Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 271

May 10, 201124 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 10, 2011, 5:53 PM CDT for 24 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2011, 5:53 PM CDT (22:53 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2011, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 24 counties

Aitkin County, MN, Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Carlton County, MN, Carver County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Pine County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Todd County, MN, Washington County, MN, Wright County, MN

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Stearns44 min
May 10, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMorrison, Todd44 min
May 10, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCass, Crow Wing42 min
May 10, 6:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Morrison28 min
May 10, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Mille Lacs, Sherburne39 min
May 10, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCass, Crow Wing25 min
May 10, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Morrison54 min
May 10, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXCarver, Dakota, Hennepin, Scott66 min
May 10, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXAnoka, Hennepin, Isanti, Mille Lacs, Sherburne, Wright62 min
May 10, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXCarver, Hennepin, Scott59 min
May 10, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Mille Lacs58 min
May 10, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Rice, Scott53 min
May 10, 7:55 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXAnoka, Hennepin, Sherburne, Wright35 min
May 10, 8:10 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXHennepin35 min
May 10, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXIsanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs63 min
May 10, 8:44 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXAnoka, Isanti, Sherburne35 min
May 10, 8:51 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXIsanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs39 min
May 10, 9:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKanabec41 min
May 10, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXIsanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs46 min
May 10, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXIsanti43 min
May 10, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKanabec36 min
May 10, 10:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPine43 min
May 10, 10:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago56 min
May 10, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago47 min
May 10, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPine60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2011-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1366 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2011-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 119 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1366 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-392 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
571 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

414 
WWUS20 KWNS 102253
SEL1
SPC WW 102253
MNZ000-110500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 271
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL MINNESOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 555 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
BRAINERD MINNESOTA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CLOUD
MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 268...WW 269...WW 270...

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING ALONG THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL MN.  SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS TO THE
EAST OF THE BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE THE BOUNDARY
LAYER...LEADING TO A POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE-BASED STORMS THIS
EVENING.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY THE MAIN THREATS.
 HOWEVER..STRONG LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR COULD RESULT IN A TORNADO
THREAT IF STORMS BECOME SURFACE-BASED.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 1:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWilkin94 min
May 10, 5:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Becker, Benton, Blue Earth, Carver, Chisago and 33 more95 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.