCLONE OVER
WESTERN KANSAS...WITH CIRCULATION REMAINING TIGHT AND GUSTY OVER
EASTERN NEW MEXICO WITH INTENSIFYING WINDS ALOFT OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE STATE AS THE BROAD TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN U.S.
ROUNDS OUT. CONTINUED BAKING HEAT OUT EAST AND SOUTH...WITH THE
CENTURY MARK WITHIN REACH IN SPOTS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 OVER THE
EASTERN PLAINS. HUMIDITIES WILL BE RIDICULOUSLY LOW WITH WARNING
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS ALREADY IN THE FORECAST FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS OF THE STATE...WITH SPEEDS CLOSE IN THE EAST. WILL LOOK
FOR A HIGH WIND WATCH GOING OUT FOR THESE SPOTS IN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. AREA WIDE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL GO UP TO A RED FLAG
WARNING THIS AFTERNOON AS WEDNESDAY FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
PEG THE METER IN DANGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

FOR THURSDAY...MODEST EASING OF WIND SPEEDS ALOFT WILL PROVIDE
ASSOCIATED MODEST IMPACT ON SURFACE WIND SPEEDS AS ANOTHER WINDY
DAY TAKES SHAPE WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING...AND ANOTHER
DAY OF FIRE WEATHER ISSUES WILL DOMINATE ALL BUT THE NORTHERN TIER
OF THE STATE. TEMPERATURE TRENDS WILL LEVEL OFF TO BRING THE
EASTERN PLAINS IN UNDER THE CENTURY MARK.

OUTLOOK...FRIDAY THROUGH WEEKEND...BIG BUBBLE CLOSED LOW MOVING TO
SOUTHERN NEVADA ON FRIDAY AND WOBBLING INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PATTERN WILL INTENSIFY DRY LINE CONVERGENCE
OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS BY SATURDAY...WITH A MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND
OF STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FIRE WEATHER DANGER
WILL REMAIN...ESPECIALLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS.
TEMPERATURES COOLING BACK TOWARD NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS
LOWER HEIGHTS MOVE INTO NEW MEXICO IN ASSOCIATION WITH EASTBOUND
MAJOR SYSTEM PASSING TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE.

SHY

&&

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED STRONG AND ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO BE
MOST IMMEDIATE CONCERN INTO THE EVE MAINLY FROM EAST SLOPES OF
CENTRAL MT CHAIN EAST ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS. SEVERE STORM
POTENTIAL WILL INCLUDE LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND
NEARLY 60 KTS. BEST SEVERE STORM CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY NORTH OF A
LINE FROM PORTALES TO CLINES CORNERS. STORMS WILL ALSO CREATE MVFR
PLUS BRIEFLY AND MORE LOCALLY IFR CIGS ALONG WITH SOME MT
OBSCURATION. SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH SOMEWHAT AFTER 05Z OR
06Z...BUT A FEW STORMS MAY WELL LINGER INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS.
ISOLATED HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND STORMS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION
THROUGH 05Z BETWEEN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.
SOME PATCHY LOW CIGS IN MVFR AND LOCALLY IFR RANGE ARE POSSIBLE
BETWEEN ROUGHLY 07Z AND 16Z ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PLAINS
AND PERHAPS THE EAST SLOPES OF SANDIA MTS DOWN TO EAST SLOPES
SACRAMENTOS. VFR CONDITIONS RETURN ALL AREAS TOWARD NOON AND THE
AFTN TUE. ISOLATED STORMS MAY RE FIRE BY EARLY OR MID AFTN TUE...BUT
MAINLY CONFINED TO AREAS EAST OF A LINE FROM RATON TO RUIDOSO.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 09Z. 43

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THUNDERSTORMS TO BE SCATTERED ACROSS EAST SLOPES OF CENTRAL MTN
CHAIN EAST ACROSS EASTERN PLAINS LATE THIS AFTN THROUGH AT LEAST THE
EARLY PREDAWN HOURS...BUT A FEW OF THESE WILL BE STRONG TO SEVERE
THROUGH OT TIL THE MIDNIGHT HOUR. THESE WILL FEATURE SIGNIFICANT
NUMBER OF LIGHTNING STRIKES...LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45
AND 65 MPH...BUT STORMS THIS AREA SHOULD BE MORE WET THAN DRY. STILL
SOME DRY LIGHTNING POSSIBLE JUST OUTSIDE THE RAIN CORES. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE HAS LARGELY BEEN MIXED OUT FROM RIO GRANDE WEST TO THE
DIVIDE...BUT JUST ENOUGH MAY REMAIN HERE TO GENERATE ISOLATED AND
RELATIVELY SHORT LIVED DRY STORMS THROUGH 10 OR 11 PM MDT. THESE
WILL HAVE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES AND WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 45
MPH.

OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES TONIGHT WILL BE POOR OR VERY LOCALLY FAIR
FROM THE CONT DVD TO THE ARIZONA BORDER. SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY
TRY TO OOZE BACK INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TONIGHT...BUT LESS SO
AND MORE SHALLOW THAN SUNDAY NIGHT. TUE SHOULD BE A DRIER DAY
WITH INCREASING WINDS. MIN RH VALUES WILL FALL TO 12 PERCENT OR
LOWER TUE AFTERNOON NEARLY EVERYWHERE AS THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
IS USHERED EASTWARD...WITH ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT MANAGE TO
ERUPT RELEGATED TO AREAS MAINLY EAST OF A RATON TO RUIDOSO LINE.
THESE WILL BE A WET DRY MIX...BUT TRENDING A LITTLE MORE DRY THAN
WET.

WITH THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS AND EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN STILL INDICATED TO HAVE CRITICAL FIRE WX POTENTIAL...WILL
UPGRADE WATCH TO A WARNING FOR THIS REGION. AFTER A WARMER THAN
NORMAL TUE NIGHT WITH POOR RH RECOVERIES FORECAST ACROSS MOST ALL OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
STILL LIKELY TO BE WIDESPREAD MOST OF DAY AND EVE WEDNESDAY SO
EARLIER ISSUED WATCH TO BE UPGRADED TO WARNING WITH THIS PACKAGE.
HIGH HAINES...MIN RH VALUES BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PERCENT...AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE AVERAGE ARE EXPECTED. MIXING HEIGHTS TO
BETWEEN 450 AND 600 MB AND A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL ALLOW FOR
STRONG WESTERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 60 MPH
A PRETTY GOOD BET. THIS MAY WELL BE A NEARLY 12 HOUR PERIOD OF
CRITICAL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.
MUCH MORE LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS COULD PERSIST EVEN PAST THE
EVE HOURS WED.

ON THU THERE MAY BE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE
NORTH...SO THAT CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG AND SOUTH
OF A GRANTS TO CLAYTON LINE. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BEGIN TO FALL TO
NEAR AVERAGE OR BELOW IN THE NORTHWEST QUARTER OR THIRD. CHANCES FOR
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN TO THE EASTERN PLAINS BY FRI NIGHT
OR SAT AS A FRONT INCREASES LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THERE. HOWEVER...THE
WESTERN MOUNTAINS MAY SEE CRITICAL CONDITIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS AN
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER THE GREAT BASIN INCREASING
WINDS PERHAPS ONCE AGAIN. VENTILATION THROUGH THE WORK WEEK WILL BE
VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT JUST ABOUT ALL AREAS.

43

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  52  88  52  86 /   0   0   0   0
DULCE...........................  38  83  37  79 /   5   0   0   0
CUBA............................  41  86  40  83 /  10   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  44  85  48  82 /   0   0   0   0
EL MORRO........................  42  81  41  77 /   5   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  43  85  44  81 /   5   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  49  83  47  82 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  52  90  49  88 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  37  76  36  73 /  10   0   0   0
LOS ALAMOS......................  52  83  52  81 /  10   0   0   0
PECOS...........................  50  83  51  81 /  20  10   5   0
CERRO/QUESTA....................  42  80  40  77 /  20   5   5   0
RED RIVER.......................  37  71  38  69 /  20  10   5   0
ANGEL FIRE......................  35  74  35  71 /  20  10   5   0
TAOS............................  44  82  41  80 /  10   5   5   0
MORA............................  47  80  48  78 /  20  10   5   0
ESPANOLA........................  48  89  48  87 /  10   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  49  83  48  81 /  10   5   5   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  53  87  50  85 /  10   5   5   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  60  89  58  87 /  10   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  62  91  61  89 /  10   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  56  92  56  91 /  10   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  57  92  56  91 /  10   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  58  93  55  92 /  10   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  58  92  58  90 /  10   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  58  95  58  94 /  10   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  47  82  46  81 /  10   5   5   0
TIJERAS.........................  56  88  54  86 /  10   5   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  47  90  47  88 /  20   5   5   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  53  83  53  81 /  20  10   5   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  56  86  54  85 /  20   5   5   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  57  89  57  90 /  10   5   5   0
RUIDOSO.........................  55  82  57  81 /  20  20  10   0
CAPULIN.........................  49  84  49  84 /  30  10   5   0
RATON...........................  48  90  49  88 /  20  10   5   0
SPRINGER........................  49  89  51  87 /  30  10   5   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  52  84  53  83 /  30  10   5   0
CLAYTON.........................  59  91  60  91 /  30  10   5   0
ROY.............................  54  88  56  87 /  40  10   5   0
CONCHAS.........................  59  95  60  94 /  40  10   5   0
SANTA ROSA......................  61  94  61  93 /  30  10   5   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  63  97  63  98 /  30  10   5   0
CLOVIS..........................  60  91  62  95 /  30  10  10   0
PORTALES........................  60  92  61  96 /  30  20  10   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  62  98  62  99 /  30  10   5   0
ROSWELL.........................  62  97  62 100 /  20  10   5   0
PICACHO.........................  60  92  60  93 /  20  10   5   0
ELK.............................  58  86  58  87 /  30  10  10   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ101-103-105-107.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ101>109.

&&

SHY/43

Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 5:24 AM MDT, 10 hours 47 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
524 AM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

NMZ501>540-221200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
524 AM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NEAR THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. STRONG MICROBURST WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DANGEROUS
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. FARTHER EAST...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME STORMS
POTENTIALLY BECOMING STRONG TO SEVERE EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF REPETITIVE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL TAKE SHAPE TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS WINDS STRENGTHEN AND
DRIER AIR MOVES INTO NEW MEXICO. WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE
STRONGEST ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS ALONG AND DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST
FORECASTS...WATCHES...AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO ARE URGED TO
SUBMIT ANY REPORTS OF HAIL OR STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE AT 1.888.386.7637 OR VIA
THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ.

52

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 21, 2:24 PM MDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
224 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

NMZ523-524-533-539-212100-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-SOUTH
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
224 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN LINCOLN...SOUTHEASTERN
TORRANCE AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM
MDT...

AT 224 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
DEVELOPING LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES
NORTHWEST OF ENCINO TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CORONAL. THIS LINE WAS
MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THE STORMS INCLUDE...ENCINO AND DURAN.

THE STORMS ARE NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
PERSONS IN THE AREA ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION.

&&

LAT...LON 3478 10534 3439 10522 3409 10536 3410 10567
      3476 10559
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 259DEG 8KT 3433 10553

44

Special weather statement, May 21, 2:38 PM MDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
238 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

NMZ528-212115-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
238 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN MORA AND SOUTHERN
COLFAX COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM MDT...

AT 236 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM ABOUT TO CROSS I-25 14 MILES NORTH OF WAGON
MOUND...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN COLFAX AND NORTHEASTERN MORA COUNTIES.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

&&

LAT...LON 3634 10461 3625 10446 3609 10456 3615 10482
      3624 10483
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 271DEG 16KT 3620 10472

Special weather statement, May 21, 3:03 PM MDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
303 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

NMZ523-524-533-539-212130-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-SOUTH
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
303 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN LINCOLN...SOUTHEASTERN
TORRANCE AND SOUTHWESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM MDT...

AT 300 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CORONA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
OTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING BETWEEN CORONA AND VAUGHN.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY AS WELL AS HIGHWAY 54.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

&&

LAT...LON 3474 10535 3476 10488 3431 10499 3395 10542
      3422 10579 3449 10557
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 315DEG 16KT 3420 10554

KJ

Special weather statement, May 21, 3:06 PM MDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
306 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

NMZ515-528-212130-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
306 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL COLFAX COUNTY THROUGH 330
PM MDT...

AT 306 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CIMARRON...OR ABOUT 23 MILES NORTHWEST OF
SPRINGER...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...PHILMONT SCOUT RANCH AND
CIMARRON.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 10483 3646 10473 3639 10494 3652 10506
      3660 10502
TIME...MOT...LOC 2106Z 289DEG 10KT 3652 10497

44

Special weather statement, May 21, 4:02 PM MDT, 9 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
402 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

NMZ528-529-212245-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
402 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MORA AND NORTHERN SAN
MIGUEL COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM MDT...

AT 402 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WATROUS...OR ABOUT 18 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAS
VEGAS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN
SAN MIGUEL COUNTY AND PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 25.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3574 10460 3549 10482 3569 10510 3583 10500
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 302DEG 10KT 3575 10496

KJ

Special weather statement, May 21, 4:04 PM MDT, 7 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
404 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

NMZ529-532-533-212245-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
404 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SAN MIGUEL AND NORTHERN
GUADALUPE COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM MDT...

AT 404 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF DILIA...OR ABOUT 25 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF LAS VEGAS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...COLONIAS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3527 10459 3503 10487 3526 10509 3537 10501
TIME...MOT...LOC 2204Z 302DEG 10KT 3528 10498

KJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 21, 1:48 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Chaves	27 min
May 21, 2:18 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Chaves	27 min
May 21, 2:33 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Chaves	42 min
May 21, 4:36 AM MDT	Fire Weather Watch	ABQ	Cibola, McKinley, Rio Arriba, Sandoval, San Juan	11 hr
May 21, 4:36 AM MDT	Fire Weather Watch	ABQ	Bernalillo, Catron, Cibola, Harding, McKinley, Rio Arriba and 6 more	11 hr
May 21, 12:26 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	34 min
May 21, 1:02 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Los Alamos	28 min
May 21, 1:07 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Lincoln	38 min
May 21, 1:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Los Alamos, Rio Arriba, Sandoval, Santa Fe	60 min
May 21, 1:48 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Colfax	42 min
May 21, 2:01 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	59 min
May 21, 2:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax, Union	60 min
May 21, 2:24 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	36 min
May 21, 2:38 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Mora	37 min
May 21, 3:00 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	60 min
May 21, 3:03 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ		27 min
May 21, 3:06 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Colfax	24 min
May 21, 3:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	De Baca, Guadalupe	64 min
May 21, 3:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	61 min
May 21, 3:29 PM MDT	Red Flag Warning	ABQ	Cibola, McKinley, Rio Arriba, Sandoval, San Juan	29 hr
May 21, 3:29 PM MDT	Red Flag Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Catron, Cibola, Harding, McKinley, Rio Arriba and 6 more	56 hr
May 21, 3:31 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln, Torrance	59 min
May 21, 4:02 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	San Miguel	43 min
May 21, 4:04 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	San Miguel	41 min
May 21, 4:09 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, San Miguel	51 min
May 21, 4:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax, Mora	64 min
May 21, 4:40 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax, Harding, Mora	65 min
May 21, 4:44 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Mora, San Miguel	48 min
May 21, 5:06 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel	54 min
May 21, 5:42 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Quay	48 min
May 21, 5:47 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Harding	28 min
May 21, 5:48 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Guadalupe, Harding, Quay, San Miguel	117 min
May 21, 5:54 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Quay	51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.