Alert archive / New Mexico / Red Flag Warnings in 2012

Red Flag Warning 14, NWS Albuquerque, NM

March 5, 201212 counties in New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this red flag warning at Mar 5, 2012, 3:14 PM MST for 12 counties in New Mexico. It took effect at Mar 6, 2012, 10:00 AM MST. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 5, 2012, 3:14 PM MST (22:14 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 6, 2012, 10:00 AM MST
Expired
Mar 6, 2012, 8:13 PM MST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM

Counties Bernalillo County, NM, Catron County, NM, Cibola County, NM, Harding County, NM, McKinley County, NM, Rio Arriba County, NM, San Juan County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Sandoval County, NM, Socorro County, NM, Union County, NM, Valencia County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 38 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2012-03-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2012-03-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 57 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2324 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

841 
WWUS85 KABQ 052214
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
314 PM MST MON MAR 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN PLAINS AS WELL AS THE
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN PLAINS AS WELL AS THE
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...

.A SURFACE TROUGH OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL STRENGTHEN TUESDAY
AND COMBINE WITH INCREASING MID LEVEL WINDS AND GOOD VERTICAL
MIXING RESULTING IN MODERATELY STRONG SURFACE WINDS OVER FAR EAST
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO. THIS ALONG WITH CONTINUED LOW
HUMIDITIES WILL RESULT IN SEVERAL HOURS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS. ON WEDNESDAY...MID LEVEL WINDS AND MIXING WILL INCREASE
FURTHER AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE GREAT
BASIN. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER ALL
OF THE EASTERN PLAINS AS WELL PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW MEXICO.

NMZ104-108-060000-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0013.120306T1800Z-120307T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0014.120306T1700Z-120307T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0014.120307T1700Z-120308T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120306T0000Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
314 PM MST MON MAR 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST TUESDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
  CONDITIONS WILL FAVOR MOST OF THE NORTHEAST PLAINS AS WELL AS
  QUAY AND CURRY COUNTIES IN THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. ON
  TUESDAY...  CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL FAVOR ALL OF THE NORTHEAST
  PLAINS AND AREAS ALONG INTERSTATE 40 ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL
  PLAINS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 
  MPH. SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 7 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103-105-107-109-060000-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0013.120306T1800Z-120307T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0014.120306T1700Z-120307T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0014.120307T1700Z-120308T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
314 PM MST MON MAR 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST TUESDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS INCLUDES AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF I-25
  ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND AREAS BELOW SIGNIFICANT
  SNOW PACK ACROSS THE SANDIA...MANZANO...AND GALLINA MOUNTAINS AS
  WELL AS AREAS WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE ACROSS THE
  NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS. THE MOST WIDESPREAD
  CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 1 PM AND 6 PM.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ106-060000-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0014.120306T1700Z-120307T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0014.120307T1700Z-120308T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
314 PM MST MON MAR 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST TUESDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS INCLUDES THE NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
  RIO GRANDE VALLEY AREAS INCLUDING SANTA FE...ALBUQUERQUE AND
  CITIES SOUTH TO SOCORRO. THE MOST WIDESPREAD CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 1 PM AND 6 PM.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ101-060000-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0014.120306T1700Z-120307T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
314 PM MST MON MAR 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST TUESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS INCLUDES THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU FROM
  SHIPROCK AND FARMINGTON SOUTHEAST ALONG US 550 TO THE TORREON
  NAVAJO MISSION. THE MOST WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
  EXPECTED BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

19
5 follow-up statements
964 
WWUS85 KABQ 060010
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
510 PM MST MON MAR 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT BETWEEN 10 AM AND 9 PM TUESDAY FOR
ALL AREAS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK EXCEPT THE NORTH CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN PLAINS AS WELL
AS THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.A STRENGTHENING SURFACE TROUGH OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO COMBINED
WITH INCREASING MID LEVEL WINDS AND GOOD VERTICAL MIXING WILL
PRODUCE STRONG SURFACE WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE. THESE 
WINDS ALONG WITH CONTINUED LOW HUMIDITIES WILL RESULT IN SEVERAL
HOURS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR AREAS BELOW
SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK. ON WEDNESDAY...MID LEVEL WINDS AND MIXING
WILL INCREASE FURTHER AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES THE FOUR CORNERS AREA. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER ALL OF THE EASTERN PLAINS...THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE IN WESTERN NEW MEXICO.

NMZ104-108-061500-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120306T0000Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0014.120306T1700Z-120307T0400Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0014.120307T1700Z-120308T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
510 PM MST MON MAR 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST
TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST
TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ON TUESDAY...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS
  ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS.
  GREATEST AREAL COVERAGE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM. ON
  WEDNESDAY...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE
  AGAIN MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 56.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH.
  SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 7 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-105>107-109-061500-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0014.120306T1700Z-120307T0400Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0014.120307T1700Z-120308T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
510 PM MST MON MAR 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST
TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST
TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ON TUESDAY...THIS INCLUDES AREAS ALONG AND
  EAST OF I-25 ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...THE MIDDLE RIO
  GRANDE VALLEY...AS WELL AS AREAS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK
  ACROSS THE SANDIA...MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS AND THE
  NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS. THE MOST WIDESPREAD
  CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM. SIMILAR
  AREAL COVERAGE AND TIMING IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
  SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ101-061500-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0014.120306T1700Z-120307T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
510 PM MST MON MAR 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST
TUESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MST
TUESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS INCLUDES THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU SOUTHWEST
  OF HIGHWAY 550. THE MOST WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
  EXPECTED BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

34
536 
WWUS85 KABQ 061438
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
738 AM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT BETWEEN 10 AM AND 9 PM FOR ALL
AREAS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK EXCEPT THE NORTH CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN PLAINS AS WELL
AS THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SLOWLY CREEP OVER THE
WESTERN U.S. BRINGING STRONG WINDS ALOFT TO NEW MEXICO. AS THESE
STRONG WINDS ARE MIXED DOWN TO THE SURFACE TODAY...A DRY AND WARM
AIR MASS WILL REMAIN INTACT...LEADING TO WIDESPREAD LOW HUMIDITY.
THESE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PREVALENT
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. THE
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST
INTO WEDNESDAY...AND ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO
FORM WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY WILL GENERALLY REMAIN SOUTH
AND EAST OF A QUEMADO TO LOS ALAMOS TO CLAYTON LINE.

NMZ103>109-062300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0014.120306T1700Z-120307T0400Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0014.120307T1700Z-120308T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
738 AM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM UNTIL 9 PM MST
THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...TODAY...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS 
  ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. 
  GREATEST AREAL COVERAGE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM. ON 
  WEDNESDAY...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE 
  AGAIN MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 56. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 
  MPH. SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 7 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ101-062300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0014.120306T1700Z-120307T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
738 AM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM UNTIL 9 PM MST
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS INCLUDES THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU 
  SOUTHWEST OF HIGHWAY 550. THE MOST WIDESPREAD CRITICAL 
  CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

52
884 
WWUS85 KABQ 062239
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
339 PM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM FOR ALL AREAS BELOW
SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK EXCEPT THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THROUGH 8 PM WEDNESDAY FOR
ALL OF THE EASTERN PLAINS AS WELL AS THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW 
HUMIDITIES...

.STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH A DRY AIR MASS WILL CAUSE RED FLAG
CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING EXCEPT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. ON WEDNESDAY...EVEN
STRONGER WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE ALREADY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE
THAT WILL BRING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A GALLUP TO LOS
ALAMOS TO TAOS LINE.

NMZ103>109-070645-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0014.120307T1700Z-120308T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0015.120307T1600Z-120308T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120307T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
339 PM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM MST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM MST WEDNESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS EVENING...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS
  WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS...AS
  WELL AS AREAS WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE ACROSS THE
  NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...AND THE MID RIO GRANDE
  VALLEY. THE GREATEST AREAL COVERAGE WILL OCCUR THROUGH 6 PM. ON
  WEDNESDAY... WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE
  AGAIN IN THESE SAME AREAS. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 
  MPH. SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 7 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ101-070400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120307T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
339 PM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS INCLUDES THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU SOUTHWEST
  OF HIGHWAY 550. THE MOST WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
  EXPECTED THROUGH 6 PM.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

19
243 
WWUS85 KABQ 070308
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
808 PM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING CANCELED FOR THIS EVENING...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THROUGH 8 PM BELOW
SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK FOR ALL AREAS EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
EXCEPT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.WIND SPEEDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS IN MOST
LOCATIONS THIS EVENING...EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS
WHERE THEY ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE SOON. IN ADDITION...HUMIDITIES
ARE BEGINNING TO RISE ABOVE 15 PERCENT IN MANY LOCATIONS.
THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR THIS
EVENING HAS BEEN CANCELED.

WEDNESDAY...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS AS THE JET STREAM MOVES OVERHEAD AND
A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE STATE FROM THE NORTHWEST. HUMIDITIES
WILL AGAIN CRATER BELOW 15 PERCENT...EXCEPT ALONG AND WEST OF THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...AND ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS AND
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND HUMIDITIES WILL RISE
WITH SUNSET...EASING THESE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

NMZ103>109-071500-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120307T0400Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0015.120307T1600Z-120308T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
808 PM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM MST
WEDNESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO
8 PM MST WEDNESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...SPOTTY AND BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
  CONDITIONS MAY PERSIST UNTIL 9 PM ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST NEW
  MEXICO. OTHERWISE...CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE FINISHED FOR THE
  NIGHT. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL BEGIN
  TO REDEVELOP DURING MID MORNING WEDNESDAY BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOW
  PACK AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...EXCEPT ACROSS THE
  NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 50
  MPH...EXCEPT ACROSS UNION COUNTY WHERE WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN
  BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 4 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ101-070415-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120307T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
808 PM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FINISHED FOR THE EVENING...SO
THE RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED.

$$

44
067 
WWUS85 KABQ 070314 CCA
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
813 PM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING CANCELED FOR THIS EVENING...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
EARLY EVENING BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK FOR ALL AREAS EAST OF
THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE EXCEPT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND
NORTHWEST PLATEAU DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.WIND SPEEDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS IN MOST
LOCATIONS THIS EVENING...EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS
WHERE THEY ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE SOON. IN ADDITION...HUMIDITIES
ARE BEGINNING TO RISE ABOVE 15 PERCENT IN MANY LOCATIONS.
THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR THIS
EVENING HAS BEEN CANCELED.

WEDNESDAY...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS AS THE JET STREAM MOVES OVERHEAD AND
A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE STATE FROM THE NORTHWEST. HUMIDITIES
WILL AGAIN CRATER BELOW 15 PERCENT...EXCEPT ALONG AND WEST OF THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...AND ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS AND
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND HUMIDITIES WILL RISE
WITH SUNSET...EASING THESE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

NMZ103>109-071515-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120307T0400Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0015.120307T1600Z-120308T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
813 PM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM MST
WEDNESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO
8 PM MST WEDNESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...SPOTTY AND BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
  CONDITIONS MAY PERSIST UNTIL 9 PM ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST NEW
  MEXICO. OTHERWISE...CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE FINISHED FOR THE
  NIGHT. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL BEGIN
  TO REDEVELOP DURING MID MORNING WEDNESDAY BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOW
  PACK AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...EXCEPT ACROSS THE
  NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 50
  MPH...EXCEPT ACROSS UNION COUNTY WHERE WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN
  BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 4 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ101-070415-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120307T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
813 PM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FINISHED FOR THE EVENING...SO
THE RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED.

$$

44

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 5, 3:28 AM MST, 11 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 5, 3:28 AM MST, 11 hours 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
328 AM MST MON MAR 5 2012

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENTLY...WEAKENING NORTHWEST FLOW BACKING TO ZONAL ACROSS NEW
MEXICO THIS MORNING AS UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES OVER THE
CANADIAN WEST COAST AND INBOUND FOR A MIDWEEK APPOINTMENT OVER NEW
MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WELL IN
CONTROL CENTERED OVER UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO...WITH SURFACE
TROUGH DEEPENING FROM EASTERN COLORADO INTO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
DISTURBANCE VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY APPROACHING THE
CALIFORNIA COAST WILL HELP SIFT SOME ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER
EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN ADVANCE OF CANADIAN SYSTEM BY
MIDWEEK.

MODELS...IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH LATE THIS WORK WEEK...BUT
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AND ASSOCIATED LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN
HANDLING OF MAJOR SYSTEM CROSSING THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. EMERGE FOR
THE WEEKEND...WITH SOLUTIONS GRADUALLY LINING BACK UP A LITTLE
BETTER AS THE FOLLOWING WORK WEEK GETS UNDERWAY. DOMESTIC GFS
OFFERING A NEW SOLUTION TO THE WEEKEND PROBLEM...BUT LACK OF RUN
TO RUN CONTINUITY WILL UNDERPIN TILT TOWARD EUROPEAN COLLEAGUES
THIS ROUND WITH ECMWF SOLUTION APPEARING TO BE SLIGHTLY MORE
ROBUST IN AN OVERALL PERFORMANCE DECIDEDLY LOW IN ROBUSTNESS.
ACCEPTABLE STORY KICKS OFF WITH AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST TODAY AS DISTURBANCE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
MOVES ASHORE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND WASHES OUT RAPIDLY OVER
THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE WILL DIG
RAPIDLY TO THE MOJAVE DESERT OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TUESDAY TO
BACK FLOW ALOFT TO SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE SPEEDS OVER NEW MEXICO.
TROUGH ENDING UP IN A CLOSED LOW OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA ON
WEDNESDAY WITH PLUNGE OF COOLER AIR PACKED IN AND MOVING TO THE
FOUR CORNERS AREA THURSDAY MORNING...AND STALLING OVER THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. GFS
SOLUTION NEEDS TO BE WATCHED FOR FRIDAY...AS SOLUTION FLOPS TROUGH
INTO POSITIVE TILT AND ALLOWS RIDGE TO PENETRATE FROM SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...WITH COMPANION TROUGH LYING
FROM OKLAHOMA ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO. WILL HANG WITH A LOW
CONFIDENCE TILT TO THE QUASI STATIONARY ECMWF SOLUTION FOR NOW AND
SEE WHAT CHANGES IN FUTURE RUN. ECMWF ALSO ENJOYS CANADIAN GEM
MODEL SUPPORT FOR A MUCH SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE CLOSED LOW AS IT
BECOMES CUT OFF FROM THE MAIN FLOW. WITH WEEKEND DISHARMONY
REMAINING UNRESOLVED...MODELS TRYING TO GET BACK TOGETHER FOR LATE
WEEKEND INTO THE FOLLOWING WORK...AS BOTH EJECT SYSTEMS INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST...AND PUTTING NEW MEXICO IN ZONAL
FLOW OR SLIGHT RIDGING BY MONDAY. NEXT SYSTEM DIGGING OUT OF THE
GULF OF ALASKA TO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA LATE MONDAY AND HINTING AT A
SHEARING MOMENT EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BY
MIDWEEK AND LEAVING NEW MEXICO PRETTY MUCH OUT OF THE ACTION TO
THE SOUTH.

NEAR TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WEAK DISTURBANCE RIPPLING IN
ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE STATE TODAY WILL INTRODUCE A MODEST UPTICK
IN CLOUD COVER...AS WARMING TEMPERATURES BRING THE MAXIMUMS TO
DOUBLE DIGITS ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE EAST...AND SINGLE DIGIT
DEPARTURES ABOVE NORMAL CENTRAL AND WEST. SURFACE TROUGH DEEPENING
OVER THE EASTERN END OF THE STATE WILL SET UP SOME SOUTHWEST GUSTS
THIS AFTERNOON OVER DRY COUNTRY...AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL
UPGRADE TO A RED FLAG WARNING WITH THE MORNING PACKAGE OVER THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. TOP WIND SPEEDS WILL COME IN
JUST BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER THE NORTHEAST PLAINS CLOSER TO
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. MILD OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES
AFTER A REASONABLY WARM DAY.

FOR TUESDAY...FLOW ALOFT BACKING TO SOUTHWEST OVER NEW MEXICO AS
INBOUND SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED FRONTS LIE FROM SALT LAKE CITY TO
THE NORTHERN MARGINS OF THE LOS ANGELES BASIN. TROUGH REMAINING IN
PLACE FROM EASTERN COLORADO ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...AND WITH
UPTICK IN WIND SPEEDS ALOFT...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BUMP UP AGAINST
ADVISORY SPEEDS FROM THE ARIZONA LINE TO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE IN
THE WEST...AND FROM THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN SUMMITS...EAST
SLOPES...AND ADJACENT PLAINS AND FOOTHILLS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
GUSTS AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL SET UP ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER SOUTH AND EAST. TUESDAY TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL
ABOVE NORMAL IN MOST SPOTS...10 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE
EAST...AND 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL CENTRAL AND WEST. INBOUND
STORM SYSTEM WILL START EASTBOUND MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA TO
THE FOUR CORNERS TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE FIRST OF THE SHOWERS
DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH AND WEST LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. SOME MODEST
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER SUMMITS OF THE CHUSKA AND SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

FOR WEDNESDAY...CLOSED LOW MOVING INTO NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO WITH
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW OVER THE EASTERN END OF THE STATE IN A VERY
BAROCLINIC WESTWARD TILTED SYSTEM. COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD ACROSS
THE ARIZONA BORDER ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE TO THE EAST SLOPES OF THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND TEMPERATURES
WILL DIVE BELOW NORMAL FOR ALL BUT THE EASTERN END OF THE STATE.
SNOW COVERAGE WILL EXPAND EAST AND SOUTH ACROSS THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO SUMMITS AND ADJACENT HIGHLANDS TO THE NORTHEAST
PLAINS...AND ALONG THE SUMMITS AND SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE FIELDS SOMEWHAT
UNIMPRESSIVE WITH THE SYSTEM...AND SNOW AMOUNTS ARE RUNNING AT
ADVISORY LEVELS OR LESS FOR RIGHT NOW. WILL CONTINUE WITH SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT PROVIDING OUTLOOK FOR THIS SYSTEM WITH SNOW
COVERAGE AND ACCUMULATION NOT QUITE ENOUGH FOR WATCHES THIS ROUND. GUSTY
WINDS WILL RUN STRONGEST OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE
STATE IN TIGHTEST PRESSURE GRADIENT AND IN PROXIMITY TO EASTBOUND
COLD FRONT...AGAIN JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS FOR NOW. WINDS AND
DRY CONDITIONS WILL SET UP AN AFTERNOON OF FIRE WEATHER PROBLEMS
OVER THE SOUTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

FOR THURSDAY...CONFIDENCE ERODING IN TIMING OF CLOSED LOW MOVEMENT
ACROSS NEW MEXICO...WITH DIFFERENCE SPLIT PLACING FEATURE SQUARELY
OVER THE CENTER OF THE STATE. COLD FRONT WILL HAVE MOVED WELL
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE STATE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SNOWS
CONTINUING OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND
PLAINS..AND SPREADING SOUTHWARD TO INTERSTATE 40 OVER THE EASTERN
PLAINS DURING THE DAY IN COLD AIR. THURSDAY TEMPERATURES RUNNING
10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL CENTRAL AND EAST...AND 5 TO 15
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL OVER THE WEST. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL WHIP
AROUND TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST AS SECONDARY PUSH OF COLDER AIR
INVADES FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MOVES WESTWARD TO THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN BY THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME GAP FLOW INTO THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AS THIS COLD AIR PLUNGE
BARRELS THROUGH.

OUTLOOK...FRIDAY THROUGH WEEKEND...CLOSED LOW MOVEMENTS DOMINATED
BY UNCERTAINTY HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH CHOSEN COMPROMISE
LEAVING CLOSED LOW IN WOBBLE OVER THE STATE TO KEEP SHOWERS GOING
OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE INTO SATURDAY. WARMING TREND
WILL HELP PUSH TEMPERATURES BACK UP TO NEAR NORMAL BY SUNDAY...AND
TAKING EDGE OFF SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE NORTHEAST AND EAST AS
SYSTEM WINDS DOWN. ZONAL FLOW OR WEAK RIDGING BUILDING IN SUNDAY
SHOULD HELP STABILIZE THE WEATHER PATTERN IN ADVANCE OF NEXT LARGE
TROUGH DIGGING DOWN THE WEST COAST.

SHY

&&

.AVIATION...
REMNANTS OF THE EARLIER STRONG UPPER RIDGE TO MOVE OVER S ROCKIES
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WHILE A WEAK SHORT WAVE TRAVELS THROUGH IT
TODAY. WINDS SFC AND ALOFT TO INCREASE 5 TO 15 KTS AT LEAST OVER SUN
VALUES...MAINLY E AND N CENTRAL. VFR CONDITIONS ALL TERMINALS
THROUGH NEXT 24 HOURS. SURFACE WINDS INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY GENERATING THE POTENTIAL FOR TURBULENCE AT LOW LEVELS
AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 22Z. 43

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
REMNANTS OF THE EARLIER STRONG UPPER RIDGE TO MOVE OVER S ROCKIES
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WHILE A WEAK SHORT WAVE TRAVELS THROUGH IT
TODAY. THIS LATTER FEATURE WILL HELP TIGHTEN THE GRADIENT ALOFT AND
INCREASE WINDS ACROSS E CENTRAL AND NE NM A LITTLE MORE THAN WAS
EXPECTED TO BE THE CASE BACK EARLY SUN. THIS INCREASING WIND ALOFT
SCENARIO WILL MAGNIFY TUE AND PERHAPS FURTHER STILL S AND E SECTIONS
WEDNESDAY...SETTING UP CRITICAL FIRE WX POTENTIAL. FIRE WX WATCH
EARLIER ISSUED FOR TODAY FOR FIRE WX ZONES 104 AND 108 WILL BE
UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING WITH THIS PACKAGE. FIRE WX WATCH TUE
FOR WEST CENTRAL NM...ZONES 105 AND 109...AND FOR CENTRAL MTN CHAIN
ON EAST...ZONES 103...104...107 AND 108...WILL BE KEPT AS IS FOR
NOW.

HAINES VALUES TO REACH AT LEAST 5 ALL BUT THE NORTH CENTRAL
ZONES AND SUFFICIENTLY HIGH LAPSE RATES IN NE AND E CENTRAL SECTIONS
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO RAISE THE WINDS TO THOSE CRITICAL VALUES THIS
AFTN FOR AT LEAST 2 TO 4 HOURS...THIS THE RED FLAG WARNING UPGRADE.
TUE IS A MORE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE PATTERN AND HAINES OF 5 TO 6
PRETTY WIDESPREAD ACROSS FCST AREA...BUT INDICATIONS OF A LOT OF
HIGH CLOUD COVER COMING ACROSS FROM THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY OFF THE
NORTHERN BAJA CA COAST WAS ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE UPGRADING THAT WATCH
TO A WARNING AT THIS TIME AS THAT COULD KEEP WINDS SUPPRESSED JUST
ENOUGH TO KEEP CRITICAL CONDITIONS JUST BELOW THE 3 HOUR THRESHOLD.
NEXT FEW SHIFTS WILL CLOSELY MONITOR THIS. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM TO
AFFECT THE STATE ARRIVES ON THE WED TO THU TIME FRAME BRINGING WITH
IT ADDITIONAL MOISTURE THAT WILL RAISE RH VALUES ACROSS THE REGION
BEFORE DROPPING AGAIN ON FRIDAY. THIS STORM SYSTEM DEEPENS OVER THE
GREAT BASIN AND TRACKS TO NW ARIZONA BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. BY WED
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR 2 TO 4 HOURS FOR SOUTH
THIRD TO HALF OF ZONES 106 AND 107...AND FAR WESTERN ZONE 108...BUT
NOT ENOUGH COVERAGE IN THOSE ZONES AND NOT A SLAM DUNK ENOUGH
INDICATION OF GREATER THAN 3 HOUR WINDOW...SO NO FIRE WX WATCH
ISSUED JUST YET FOR WED. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON HAINES VALUES OF 5 TO 6
ARE INDICATED ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS NEAR THE TEXAS BORDER...BUT
DROPPING TO 3 TO 4 MOST OTHER AREAS. EXCELLENT AFTERNOON VENTILATION
RATES ALL ZONES EXCEPT BETWEEN GOOD AND EXCELLENT ACROSS FAR
NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL SECTIONS.

UNCERTAINTY REMAINS OVER THE POTENTIAL FOR WETTING PRECIPITATION
WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM. BIGGEST INCONSISTENCY IN MODELS IS WHETHER OR
JUST WHERE THIS SYSTEM DECIDES TO STALL FOR A DAY OR TWO. THE SLOWER
THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM AND THE FARTHER WEST IT STALLS BOTH WOULD
BRING BETTER CHANCES OF WETTING PCPN TO PORTIONS OF THE STATE. BUT
CURRENTLY CONFIDENCE OF THIS IS LOW TO MODERATE.

43

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  57  29  64  32 /   0   0   0  10
DULCE...........................  53  22  57  26 /   0   0   0  10
CUBA............................  57  29  61  29 /   0   0   0   5
GALLUP..........................  62  24  61  25 /   0   0   0   5
EL MORRO........................  58  27  59  26 /   0   0   0   5
GRANTS..........................  62  28  63  29 /   0   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  63  33  62  32 /   0   0   0   5
GLENWOOD........................  70  32  68  33 /   0   0   0   5
CHAMA...........................  48  21  51  26 /   0   0   0  10
LOS ALAMOS......................  55  32  58  34 /   0   0   0   5
PECOS...........................  55  34  59  33 /   0   0   0   0
CERRO/QUESTA....................  53  23  56  27 /   0   0   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  47  26  50  26 /   0   0   0   0
ANGEL FIRE......................  49  27  53  27 /   0   0   0   5
TAOS............................  54  26  58  30 /   0   0   0   0
MORA............................  55  30  58  31 /   0   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  62  31  65  33 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  56  34  60  34 /   0   0   0   5
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  60  32  64  33 /   0   0   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  64  40  68  42 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  64  39  68  40 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  67  38  71  41 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  67  37  71  40 /   0   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  68  36  71  38 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  65  37  69  39 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  72  39  74  39 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  61  37  66  35 /   0   0   0   5
TIJERAS.........................  64  37  68  37 /   0   0   0   5
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  60  34  64  35 /   0   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  59  35  63  34 /   0   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  62  36  65  36 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  68  38  69  40 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  61  38  62  39 /   0   0   0   0
CAPULIN.........................  60  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   5
RATON...........................  66  31  68  33 /   0   0   0   5
SPRINGER........................  64  34  68  35 /   0   0   0   5
LAS VEGAS.......................  61  34  65  33 /   0   0   0   0
CLAYTON.........................  69  40  72  39 /   0   0   0   0
ROY.............................  66  38  69  38 /   0   0   0   5
CONCHAS.........................  72  40  75  43 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA ROSA......................  71  40  74  43 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  74  41  77  44 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  72  39  75  41 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  74  41  77  43 /   0   0   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  76  41  79  44 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  77  40  81  44 /   0   0   0   0
PICACHO.........................  74  41  75  44 /   0   0   0   0
ELK.............................  68  40  69  41 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103>105-107>109.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ104-108.

&&

SHY/43
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 5, 5:28 AM MST, 9 hours 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
528 AM MST MON MAR 5 2012

NMZ501>540-061300-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
528 AM MST MON MAR 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON FOR
THE NORTHEASTERN AND EASTERN PLAINS WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED
WITH STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MOUNTAINS...AND FOR THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS EAST TO THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA STATE LINES AS GUSTY WINDS COMBINE WITH LOW
HUMIDITIES.

FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS LOW. HOWEVER...A WINTER STORM MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF NEW MEXICO MAY PRODUCE ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALLS OVER THE CHUSKA AND SAN JUAN MOUNTAIN SUMMITS THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...WITH SNOW COVERAGE SHIFTING TO THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO MOUNTAINS...THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN SUMMITS...EASTERN
FOOTHILLS AND THE ADJACENT EASTERN AND NORTHEAST PLAINS THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS BEFORE ENDING LATE FRIDAY.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SHY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 4, 5:28 PM MSTFire Weather WatchABQHarding, San Miguel, Union13 hr
Mar 4, 5:28 PM MSTFire Weather WatchABQCatron, Cibola, Harding, McKinley, Sandoval, San Juan and 3 more22 hr
Mar 5, 6:27 AM MSTRed Flag WarningABQHarding, San Miguel, Union11 hr
Mar 5, 3:14 PM MSTFire Weather WatchABQBernalillo, Catron, Cibola, Harding, McKinley, Sandoval and 5 more24 hr
Mar 5, 3:49 PM MSTWind AdvisoryABQ27 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2012Every red flag warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.