Areal Flood Warning 21, NWS Tulsa, OK

373 
WGUS84 KTSA 030138
FLSTSA

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
838 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011

ARC033-047-131-OKC061-121-127-135-030150-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110503T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.IO/
SEBASTIAN AR-CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-HASKELL OK-
PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-
838 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN PUSHMATAHA...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...SEQUOYAH...FRANKLIN...CRAWFORD AND SEBASTIAN
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3452 9493 3469 9493 3469 9551 3503 9550
      3504 9535 3506 9534 3506 9493 3519 9492
      3522 9481 3529 9481 3533 9476 3534 9469
      3528 9466 3534 9459 3531 9451 3535 9451
      3537 9444 3451 9454

$$

OKC077-079-031700-
/O.CON.KTSA.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110503T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.IO/
LE FLORE OK-LATIMER OK-
838 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LATIMER AND LE FLORE COUNTIES
UNTIL NOON CDT TUESDAY...

AT 835 PM CDT...
ALTHOUGH THE RAIN HAS ENDED...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS THERE 
ARE STILL SOME ROADS IN LATIMER AND LEFLORE COUNTIES CLOSED DUE TO 
HIGH WATER.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE 
ROAD. 

LOW WATER CROSSINGS IN HILLY TERRAIN ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS 
AT NIGHT. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND 
ALTERNATE ROUTES.

&&

LAT...LON 3452 9493 3469 9493 3469 9551 3503 9550
      3504 9535 3506 9534 3506 9493 3519 9492
      3522 9481 3529 9481 3533 9476 3534 9469
      3528 9466 3534 9459 3531 9451 3535 9451
      3537 9444 3451 9454

$$

144 
WGUS44 KTSA 031658
FLWTSA

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1158 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

OKC077-079-041700-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110504T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LE FLORE OK-LATIMER OK-
1158 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  LATIMER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  LE FLORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY

* PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH NO 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...FLOODING OF MANY COUNTY ROADS AND 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AREAS NEAR 
THE POTEAU RIVER WILL BE THE MOST IMPACTED. 

* RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND HAS CAUSED THIS 
FLOODING TO OCCUR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

LOW WATER CROSSINGS IN HILLY TERRAIN ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS. 
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE 
ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY 
VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3452 9493 3469 9493 3469 9551 3503 9550
      3504 9535 3506 9534 3506 9493 3519 9492
      3522 9481 3529 9481 3533 9476 3534 9469
      3528 9466 3534 9459 3531 9451 3535 9451
      3537 9444 3451 9454

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
609 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2011

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
FOR THE 12Z TAFS... SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY. ALONG
WITH OCCASIONAL TSRA... IFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED FROM KMLC TO
KXNA AND SOUTHEASTWARD... INCLUDING KFYV AND KFSM. CONDITIONS WILL
NOT IMPROVE UNTIL LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2011/

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD AREA OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING FROM FAR SE OK
TO W TX WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NE...BEING FED BY 30-40KT LOW-LEVEL
JET. WHILE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL BE A CONCERN INTO THE MORNING
ACROSS THE SE...OF MORE CONCERN IS ADDITIONAL FLOODING RAINFALL.
WITH PWATS RUNNING AROUND 1.25 INCHES...PERIODIC HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE
LIKELY TODAY FROM SE OK INTO NW AR. THESE AREAS RECEIVED 2-4 INCHES
OF RAIN YESTERDAY...AND AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES (WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS) ARE EXPECTED/ WILL KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AS IS
FOR NOW...WITH PRECIP TAPERING OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT AS UPPER WAVE
MOVES ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS.

CLOUDS AND PRECIP WILL RESULT IN YET ANOTHER COOL DAY...WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE 50S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. CHILLY CONDITIONS MONDAY
NIGHT AS SKIES CLEAR...WITH TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE 30S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS. CONSIDERED A FROST ADVISORY...BUT WILL DEFER TO DAYSHIFT
FOR NOW.

GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE BEGINNING TUESDAY...AS SLY FLOW
RETURNS. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BOUNCE BACK TO THE 80S BY LATE IN
THE WEEK. 00Z LONG RANGE MODELS SUGGEST THAT A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX MAY
IMPACT NRN AREAS BY FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT OVERALL PRECIP CHANCES IN THE
EXTENDED REMAIN MINIMAL.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 2 AM TUESDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ068-
     OKZ069-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 2 AM TUESDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

AVIATION...06

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2011

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A LARGE AREA OF RAINFALL WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRANSLATE NORTHWARD ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION
DURING THE DAY. SOME INDIVIDUAL CONVECTIVE CELLS MAY APPROACH
SEVERE LIMITS... WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE BIGGEST THREATS. THE
MAIN CONCERN HOWEVER IS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND TRAINING OF CELLS.
THIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL...
AND POSSIBLY LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ACROSS ALREADY SATURATED
GROUND... CREATING A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS
INTO TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK... WITH
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING SLIGHTLY FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.