Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1037 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT IN SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA WILL STALL OVER THE
FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. A STRONGER COLD FRONT FROM THE PLAINS WILL
APPROACH ON MONDAY AND MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT. IT
IS EXPECTED TO STALL TO THE SOUTH AND THEN MOVE BACK NORTH ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT. ANOTHER OPPRESSIVE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
THEN BUILDS INTO THE FORECAST AREA BEHIND IT. A COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO APPROACH THE REGION FROM NEW YORK STATE ON SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS WEAKENED IN THE PAST TWO HOURS AS THE
BEST INSTABILITY HAS WANED. THERE IS CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AT THIS TIME. THIS MAY SURVIVE THE TRIP EAST
IN THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY LEFT OVER AND AHEAD OF A SHORT WAVE
OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. BECAUSE OF THIS...A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN LEFT IN THE FORECAST FOR
OVERNIGHT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF OUR CWA. WE ADDED SOME
PATCHY FOG IN AREAS WHICH HAD HEAVIER RAIN.

TEMPERATURES ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE AS RAIN HAS ALLOWED SOME
PLACES TO COOL...WHILE OTHERS HAVE SEEN TEMPERATURES DROP MORE
SLOWLY OUTSIDE OF THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. THIS HAS BEEN ACCOUNTED
FOR (AS BEST AS CAN BE DONE) IN THE GRIDDED FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY ON THE MID LEVEL
PATTERN WITH THE EASTERN CANADIAN TROUGH BEGINNING TO SHARPEN, AND
THEN THE ECMWF SEEMS TO PART COMPANY WITH THE OTHER MODELS BY
HAVING A LESS AMPLIFIED FEATURE WITH LESS CONSOLIDATED ENERGY. WE
COMPROMISED BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND AMERICAN MODELS WITH A LEAN
TOWARD THE LATTER. WE AGAIN COULD SEE AN UPPER LEVEL JET AND A
SHORT WAVE THAT SUPPORT THE APPROACHING SURFACE FRONT BY LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON. THERE SHOULD BE A DECENT AMOUNT OF ASSOCIATED
SHEAR, BETTER NORTH THAN SOUTH. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE
EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK IN. WE HAVEN'T PUT ENHANCED WORDING IN THE
FORECAST YET, BUT WE LIKELY WILL. SPC HAS OUR AREA UNDER A "SEE TEXT."
WE MAINTAIN THE REFERENCE TO CONVECTION IN THE HWO.

ACTIVITY SHOULD END FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT, AND
THEN THE MAIN MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS LIKELY WILL SWEEP BY TO THE
NORTH ON TUESDAY. WE HAVE KEPT THE SLIGHT CHANCE OVER THE SOUTHERN
POCONOS ON TUESDAY, AND THEN CARRY A DRY FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

DESPITE THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES, WE CONTINUE TO RESIDE AT OR
ABOVE THE WARMER STAT GUIDANCE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR CURRENT FORECAST HAS THE HEAT WAVE PRESENTLY AFFECTING THE AREA
COMING TO AN END DURING THE SHORT TERM (MON-TUE) PERIOD. A HEAT WAVE
IS CONSIDERED BROKEN WHEN A SUB-90 DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURE OCCURS.
ANOTHER HEAT WAVE WILL ARRIVE DURING THE LONG TERM...WITH WIDESPREAD
90 (OR HIGHER) DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURES ARRIVING BY THU AND
EXTENDING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THE UPPER HIGH PRESSURE AREA THAT WILL
PRODUCE THIS HEAT WAVE WILL BUILD OVER THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WED
THEN EXTEND EWRD TO THE CAROLINAS BY FRI. THE HIGH REMAINS INTO
SAT...BUT THEN BEGINS TO WITHDRAW BACK WESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL
PLAINS SUN.

THE PATTERN THAT WILL BE ACROSS THE REGION WILL MOSTLY BE DRY WITH
ANY IMPULSES BEING CARRIED FROM THE GREAT LAKES NORTH OF OUR AREA
INTO NEW ENGLAND AND ERN CANADA. ITS POSSIBLE THAT A FEW WEAK FRONTS
IMPINGING FROM THE NORTH AND PERHAPS SOME DAYTIME INSTABILITY COULD
PRODUCE SOME SCAT SHOWERS/TSTMS DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THE POPS
ARE ONLY IN THE LOW CHC OR SLGT CHC RANGE ATTM. HPC MAPS A COLD
FRONT CROSSING THE REGION SAT...SO THAT DAY MAY OFFER THE BEST CHC
FOR MORE ORGANIZED SHOWERS/TSTMS. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE
FRONT FOR NEXT SUN.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WELL INTO TONIGHT, EXCEPT IN THE
SHOWERS/TSTMS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT. SOME LIGHT FOG
IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY IN PROTECTED AREAS THAT
RECEIVE ANY SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY. VSBYS COULD DROP TO MVFR, AND
POSSIBLY TO IFR BRIEFLY, FOR A FEW HOURS PRIOR TO SUNRISE. AS THE
DECAYING FRONT DROPS SOUTH, WINDS WILL SWING AROUND TO THE NE AND
THEN E 5 TO 10 KT MONDAY. EXPECT SCT TO BKN SC TO PREVAIL WITH VFR
CONDITIONS, ALTHOUGH SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY
THROUGH THE DAY. THE LIKELIHOOD OF THE SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL BE
INCREASING LATER IN THE DAY.

OUTLOOK...
A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST
MONDAY NIGHT. AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PRECEDE AND ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN MOVE IN WITH A SLIGHTLY DRIER AND LESS HOT AIR MASS TUESDAY.
THE HIGH WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER AT LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY WITH
VFR FLYING CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA
THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. SCATTERED TSTMS WILL RUMBLE
ACROSS THE WATERS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF
LITTLE EGG INLET AND ON DELAWARE BAY. AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT DROPS
SLOWLY SOUTH AND WEAKENS, WINDS WILL BECOME NE 10 KT OR LESS
TONIGHT AND THEN E AND EVENTUALLY SE 10 KT OR LESS MONDAY. A
STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
MONDAY NIGHT. TSTMS WILL PRECEDE AND ACCOMPANY THE FRONT LATE
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW TUESDAY AND
DOMINATE OUR WEATHER PATTERN INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
BELOW ARE RECORD HIGH MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR JULY 24TH.

PHL...97(2010) / 83 (2010)

ABE...95(1999) / 75 (2010)

ILG...97(2010) / 81 (2010)

ACY...99(2010) / 83 (2010)

MPO...91(1914) / 71 (2010)

RDG...96(2010) / 78 (2010)

TTN...98(1910) / 82 (2010)

GED...99(2010) / 79 (2010)

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DELISI/GIGI/HEAVENER
NEAR TERM...DELISI/GIGI/HAYES
SHORT TERM...DELISI/GIGI
LONG TERM...O'HARA
AVIATION...RPW
MARINE...RPW
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
806 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ001-007>010-012>020-026-027-PAZ054-055-060>062-
067>071-260015-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
806 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS MONDAY AFTERNOON
INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-260015-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
806 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS MONDAY AFTERNOON
INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450-451-260015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
806 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS MONDAY AFTERNOON
INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-452>455-260015-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
806 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS MONDAY AFTERNOON
INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
619 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

NJZ016-021>024-242315-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
SALEM NJ-
619 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ATLANTIC...CAPE
MAY...CUMBERLAND AND SALEM COUNTIES...

AT 616 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MILLVILLE...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR
FORTESQUE...LAUREL LAKE AROUND 630 PM...DIVIDING CREEK...BRICKSBORO
AROUND 645 PM...BIVALVE...PORT NORRIS AROUND 700 PM...ELDORA AND
GOSHEN AROUND 715 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3915 7467 3896 7495 3899 7498 3911 7490
      3916 7491 3918 7503 3920 7505 3917 7514
      3920 7519 3923 7518 3929 7527 3929 7532
      3934 7534 3933 7537 3940 7545 3955 7520
      3919 7464

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
624 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

NJZ019-PAZ068-069-071-242330-
BUCKS PA-MONTGOMERY PA-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-
624 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BUCKS...BURLINGTON...MONTGOMERY
AND PHILADELPHIA COUNTIES...

AT 621 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF PHILADELPHIA...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR FEASTERVILLE...
VILLAGE SHIRES AROUND 630 PM...BENSALEM...HULMEVILLE AROUND 645 PM...
CROYDON...BEVERLY AROUND 700 PM...BURLINGTON...WILLINGBORO AROUND 715
PM...MOUNT HOLLY AND JACKSONVILLE AROUND 730 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3999 7467 3982 7486 4015 7518 4029 7502

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
641 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

MDZ015-019-020-242345-
CAROLINE MD-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-TALBOT MD-
641 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CAROLINE...QUEEN ANNE'S AND
TALBOT COUNTIES...

AT 637 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER EASTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THE
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR TRAPPE AROUND 700 PM...WINDYHILL AND
CHOPTANK AROUND 715 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3875 7621 3886 7603 3870 7585 3869 7586
      3869 7590 3867 7593 3867 7595 3865 7595
      3862 7598 3860 7598 3856 7604

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
728 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

NJZ017>019-027-PAZ068>071-250030-
BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-MONTGOMERY PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
728 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BUCKS...BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...
DELAWARE...GLOUCESTER...MONTGOMERY AND PHILADELPHIA COUNTIES...

AT 724 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES EAST OF
PHILADELPHIA TO 10 MILES EAST OF PHILADELPHIA TO PHILADELPHIA...
MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR KENSINGTON...
CENTER CITY AROUND 745 PM...MOUNT HOLLY...PENNSAUKEN AROUND 800 PM...
LUMBERTON...YEADON AROUND 815 PM...WOODLYNNE AND MOUNT LAUREL AROUND
830 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3984 7465 3980 7497 3978 7526 4009 7524
      4011 7495 4016 7476

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
735 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

MDZ019-250030-
TALBOT MD-
735 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT TALBOT COUNTY...

AT 732 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 17 MILES SOUTH OF BALTIMORE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3879 7638 3875 7635 3883 7631 3887 7626
      3882 7621 3885 7620 3886 7615 3888 7615
      3888 7613 3887 7611 3894 7610 3889 7600
      3871 7635 3874 7635 3876 7640 3877 7640

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1053 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

PAZ054-060-061-250400-
BERKS PA-CARBON PA-LEHIGH PA-
1053 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BERKS...CARBON AND LEHIGH
COUNTIES...

AT 1046 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORM 59 MILES WEST OF WILKES-BARRE...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 4051 7643 4054 7618 4060 7605 4059 7603
      4064 7600 4074 7578 4084 7594 4090 7600
      4092 7599 4094 7591 4084 7556 4079 7562
      4076 7562 4054 7577 4034 7618 4049 7644

HAYES