Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2011
Red Flag Warning 61, NWS Tallahassee, FL
NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this red flag warning at May 21, 2011, 3:57 PM CDT for 13 counties in Florida; 5 counties in Alabama. It took effect at May 22, 2011, 12:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 21, 2011, 3:57 PM CDT (20:57 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 22, 2011, 12:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- May 22, 2011, 7:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tallahassee, FL
Counties Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL
The radar
The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1359 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -21 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 73 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
697 WWUS82 KTAE 212057 RFWTAE URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 457 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR MUCH OF THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH DISPERSIONS... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH ERC VALUES... ...A FIRE WEATHER WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IS IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 10 MPH...AND HIGH KBDI VALUES... .DISCUSSION...WITH THE AREAS OF DENSE FOG ACROSS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE EARLIER THIS MORNING HELPING TO KEEP SURFACE DEWPOINTS ELEVATED FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME TODAY... IT IS TAKING LONGER FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT ACROSS THE RED FLAG WARNING AREA. HOWEVER...THIS MORNING'S 12 UTC TAE SOUNDING SHOWS PLENTY OF DRY AIR AVAILABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE FROM 2000 FEET...SO RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE BEGUN TO DROP FAIRLY QUICKLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE INTO THE 90S. ALSO...WITH THE DISPERSIONS ABOVE 75 TODAY...4 HOUR DURATIONS OF SUB 35 PERCENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH ERC VALUES ARE NOT NEEDED TO VERIFY THE WARNING...BUT THEY MAY OCCUR OVER SOME AREAS NONETHELESS. ON SUNDAY...FORECAST DISPERSIONS ARE BELOW 75...SO ISSUED A NEW RED FLAG WARNING FOR THOSE COUNTIES WHERE ERC VALUES ARE GREATER THAN 35 AND ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...CONDITIONS MAY BE VERY CLOSE TO RED FLAG LEVELS ON SUNDAY...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS RECENTLY BEEN ISSUED FOR THOSE COUNTIES. FLZ007-220000- /O.CAN.KTAE.FW.A.0048.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0060.000000T0000Z-110522T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON- 357 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ009>011-013-016-017-026-220500- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0048.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0060.000000T0000Z-110522T0000Z/ HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY- 457 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011 /357 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011/ ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ ON SUNDAY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ027-029-220500- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0060.000000T0000Z-110522T0000Z/ INLAND WAKULLA-LAFAYETTE- 457 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM EDT ON SUNDAY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ012-220500- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ INLAND BAY- 357 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT ON SUNDAY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ008-018-019-028-220000- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0060.000000T0000Z-110522T0000Z/ CENTRAL WALTON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-INLAND TAYLOR- 457 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011 /357 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011/ ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ ALZ065>069-220500- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0048.110522T1900Z-110523T0000Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 357 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011 ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ 17-GOULD
5 follow-up statements
037 WWUS82 KTAE 220019 RFWTAE URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 819 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH ERC VALUES... ...A FIRE WEATHER WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IS IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 10 MPH...AND HIGH KBDI VALUES... .DISCUSSION...WITH THE AREAS OF DENSE FOG ACROSS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE EARLIER THIS MORNING HELPING TO KEEP SURFACE DEWPOINTS ELEVATED FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME TODAY... IT IS TAKING LONGER FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT ACROSS THE RED FLAG WARNING AREA. HOWEVER...THIS MORNING'S 12 UTC TAE SOUNDING SHOWS PLENTY OF DRY AIR AVAILABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE FROM 2000 FEET...SO RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE BEGUN TO DROP FAIRLY QUICKLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE INTO THE 90S. ALSO...WITH THE DISPERSIONS ABOVE 75 TODAY...4 HOUR DURATIONS OF SUB 35 PERCENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH ERC VALUES ARE NOT NEEDED TO VERIFY THE WARNING...BUT THEY MAY OCCUR OVER SOME AREAS NONETHELESS. ON SUNDAY...FORECAST DISPERSIONS ARE BELOW 75...SO ISSUED A NEW RED FLAG WARNING FOR THOSE COUNTIES WHERE ERC VALUES ARE GREATER THAN 35 AND ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... CONDITIONS MAY BE VERY CLOSE TO RED FLAG LEVELS ON SUNDAY...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS RECENTLY BEEN ISSUED FOR THOSE COUNTIES. FLZ009>011-013-016-017-026-027-029-221130- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0060.000000T0000Z-110522T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-LAFAYETTE- 819 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011 /719 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011/ ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ SUNDAY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ007-008-018-019-028-220130- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0060.000000T0000Z-110522T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON- INLAND TAYLOR- 819 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011 /719 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011/ $$ FLZ012-221130- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ INLAND BAY- 719 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT SUNDAY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ ALZ065>069-221130- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0048.110522T1900Z-110523T0000Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 719 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011 ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ 17-GOULD
561 WWUS82 KTAE 220748 RFWTAE URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 348 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH HIGH ERC VALUES OR HIGH DISPERSIONS... ...A RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH ELEVATED 20 FT WINDS AND A KBDI OF 500 OR GREATER... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND... .DISCUSSION...THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DONE LITTLE TO DECREASE THE FIRE DANGER. THIS IS DUE TO STEADILY INCREASING TEMPERATURES WHICH ARE OFFSETTING THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE. HIGH ERC AND DISPERSION VALUES ARE ALSO ON THE INCREASE AS WELL. THIS HAS PROMPTED AN AREAL EXPANSION IN THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR SUNDAY AND THE ISSUANCE OF A WATCH FOR MONDAY. ALZ065>069-221700- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0048.110522T1900Z-110523T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0049.110523T1900Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1900Z-110523T0000Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 248 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 065...066...067...068 AND 069... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 065... 066...067...068 AND 069... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ FLZ007-018-221700- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0049.110523T1900Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-INLAND JEFFERSON- 348 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 /248 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 007 AND 018... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 007 AND 018... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ FLZ008-019-034-221700- /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ CENTRAL WALTON-MADISON-INLAND DIXIE- 348 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 /248 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 008...019 AND 034... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ009>011-013-016-017-026-027-221700- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0049.110523T1900Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA- 348 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 /248 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 009...010...011...013...016... 017...026 AND 027... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 009...010...011...013...016... 017...026 AND 027... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ FLZ012-029-221700- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ INLAND BAY-LAFAYETTE- 348 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 /248 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 012 AND 029... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$
918 WWUS82 KTAE 220809 CCA RFWTAE URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 408 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH HIGH ERC VALUES OR HIGH DISPERSIONS... ...A RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH ELEVATED 20 FT WINDS AND A KBDI OF 500 OR GREATER... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND... .DISCUSSION...THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DONE LITTLE TO DECREASE THE FIRE DANGER. THIS IS DUE TO STEADILY INCREASING TEMPERATURES WHICH ARE OFFSETTING THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE. HIGH ERC AND DISPERSION VALUES ARE ALSO ON THE INCREASE AS WELL. THIS HAS PROMPTED AN AREAL EXPANSION IN THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY AND THE ISSUANCE OF A WATCH FOR MONDAY. ALZ065>069-221730- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0048.110522T1900Z-110523T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0049.110523T1900Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1900Z-110523T0000Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 308 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 065...066...067...068 AND 069... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 065... 066...067...068 AND 069... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ FLZ007-018-221730- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0049.110523T1900Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-INLAND JEFFERSON- 408 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 /308 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 007 AND 018... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 007 AND 018... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ FLZ008-019-034-221730- /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ CENTRAL WALTON-MADISON-INLAND DIXIE- 408 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 /308 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 008...019 AND 034... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ009>011-013-016-017-026-027-221730- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0049.110523T1900Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA- 408 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 /308 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 009...010...011...013...016... 017...026 AND 027... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 009...010...011...013...016... 017...026 AND 027... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ FLZ012-029-221730- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.110522T1700Z-110523T0000Z/ INLAND BAY-LAFAYETTE- 408 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 /308 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 012 AND 029... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$
316 WWUS82 KTAE 221904 RFWTAE URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 304 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH HIGH ERC VALUES OR HIGH DISPERSIONS... ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH ELEVATED 20 FT WINDS AND A KBDI OF 500 OR GREATER... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH ELEVATED 20 FT WINDS AND A KBDI OF 500 OR GREATER.. ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND DUE TO EITHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COUPLED WITH HIGH DISPERSIONS OR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH HIGH ERC VALUES... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO A COMBINATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT COUPLED WITH HIGH DISPERSIONS... .DISCUSSION...PERSISTENT LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES COMBINED WITH HIGH ERC VALUES...HIGH DISPERSIONS...HIGH KBDI VALUES...AND 20 FOOT WINDS OF 10 MPH OR MORE IN SOME AREAS WILL CREATE THE POSSIBILITY OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FLZ018-230000- /O.CAN.KTAE.FW.A.0049.110523T1900Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ INLAND JEFFERSON- 304 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ007-009>011-013-016-026-230300- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0049.110523T1900Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0062.110523T1800Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0050.110524T1800Z-110525T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LIBERTY- 304 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 /204 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ALZ065>069-230300- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0049.110523T1900Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0062.110523T1800Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 204 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ017-027-230300- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0049.110523T1900Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0062.110523T1800Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ LEON-INLAND WAKULLA- 304 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ012-230300- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0062.110523T1800Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0050.110524T1800Z-110525T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ INLAND BAY- 204 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ FLZ008-230300- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0062.110523T1800Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ CENTRAL WALTON- 204 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ019-029-034-230000- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ MADISON-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE- 304 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ DVD
144 WWUS82 KTAE 222050 RFWTAE URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 450 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT EARLY THIS FOR PARTS OF THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH HIGH ERC VALUES OR HIGH DISPERSIONS... ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT EARLY THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH ELEVATED 20 FT WINDS AND A KBDI OF 500 OR GREATER... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH ELEVATED 20 FT WINDS AND A KBDI OF 500 OR GREATER.. ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE TO EITHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COUPLED WITH HIGH DISPERSIONS OR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH HIGH ERC VALUES... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO A COMBINATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT COUPLED WITH HIGH DISPERSIONS... .DISCUSSION...PERSISTENT LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES COMBINED WITH HIGH ERC VALUES...HIGH DISPERSIONS...HIGH KBDI VALUES...AND 20 FOOT WINDS OF 10 MPH OR MORE IN SOME AREAS WILL CREATE THE POSSIBILITY OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FLZ029-034-230030- /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0062.110523T1800Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE- 450 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ007-009>013-016-026-230030- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0062.110523T1800Z-110524T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0050.110524T1800Z-110525T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN- GADSDEN-LIBERTY- 450 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 /350 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ALZ065>069-230030- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0062.110523T1800Z-110524T0000Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 350 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ008-017-027-230030- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0062.110523T1800Z-110524T0000Z/ CENTRAL WALTON-LEON-INLAND WAKULLA- 450 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 /350 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ018-019-230000- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/ INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON- 450 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ MROCZKA/DVD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 21, 2:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 21, 2:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WITH ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS
THE AREA. SOME AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT) THE UPPER LEVEL OMEGA BLOCKING
PATTERN WILL BREAK DOWN TOMORROW AS THE TROUGHS AND THE RIDGE
FLATTEN OUT AND THE PATTERN STARTS TO BECOME MORE PROGRESSIVE.
STILL...EVEN AS THIS HAPPENS ON THE LARGE SCALE...THE LOCAL AREA
WILL CONTINUE TO BE DOMINATED BY HIGH PRESSURE AND WARM
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AS SHORTWAVES REMAIN NORTH
OF THE AREA. GRADUALLY INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL COMBINE
WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS TO INCREASE THE CHANCE OF FOG
TONIGHT. CURRENT HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE SHOWS SLIGHTLY HIGHER
COVERAGE OF FOG TONIGHT ACROSS THE AREA COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT
WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING DENSE FOG FROM ROUGHLY JEFFERSON
AND THOMAS COUNTIES WESTWARD. THERE IS NO RAIN IN SIGHT THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM... ALTHOUGH AS DISCUSSED BELOW RAIN CHANCES FINALLY
INCREASE SOME BY THE END OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
.LONG TERM...
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY) COMPUTER MODEL GUIDANCE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT ON THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE 7 DAY PERIOD.
HOWEVER...SOME DIFFERENCES IN HOW THE PATTERN PROGRESSES LATER IN
THE WEEK ARE EMERGING. THIS HAS MOSTLY TO DO WITH THE MODELS
HAVING DIFFERENT TAKES ON HOW THE PERSISTENT REX BLOCK OVER THE
CENTRAL U.S. WILL BREAK DOWN. NONETHELESS...THIS SHOULD HAVE NO
APPRECIABLE EFFECT ON THE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY. THE ACTIVE
WEATHER FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE A FRONT THAT APPROACHES ON
LATE THURSDAY EARLY FRIDAY. OTHERWISE A PRETTY UNEVENTFUL WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION...
THE AREA OF DENSE FOG AND LOW CIGS WHICH ENDED UP IMPACTING ALL
OF THE TERMINALS EXCEPT ABY LAST NIGHT HAS GIVEN WAY TO PARTLY TO
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE INCREASE IN LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE...A SCT CU FIELD IS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE FL
PANHANDLE...AND THIS WILL LIKELY SPREAD TO THE NORTH AND EAST WITH
THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON. FOR TONIGHT...
BASED ON OUR LATEST LOCAL WRF RUN (WHICH VERIFIED AS THE BEST
GUIDANCE FOR LAST NIGHT'S DENSE FOG EVENT)...COMBINED WITH EVEN
MORE WIDESPREAD LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE TO BUILD
ON PERSISTENCE...AN EARLIER DEVELOPING AND MORE WIDESPREAD DENSE
FOG EVENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF TERMINALS. EVEN ABY
IS UNLIKELY TO REMAIN UNSCATHED TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH THEY MAY ONLY
DROP TO IFR LEVELS AT A LATER TIME...WHILE WE WILL BE PROJECTING
PREVAILING LIFR VIS/CIGS AT ECP...TLH...DHN...AND VLD...POSSIBLY
AS EARLY AS 06 UTC AT ECP AND DHN. FINALLY...THIS FOG WILL LIKELY
BE VERY THICK TOMORROW MORNING...WHICH MAY TAKE IT UNTIL 14 OR
EVEN 15 UTC JUST TO LIFT TO IFR OR MVFR CIGS...BEFORE FINALLY
DISSIPATING THEREAFTER.
&&
.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
KEEP LOW WINDS AND SEAS IN PLACE. EXPECT SLIGHTLY HIGHER ONSHORE
FLOW EACH AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL AREAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
SEA BREEZE.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
WITH THE AREAS OF DENSE FOG ACROSS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
PANHANDLE EARLIER THIS MORNING HELPING TO KEEP SURFACE DEWPOINTS
ELEVATED FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME TODAY...IT IS TAKING
LONGER FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT ACROSS
THE RED FLAG WARNING AREA. HOWEVER...THIS MORNING'S 12 UTC TAE
SOUNDING SHOWS PLENTY OF DRY AIR AVAILABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE FROM 2000 FEET...SO RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO
DROP FAIRLY QUICKLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS AFTERNOON AS
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE INTO THE 90S. ALSO...WITH THE
DISPERSIONS ABOVE 75 TODAY...4 HOUR DURATIONS OF SUB 35 PERCENT
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH ERC VALUES ARE NOT NEEDED TO VERIFY THE
WARNING...BUT THEY MAY OCCUR OVER SOME AREAS NONETHELESS. ON
SUNDAY...FORECAST DISPERSIONS ARE BELOW 75...SO WILL LEAVE THE
CURRENT FIRE WEATHER WATCH AS IS... AND WILL THEN UPGRADE THE
APPROPRIATE COUNTIES WHEN SUNDAY'S FORECAST ERC VALUES BECOME
AVAILABLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. OVER SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
CONDITIONS MAY BE VERY CLOSE TO RED FLAG LEVELS ON SUNDAY...SO
WILL ISSUE A NEW FIRE WX WATCH FOR THESE COUNTIES.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE 58 95 60 94 67 / 0 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 68 86 68 86 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 66 94 65 95 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 63 96 64 96 67 / 0 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 60 97 63 95 66 / 0 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 61 94 64 93 67 / 0 0 0 0 0
APALACHICOLA 66 86 67 85 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...
HOUSTON.
GA...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: CALHOUN...CENTRAL WALTON...GADSDEN...
HOLMES...INLAND JEFFERSON...INLAND TAYLOR...INLAND
WAKULLA...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...
LIBERTY...MADISON...WASHINGTON.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CALHOUN...GADSDEN...HOLMES...
INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...LEON...LIBERTY...WASHINGTON.
GM...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS/SHORT TERM/MARINE...DVD
AVIATION/FIRE WX...GOULD
LONG TERM...LERICOSHazardous weather outlook, May 20, 9:38 PM CDT, 18 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1038 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2011 ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-211000- COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF- INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY- RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE- DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1038 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2011 /938 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE LATE NIGHT HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE THE FOG MAY BECOME LOCALLY DENSE. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP. 14-MROCZKA
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2:48 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | TAE | Calhoun, Gadsden, Holmes, Jackson, Leon, Walton and 1 more | 24 hr |
| May 21, 4:48 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | TAE | Bay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Holmes and 6 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2011Red Flag Warnings in Alabama, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.