Alert archive / Colorado / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 1, NWS Pueblo, CO

June 4, 2011Lake County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this river flood warning at Jun 4, 2011, 10:01 AM MDT for Lake County, Colorado. It took effect at Jun 6, 2011, 2:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 4, 2011, 10:01 AM MDT (16:01 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 6, 2011, 2:00 AM MDT
Expired
Jun 6, 2011, 7:40 PM MDT
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Flood severity
Minor

County Lake County, CO

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 162 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Arkansas River near Leadville (LEDC2).

Action stage
8.5 ft
Minor stage
9 ft
Moderate stage
10 ft
Major stage
12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07081200, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

256 
WGUS45 KPUB 041601
FLWPUB
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1001 AM MDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING 
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN COLORADO... 

  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY.

.RECENT WARM TEMPERATURES ARE MELTING THE SNOW PACK IN THE COLORADO 
MOUNTAINS.  WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THIS PROCESS OVER THE 
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE SAW WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOW PACK THIS 
WINTER.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARY STREAMS
AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT TO SEE HIGH STREAM FLOWS AS THE SNOW 
PACK MELTS IN THE COMING DAYS. 

LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER INDICATE
THAT THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE WILL REACH THE MINOR FLOOD
STAGE OF 7 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.  THIS WOULD RESULT IN MINOR
FLOODING...RESULTING IN MINIMAL OR NO PROPERTY DAMAGE...BUT POSSIBLY
SOME PUBLIC THREAT OR INCONVENIENCE.  

FOR THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE...IF THE RIVER REACHES THE
MINOR FLOOD STAGE OF 7 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING
OCCURS...POSSIBLY AFFECTING TRAVEL AND ENTERING CAMPSITES AT SUGAR
LOAFIN CAMPGROUND.  AT 7 FEET...PROPERTY DAMAGE WOULD BE MINIMAL OR
NONEXISTENT...BUT THERE COULD BE SOME THREAT OR INCONVENIENCE TO THE
PUBLIC DUE TO THE HIGH...FAST FLOWING WATER.

THE ARKANSAS RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REACH 7.6 FEET MONDAY MORNING AND 
REMAIN AT THAT LEVEL FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-050401-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FL.W.0001.110605T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110605T1500Z.110607T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1001 AM MDT SAT JUN 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY MIDMORNING TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT TRAVEL AND ENTER 
  CAMPSITES AT SUGAR LOAFIN' CAMPGROUND.

$$
11 follow-up statements
924 
WGUS85 KPUB 042031
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
231 PM MDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY. 

.RECENT WARM TEMPERATURES ARE MELTING THE SNOW PACK IN THE COLORADO 
MOUNTAINS.  WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THIS PROCESS OVER THE 
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE SAW WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOW PACK THIS 
WINTER.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARY STREAMS
AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT TO SEE HIGH STREAM FLOWS AS THE SNOW 
PACK MELTS IN THE COMING DAYS. 

LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER INDICATE
THAT THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE WILL REACH THE MINOR FLOOD
STAGE OF 7 FEET BY NOON ON SUNDAY. 

FOR THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE...IF THE RIVER REACHES THE
MINOR FLOOD STAGE OF 7 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING
OCCURS...POSSIBLY AFFECTING TRAVEL AND ENTERING CAMPSITES AT SUGAR
LOAFIN CAMPGROUND.  AT 7 FEET...PROPERTY DAMAGE WOULD BE MINIMAL OR
NONEXISTENT...BUT THERE COULD BE SOME THREAT OR INCONVENIENCE TO THE
PUBLIC DUE TO THE HIGH...FAST FLOWING WATER.

THE ARKANSAS RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REACH 7.6 FEET MONDAY MORNING AND 
REMAIN AT THAT LEVEL FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-050831-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0001.110605T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110605T1800Z.110607T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
231 PM MDT SAT JUN 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY MIDMORNING TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT TRAVEL AND ENTER 
  CAMPSITES AT SUGAR LOAFIN' CAMPGROUND.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 
  4.5 FEET ON JUNE 15 1978.

$$
205 
WGUS85 KPUB 050107
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
707 PM MDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY.

.RECENT WARM TEMPERATURES ARE MELTING THE SNOW PACK IN THE COLORADO 
MOUNTAINS.  WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THIS PROCESS OVER THE 
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE SAW WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOW PACK THIS 
WINTER.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARY STREAMS
AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT TO SEE HIGH STREAM FLOWS AS THE SNOW 
PACK MELTS IN THE COMING DAYS. 

LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER INDICATE
THAT THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE WILL REACH THE MINOR FLOOD
STAGE OF 7 FEET BY NOON ON SUNDAY. 

FOR THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE...IF THE RIVER REACHES THE
MINOR FLOOD STAGE OF 7 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING
OCCURS...POSSIBLY AFFECTING TRAVEL AND ENTERING CAMPSITES AT SUGAR
LOAFIN CAMPGROUND.  AT 7 FEET...PROPERTY DAMAGE WOULD BE MINIMAL OR
NONEXISTENT...BUT THERE COULD BE SOME THREAT OR INCONVENIENCE TO THE
PUBLIC DUE TO THE HIGH...FAST FLOWING WATER.

THE ARKANSAS RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REACH 7.6 FEET MONDAY MORNING AND 
REMAIN AT THAT LEVEL FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-051307-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0001.110605T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110605T1800Z.110607T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
707 PM MDT SAT JUN 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY MIDMORNING TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT TRAVEL AND ENTER 
  CAMPSITES AT SUGAR LOAFIN' CAMPGROUND.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 
  4.5 FEET ON JUNE 15 1978.

$$
004 
WGUS85 KPUB 051023
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
423 AM MDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY.

.RECENT WARM TEMPERATURES ARE MELTING THE SNOW PACK IN THE COLORADO
MOUNTAINS.  WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THIS PROCESS OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE SAW WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOW PACK THIS
WINTER.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARY STREAMS
AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT TO SEE HIGH STREAM FLOWS AS THE SNOW
PACK MELTS IN THE COMING DAYS.

LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER INDICATE
THAT THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE WILL REACH THE MINOR FLOOD
STAGE OF 7 FEET BY NOON TODAY.

FOR THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE...IF THE RIVER REACHES THE
MINOR FLOOD STAGE OF 7 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING
OCCURS...POSSIBLY AFFECTING TRAVEL AND ENTERING CAMPSITES AT SUGAR
LOAFIN CAMPGROUND.  AT 7 FEET...PROPERTY DAMAGE WOULD BE MINIMAL OR
NONEXISTENT...BUT THERE COULD BE SOME THREAT OR INCONVENIENCE TO THE
PUBLIC DUE TO THE HIGH...FAST FLOWING WATER.

THE ARKANSAS RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REACH 7.6 FEET TUESDAY MORNING AND
REMAIN AT THAT LEVEL FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-052223-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0001.110605T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110605T1800Z.110607T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
423 AM MDT SUN JUN 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  3:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY MIDMORNING TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT TRAVEL AND ENTER
  CAMPSITES AT SUGAR LOAFIN' CAMPGROUND.

$$
850 
WGUS85 KPUB 051315
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
715 AM MDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY. 

.WARM TEMPERATURES ARE MELTING THE SNOW PACK IN THE COLORADO HIGH
COUNTRY.  THIS PROCESS WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS. 

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE SAW WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOW PACK THIS 
SEASON.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARY STREAMS
AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT HIGH STREAM FLOWS AS THE SNOW PACK
MELTS. 

LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER INDICATE
THAT THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE WILL REACH THE MINOR FLOOD
STAGE OF 7 FEET BY EARLY THIS EVENING. 

FOR THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE...IF THE RIVER REACHES THE
MINOR FLOOD STAGE OF 7 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING
OCCURS...POSSIBLY AFFECTING TRAVEL AND ENTERING CAMPSITES AT SUGAR
LOAFIN CAMPGROUND.  AT 7 FEET...PROPERTY DAMAGE WOULD BE MINIMAL OR
NONEXISTENT...BUT THERE COULD BE SOME THREAT OR INCONVENIENCE TO THE
PUBLIC DUE TO THE HIGH...FAST FLOWING WATER.

THE ARKANSAS RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REACH 7.6 FEET TUESDAY MORNING AND 
REMAIN AT THAT LEVEL FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-060115-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0001.110606T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110606T0200Z.110607T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
715 AM MDT SUN JUN 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  6:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY MIDMORNING TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT TRAVEL AND ENTER 
  CAMPSITES AT SUGAR LOAFIN' CAMPGROUND.

$$
379 
WGUS85 KPUB 051914
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
114 PM MDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY. 

.WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MELT THE SNOW PACK IN THE 
COLORADO HIGH COUNTRY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE RECEIVED WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOW 
PACK THIS SEASON. CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARY STREAMS AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT HIGH STREAM FLOWS AS THE SNOW 
PACK MELTS. 

LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER INDICATE
THAT THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE WILL REACH THE MINOR FLOOD
STAGE OF 7 FEET BY EARLY THIS SUNDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-060714-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0001.110606T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110606T0300Z.110607T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
114 PM MDT SUN JUN 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT TRAVEL AND ENTER 
  CAMPSITES AT SUGAR LOAFIN' CAMPGROUND.

$$
714 
WGUS85 KPUB 051920 CCA
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTION ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
114 PM MDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY. 

.WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MELT THE SNOW PACK IN THE 
COLORADO HIGH COUNTRY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE RECEIVED WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOW 
PACK THIS SEASON. CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARY 
STREAMS AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT HIGH STREAM FLOWS AS THE SNOW 
PACK MELTS. 

LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER INDICATE
THAT THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE WILL REACH THE MINOR FLOOD
STAGE OF 7 FEET BY EARLY THIS SUNDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-060714-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0001.110606T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110606T0300Z.110607T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
114 PM MDT SUN JUN 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT TRAVEL AND ENTER 
  CAMPSITES AT SUGAR LOAFIN' CAMPGROUND.

$$
194 
WGUS85 KPUB 060148
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
748 PM MDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY. 

.WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MELT THE SNOW PACK IN THE 
COLORADO HIGH COUNTRY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE RECEIVED WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOW
FALL THIS WINTER SEASON. CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS 
TRIBUTARY STREAMS AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT HIGH STREAM FLOWS AS 
THE SNOW PACK MELTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-061348-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0001.110606T0800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110606T0800Z.110607T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
748 PM MDT SUN JUN 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY MIDMORNING TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT TRAVEL AND ENTER 
  CAMPSITES AT SUGAR LOAFIN' CAMPGROUND.

$$
200 
WGUS85 KPUB 061127
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
527 AM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY.

.WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MELT THE SNOWPACK IN THE 
COLORADO HIGH COUNTRY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE RECEIVED WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOWFALL
THIS PAST WINTER SEASON.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS 
TRIBUTARY STREAMS AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT HIGH STREAM FLOWS
AS THE SNOWPACK MELTS.

LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER INDICATE
THAT THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE WILL HOVER AROUND MINOR FLOOD
STAGE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

AT MINOR FLOOD STAGE...THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE MAY SEE
LOWLAND FLOODING...POSSIBLY AFFECTING TRAVEL AND ENTERING CAMPSITES
AT SUGAR LOAFIN CAMPGROUND.  AT MINOR FLOOD STAGE...PROPERTY DAMAGE
IS MINIMAL OR NONEXISTENT...BUT THERE COULD BE SOME THREAT OR
INCONVENIENCE TO THE PUBLIC DUE TO HIGH...FAST FLOWING WATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-062327-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110606T0945Z.110607T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
527 AM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY MIDMORNING TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS, 
  POSSIBLY AFFECTING TRAVEL AND ENTERING CAMPSITES AT SUGAR LOAFIN' 
  CAMPGROUND.

$$
617 
WGUS85 KPUB 061322
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
722 AM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY.

.WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MELT THE SNOWPACK IN THE 
COLORADO HIGH COUNTRY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE RECEIVED WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOWFALL
THIS PAST WINTER SEASON.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS 
TRIBUTARY STREAMS AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT HIGH STREAM FLOWS
AS THE SNOWPACK MELTS.

LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER INDICATE
THAT THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE WILL HOVER AROUND MINOR FLOOD
STAGE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

AT MINOR FLOOD STAGE...THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE MAY SEE
LOWLAND FLOODING...POSSIBLY AFFECTING TRAVEL AND ENTERING CAMPSITES
AT SUGAR LOAFIN CAMPGROUND.  AT MINOR FLOOD STAGE...PROPERTY DAMAGE
IS MINIMAL OR NONEXISTENT...BUT THERE COULD BE SOME THREAT OR
INCONVENIENCE TO THE PUBLIC DUE TO HIGH...FAST FLOWING WATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-070122-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110606T0945Z.110611T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
722 AM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY 
  MIDMORNING SATURDAY THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS, 
  POSSIBLY AFFECTING TRAVEL AND ENTERING CAMPSITES AT SUGAR LOAFIN' 
  CAMPGROUND.

$$
602 
WGUS85 KPUB 062050
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
249 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY.

.WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MELT THE SNOWPACK IN THE 
COLORADO HIGH COUNTRY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE RECEIVED WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOWFALL
THIS PAST WINTER SEASON.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS 
TRIBUTARY STREAMS AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT HIGH STREAM FLOWS
AS THE SNOWPACK MELTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-070849-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110606T0945Z.110611T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
249 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY MIDMORNING SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS, 
  POSSIBLY AFFECTING TRAVEL AND ENTERING CAMPSITES AT SUGAR LOAFIN' 
  CAMPGROUND.

$$
516 
WGUS85 KPUB 070140
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
740 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE AFFECTING LAKE COUNTY.

.WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MELT THE SNOWPACK IN THE 
COLORADO HIGH COUNTRY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

THE MOUNTAINS AROUND LEADVILLE RECEIVED WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOWFALL
THIS PAST WINTER SEASON.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS 
TRIBUTARY STREAMS AROUND LEADVILLE...CAN EXPECT HIGH STREAM FLOWS
AS THE SNOWPACK MELTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC065-070210-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEDC2.1.SM.110606T0945Z.110611T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
740 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE.
* AT  7:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR BANKFULL LEVELS FOR THE 
  NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 
* FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 4, 4:19 AM MDT, 5 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 4, 4:19 AM MDT, 5 hours 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
419 AM MDT SAT JUN 4 2011

.SHORT TERM...
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)

...MAIN CONCERN IS SEVERE TODAY ACROSS THE DIVIDES AND A MARGINAL
FIRE WX THREAT ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...

CURRENTLY...

A 2NDRY SURGE OF COOLER MOISTER LOW LEVEL AIR HAS PUSHED SOUTH TO
THE RATON MESA. THIS BOUNDARY...ALONG WITH WEAK JET DYNAMICS...HAS
CAUSED A FEW SOLD SHOWERS TO POPS UP ALONG THE RATON MESA EARLY THIS
MORNING. DEWPOINTS BEHIND THE BOUNDARY WERE PRIMARILY IN THE 40S...WITH
50 DEWPOINTS ADVECTING IN FROM WC KS.

TODAY...

FIRST...WE WILL SEE A MARGINAL RED FLAG EVENT OVER THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND MIN RH VALUES BELOW
15% WILL OCCUR.

WE WILL LIKELY SEE 2 OR 3 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS THE
PLAINS. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY...AS SHOWN BY BOTH THE HI RES MODELS
AND THE STANDARD OUTPUT...WILL BE DOWN ALONG THE RATON MESA. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL PRIMARILY A WIND EVENT WITH MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL.
ANOTHER AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE ALONG THE PALMER DIVIDE. MOST
GUIDANCE IS SHOWING THE STORM N OF THE CWA UP IN DENVERS
REGION...BUT THE POSSIBILITY EXIST OF A ROTATING STORMS OVER NE EL
PASO COUNTY POSSIBLY TRACKING INTO KIOWA COUNTY LATER IN THE
EVENING. THIS STORM WILL LIKELY ROTATE A BIT BETTER AND WE COULD SEE
HAIL...WIND AND POSSIBLY A WEAK TORNADO WITH THIS STORM.

GIVEN THE SIGNALS IN THE GUIDANCE...PAINTED HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE
PALMER DIVIDE AND RATON MESA. I DO NOT PLAN ON MENTIONING SEVERE IN
THE GRIDDS AS THIS WILL LIKELY BE A LOW END EVENT DUE TO THE MODEST
WINDS THROUGHOUT THE ATMOSPHERE. HOWEVER...WILL MENTION IT IN THE
HWO AND GRAPHICAL WX STORY.

ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY FIRE ACROSS THE RATON REGION AROUND 20Z AND
MOVE E-ENE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. STORMS OVER THE PALMER WILL LIKELY
HAVE A LATER START...INITIATING AFTER 22Z. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY
MOVE IN A DUE E DIRECTION...MAYBE EVEN A BIT E-ESE IF IT ROTATES
STRONG ENOUGH.

ALTHOUGH WE WILL HAVE A SEVERE STORM OR TWO OVER THE AREA...I DO NOT
EXPECT A WATCH FROM SPC DUE TO THE LIMITED AREAL COVERAGE. IF A
WATCH IS ISSUED...IT WOULD LIKELY BE A BLUE BOX (SVR THUNDER WATCH).

TONIGHT...

ACTIVITY WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE MID EVENING HOURS...AND SHOULD
BE OUT OF THE STATE BY MIDNIGHT. THE BEST POPS THIS EVENING WILL BE
OVER THE EASTERN 1/2 OF THE PLAINS.

.LONG TERM...
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)

...POTENTIAL FOR DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...

SUNDAY...THE UPPER RIDGE OF HI PRES CONTINUES TO BUILD WESTWARD BACK
INTO CO AND NM ON SUNDAY...WHILE AN UPPER LOW SYSTEM OVER THE
PACIFIC STARTS TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS CA. CONTINUED HOT AND MAINLY
DRY...WITH BOTH NAM AND GFS MODELS TRYING TO BREAK OUT CONVECTION BY
MIDDAY INITIALLY OVER THE S SANGRES AND RATON MESA...THEN ELSEWHERE
THROUGH THE AFTN AND EVE. CURRENTLY IT LOOKS AS IF IT WILL MAINLY BE
ISOLATED HIGH-BASED CONVECTION ALL AREAS...WITH THE MAIN THREAT
BEING GUSTY WINDS AND LTG.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE UPPER LOW OVER THE WEST COAST MOVES
NE INTO NV ON MON...WITH AN ASSOCIATED H5 VORT MAX MOVING ACROSS THE
4 CORNERS AND INTO CO SOMETIME DURING THE DAY. MODELS RESPOND BY
BREAKING OUT CONVECTION OVER MUCH OF THE AREA MON AFTN AND EVE...AND
WITH SUCH DRY LOWER LEVELS THIS WILL MOST LIKELY BE A DRY LTG EVENT.
THE NAM AND GFS MODELS DISAGREE SLIGHTLY ON HOW FAR SOUTH THE LOW
DIGS BEFORE MOVING ONSHORE AND THEN TO THE NE...SO THEY DIFFER ON
THE PROXIMITY OF THE LOW TO COLORADO. THERE IS ALSO AN ISSUE WITH
TIMING...WITH SOME OF THE MODEL RUNS POINTING TO POSSIBLY A LATER
WINDOW FOR CONVECTION TO START WHICH WOULD HAVE A HUGE EFFECT ON DRY
LTG COVERAGE. SO...A LOW OF QUESTIONS. HOWEVER...THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR A DRY LTG OUTBREAK FOR THE FORECAST AREA WHICH DOES
NOT HAPPEN THAT OFTEN HERE. NEXT...BOTH TUE AND WED ARE LOOKING LIKE
BRISK SW FLOW ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION...AS WELL AS
HOT TEMPS AND VERY LOW RH LEVELS. IF ANY FIRES START ON MON DUE TO
DRY LTG...THEY COULD VERY EASILY MAKE A MOVE AND GROW ON TUE AND
WED. THEREFORE...FELT IT PRUDENT TO ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
MON TO ALERT THE AGENCIES OF THE POTENTIAL.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...AN UPPER LOW PRES SYSTEM SLOWLY TRACKS ACROSS
THE PAC NW AND ID BOTH THU AND FRI...KEEPING SW FLOW ALOFT ACROSS
THE 4 CORNERS REGION. HOWEVER...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE INDICATING A
SFC FRONT DROPPING DOWN INTO COLORADO SOMETIME ON THU. THIS WILL
HELP TO COOL MAX TEMPS ABOUT 10 DEGREES BOTH DAYS...AS WELL AS
REINTRODUCING CHANCES FOR CONVECTION THU NIGHT AND THROUGH FRI.
MOORE

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL 3 TAF SITES...KALS...KPUB...KCOS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE VICINITY (TO THE NORTH) OF KCOS THIS
AFTERNOON. I CANNOT RULE OUT A STORM OVER THE AIRPORT...BUT IT LOOKS
MARGINAL ATTM...AND ONLY PLAN TO MENTION CB IN THE TAF.

GUSTY SW WINDS WILL OCCUR AT KALS THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT WINDS OF 15
TO 25 KNTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A MARGINAL RED FLAG EVENT WILL OCCUR TODAY ACROSS THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY. WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND MIN RH
VALUES WILL GET DOWN TO ABOUT 10%. A SLIGHT REPRIEVE IS FORECAST
FOR SUNDAY...THEN MONDAY COULD BE THE START OF A PROLONGED PERIOD
OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL
DRY LIGHTNING EVENT ON MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY AT LEAST TWO DAYS OF
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH WIND.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN WILL BE IN THE 50S AND 60S IN THE MTNS TODAY
AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING TONIGHT. RIVERS AND
STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH. PLEASE USE CAUTION THIS WEEKEND
IF YOU WILL BE NEAR WATERWAYS IN THE HIGH COUNTRY.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
FOR COZ221-222-224>237.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
COZ224.

&&

34/27
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 4, 6:50 AM MDT, 3 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
650 AM MDT SAT JUN 4 2011

COZ058>089-093>099-051300-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
650 AM MDT SAT JUN 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THESE STRONG WINDS...COMBINED WITH LOW
HUMIDITY VALUES AT OR BELOW 12 PERCENT AND EXISTING DRY
VEGETATION...WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. EXTREME CAUTION
SHOULD BE USED TO AVOID ANY FIRE STARTS TODAY.

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER THE PLAINS
TODAY. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE HAIL UP TO THE
SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH. THERE IS A VERY LOW
CHANCE OF A TORNADO...ESPECIALLY OVER FAR NORTHEASTERN EL PASO
COUNTY. ALL STORMS WHICH DEVELOP TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF DANGEROUS
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AND
AGAIN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE REGION
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON MONDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A
DRY LIGHTNING EVENT THAT COULD PRODUCE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE STARTS.
THEN ON TUESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
COMBINE WITH LOW HUMIDITY VALUES AND HOT TEMPERATURES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS MAY BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

34/27

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 3:47 AM MDTFire Weather WatchPUBAlamosa, Baca, Bent, Conejos, Costilla, Crowley and 12 more36 hr
Jun 4, 3:47 AM MDTRed Flag WarningPUBAlamosa, Conejos, Costilla, Rio Grande, Saguache15 hr
Jun 4, 2:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas50 min
Jun 4, 3:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas47 min
Jun 4, 4:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Las Animas47 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Colorado, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.