Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2011
Small Craft Advisory 79, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Oct 18, 2011, 3:26 AM EDT. It took effect at Oct 19, 2011, 5:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 61 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 18, 2011, 3:26 AM EDT (07:26 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 19, 2011, 5:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 21, 2011, 6:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 61 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
029 WHUS71 KPHI 180726 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 326 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 ANZ450>455-182000- /O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.111019T0900Z-111020T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 326 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FEET. * TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT LEVELS LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS COULD GUST TO 30 KNOTS AT TIMES WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-182000- /O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.111019T0900Z-111019T1800Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 326 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS NEAR THE MOUTH OF BAY. * TIMING...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
12 follow-up statements
771 WHUS71 KPHI 181900 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 300 PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 ANZ450>455-190900- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.111019T0900Z-111020T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 300 PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FEET. * TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT LEVELS LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS COULD GUST TO 30 KNOTS AT TIMES WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-190900- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.111019T0900Z-111019T1800Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 300 PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... * WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS NEAR THE MOUTH OF BAY. * TIMING...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
256 WHUS71 KPHI 190722 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 322 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ANZ430-431-192000- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.111019T0900Z-111020T2200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 322 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT...BECOMING SOUTH TONIGHT...THEN SOUTHWEST THURSDAY. * SEAS...2 TO 5 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS AT THE MOUTH OF THE BAY. * TIMING...WINDS COULD FALL BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FOR A TIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450>455-192000- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.111019T0900Z-111020T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 322 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...BECOMING SOUTH TONIGHT AND SOUTHWEST THURSDAY. * SEAS...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
985 WHUS71 KPHI 191943 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 343 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ANZ450>455-201000- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 343 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-201000- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 343 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. * TIMING...WINDS COULD FALL BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FOR A TIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
594 WHUS71 KPHI 191946 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 346 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ANZ450>455-200800- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 346 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-200800- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 346 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. * TIMING...WINDS COULD FALL BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FOR A TIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
404 WHUS71 KPHI 192341 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 741 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ANZ450>455-200900- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 741 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 KT. * SEAS...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-200900- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 741 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. * TIMING...WINDS COULD FALL BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FOR A TIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
141 WHUS71 KPHI 200641 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 241 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ANZ431-450>455-201845- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0024.111020T0641Z-111020T2200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 241 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * SEAS...6 TO 11 FEET. HIGHEST SEAS IN THE OUTER REACHES OF THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. MEANWHILE...WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE FORECAST FOR THE LOWER PART OF DELAWARE BAY. * TIMING...A BURST OF SOUTHWEST WIND BETWEEN 35 AND 40 KNOTS IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS MORNING. THEREAFTER...SCATTERED GUSTS AROUND 35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS OF 34 TO 40 KNOTS WERE DEVELOPING AROUND 2 AM ALONG THE SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA COAST. * OUTLOOK...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT A PORTION OF THIS GALE WARNING WILL NEED AN EXTENSION INTO EARLY TONIGHT BEFORE A GENERAL DOWNGRADE TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LATE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-201845- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 241 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET. * TIMING...ANY TIME...BUT ESPECIALLY NEAR DAYBREAK TODAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF ISOLATED GUSTS AROUND 35 KNOTS THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ DRAG
880 WHUS71 KPHI 201031 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 631 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ANZ431-450>455-202200- /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-111020T2200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 631 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * SEAS...6 TO 11 FEET. * TIMING...A BURST OF SOUTHWEST WIND BETWEEN 34 AND 44 KNOTS HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE DELAWARE COAST. IT SHOULD SPREAD RAPIDLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST BUT NOT LAST MUCH LONGER THAN 2 OR 3 HOURS...AFTER IT BEGINS. HOWEVER...SCATTERED GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. * OUTLOOK...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT A PORTION OF THIS GALE WARNING MAY NEED AN EXTENSION INTO EARLY TONIGHT BEFORE A GENERAL DOWNGRADE TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LATE AT NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-202245- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 631 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET. * TIMING...ANY TIME...BUT ESPECIALLY NEAR DAYBREAK TODAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF ISOLATED GUSTS AROUND 35 KNOTS THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ DRAG
824 WHUS71 KPHI 201354 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 954 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ANZ431-450>455-202200- /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-111020T2200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 954 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 OR 40 KNOTS. * SEAS...8 TO 12 FEET ON THE OCEAN AND 3 TO 5 FEET ON LOWER DELAWARE BAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ430-210200- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 954 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 OR 30 KNOTS. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ IOVINO
753 WHUS71 KPHI 201956 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 356 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ANZ450>455-211100- /O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-111020T2200Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 356 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM FRIDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT. WEST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. * SEAS...5 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ431-211000- /O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-111020T2200Z/ /O.EXA.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 356 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM FRIDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT. WEST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. * SEAS...2 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ430-211000- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 356 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT. WEST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. * SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ IOVINO
008 WHUS71 KPHI 210724 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 324 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011 ANZ430-431-211500- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1500Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 324 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ450>455-211930- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 324 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. STRONGEST WIND EARLY TODAY. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. A STILL CONSIDERABLE SOUTHEAST SWELL HAS PREVENTED THE SEAS FROM SUBSIDING RAPIDLY. THIS PROCESS WHILE SLOW...SHOULD EVENTUALLY SEE ATLANTIC WATERS SEAS LOWER BELOW 5 FEET SOMETIME TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$
271 WHUS71 KPHI 211429 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1029 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011 ANZ431-212200- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T2200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 1029 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ450>455-212200- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 1029 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ430-211530- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T1500Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 1029 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WINDS...WEST AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. * SEAS...1 TO 2 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. && $$
958 WHUS71 KPHI 212203 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 603 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011 ANZ431-450>455-212315- /O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-111021T2200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 603 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... WINDS AND SEAS HAVE DROPPED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA. THERE WILL BE SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KTS INTO THE NIGHT, ESPECIALLY NORTHERN WATERS. $$ TFG
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 18, 3:13 AM EDT, 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 18, 3:13 AM EDT, 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
313 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHWARD
AS A WARM FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL THEN DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES LATER TODAY AND TRACK
NEAR OUR REGION ON WEDNESDAY. ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SHOULD CLEAR
THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN GRADUALLY BUILD
INTO OUR AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BEFORE SHIFTING OFF THE COAST DURING
SUNDAY. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO APPROACH ON MONDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS CONTINUES TO STREAM EAST AHEAD OF A
WEAK MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. AHEAD OF THE MAIN
AREA OF CLOUDINESS...LIGHT WINDS AND ESSENTIALLY CLEAR SKIES MAY
ALLOW PATCHY FOG TO FORM BEFORE THE CLOUDS ARRIVE. IF THIS
OCCURS...IT WILL BE HANDLED WITH STATEMENTS...AS NEEDED.
OTHERWISE...MAINLY HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
SHORT WAVE AS IT CROSSES NORTHERN AREAS LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME SHOWERS FALLING FROM A MID DECK
ACROSS OHIO AND INDIANA EARLY THIS MORNING...AND THE 0000 UTC GFS
SUGGESTS THAT THIS ACTIVITY SURVIVES TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN POCONOS
AND PERHAPS NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY
AFTERNOON.
GIVEN HOW DRY THE 0000 UTC SOUNDINGS WERE THIS FAR NORTH...THIS
SEEMS LIKE A LONG SHOT. FOR NOW...THE ACTIVITY WILL BE LEFT OUT OF
THE FORECAST DUE TO DRY LOW LEVELS. IF THE ACTIVITY CAN SURVIVE INTO
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA LATER THIS MORNING...IT CAN BE ADDED TO THE
FORECAST LATER THIS MORNING.
THE HIGHEST AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER SHOULD BE ACROSS THE NORTH...AND
THE LEAST ACROSS THE SOUTH. THE MOS BLEND WAS THE BEST TEMPERATURE
FORECAST MONDAY...AND THIS SEEMS LIKE IT SHOULD WORK AGAIN TODAY FOR
HIGHS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
THERE IS STILL SOME MODEL SPREAD ON THE DEVELOPMENT AND MOVEMENT OF
THE SURFACE LOW APPROACHING LATE TONIGHT (WITH THE 0000 UTC NAM
NOTABLY LAGGING AND DISCARDED BECAUSE IT). IT NOW APPEARS AS THOUGH
RAIN SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS LATE TONIGHT...AS THE BEST
LOW LEVEL INFLOW (BETWEEN 925 AND 700 MB) OCCURS BETWEEN 0900 UTC
AND 1200 UTC WEDNESDAY ACROSS ROUGHLY THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE
AREA.
IN FACT...THE SLANTWISE LIFT ALMOST LOOKS AS THOUGH IT COULD SUPPORT
ISOLATED THUNDER...AND THIS WILL BE RETAINED FROM THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST. THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAIN IN THE INITIAL SHOT OF
STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOULD BE ACROSS NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND
DELAWARE. RIGHT NOW...IT WOULD SEEM THAT HEAVY RAIN IN THIS AREA
WOULD NOT CAUSE MUCH IN THE WAY OF PROBLEMS (OTHER THAN NUISANCE
FLOODING) THROUGH 1200 UTC WEDNESDAY....SO NO FLOODING HEADLINES ARE
PLANNED.
FURTHER NORTH...THE PROGRESSION OF THE RAIN MAY BE SLOWED BY THE DRY
AIR IN PLACE AHEAD OF IT. HOWEVER...THE WARM AIR ADVECTION IS
STRONG...AND THE AIRMASS ORIGIN HAS PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN THE
COLUMN...SO RAIN IS LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN PART OF THE
AREA AS WELL BY 1200 UTC WEDNESDAY.
FOR THE MOST PART...A BLEND OF MOS NUMBERS WAS USED FOR LOWS.
HOWEVER...LOW TEMPERATURES COULD ACTUALLY OCCUR DURING THE MID TO
LATE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE THE MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS FILLS IN ENOUGH
TO PREVENT ADDITIONAL RADIATIONAL COOLING. THE HOURLY TEMPERATURE
TRACE WILL REFLECT THIS...AS WELL AS A RISE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS MOST
AREAS.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THIS TIME FRAME WILL START ON THE RATHER UNSETTLED SIDE AS A POTENT
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE EAST COAST AND A DEEPENING
SURFACE LOW LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH WILL REMAIN FOR THURSDAY WITH AN INTENSE SURFACE LOW TO OUR
NORTHWEST. THIS ALL WEAKENS WITH TIME FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS
RIDGING TO THE WEST SLIDES EASTWARD. THIS WILL DRIVE A SURFACE HIGH
EASTWARD FRIDAY BEFORE SETTLING OVER OUR AREA SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO APPROACH DURING MONDAY.
THE MAIN FOCUS WILL BE ON THE LARGE STORM THAT WILL BE CROSSING THE
AREA DURING WEDNESDAY. A RATHER IMPRESSIVE WAA AND THETA-E ADVECTION
REGIME IS FORECAST TO BE OCCURRING DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING AMIDST A
ROBUST WIND FIELD. THIS COMBINED WITH THE STRENGTHENING DYNAMICS
SHOULD BRING A SHOT OF RAIN, POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES, ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH ABOUT MIDDAY. WHILE THE LOCATION OF THE MAIN RAIN AXIS
IS STILL A BIT UNCERTAINTY, ALL AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO GET A PERIOD
OF RAIN, WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS PROBABLY FOCUSED CLOSER TO THE
COAST NEAR THE COASTAL FRONT AND TIGHTENING THERMAL BOUNDARY. AS THE
UPPER TROUGH CLOSES OFF TO OUR WEST THERE STILL MAY BE TWO DISTINCT
SURFACE LOWS, ONE NEAR THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND ANOTHER ONE NEAR
THE TRIPLE POINT. DESPITE THIS, ONE INTENSE SURFACE LOW SHOULD BE
THE RESULT WITH TIME LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY NEAR THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. THE TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS FLORIDA TODAY IS FORECAST
TO GET CAUGHT UP IN THE AMPLIFYING TROUGH, HOWEVER THERE IS LOW
CONFIDENCE IF THE WEAK SURFACE LOW THERE WILL GET ENTRAINED
NORTHWARD OR BE A SEPARATE ENTITY. THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE IS
WHERE THIS GOES AS SOME MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST THE STRONGEST LIFT IS
FOCUSED JUST OFFSHORE ALONG WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN. GIVEN THE
STRENGTH OF THE DYNAMICS AND THE AMOUNT OF WATER IN THE AIRMASS /PW
VALUES NEAR 2 INCHES BEING ADVECTED NORTHWARD/, THERE SHOULD BE AN
AXIS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES WHERE
THE STRONGEST WAA AND FRONTOGENETIC FORCING APPEARS TO BECOME
FOCUSED FOR A TIME. THIS MAY CHANGE HOWEVER DEPENDING ON THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW AND IF THERE IS A CONVECTIVE CONTRIBUTION
ADDED. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLANTWISE CONVECTION WITHIN THE
WAA/OVERRUNNING REGIME, THEREFORE WE WILL CARRY ISOLATED THUNDER
MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA TO START.
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP LOOKS TO ALLOW FOR A DRY SLOT TO
OVERSPREAD THE REGION IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE LOW APPEARS TO
BE FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE, WHICH WILL ALLOW THE RAIN TO TAPER OFF AND
TURN MORE CONVECTIVE. IF WE CAN GET SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS, THEN
THE INSTABILITY MAY END UP BEING A BIT HIGHER. THERE STILL WILL BE
SUFFICIENT WINDS ALOFT AND IF A NARROW CONVECTIVE BAND CAN FORM NEAR
THE COLD FRONT AND TAP INTO THIS WIND, THEN THERE COULD BE A LOCALLY
STRONG/DAMAGING WIND THREAT. WHILE THERE WILL BE INSTABILITY ALOFT,
SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY REMAINS MORE ON THE UNCERTAIN SIDE
ESPECIALLY WITH THE ACTUAL COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT CROSSING THE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WE JUST CONTINUED TO INCLUDE ISOLATED THUNDER INTO
THE EVENING HOURS AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. AS FOR WINDS, THE MODEL
GUIDANCE INDICATES A RATHER ROBUST LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD /ALTHOUGH
THE GFS 925 MB WINDS LOOK A BIT TO STRONG ACROSS NEW JERSEY/ AND THE
INITIAL ONSHORE FLOW SHOULD BE A BIT GUSTY ESPECIALLY THE FARTHER
EAST ONE GOES. THIS LOOKS TO BE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AS WE MAY
STRUGGLE TO MIX A LOT DOWN DUE TO THE STRONG WAA INDUCING A
PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVEL STABLE LAYER.
A CHANNELIZED AREA OF VORTICITY MAY ALLOW FOR SOME SHOWERS TO HANG
ON MAINLY ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWESTERN ZONES LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. NO
BIG CHANGES TO THURSDAY WEATHER-WISE AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY COUPLED
WITH DEEPER MOISTURE SHOULD DEVELOP SOME SPRINKLES OR A FEW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE CWA. WHILE THURSDAY WILL BE
WINDY WITH A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT, CAA AND BETTER VERTICAL
MIXING, THE WEAKENING OF THE PRESSURE RISE COUPLET AND THE LOW-LEVEL
FLOW BEING WEST/SOUTHWEST INSTEAD OF NORTHWEST SHOULD TEND TO LESSEN
THE MOMENTUM TRANSFER. THE MODEL GUIDANCE GENERALLY SHOWS 925 MB
WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THEREFORE, THE SURFACE
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS POINT WHICH IS BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA.
THE CONDITIONS THEN IMPROVE FRIDAY AS THE DEEP TROUGH LIFTS OUT AND
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES SOME. AN AREA OF RIDGING TO THE WEST
ALLOWS HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD TOWARD OUR AREA AND THIS WILL SETTLE
OVER OUR REGION SATURDAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY. THE
NEXT COLD FRONT IS THEN FORECAST TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST DURING
MONDAY, BUT IT LOOKS FAR ENOUGH AWAY TO GO WITH A DRY FORECAST ATTM.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, WE GENERALLY TOOK A MOS BLEND FOR WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY, THEN WENT MORE TOWARD CONTINUITY THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WERE RAISED BASED ON NEWER GUIDANCE AND
THE IDEA THAT THE FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT LOOKS MORE LIKE AN OCCLUSION
WITH A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. WE DID BLEND IN WITH CONTINUITY
A SMALL PERCENTAGE OF THE MOSGUIDE.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. LIGHT
WINDS AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES (AS THE BULK OF THE HIGH AND MID LEVEL
CLOUDS REMAIN TO THE WEST) MAY ALLOW PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP...AND
KACY AND POSSIBLY KMIV COULD SEE BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITIES.
OTHERWISE...MAINLY JUST HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS TODAY...WITT THE
BEST COVERAGE OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTH. THERE ARE SOME
LIGHT SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE
MIDWEST EARLY THIS MORNING. SOME OF THESE SHOWERS COULD MAKE IT TO
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
BUT SHOULD NOT BE ENOUGH TO RESULT IN MVFR CONDITIONS.
WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CRESTING OVER THE AREA TODAY...LIGHT NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS IN ALL AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 KNOTS.
WARM AIR SURGING NORTH OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW WILL RESULT IN A
GENERAL LOWERING OF CLOUDS TONIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH 0600 UTC WEDNESDAY. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES IN JUST
HOW FAST THE INVERSION WILL LOWER AND TRY TO TRAP LOWER LEVEL
MOISTURE. THE NEW TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR KACY AND KMIV WILL HAVE A
SCATTERED DECK AT 2000 FEET TO ACKNOWLEDGE THE POTENTIAL...BUT THE
THREAT FOR IFR CEILINGS PROBABLY WAITS UNTIL CLOSER TO 1200 UTC
WEDNESDAY.
OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY...A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH WITH
PERIODS OF RAIN SOME OF WHICH COULD BE HEAVY MAINLY THROUGH ABOUT
MIDDAY, THEN TAPERING TO SHOWERS. WE SHOULD BE SUB-VFR IN THE
MORNING WITH SOME IMPROVEMENTS IN THE AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE STRENGTH
OF THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD AHEAD OF THE STORM, THERE COULD BE
LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR FOR A TIME WEDNESDAY. THE EXACT DIRECTIONS WILL
DEPEND ON THE TRACK OF THE STORM ITSELF. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE, ALTHOUGH THIS LOOKS RATHER ISOLATED AT THIS POINT. THE
COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH AT NIGHT WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST. AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN, THE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT MAY
GUST A BIT.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...AN INTENSE STORM TO OUR NORTHWEST WILL CAUSE
GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ON THURSDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING SOME
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THERE SHOULD BE SOME WRAPAROUND
CLOUDINESS THURSDAY ESPECIALLY FOR THE MORE INLAND TERMINALS BUT
MAINLY VFR.
SATURDAY...VFR AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA WITH LESS
WIND.
&&
.MARINE...
THE BEST GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE
OHIO VALLEY HAS MOVED NORTHEAST OF THE WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING. AS
THE WEAK HIGH CRESTS OVER THE WATERS TODAY...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
VEER TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. IN ALL PLACES...
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 15 KNOTS. IN ADDITION...SEAS SHOULD REMAIN
3 FEET OR LESS.
THERE IS STILL A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD IN MODEL SOLUTION CONCERNING
THE SURFACE LOW THAT APPROACHES THE WATERS LATE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...
THERE ARE NOW ENOUGH SIMILARITIES IN THE PRESSURE FIELDS TO SUGGEST
THAT THE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
WATERS.
BASED ON THE CONSENSUS OF SHORT TERM MODELS...WINDS PROBABLY START
GUSTING TO 25 KNOTS ON THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY AND THE SOUTHERN
OCEAN WATERS PRIOR TO 1200 UTC. THIS INITIAL TIGHTENING THE GRADIENT
MAY NOT HAVE ENOUGH TIME TO KICK SEAS UP TO 5 FEET...THOUGH FOR THE
SOUTHERN OCEAN WATERS IT WILL BE CLOSE. BASED ON THE ABOVE...A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED STARTING AT 1000 UTC FOR THE
ABOVEMENTIONED AREAS.
A SOMEWHAT CHALLENGING FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE AREA. A LARGE TROUGH
AMPLIFYING TO OUR WEST WILL DEEPEN THE SURFACE LOW AS IT TRACKS
NORTHWARD AND ALSO INTENSIFY THE WIND FIELDS. THE LOW-LEVEL JET IS
FORECAST TO RAMP UP SIGNIFICANTLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THE FLOW
WILL BE ONSHORE INITIALLY /THE GFS 925 MB WIND FIELD LOOKS A BIT
OVERDONE ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO LAND/. THERE IS LOWER CONFIDENCE
REGARDING THE STRENGTH OF THE SURFACE WINDS AS THERE IS STRONG WAA
FORECAST TO OCCUR ACROSS THE WATERS. THIS TYPICALLY INDUCES A
PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVEL INVERSION WHICH PREVENTS THE STRONGER WINDS
ALOFT FROM MIXING DOWN. THEREFORE, WE WILL FAVOR SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WINDS AND NOT INDICATE GALES AT THIS POINT. THE ADVISORY
WILL RUN INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ON DELAWARE BAY AS THERE COULD BE
A LULL FOR AWHILE, THEN THROUGH 10Z THURSDAY ON THE OCEAN BUT THESE
WILL MORE THAN LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED. IF GALES WERE TO OCCUR,
IT APPEARS TO BE FOR A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME AND ACROSS
OUR NORTHERN ZONES. THERE COULD BE SOME THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
WHICH MAY BE ABLE TO LOCALLY TRANSPORT SOME STRONGER WINDS DOWN
BRIEFLY. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH LATER WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST.
THE CAA KICKS IN LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THE SURFACE
LOW REALLY DEEPENS TO OUR NORTHWEST. THE OVERALL WIND FIELD LOOKS TO
BE ABOUT 35 KNOTS AT 925 MB, AND THE GALE POTENTIAL MAY END UP BEING
MORE MARGINAL GIVEN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW MORE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. WE
WILL CARRY GUSTS JUST UP TO GALE FORCE FOR NOW AS THE POTENTIAL IS
STILL THERE. THE SURFACE LOW THEN TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY AND WEAKENS. THIS WILL ALLOW THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
TO RELAX AND WINDS MAY DROP BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA DURING FRIDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
CONDITIONS IMPROVING. FOR SEAS, WE GENERALLY FOLLOWED CLOSE TO
CONTINUITY.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
A SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK UP THE COAST LATE
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS IS EVIDENT BY THE PW VALUES INCREASING
TO ABOUT 2.0 INCHES ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. THE HEAVIEST AXIS OF RAIN /1 TO 2 INCHES ON AVERAGE/ LOOKS TO
BE MORE FOCUSED ACROSS OUR FAR EASTERN ZONES CLOSER TO THE WAA SURGE
AND COASTAL FRONT. THIS PLACEMENT COULD CHANGE, HOWEVER GIVEN THE
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS HAVE DRIED SOMEWHAT OF LATE, ALL THREE HOUR OR
LONGER HEADWATER AND FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS OVER TWO INCHES AND THE
SYSTEM LOOKS PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH, THE OVERALL THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD
FLOODING LOOKS TO BE ON THE LOWER SIDE ATTM. AS A RESULT, NO FLOOD
WATCH WILL BE ISSUED ATTM AND A MENTION OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LEFT
IN THE FORECAST AND IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WHILE WE ARE BETWEEN SPRING TIDE CYCLES, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH MAINLY THE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON HIGH
TIDE.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT THURSDAY
FOR ANZ450>455.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
ANZ430-431.
&&
SYNOPSIS...GIGI/GORSE
NEAR TERM...HAYES
SHORT TERM...HAYES
LONG TERM...GORSE
AVIATION...GORSE/HAYES
MARINE...GORSE/HAYES
HYDROLOGY...GORSE
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...GORSEHazardous weather outlook, Oct 18, 3:23 AM EDT, 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 323 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-190730- SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON- MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS- 323 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. FOR WEDNESDAY, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AS A STRENGTHENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL AND WOULD ENHANCE THE CHANCES FOR LOCALLY STRONG WINDS. FOR THURSDAY, WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS COULD GUST TO 40 MPH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ013-014-016>027-PAZ070-071- 190730- NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD- QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM- GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC- CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 323 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. FOR WEDNESDAY, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AS A STRENGTHENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL AND WOULD ENHANCE THE CHANCES FOR LOCALLY STRONG WINDS. ALSO, MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE. FOR THURSDAY, WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS COULD GUST TO 40 MPH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ450>455-190730- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 323 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. GALE FORCE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-431-190730- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 323 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. GALE FORCE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.