Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 63

March 26, 20118 counties in Arkansas; 11 parishes in Louisiana; 33 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 26, 2011, 3:27 PM CDT for 8 counties in Arkansas; 11 parishes in Louisiana; 33 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 26, 2011, 3:27 PM CDT (20:27 UTC)
Expired
Mar 26, 2011, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 52 counties

Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Union County, AR, Caldwell Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 26, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Monroe21 min
Mar 26, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, Itawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tippah and 2 more58 min
Mar 26, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tishomingo60 min
Mar 26, 7:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGBenton, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Prentiss, Tippah and 1 more91 min
Mar 26, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha29 min
Mar 26, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Leflore, Sunflower38 min
Mar 26, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar40 min
Mar 26, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Lafayette, Panola, Yalobusha50 min
Mar 26, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLafayette, Lee, Pontotoc, Union35 min
Mar 26, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSunflower16 min
Mar 26, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGTallahatchie61 min
Mar 26, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tishomingo44 min
Mar 26, 9:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada, Montgomery, Webster65 min
Mar 26, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Monroe53 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2011-03-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1152 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2011-03-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 204 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1152 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
472 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
244 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
9.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

735 
WWUS20 KWNS 262029
SEL3
SPC WW 262029
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-270300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 63
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       PARTS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
       PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
       PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH OF EL DORADO
ARKANSAS TO 20 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 62...

DISCUSSION...AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS NWRN MS AND SRN AR THE
AIR MASS HAS BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES AOA 2500 J/KG WITH
LITTLE REMAINING CINH.  THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY
ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES SEWD THRU THE
WATCH.  40-50 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND STEEP LAPSE RATES FAVOR
SUPERCELL POTENTIAL.  IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL THERE IS A
TORNADO THREAT WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT FORMS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 25, 7:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Columbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette and 7 more89 min
Mar 25, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Crawford, Franklin, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette and 11 more7 hr
Mar 25, 11:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Madison, Newton, Washington65 min
Mar 26, 2:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Columbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River and 6 more2 hr
Mar 26, 2:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Columbia, Desha and 8 more63 min
Mar 26, 4:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Miller57 min
Mar 26, 10:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Clay, Lowndes, Monroe and 3 more54 min
Mar 26, 11:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Kemper, Lauderdale, Lowndes, Monroe, Neshoba and 4 more95 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2011Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.