Red Flag Warning 25, NWS Albuquerque, NM

124 
WWUS85 KABQ 130213
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
813 PM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND PLAINS... THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS...
THE SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS...AND THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
THE WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT ON SATURDAY FOR THE EASTERN
PLAINS ESPECIALLY FAVORING THE TEXAS BORDER DUE TO STRONG WINDS
AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF WINDY AND LOW HUMIDITY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE OVERALL WIND GRADIENT WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS MORE OF
THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A MID LEVEL DRY
SLOT. THUS CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXPAND IN SIZE AND DURATION ON
FRIDAY. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL AREAS WHILE THEY WILL BE 7 TO 12 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE EAST. THUS...THE MOST UNSTABLE AIRMASS
SHOULD BE FOUND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

AS THE PACIFIC TROUGH PUSHES FURTHER INTO NEW MEXICO...A STRONG
WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF IT AND AFFECT
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. HUMIDITIES
SHOULD FALL LOW ENOUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS TO SUPPORT
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER GROWTH CONDITIONS. THE WINDS WILL LIKELY BE
VERY STRONG ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS ON SATURDAY...
ALTHOUGH THE STABILITY OF THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD INCREASE SOME.

NMZ104-108-131400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-120413T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0025.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0023.120414T1500Z-120415T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
813 PM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
FRIDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING EXPIRED AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY
MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT THE EASTERN
  PLAINS AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH CONTINUED CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS POSSIBLE INTO SATURDAY. CONDITIONS COULD START
  EARLIER ON SATURDAY.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40
  AND 50 MPH EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUMS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PERCENT ON FRIDAY.
  MINIMUM HUMIDITY OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-107-131400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-120413T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0025.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
813 PM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING EXPIRED AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
FRIDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT THE 
  NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND ESTANCIA BASIN AGAIN FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND
  50 MPH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUMS BETWEEN 9 AND 15 PERCENT ALL AREAS ON
  FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ106-131400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0025.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
813 PM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
FRIDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
FRIDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR DURING THE 
  AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING ON FRIDAY ACROSS THE MIDDLE RIO 
  GRANDE VALLEY. ESPECIALLY FAVORING THE LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY 
  EVENING PERIOD. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUMS BETWEEN 7 AND 10 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ109-131400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0022.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
813 PM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE 
  POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE WEST 
  CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...ESPECIALLY FAVORING THE LOWER ELEVATIONS 
  SUCH AS THE SAN AUGUSTIN PLAIN. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUMS BETWEEN 11 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

43

471 
WWUS85 KABQ 131010
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
410 AM MDT FRI APR 13 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TODAY FOR MOST
OF THE AREA EXCEPT THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MDT TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY
FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS ESPECIALLY FAVORING THE TEXAS BORDER DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF WINDY AND LOW HUMIDITY CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THROUGH SATURDAY. THE
WIND GRADIENT WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA TODAY AND
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A MID LEVEL DRY SLOT. CRITICAL CONDITIONS
WILL EXPAND IN SIZE AND DURATION TODAY. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL AREAS
WHILE THEY WILL BE 7 TO 12 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE EAST.
THE MOST UNSTABLE AIRMASS SHOULD BE FOUND EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS...PARTICULARLY OVER THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS.

AS THE PACIFIC TROUGH PUSHES FURTHER INTO NEW MEXICO...A STRONG
WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF IT AND AFFECT
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL
FALL LOW ENOUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS TO SUPPORT CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER GROWTH CONDITIONS. THE WINDS WILL LIKELY BE VERY STRONG
ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS ON SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH THE
STABILITY OF THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD INCREASE SOME.

NMZ104-108-140300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0023.120414T1500Z-120415T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0026.120414T1500Z-120415T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0025.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
410 AM MDT FRI APR 13 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT THE EASTERN
  PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON WITH CONTINUED CRITICAL CONDITIONS INTO
  SATURDAY. CONDITIONS WILL START EARLIER ON SATURDAY.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45
  MPH TODAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
  POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUMS BETWEEN 6 AND 10 PERCENT TODAY.
  MINIMUM HUMIDITY OF 8 TO 15 PERCENT POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ109-140300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0022.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KABQ.FW.W.0025.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
410 AM MDT FRI APR 13 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT
  THE WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUMS BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ105-140300-
/O.EXA.KABQ.FW.W.0025.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
410 AM MDT FRI APR 13 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT THE NORTHWEST
  HIGHLANDS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING...FAVORING AREAS SOUTH
  OF INTERSTATE 40.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUMS BETWEEN 9 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103-106-107-140300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0025.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
410 AM MDT FRI APR 13 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT THE NORTHEAST
  HIGHLANDS...THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...THE SANDIA...MANZANO
  AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS...AND THE ESTANCIA BASIN THIS AFTERNOON
  INTO EARLY EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUMS BETWEEN 9 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
325 AM MDT THU APR 12 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WELL OFF THE PACIFIC NW
COAST EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD TODAY...CROSS
THE CALIFORNIA COASTLINE FRIDAY...THE FOUR CORNERS SATURDAY...THEN
LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CO SUNDAY WITH A TRAILING TROUGH
CROSSING NM. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON TRACK AND
TIMING. THE SYSTEM IS SO BROAD THAT THE POLAR JET ROUNDING THE
BASE OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OVER NM BY THIS
AFTERNOON. THE JET WILL THEN REMAIN OVER NM FRIDAY...INTENSIFY
OVERHEAD SATURDAY...THEN SHIFT EAST OF THE STATE BY SUNDAY.
MEANWHILE...A STRONG LEE SURFACE TROUGH WILL EXTEND SOUTH OF A 993
MB TO 1000 MB SURFACE LOW THAT WILL DEVELOP IN EASTERN CO TODAY
AND REGENERATE DAILY THROUGH SATURDAY. ALL THESE INGREDIENTS WILL
RESULT IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY AND FRIDAY...THEN
POTENTIALLY VERY STRONG WINDS SATURDAY. WITH THIS MORNINGS
FORECAST PACKAGE WE ARE ISSUING A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO MOUNTAINS...NE HIGHLANDS...E CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND THE
EASTERN PLAINS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40. THIS AREA MAY SEE WIND
GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH AGAIN ON FRIDAY...AND THESE GUSTS COULD EXTEND
SOUTHWARD TO THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE VERY STRONG WINDS SATURDAY SHOULD COVER
MUCH OF THE AREA ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN...AND POSSIBLY ALSO THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND MIDDLE/LOWER
RIO GRANDE VALLEY. GUSTS COULD PEAK OVER 60 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FROM LAS VEGAS TO CLINES CORNERS...RUIDOSO AND DUNKEN.

THE UPPER LOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY
ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD TO INCLUDE THE REMAINDER OF NEW MEXICO
BY SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW PASSES NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION AND A POTENT PACIFIC COLD FRONT PLOWS THROUGH
WESTERN AND INTO CENTRAL NM. THIS FRONT SHOULD CAUSE TEMPERATURES
TO FALL THROUGH THE DAY ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
SATURDAY. LOWER ELEVATION LOCATIONS THAT SEE RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING MAY SEE THE PRECIP CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WEST. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT ONLY AS FAR EAST AS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN.
PRECIPITATION MAY SPREAD TO INCLUDE THE EASTERN PLAINS SATURDAY
NIGHT...AS A SECONDARY TROUGH DIVES INTO NM FROM THE NORTHWEST.
GFS AND ECMWF AGREE THAT THIS SECONDARY TROUGH IN NW FLOW ALOFT
COULD KEEP SHOWERS ACTIVE ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD FAVOR THE WESTERN
MOUNTAINS...AND WEST SLOPES OF THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS WITH THIS
EVENT. MORE THAN A HALF FOOT OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CO
BORDER...AND ESPECIALLY AROUND CHAMA. A FEW INCHES OF SNOW WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE AT LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE NW PLATEAU...WEST
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

TODAY AND FRIDAY...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL IN EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN
WESTERN NEW MEXICO. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ROUGHLY 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL AREAWIDE SUNDAY AND 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON MONDAY.

EARLY IN THE COMING WORK WEEK NW FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER
NM...AND THIS COULD KEEP THE DOOR OPEN FOR ANOTHER TROUGH TO KEEP
THE WEATHER UNSETTLED OVER NM. ECMWF SUGGESTS THIS WILL
HAPPEN...BUT THE GFS KEEPS THE TROUGHS NORTH OF NM MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

44

&&

.AVIATION...
SOUTHWEST FLOW STRENGTHENING ACROSS NEW MEXICO OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS AHEAD OF LARGE TROUGH MOVING TOWARD THE CALIFORNIA COAST.
PATCHES OF MVFR CIGS OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS THIS MORNING WILL BURN
OFF AFT 15Z. DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO
WILL HELP BOOST WIND SPEEDS OVER THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF NM...WITH
GUSTS TO 45 KTS DEVELOPING AFTER 18Z THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS
DECREASING AFTER SUNSET AROUND 01Z. A FEW CLOUDS WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE SOUTHWEST FLOW AOA BKN100 FROM 03Z ONWARD THIS EVENING...WITH
MORE SUBSTANTIAL DECK BUILDING IN AOA BKN150 FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO
THE NORTHEAST ACROSS NM AS WEST COAST TROUGH GETS CLOSER.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z. SHY

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO...AND REDEVELOPING FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY EASTWARD TO THE TEXAS BORDER...AND YET
AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE.

MODELS...REASONABLY GOOD CONSENSUS THROUGH NEXT WORK WEEK AND INTO
THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND. HIGH AMPLITUDE WEST COAST TROUGH CIRCULATING
ABOUT CLOSED LOW IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC OCEAN OFF PUGET SOUND
PUSHING FIRST SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...WITH ADDITIONAL ENERGY UPSTREAM POISED TO ROUND TROUGH BASE
AND MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST U.S. INTO NEW MEXICO THROUGH
SATURDAY. WITH CLOSED LOW DIGGING TO NORTHERN ARIZONA EARLY IN THE
WEEKEND...MODELS NOW PUSHING THIS FEATURE SMARTLY ACROSS NORTHERN
NEW MEXICO INTO EASTERN COLORADO BY SUNDAY MORNING AND INTO THE
UPPER MIDWEST TO START THE WORK WEEK. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL WORK IN
BEHIND THIS FEATURE OVER NEW MEXICO ON MONDAY...AND THIS WILL BACK
GRADUALLY TO ZONAL AS NEXT PACIFIC DISTURBANCE TAKES ITS TIME
GETTING CRANKED UP OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA BY THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK.

FOR TODAY...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT STRENGTHENING IN ADVANCE OF WEST
COAST TROUGH...AS SURFACE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
WIND SPEEDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 50 MPH OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO THIS
AFTERNOON AS MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WORK DOWN INTO THE LOW TEENS TO
PRODUCE A WIDESPREAD AREA OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER FROM THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS EASTWARD ACROSS THE ADJACENT
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE TEXAS BORDER. SOME COOLING
IN THE WEST WILL BRING TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
IN THE EAST. NO VENTILATION ISSUES AS WINDS DECREASE AFTER
SUNSET...WITH GENERALLY FAIR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES OVERNIGHT.

FOR FRIDAY...CORE OF WEST COAST TROUGH MOVING OVER SAN FRANCISCO BAY
WITH STRENGTHENING AND TURBULENT SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUING OVER NEW
MEXICO. MORE BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH CONTINUED
DRYING IN THE EAST WILL SET UP ANOTHER ROUND OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS
FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS EASTWARD TO THE
TEXAS LINE. SHOWERS DEVELOPING LATE NORTH AND WEST WILL EXPAND IN
COVERAGE OVERNIGHT...WITH SNOW MIXED IN ON UPPER SLOPES OF THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...AND ALL SNOW WITH AN
INCH OR TWO ACCUMULATING OVER THE SUMMITS FRIDAY NIGHT.

FOR SATURDAY...WEST COAST TROUGH CORE OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA AS
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MAKES MAJOR MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS NEW MEXICO
DURING THE DAY. COOLER AIR WILL PROVIDE SIGNIFICANT BOOST TO
HUMIDITIES CENTRAL AND WEST...BUT LATE ARRIVAL OF COOLER AIR IN THE
EAST WILL ALLOW MINIMUM HUMIDITIES TO REMAIN IN THE LOW TEENS PCT
FOR THE AFTERNOON. VERY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS IN ADVANCE OF THE
COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE ONE MORE AFTERNOON OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS
OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHEAST PLAINS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE CENTRAL AND WEST SATURDAY DAYTIME WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH SOME ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE FOR ALL POINTS EXCEPT
THE LOWER VALLEYS. GOOD TO EXCELLENT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WEST AND
CENTRAL...WITH FAIR TO GOOD RECOVERIES OVER THE EAST. NO VENTILATION
ISSUES.

OUTLOOK...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...TROUGH CORE MAKING DELIBERATE
PASS OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO SUNDAY WITH TURBULENT NORTHWEST FLOW
MONDAY BACKING TO NEAR ZONAL AND REDUCING SPEED ON TUESDAY. SURFACE
TROUGH OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO WILL REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH GENTLE DRYING TREND IN WAKE OF PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM.
MINIMUM HUMIDITIES IN THE 20S AND 30S PCT SUNDAY WILL FALL GRADUALLY
INTO THE TEENS PCT THROUGH TUESDAY...DRIEST IN THE EAST. GENTLY
DETERIORATING VENTILATION CONDITIONS...BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN
FAIR OR BETTER FOR MOST SPOTS THROUGH TUESDAY. SOME BREEZINESS
SUNDAY OVER THE SACRAMENTO AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...BUT WIND SPEEDS
MODEST FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY. GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERIES SUNDAY
TRENDING TOWARD FAIR TO GOOD BY TUESDAY.

SHY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  62  34  61  37 /   5   0   5  20
DULCE...........................  58  23  58  27 /   5   0   5  30
CUBA............................  62  32  63  32 /   0   0   0  10
GALLUP..........................  60  28  60  31 /   5   0   5  20
EL MORRO........................  57  23  57  26 /   0   0   0  20
GRANTS..........................  62  27  62  29 /   0   0   0  10
QUEMADO.........................  61  32  60  34 /   0   0   0  10
GLENWOOD........................  69  31  68  37 /   0   0   0  10
CHAMA...........................  53  30  55  33 /   5   0   5  40
LOS ALAMOS......................  62  39  62  41 /   0   0   0   5
PECOS...........................  60  37  62  39 /   0   0   0   0
CERRO/QUESTA....................  60  28  60  32 /   5   0   0  10
RED RIVER.......................  50  27  50  30 /   5   0   0  10
ANGEL FIRE......................  53  28  52  29 /   0   0   0  10
TAOS............................  60  28  61  30 /   0   0   0  10
MORA............................  60  32  60  34 /   0   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  68  28  68  33 /   0   0   0   5
SANTA FE........................  61  38  63  40 /   0   0   0   5
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  64  34  66  37 /   0   0   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  67  45  69  48 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  68  42  70  46 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  70  41  72  44 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  70  38  71  42 /   0   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  71  37  72  41 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  68  39  70  42 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  76  42  75  44 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  65  35  68  37 /   0   0   0   0
TIJERAS.........................  67  38  71  40 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  64  35  66  38 /   0   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  62  33  64  37 /   0   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  66  39  67  41 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  70  36  72  39 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  63  40  65  40 /   0   0   0   0
CAPULIN.........................  65  37  64  40 /   0   0   0   0
RATON...........................  70  34  68  37 /   0   0   0   0
SPRINGER........................  69  31  67  36 /   0   0   0   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  65  33  65  38 /   0   0   0   0
CLAYTON.........................  74  41  72  45 /   5   0   0   0
ROY.............................  70  38  68  42 /   0   0   0   0
CONCHAS.........................  76  41  75  48 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA ROSA......................  75  42  75  46 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  81  44  80  51 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  79  44  80  47 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  80  45  81  48 /   0   5   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  83  44  83  48 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  83  46  85  48 /   0   0   0   0
PICACHO.........................  76  42  79  44 /   0   0   0   0
ELK.............................  72  42  74  43 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103-104-107-108.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103-104-106>108.

WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ512>515-523-527>534.

&&

44/SHY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
602 AM MDT THU APR 12 2012

NMZ501>540-131200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
602 AM MDT THU APR 12 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 50 MPH TODAY IN THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS AND EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40.
LOW HUMIDITIES WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG WINDS TO PRODUCE FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS ALONG AND EAST OF I-25 TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH MAY RETURN TO PARTS OF NORTHEAST
AND EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND THEY MAY EXTEND
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN TO
RUIDOSO AND DUNKEN. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY RETURN ALONG AND
EAST OF I-25 FRIDAY. SATURDAY...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN FURTHER AND
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD. GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE COMMON ALONG AND
EAST OF A LINE FROM GLENWOOD TO RED RIVER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR GUSTS OVER 60 MPH ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN...AND ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF LAS VEGAS TO AROUND
RUIDOSO AND DUNKEN. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SATURDAY MAY LINGER
ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS...SNOW
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY TO CENTRAL AND WESTERN
AREAS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. BY SUNDAY...OVER A HALF
FOOT OF SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WEST SLOPES
OF THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS. A FEW INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AT LOWER ELEVATIONS OF WEST
CENTRAL...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO BY SUNDAY.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE
LATEST FORECASTS... WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

44