Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 1925

August 9, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 9, 2011, 8:26 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 64 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2011, 8:26 PM MDT (02:26 UTC)
Expired
Aug 9, 2011, 9:30 PM MDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 33 counties

Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Graham County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Arthur County, NE, Banner County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garden County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Keith County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Laramie County, WY

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 178 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2011-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2011-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
5160 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

949 
ACUS11 KWNS 100226
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100226 
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-100330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1925
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0926 PM CDT TUE AUG 09 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SERN WY...SRN PANHANDLE OF NEB...SWRN
NEB...NWRN KS...NERN CO.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 754...

VALID 100226Z - 100330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 754 CONTINUES.

SVR CONVECTION OVER SERN PORTIONS WW...BETWEEN HLC-MCK...WILL MOVE
SEWD INTO WW 759...BUT NOT ENTIRELY BEFORE EXPIRATION OF WW 759. 
ISOLATED SVR TSTM ALSO IS MOVING SEWD OVER BANNER COUNTY NEB WITH
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING FARTHER W IN SERN WY.  ANOTHER WW
MAY BE REQUIRED OVER PORTIONS OF THIS AREA BEFORE SCHEDULED 03Z
EXPIRATION OF WW 754.

SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS STG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING WWD FROM
GROWING MCS NEAR RSL...ACROSS LANE COUNTY KS...THEN WNWWD NEAR ITR
AND NRN PORTIONS LINCOLN/DOUGLAS COUNTIES CO...MOVING SWD 10-15 KT
ACROSS ERN CO.  SUBSTANTIAL ELY/UPSLOPE COMPONENT OF LOW-LEVEL WINDS
WILL PERSIST BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY OVER NERN CO.  NRN PORTION OF
RELATED OUTFLOW POOL IS MORE ILL-DEFINED...BUT APPEARS TO BLEND WITH
AIR MASS ADVECTING SWWD TOWARD REGION BEHIND SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT
THAT IS ANALYZED OVER ERN KS.  SVR TSTM MOVING SEWD FROM WY INTO WRN
NEB PANHANDLE MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING HAIL/GUSTS...BUT WILL MOVE INTO
AIR MASS CHARACTERIZED BY PROGRESSIVELY LOWER THETAE AND GREATER
MLCINH WITH TIME...RELATED BOTH TO CAA AND TO DIABATIC SFC COOLING. 
THIS TREND INDICATES CONVECTION MAY WEAKEN...THOUGH TIMING IS
UNCERTAIN GIVEN EXISTENCE OF WELL-DEVELOPED/MATURE MESOCYCLONE AND
PROBABLY ROBUST STORM-SCALE COLD POOL TO FORCE ASCENT THROUGH
STABLE/NEAR-SFC LAYER FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO.  ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT ALSO MAY OCCUR ATOP OUTFLOW POOL IN ZONE OF ELEVATED WAA
ACROSS NERN CO AND SWRN NEB.

..EDWARDS.. 08/10/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   41540507 41880443 41990330 41840160 41140063 40109988
            39309980 39260182 39760380 40100477 41540507

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 8:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington and 1 more7 hr
Aug 10, 3:42 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLogan, Phillips, Sedgwick63 min
Aug 10, 4:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCLogan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington6 hr
Aug 10, 5:54 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington and 1 more66 min
Aug 9, 7:27 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Kiowa, Meade, Seward2 hr
Aug 9, 10:11 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Chautauqua, Cowley, Edwards and 28 more94 min
Aug 10, 2:25 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Butler, Cowley, Ellis, Ellsworth, Greenwood and 12 more65 min
Aug 10, 2:42 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk and 17 more3 hr
Aug 10, 2:53 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Rawlins, Sheridan, Sherman and 1 more67 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.