Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 271
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 10, 2011, 5:53 PM CDT for 24 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 10, 2011, 5:53 PM CDT (22:53 UTC)
- Expired
- May 11, 2011, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 24 counties
Aitkin County, MN, Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Carlton County, MN, Carver County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Pine County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Todd County, MN, Washington County, MN, Wright County, MN
The radar
The Duluth radar (KDLH), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 6:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton, Stearns | 44 min |
| May 10, 6:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Morrison, Todd | 44 min |
| May 10, 6:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Cass, Crow Wing | 42 min |
| May 10, 6:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton, Morrison | 28 min |
| May 10, 7:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton, Mille Lacs, Sherburne | 39 min |
| May 10, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Cass, Crow Wing | 25 min |
| May 10, 7:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton, Morrison | 54 min |
| May 10, 7:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Carver, Dakota, Hennepin, Scott | 66 min |
| May 10, 7:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Anoka, Hennepin, Isanti, Mille Lacs, Sherburne, Wright | 62 min |
| May 10, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Carver, Hennepin, Scott | 59 min |
| May 10, 7:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton, Mille Lacs | 58 min |
| May 10, 7:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Rice, Scott | 53 min |
| May 10, 7:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Anoka, Hennepin, Sherburne, Wright | 35 min |
| May 10, 8:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Hennepin | 35 min |
| May 10, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Isanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs | 63 min |
| May 10, 8:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Anoka, Isanti, Sherburne | 35 min |
| May 10, 8:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Isanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs | 39 min |
| May 10, 9:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Kanabec | 41 min |
| May 10, 9:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Isanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs | 46 min |
| May 10, 10:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Isanti | 43 min |
| May 10, 10:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Kanabec | 36 min |
| May 10, 10:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Pine | 43 min |
| May 10, 10:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chisago | 56 min |
| May 10, 10:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chisago | 47 min |
| May 10, 11:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Pine | 60 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1366 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -392 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 571 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 119 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 109 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 5.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
414
WWUS20 KWNS 102253
SEL1
SPC WW 102253
MNZ000-110500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 271
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MINNESOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 555 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
BRAINERD MINNESOTA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CLOUD
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 268...WW 269...WW 270...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING ALONG THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL MN. SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS TO THE
EAST OF THE BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE THE BOUNDARY
LAYER...LEADING TO A POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE-BASED STORMS THIS
EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY THE MAIN THREATS.
HOWEVER..STRONG LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR COULD RESULT IN A TORNADO
THREAT IF STORMS BECOME SURFACE-BASED.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 1:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Wilkin | 94 min |
| May 10, 5:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anoka, Becker, Benton, Blue Earth, Carver, Chisago and 33 more | 95 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.