Gale Warning 13, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

102 
WHUS71 KPHI 280922
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
422 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

ANZ450>455-282100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0026.110228T0922Z-110228T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0013.110228T2300Z-110301T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
422 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHERLY TODAY 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
  KNOTS, THEN WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 KNOTS
  TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET, BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-282100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0026.110228T0922Z-110228T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0013.110228T2300Z-110301T1500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
422 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH TODAY 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30
  KNOTS, BECOMING WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
  35 KNOTS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

* SEAS...2 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GORSE

568 
WHUS71 KPHI 282034
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
334 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011

ANZ450>455-010900-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-110228T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0013.110228T2300Z-110301T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
334 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST BECOMING NORTH 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35
  KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 8 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS INCREASING EARLY THIS EVENING AND
  CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-010900-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-110228T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0013.110228T2300Z-110301T1100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
334 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST BECOMING NORTH 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
  35 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS INCREASING EARLY THIS EVENING AND
  CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED
THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR
TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

538 
WHUS71 KPHI 010836
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
336 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2011

ANZ450>455-011100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110301T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
336 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS SHOULD GUST TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME EARLY THIS
  MORNING THEN DIMINISH TO ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH ABOUT LATE
  MORNING. THE SEAS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY AT OR ABOVE 5 FEET FOR
  AWHILE TODAY BEFORE SUBSIDING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-011100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110301T1100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
336 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS SHOULD GUST TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME EARLY THIS
  MORNING BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GORSE

603 
WHUS71 KPHI 011041
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
541 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2011

ANZ450>455-011700-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110301T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0027.110301T1041Z-110301T1700Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
541 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KNOTS.

* SEAS...3 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...GUSTY WINDS THIS MORNING ALONG WITH ELEVATED SEAS, THEN
  SUBSIDING FROM ABOUT MIDDAY ON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-011700-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110301T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0027.110301T1041Z-110301T1700Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
541 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...GUSTY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL SUBSIDE FROM ABOUT NOON
  ON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GORSE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
309 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVE NORTH
OF THE AREA MONDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE
REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
BEHIND THE FRONT FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN MOVE
SOUTH OF THE REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR AREA WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK. WET WEATHER MAY RETURN NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
SKIES HAVE OPENED UP THIS AFTERNOON (WITH CLOUDS ON THE EDGES)...AND
THIS HAS ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO RISE INTO THE 40S AND 50S. THE
NOTABLE EXCEPTION IS KMPO. THIS MAY BECOME IMPORTANT LATER TONIGHT.

WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE...WOULD EXPECT THE INITIAL WARM AIR ADVECTION
AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE EJECTING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO GO INTO
CLOUD DEVELOPMENT AND MOISTENING THE COLUMN. THIS SHOULD ALSO SLOW
THE PROGRESS OF PRECIPITATION BY A COUPLE OF HOURS. IT STILL APPEARS
AS THOUGH THE INITIAL SHOT OF WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL RIDE UP OVER A
SURFACE WARM FRONT AND FOCUS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. SOUTH OF THIS...THE INITIAL SHOT OF WARM
AIR ADVECTION MAY PRODUCE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF RAIN LATE TONIGHT.

THE DRY AIR IN PLACE AND COLD TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY MAY SET THE STAGE FOR A PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES TEMPERATURES MAY HOVER
NEAR FREEZING LATE TONIGHT IN THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREAS. WITH THE
RAIN ARRIVING JUST A BIT MORE SLOWLY...IT WOULD APPEAR THAT ONLY
THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS RUN THE RISK OF ICING.

ANY ICING SHOULD BE LIGHT (PROBABLY LESS THAN 0.05 INCHES)...BUT ANY
ICE...ESPECIALLY TOWARD DAYBREAK...CAN BE A PROBLEM. BECAUSE OF
THIS...A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR CARBON...MONROE
AND SUSSEX COUNTY NJ FOR LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

ELSEWHERE...TEMPERATURES MAY GET A CHANCE TO DROP THIS EVENING
BEFORE CLOUD COVER COMES BACK. STILL...GIVEN HOW WARM TEMPERATURES
ARE NOW..IT WOULD APPEAR THAT THE SLIGHTLY WARMER NAM MOS
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE BETTER FOR LOWS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE MORE IMPRESSIVE BATCH OF WARM AIR ADVECTION RAIN ARRIVES DURING
MONDAY MORNING. ONCE AGAIN...THE FOCUS OF THE HEAVIER RAIN SHOULD BE
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. THE
BEST LIFT SHOULD EXIT BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
REGION.

FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST...THE STEADIER RAIN SHOULD END DURING THE
MORNING HOURS AS THE BEST WARM AIR ADVECTION ENDS. AFTER THIS...SKY
COVER WILL BECOME PROBLEMATIC. AS THE WARM FRONT PASSES...THERE
SHOULD BE SOME BREAKS IN THE LOW LEVELS CLOUDS...THOUGH MODELS TO
DIFFER ON HOW MUCH WILL OCCUR. THE BEST CHANCE OF MEANINGFUL
SUNSHINE SHOULD BE ACROSS NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN DELAWARE...AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THERE IN THE
MORNING AND THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD GET A CHANCE TO MIX OUT.

ACROSS SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHERN INTO CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...BREAKS ARE POSSIBLE BUT LESS LIKELY. IN THIS AREA...WHERE
MORE RAIN WILL FALL...THE LOW LEVELS MAY REMAIN NEARLY SATURATED
UNTIL JUST BEFORE THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS LEAVES LESS
POTENTIAL FOR WARMING. FURTHER NORTH...CLOUDS SHOULD REMAIN MUCH OF
THE DAY.

THE AMOUNT OF CLOUDINESS WILL ALSO DETERMINE HIGH TEMPERATURES. THE
NAM MOS IS MORE OPTIMISTIC WITH SKY COVER...AND IS SEVERAL DEGREES
WARMER FOR HIGHS MONDAY THAN THE CLOUDIER GFS MOS.
UNFORTUNATELY...THIS LEAVES THE POTENTIAL FOR A TEMPERATURE BUST
RATHER HIGH FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON...AND THIS WILL ALSO HAVE AN EFFECT
ON POTENTIAL INSTABILITY. FOR NOW...WILL SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE...
FAVORING THE WARMER NAM MOS SOUTH AND THE COOLER GFS MOS NORTH.

THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT NOW APPEARS TO BE LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY EVENING. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...IT APPEARS AS THOUGH THERE
COULD BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR BOUNDARY LAYER ROOTED CONVECTION TO
DEVELOP SOUTH AND WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA IN THE AFTERNOON.
MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT...AS WILL BE A FOCUS IN THE FORM OF THE
COLD FRONT.

THE LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE INSTABILITY. BASED ON THE ABOVE...THE
BEST INSTABILITY SHOULD LIE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
MARYLAND IN THE MID AFTERNOON...AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
DELAWARE AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. ASSUMING AT LEAST SOME INSTABILITY (WHICH DOES
NOT APPEAR UNREASONABLE WITH SOME SUNSHINE SOUTH)...THERE IS MORE
THAN ENOUGH SHEAR FOR A BROKEN LINE OF LOW TOPPED FORCE CONVECTION
TO DEVELOP AND SWEEP EAST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

WITH THIS CONVECTIVE MODE...STRONG TO LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WOULD
BE THE GREATEST THREAT. THIS WILL BE ADDED TO THE SOUTHERN ZONES...
WHERE THE OCCURRENCE IS MOST LIKELY. THE OTHER THREAT WITH THE
CONVECTION IS QPF. IT CAN BE DIFFICULT TO ASSESS HOW THE CONVECTIVE
RAIN WILL FACTOR INTO THE FLOOD THREAT. MORE ON THIS IS INCLUDED IN
THE HYDROLOGY SECTION BELOW.

THE FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE MONDAY EVENING. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION COULD
SWEEP IN QUICKLY ENOUGH MONDAY EVENING TO CHANGE THE RAIN SHOWERS TO
SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN POCONOS...AND POSSIBLY NORTHWEST
NEW JERSEY. ELSEWHERE...THE SHOWERS MAY TAKE A FEW HOURS TO END FROM
WEST TO EAST AS THE FRONT ACTS AS A FOCUS.

THE BIGGEST IMPACT OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE (AFTER THE CONVECTIVE AND
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING) WILL BE THE SYNOPTIC WINDS IN ITS WAKE.
BEHIND THE FRONT...THE SURFACE GRADIENT TIGHTENS ENOUGH FOR BREEZY
TO WINDY CONDITIONS FOR ABOUT 4 TO 8 HOURS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW 40
TO 50 KNOTS OF WIND AT THE TOP OF THE LOWERING INVERSION BEHIND THE
FRONT.

THIS SHOULD TRANSLATE TO 36 TO 41 KNOT GUST POTENTIAL (WITH THE BEST
POTENTIAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE FRONT DO
NOT APPEAR TO BE AS ROBUST AS THOSE OF FRIDAY...AND AT THIS POINT IT
WOULD APPEAR AS THOUGH WINDS WILL REACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA.
SINCE THIS IS A 3RD PERIOD EVENT...WILL HOLD OFF ON WIND ADVISORY
HEADLINES FOR NOW.

WINDS MAY BE GUSTY FOR A TIME TUESDAY MORNING AS THE GRADIENT WINDS
DOWN AND THE MIXING DROPS OFF. AFTER THIS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING EAST SHOULD RESULT IN DRY WEATHER WITH NEAR SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES. AFTER A DRY AND COLD TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON LOOKS TO BE MAINLY DRY. WINDS AHEAD
OF THE FRONT COULD BECOME GUSTS...AS 925 MB WINDS INCREASE TO 35
KNOTS. WEDNESDAY WILL BE WARMER AS THE AIRMASS WARMS AHEAD OF THE
APPROACH MID LEVEL SURFACE TROUGH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE COLD FRONT THAT CROSSES OUR AREA LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WILL MOVE RAPIDLY OFF TO THE EAST. THIS WILL
ALLOW A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO PUSH DOWN FROM THE
NORTH AND DOMINATE OUR WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY. COLDER AIR WILL
BEGIN TO FILTER INTO OUR REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER TEENS NORTH TO THE LOWER 30S SOUTHERN
COASTAL SECTIONS. WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, THURSDAYS HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL
BE OVER OUR REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL MEAN ANOTHER FAIR
WEATHER NIGHT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
BY FRIDAY, THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO BE CENTERED JUST OFF THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST. THAT WILL MEAN AN ONSHORE FLOW FOR OUR AREA
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 40S. THE HIGH WILL MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES IN
FROM THE MIDWEST. THIS WILL MEAN AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS
BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT ITSELF IS FORECAST TO REACH
THE AREA SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT, SO THAT WILL BE THE TIME PERIOD
WHEN PRECIPITATION WILL BE MOST LIKELY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE
OVER THE WEEKEND ALSO, WITH HIGHS BOTH DAYS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS OVER EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY WERE THINNING OUT FROM SOUTH TO NORTH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...THE UPCOMING SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENT LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH RESIDUAL WINDS THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT...IS THE MAIN STORY IN THE AVIATION DEPARTMENT.

DETERIORATING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT WITH CEILINGS LOWERING
TO MARGINAL VFR AROUND AND AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND THEN LOWERING
FURTHER TO IFR IN DEVELOPING RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD. AS THE RESPONSIBLE WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE AREA MID MONDAY MORNING...RAIN IS FORECAST TO TAPER TO
SHOWERS ALTHOUGH CEILINGS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE IFR THROUGH THE
MORNING. AS WINDS SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AND BECOME SOMEWHAT GUSTY IN
THE WARM SECTOR...SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT TO LOW MARGINAL VFR WAS
FORECAST FOR THE 30 HOUR KPHL TAF AND THE SOUTHERN TAF SITES...WHERE
A MENTION OF CONVECTION WAS PLACED AS A NOD TO AFTERNOON INSTABILITY.

SOUTHERLY THEN SOUTHWEST WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE MONDAY MORNING
WILL BE QUITE STRONG...45 TO PERHAPS 55 KNOTS...SO LOW LEVEL WIND
SHEAR WAS ADDED FOR MONDAY MORNING.

OUTLOOK...
MARGINAL VFR TO LOCALLY IFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL MONDAY AFTERNOON
WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS...AS WELL AS A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY SOUTH. THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE
EASTWARD THROUGH THE TAF SITES LATER IN THE AFTERNOON FOR KRDG TO
AROUND DARK FOR KACY. WITH MORE EFFICIENT MIXING OF THE STRONG WINDS
ALOFT DOWN TO THE SURFACE AS WINDS VEER TO WEST AND NORTHWEST...
WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
MONDAY EVENING GUSTING WELL INTO THE 30 KNOT RANGE...THEN TAPER DOWN
TUESDAY MORNING. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER OUR AREA WILL MOVE OFFSHORE EARLY TONIGHT.
LOW PRESSURE PASSING WEST AND NORTH OF THE COASTAL WATERS MONDAY
WILL BRING A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY MORNING...AND THEN
A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA VERY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
MONDAY EVENING.

WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS EARLY MONDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY AS SEAS ON THE OCEAN BUILD
TO 5 FEET IN THE SOUTHEAST FLOW. WAVEWATCH LOOKS GOOD IN THIS
RESPECT. A LOW LEVEL JET WILL SET UP AND BRING STRONG WINDS JUST OFF
THE SURFACE MONDAY. STABILITY CONSIDERATIONS WILL KEEP THE LOWEST
LEVELS OF THE MARINE ATMOSPHERE STRATIFIED...MEANING THAT THESE 50
TO 60 KNOT WINDS VERY LIKELY WILL BE UNABLE TO PENETRATE TO THE
SURFACE ESPECIALLY AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT IN THE MORNING...OR EVEN
IN THE INCREASED WARM SECTOR SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW DURING THE
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES BY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO EAST...THESE ABOVE-SURFACE WINDS SHOULD BE
ABLE TO MORE EFFICIENTLY MIX TO THE SURFACE. THE STRONGEST WINDS
ALOFT SHOULD BE DIMINISHING SOMEWHAT...BUT 40 TO 50 KNOT WINDS AT
925 HPA SHOULD BE ABLE TO TRANSLATE INTO GALE WARNING LEVEL GUSTS AT
THE SURFACE FOR MONDAY EVENING AND MONDAY NIGHT...EVEN INCLUDING
DELAWARE BAY. THESE ENHANCED GUSTS APPEAR TO LINGER INTO TUESDAY
MORNING...BUT ARE FORECAST TO LESSEN BY MIDDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

THE NET RESULT IS THAT THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE CONTINUED
MONDAY FOR ALL MARINE ZONES. BUT...A GALE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED
WITH THIS PACKAGE STARTING AT 23Z MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
DOUBLE HEADLINE...BUT IT WILL NOT BE A RAMPING UP WITHIN THE SAME
FORECAST PERIOD (MONDAY). THE GALE WARNING WILL PERSIST THROUGH 15Z
TUESDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE TUESDAY NIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO A DRY COLD FRONT DURING
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE A FEW GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS BEHIND
THIS FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT LOW CONFIDENCE EXISTS ON THAT.
LARGE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ALONG THE EAST COAST THURSDAY AND
PERSIST FRIDAY...BUT MOVE AWAY SATURDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MAY MOVE
IN FOR SUNDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
NEW JERSEY. WITH THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE...MORRIS COUNTY NJ WILL BE
ADDED TO THE WATCH. DETAILS ARE CONTAINED BELOW.

THE 1200 UTC MODEL SUITE DID NOT OFFER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE
SEQUENCE OF EVENTS FOR THE UPCOMING RAIN EVENT. THE TIMING OF THE
FIRST BATCH OF RAIN MAY BE SLOWED A BIT LATER TONIGHT...BUT THE
OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION SHOULD OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE REGION BY
1200 UTC MONDAY.

THE FOCUS FOR THE STRONG LIFT IN THE WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOULD BE
ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SECTIONS...WITH THE SURFACE WARM FRONT
ACTING AS A FOCUS. THE INITIAL BATCH OF RAIN SHOULD PRODUCE
RELATIVELY LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH 1200 UTC MONDAY.

THE SECOND BATCH OF WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD
EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF NEW JERSEY DURING THE
MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS IS WHEN THE BULK OF THE WARM
AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
DURING THIS SLUG MAY BE ENOUGH TO START SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS
TOWARD BANKFULL. PRECIPITATION WATER VALUES REACH NEAR 1.25
INCHES...AND THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A STRIPE OF 1+ INCHES RAINS
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS AS THOUGH THE MAINSTEM RIVERS WILL NOT GO
INTO FLOOD...BUT SMALLER RIVERS AND CREEKS COULD BE THE MAIN
PROBLEM. RIVER CONTINGENCY FORECASTS BASED ON THE SREF AND GEFS
SUGGEST THAT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MINOR FLOODING ON SEVERAL
LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREAS.

RFC FORECASTS PLACES SMALLER RIVERS AND CREEKS IN SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA AND IN THE RARITAN BASIN OVER CAUTION AND UNDER FLOOD
STAGE. SINCE A FEW OF THESE SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAM ARE IN MORRIS
COUNTY NJ...THIS COUNTY WILL BE ADDED TO THE FLOOD WATCH WITH THE
AFTERNOON PACKAGE. IN ADDITION...SINCE THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN LOOKS
TO FALL ACROSS EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...BERKS AND LEHIGH COUNTIES
HAVE BEEN ADDED TO THE WATCH AS WELL.

THE FINAL CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION LATER MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY EVENING. PRECIPITABLE WATERS PEAK NEAR 1.40
INCHES JUST AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT (WHICH IS THE 99TH
PERCENTILE FOR THE TIME OF YEAR). WITH THE COLD FRONT AS A
FOCUS...CONVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP AND AFFECT THE ABOVEMENTIONED
AREAS. IT IS TOUGH TO GAUGE THE EXTENT OF THE CONTRIBUTION OF THE
HEAVY RAIN FROM FAST MOVING CONVECTION AT THIS POINT.

RIGHT NOW...IT WOULD APPEAR AS THOUGH THE 1200 UTC GFS IS OVERDONE
ON THE AMOUNT OF QPF FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
SOUTHERN AREAS...SO IT WILL NOT BE INCLUDED IN THE FLOODING
POTENTIAL.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT
     FOR PAZ060-061-067>071.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY FOR PAZ054-
     055.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
     PAZ054-055.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT
     FOR NJZ008>010-015.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY FOR NJZ001.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
     NJZ001.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR ANZ430-
     431-450>455.
     GALE WARNING FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY FOR ANZ430-
     431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HAYES
NEAR TERM...HAYES
SHORT TERM...HAYES
LONG TERM...RPW
AVIATION...
MARINE...
HYDROLOGY...HAYES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
504 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

NJZ001-008-PAZ054-055-281000-
SUSSEX-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-
504 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A TRANSIENT PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ009-010-015-PAZ067>071-281000-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
504 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

ALSO, THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ007-012>014-016>027-PAZ060>062-
281000-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WARREN-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-
504 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
ALSO IS POSSIBLE ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-450>455-281000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
504 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

ALSO, THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.