Severe Thunderstorm Warning 63, NWS Salt Lake City, UT

213 
WWUS55 KSLC 042148
SVSSLC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
348 PM MDT THU AUG 4 2011

UTC013-042230-
/O.CON.KSLC.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-110804T2230Z/
DUCHESNE UT-
348 PM MDT THU AUG 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN DUCHESNE COUNTY...

AT 345 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED OVER SOUTHEASTERN DUCHESNE COUNTY...OR ABOUT 16 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF DUCHESNE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  RURAL SOUTHEASTERN DUCHESNE COUNTY

LAT...LON 3981 11001 4001 11028 4011 11023 4005 10995
      3999 10995 3987 10996 3986 10994 3982 10993
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 271DEG 27KT 4004 11011

$$

ROGOWSKI

125 
WWUS55 KSLC 042222
SVSSLC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
422 PM MDT THU AUG 4 2011

UTC013-042232-
/O.EXP.KSLC.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-110804T2230Z/
DUCHESNE UT-
422 PM MDT THU AUG 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DUCHESNE COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 430 PM MDT...

THE STORM HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA INTO WESTERN UINTAH COUNTY. 
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3981 11001 4001 11028 4011 11023 4005 10995
      3999 10995 3987 10996 3986 10994 3982 10993
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 286DEG 16KT 3999 10989

$$

ROGOWSKI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
948 AM MDT THU AUG 4 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A DRYING TREND WILL BEGIN ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH
A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS SPREADING INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY AND
LASTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING...AS THE ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING
HAVE CLEARED OUT OF THE FAR SOUTHEAST AND NORTHWEST CORNERS OF THE
CWA. DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST
TODAY AS A PACIFIC TROUGH SLIDES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN TODAY AND
TONIGHT. DRYING BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE DRAMATIC...WITH THE
NAM FORECASTING PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AS LOW AS 0.25 INCHES
MOVING INTO FAR WESTERN UTAH BY 00Z FRIDAY. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY
DEEP MOISTURE WILL STILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE
CWA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH PW VALUES GENERALLY 0.6 TO 0.9
INCHES ACROSS THE AREA...AND EVEN HIGHER VALUES IN FAR EASTERN
UTAH. AS SUCH...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA TODAY...BUT THE FOCUS IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE EASTERN HALF.

THE DRIER AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO PRETTY MUCH THE
ENTIRE CWA BY 12Z FRIDAY...GREATLY RESTRICTING ANY CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT FRIDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF KEEP A DRY AND STABLE ZONAL FLOW OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THE NEXT WORK WEEK...WITH THE 00Z ECMWF HINTING
THAT MONSOONAL MOISTURE MAY RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND OF AUGUST 13TH.

ISSUED A SMALL UPDATE TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING TO LOWER CLOUD
COVER AND POPS FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING. OTHERWISE...THE
FORECAST LOOKS GOOD AND NO FURTHER UPDATES ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.AVIATION...THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALL DAY...BUT THERE IS
A 20 PERCENT CHANCE THAT NEARBY SHOWERS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF
GUSTY/AND OR ERRATIC WINDS...PRIMARILY BETWEEN 21Z AND 02Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO WESTERN
UTAH TODAY...THOUGH DEEP MOISTURE WILL STILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE DISTRICT. WITH DECREASING MOISTURE...COVERAGE OF
AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL BE A BIT LESS THAN YESTERDAY...ESPECIALLY
OVER WESTERN UTAH. STILL...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE DISTRICT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY OVER AN APPROACHING STORM
SYSTEM. WINDS COULD BECOME GUSTY ENOUGH TODAY TO PRODUCE ISOLATED
RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER SOUTHWEST UTAH...THOUGH FUELS ARE NOT
CRITICAL AT THIS TIME. THE STORM SYSTEM WILL GRAZE NORTHERN UTAH
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING...AND WINDS TOMORROW ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHTER. SO DESPITE THE INCREASINGLY DRY AIRMASS...CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

SCHOENING/TRAPHAGAN

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
545 AM MDT THU AUG 4 2011

UTZ001>016-019>021-517-518-WYZ021-051200-
CACHE VALLEY/UTAH PORTION-NORTHERN WASATCH FRONT-
SALT LAKE AND TOOELE VALLEYS-SOUTHERN WASATCH FRONT-
GREAT SALT LAKE DESERT AND MOUNTAINS-WASATCH MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
WASATCH MOUNTAINS I-80 NORTH-WASATCH MOUNTAINS SOUTH OF I-80-
WESTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-WASATCH PLATEAU/BOOK CLIFFS-
WESTERN UINTA BASIN-CASTLE COUNTRY-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
SANPETE/SEVIER VALLEYS-WEST CENTRAL UTAH-SOUTHWEST UTAH-
UTAHS DIXIE AND ZION NATIONAL PARK-SOUTH CENTRAL UTAH-
GLEN CANYON RECREATION AREA/LAKE POWELL-CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST WYOMING-
545 AM MDT THU AUG 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF
UTAH AND FAR SOUTHWEST WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA TODAY BUT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE...WITH THE GREATEST
COVERAGE ACROSS THE NORTH AND EAST. THERE IS STILL A THREAT OF
LOCAL HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING OVER EASTERN UTAH
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

ISOLATED HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON.

THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS
EVENING WITH ONLY A FEW STORMS LINGERING OVER THE FAR NORTH AND
EAST OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE DRYING TREND WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY AND ONLY ISOLATED STORMS
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

A GENERALLY DRY PATTERN WITH NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES IS
FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)