Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 82

April 3, 201116 counties in Illinois; 26 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 3, 2011, 5:57 PM CDT for 16 counties in Illinois; 26 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 3, 2011, 5:57 PM CDT (22:57 UTC)
Expired
Apr 4, 2011, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 42 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Davis County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Lee County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska45 min
Apr 3, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Iowa, Johnson, Linn39 min
Apr 3, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNIowa, Jefferson, Johnson, Keokuk, Linn, Louisa and 2 more45 min
Apr 3, 6:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Monroe, Wapello24 min
Apr 3, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDelaware, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones, Linn39 min
Apr 3, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Clinton, Jackson, Jones46 min
Apr 3, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNIowa, Johnson, Keokuk, Washington51 min
Apr 3, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJo Daviess21 min
Apr 3, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Henry, Jefferson, Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine and 1 more34 min
Apr 3, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJo Daviess, Stephenson29 min
Apr 3, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenderson, Henry, Mercer, Rock Island, Warren46 min
Apr 3, 8:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Henry, Mercer, Putnam, Rock Island54 min
Apr 3, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Whiteside13 min
Apr 3, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee, Ogle49 min
Apr 3, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock, Henderson, McDonough38 min
Apr 3, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Putnam32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-04-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-04-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 707 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2141 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
82 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
707 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
803 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

516 
WWUS20 KWNS 032256
SEL2
SPC WW 032256
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-WIZ000-040500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 82
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
600 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EASTERN IOWA
       WESTERN AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS
       EXTREME NORTHEAST MISSOURI
       FAR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT FROM 600 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
OTTUMWA IOWA TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF DUBUQUE IOWA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT
OVER IA.  THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND SPREAD INTO WESTERN IL.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS.  HOWEVER...THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES ESPECIALLY NEAR THE SURFACE
WARM FRONT OVER NORTHERN IL OR PERHAPS FAR SOUTHERN WI.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 4:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess, Mercer, Rock Island and 2 more56 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2011Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.