Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
510 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK FRONT ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BRING UNSETTLED
WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. A HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA SATURDAY AND BRING FAIR AND MORE
COMFORTABLE WEATHER TO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY.
ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM MAY BRING MORE SHOWERS TO THE REGION LATER
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA AND
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.
THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY
WINDS, ALONG WITH SOME SMALL HAIL.

AFTER THE STORMS DISSIPATE, THINGS BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT A LITTLE BIT
WITH SKIES BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. AREAS
OF FOG MAY DEVELOP IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE RAIN TODAY. THE OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL BE VERY WARM AND IT WILL REMAIN VERY HUMID TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE WITH THE HOT
AND HUMID AIRMASS FINALLY GIVING WAY TO AN APPROACHING UPPER
TROUGH/SFC COLD FRONT. THE SPC IS INDICATING A SLGT CHC FOR
CONVECTION ACROSS THE SRN AREAS WITH AMPLE CAPE AND DECENT SHEAR
IMPOSED OVER THE SAME AREAS. GUSTY WINDS/HEAVY RAINS WILL
ACCOMPANY TSTMS. TEMPERATURES FRI WILL BE LESS THAN TODAY WITH
MORE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS IN PLACE.

SAT THRU SUN WILL FEATURE FAIR WEATHER AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC. A VERY SMALL CHC FOR SHOWERS WILL REMAIN
IN THE GRIDS FOR SAT MORNING...IN CASE ANY LINGERING ACTIVITY WITH
THE FRONT FROM FRI NIGHT LASTS INTO SAT. THE BEST CHC FOR THIS
HAPPENING WILL BE OVER THE DELMARVA AREA. IT WILL STILL BE VERY
WARM THIS WEEKEND...BUT THE LOWER DEW POINTS WILL MAKE THE AIR
MUCH MORE COMFORTABLE THAN RECENT DAYS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NOT TOO MANY CHANGES IN THE LONG TERM FROM THE LATEST SUITE OF MODEL
RUNS. THE CAN GGEM WAS NOT USED AS NONE OF THE OTHER MODELS HAD AS
STRONG A LOW EXITING NORTH CAROLINA AND THIS AFFECTED THE CAN FOR
THE REST OF THE LONG TERM. THIS PACKAGE LEANED TOWARD THE ECMWF.

THE LONG TERM WILL BEGIN WITH HOTTER AND INCREASINGLY MORE HUMID
WEATHER EXPECTED. A DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY MIGHT ACT AS A FOCUS
FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTION. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH AND THUS
POPS WERE KEPT NORTHWEST OF THE I95 CORRIDOR CLOSER TO THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. PENDING SKY COVER AND FRONTAL POSITION ON
TUESDAY, MONDAY SHOULD BE THE HOTTEST DAY OF THE LONG TERM WITH SOME
MID 90S POSSIBLE.

THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT SHOULD THEN ACT AS A TRIGGER FOR MORE
ORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WE KEPT POPS RELATIVELY LOW DUE
TO THE CONSENSUS TIMING IN WHICH IT LOOKS TO BE TOO FAR TO THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY AND POSSIBLY TOO DEEP INTO OUR CWA ON TUESDAY.

THE GFS IS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH MOVING THE COLD FRONT THROUGH WHICH
WE TEMPERED SOMEWHAT GIVEN JULY CLIMO. THUS OUR MAX TEMPS ON TUE AS
THE FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH AND ON WED AS THE RELATIVELY COOLER AIR
IS ARRIVING IS ABOVE MEX MOS GUIDANCE.  AT THIS POINT THERE IS
FAIRLY GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS FOR OUR CWA TO BE NEAR THE CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH THE RELATIVELY DRIEST AND COOLEST DAY OF THE
LONG TERM PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

TONIGHT... VFR TO START WITH CONVECTION PROBABLY SETTLING DOWN
BUT NOT COMPLETELY CONVINCED IT CANNOT RE-FIRE DURING THE EARLY
MORNING. MVFR VSBY IN FOG/HAZE EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT....ESP IN
THE FRONTAL ZONE WHICH MAY END UP N OF PHL ALL NIGHT.

CONFIDENCE BELOW AVG ON CONVECTIVE OCCURRENCE AFTER 01Z.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...VFR CIGS DEVELOP BY 17Z WITH CLUSTERS OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS
AND TSTMS...ISOLATED SEVERE TSTMS EXPECTED. WIDESPREAD MVFR CONDS
MAY DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON NNJ AND NE PA...ESPECIALLY VCNTY KABE AND
THE POCONOS. LIGHT WIND TRENDING NE.

QUASI STATIONARY FRONT PROBABLY JUST N OF KPHL TO START THE DAY BUT
PROBABLY MOVES SOUTHWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON DOWN INTO N DEL.

FRIDAY NIGHT...MVFR CONDS PROBABLY SPREADING SEWD TO MOST TAF
LOCATIONS IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT AND ASSTD
CONVECTION.

THIS WEEKEND...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING EAST FROM THE GREAT
LAKES SHOULD PROVIDE VFR CONDITIONS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION HERE
COULD BE SATURDAY EVENING...AS WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COULD
AFFECT NORTHERN AREAS.  LIGHT WIND.

NEXT MONDAY...VFR EXCEPT PATCHY MVFR FOG NEAR DAWN  MAY SEE TSTMS
LATE AT NIGHT IN WARM AIR ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM FRONTAL
PASSAGE. SW WIND MAY GUST 15-20 KTS IN THE AFTN.

&&

.MARINE...
NO HEADLINES ATTM. LOW PROB WE WILL NEED AN SCA FRI NIGHT IN THE
ATLC WATERS OFF DEL.

CONVECTIVE GUSTS AND LIGHTNING ARE THE BIG PROBLEM THIS AFTERNOON
AND AGAIN FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING IN ASSN WITH QSTNRY FRONT FM NYC
TO JUST N OF PHL.  THAT FRONT SAGS SOUTHEAST OF OUR AREA TOMORROW
NIGHT AND THE CONVECTION MOVES OUT TO SEA.

A DRY NICE WEEKEND IS ENVISIONED AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN WITH
A DRIER AIRMASS AND LIGHT WIND.

NEXT MONDAY...SW FLOW GUSTING 15 KTS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS AT NIGHT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THERE IS AMPLE MOISTURE THIS EVENING TO CREATE DOWNPOURS AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING CONCERNS FOR THIS EVENING. THE CELLS MOVEMENT
MAY BE ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY WIDESPREAD PROBLEMS. THIS CONTINUES
INTO FRIDAY WITH CONTINUED HIGHER MOISTURE AND TSTM FORMATION
EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON. THE FFG IS LOWER ACROSS THE NORTH...SO THE
LATER SHIFTS MAY CONSIDER A WATCH FOR THOSE AREAS. THERE IS ENOUGH
UNCERTAINTY ATTM TO PRECLUDE A WATCH NOW. WE WILL KEEP THE HEAVY
RAINS WORDING IN THE GRIDS/ZONES FOR NOW.

&&

.CLIMATE...
HEAT WAVE CONTINUES TODAY ILG/PHL REGION AND LOW PROBABILITY IT
MAY EXTEND INTO FRIDAY PER THE ULTIMATE POSITION OF THE QUASI
STATIONARY FRONT MIDDAY FRIDAY AND THE RESULTANT TIMING OF
PERSISTENT CONVECTION PRIOR OR SUBSEQUENT TO 18Z FRIDAY.

TODAY THE MODEST HEAT WAVE IS DAY5 FOR PHL AND DAY4 FOR ILG.

SINCE MAY 6TH AT KPHL...ONLY 8 DAYS BELOW NORMAL WITHIN A PERIOD
OF 61 DAYS....IE 53 AOA NORMAL IN THESE 61.

REGARDING TOMORROW... HAVE BEEN LOOKING ALOT AT PARALLEL NAM MOS
VS THE ACTUAL NAM MET MOS. IT SEEMS OVERALL TO BE PERFORMING SLIGHTLY
BETTER THAN NAM MOS. TODAYS 12Z GFS MAVMOS HAS AN IDEA THAT TOMORROW
COULD REACH 87 AT KILG...WHILE THE 12Z/7 METMOS HAS 82 BUT THE
PARALLEL METMOS 87. THE IDEA...ITS WORTHY OF COMPROMISING AND
PROBABLY RUNNING A BIT HIGHER THAN THE METMOS GUIDANCE.

MUCH IF NOT ALL OF THIS SECTION WILL PROBABLY BE DELETED IN SUBSEQUENT
AFD EFFORTS.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MEOLA/O'HARA
NEAR TERM...MEOLA/O'HARA
SHORT TERM...O'HARA
LONG TERM...GIGI
AVIATION...DRAG
MARINE...DRAG
HYDROLOGY...DRAG
CLIMATE...DRAG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
313 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

NJZ001-007>010-012>015-017>020-026-027-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-
081915-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
313 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH A SHORT BURSTS OF
HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE. THIS SHOULD BE PRIMARILY FROM NEAR READING TO JUST
NORTH OF PHILADELPHIA TO MCGUIRE AFB AND BELMAR NORTHWARD THROUGH
ALLENTOWN INTO THE POCONOS INTO NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY...AND SEVERAL
COULD BE SEVERE WITH POTENTIAL FOR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING RAINS IN
A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-081915-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
313 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016-021>025-081915-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
313 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH A SHORT BURSTS OF
HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY...AND SEVERAL
COULD BE SEVERE WITH POTENTIAL FOR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING RAINS IN
A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
513 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND TUCKERTON               39.60N 74.33W
07/07/2011  E47.00 MPH       OCEAN              NJ   MESONET

0347 PM     HAIL             SCOTRUN                 41.07N 75.32W
07/07/2011  M0.88 INCH       MONROE             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN SCOTRUN. SMALL
            BRANCHES ALSO REPORTED DOWN.

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SCOTRUN                 41.07N 75.32W
07/07/2011                   MONROE             PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN IN THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
            COUNTY.

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EXTON                   40.03N 75.63W
07/07/2011                   CHESTER            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES REPORTED DOWN IN WEST WHITELAND TOWNSHIP.

0448 PM     HAIL             CREAM RIDGE             40.13N 74.52W
07/07/2011  M0.50 INCH       MONMOUTH           NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MEOLA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
544 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

NJZ013-014-018>020-026-027-072245-
CAMDEN NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
544 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES...

AT 538 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN BURLINGTON
COUNTY, MAINLY SOUTHERN OCEAN COUNTY AND EASTERN MONMOUTH COUNTY.
THESE STORMS ARE ALL MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

EXPECT INTENSE LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER
TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM
APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 4014 7402 3981 7407 3968 7412 3951 7426
      3950 7432 3953 7434 3953 7439 3973 7474
      3976 7499 4046 7417 4046 7412 4041 7399
      4047 7402 4047 7399 4046 7398 4041 7396
      4032 7396

FORECASTER: NIERENBERG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
546 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

MDZ008-012-015-072315-
CECIL MD-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
546 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CECIL...KENT AND QUEEN ANNE'S
COUNTIES...

AT 544 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 19 MILES WEST OF
ELKTON TO 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BALTIMORE...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR RICHARDSMERE AROUND 600 PM...WEST
NOTTINGHAM...RISING SUN AROUND 615 PM...FARMINGTON...ROCK HALL AROUND
630 PM...CALVERT...LOMBARD AROUND 645 PM...BLAKE AND PLEASANT HILL
AROUND 700 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

IF YOU SEE THREATENING WEATHER, PLEASE MOVE INDOORS QUICKLY.

LAT...LON 3927 7622 3934 7617 3938 7611 3938 7607
      3945 7600 3946 7602 3951 7599 3953 7600
      3954 7607 3956 7610 3970 7622 3973 7579
      3931 7576 3912 7583 3910 7624 3916 7628

TFG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
614 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND TUCKERTON               39.60N 74.33W
07/07/2011  E47.00 MPH       OCEAN              NJ   MESONET

0347 PM     HAIL             SCOTRUN                 41.07N 75.32W
07/07/2011  M0.88 INCH       MONROE             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN SCOTRUN. SMALL
            BRANCHES ALSO REPORTED DOWN.

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SCOTRUN                 41.07N 75.32W
07/07/2011                   MONROE             PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN IN THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
            COUNTY.

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EXTON                   40.03N 75.63W
07/07/2011                   CHESTER            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES REPORTED DOWN IN WEST WHITELAND TOWNSHIP.

0448 PM     HAIL             CREAM RIDGE             40.13N 74.52W
07/07/2011  M0.50 INCH       MONMOUTH           NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0551 PM     TSTM WND GST     PHILADELPHIA INTL AIRPO 39.86N 75.30W
07/07/2011  M47.00 MPH       DELAWARE           PA   ASOS

0600 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PAULSBORO               39.84N 75.24W
07/07/2011                   GLOUCESTER         NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN IN PAULSBORO.

&&

MEOLA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
645 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND TUCKERTON               39.60N 74.33W
07/07/2011  E47.00 MPH       OCEAN              NJ   MESONET

0347 PM     HAIL             SCOTRUN                 41.07N 75.32W
07/07/2011  M0.88 INCH       MONROE             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN SCOTRUN. SMALL
            BRANCHES ALSO REPORTED DOWN.

0352 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BURLINGTON              40.07N 74.86W
07/07/2011                   BURLINGTON         NJ   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TREE REPORTED DOWN ON BROMLEY BLVD IN BURLINGTON
            TOWNSHIP.

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SCOTRUN                 41.07N 75.32W
07/07/2011                   MONROE             PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN IN THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
            COUNTY.

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EXTON                   40.03N 75.63W
07/07/2011                   CHESTER            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES REPORTED DOWN IN WEST WHITELAND TOWNSHIP.

0448 PM     HAIL             CREAM RIDGE             40.13N 74.52W
07/07/2011  M0.50 INCH       MONMOUTH           NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0455 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CLARKSBURG              40.19N 74.44W
07/07/2011                   MONMOUTH           NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND WITRES REPORTED DOWN.

0510 PM     TSTM WND DMG     JACKSON TWP             40.12N 74.35W
07/07/2011                   OCEAN              NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN.

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EAST FREEHOLD           40.27N 74.24W
07/07/2011                   MONMOUTH           NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN.

0551 PM     TSTM WND GST     PHILADELPHIA INTL AIRPO 39.86N 75.30W
07/07/2011  M47.00 MPH       DELAWARE           PA   ASOS

0600 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PAULSBORO               39.84N 75.24W
07/07/2011                   GLOUCESTER         NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN IN PAULSBORO.

&&

MEOLA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
648 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

NJZ017>019-022-027-072345-
ATLANTIC NJ-CAMDEN NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
648 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ATLANTIC...BURLINGTON...CAMDEN
AND GLOUCESTER COUNTIES...

AT 646 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES SOUTH OF CAMDEN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR SICKLERVILLE...MONROE TOWNSHIP AROUND
700 PM...CHESILHURST...ATCO AROUND 715 PM...HAMMONTON AROUND 730
PM...ATSION AND WHARTON STATE FOREST AROUND 745 PM.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

EXPECT SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
FROM THIS STORM.

EXPECT INTENSE LIGHTNING FROM THIS STORM. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER
TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM
APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3982 7452 3956 7454 3963 7513 3981 7512

NIERENBERG