Areal Flood Warning 96, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

572 
WGUS81 KPHI 240936
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
536 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

PAC091-240942-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.W.0096.000000T0000Z-110924T1530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONTGOMERY PA-
536 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL
STREAMS IN MONTGOMERY COUNTY...

THIS WARNING WAS CANCELLED AT 526 AM EDT. 

LAT...LON 3991 7599 4003 7595 4011 7595 4024 7571
      4026 7566 4023 7561 4020 7559 4020 7556
      4015 7553 4015 7551 4013 7551 4008 7539
      4007 7540 4008 7539 3990 7564 3975 7591
      3973 7594 3973 7611

$$

PAC029-241530-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0096.000000T0000Z-110924T1530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHESTER PA-
536 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM EDT FOR URBAN
AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN CHESTER COUNTY...

* AT 528 AM EDT...FLOODING CONTINUED ALONG FRENCH CREEK NEAR   
PHOENIXVILLE. 

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES 
SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3991 7599 4003 7595 4011 7595 4024 7571
      4026 7566 4023 7561 4020 7559 4020 7556
      4015 7553 4015 7551 4013 7551 4008 7539
      4007 7540 4008 7539 3990 7564 3975 7591
      3973 7594 3973 7611

$$

MPD

312 
WGUS81 KPHI 241408
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1008 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

PAC029-241417-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.W.0096.000000T0000Z-110924T1530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHESTER PA-
1008 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL
STREAMS IN CHESTER COUNTY...

LAT...LON 3991 7599 4003 7595 4011 7595 4024 7571
      4026 7566 4023 7561 4020 7559 4020 7556
      4015 7553 4015 7551 4013 7551 4008 7539
      4007 7540 4008 7539 3990 7564 3975 7591
      3973 7594 3973 7611

$$

HEAVENER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
405 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN WILL
MEANDER IN PLACE INTO THE MIDWEEK PERIOD. THE FLOW AROUND THIS LOW
WILL RESULT IN WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH PERIODS OF UNSETTLED
WEATHER FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE CONTINUATION OF THE UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CHARACTERIZE THE
WEATHER ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION TODAY. THE UPPER LOW
REMAINS NEAR ILLINOIS AND IT WILL MOVE LITTLE TODAY. A FEW UPPER
VORT MAXES THAT WERE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE RAINFALL FRI AND FRI
EVENING HAVE MOVED WELL NORTHEAST. A WEAK FRONT LINGERING ACROSS
THE AREA MAY SERVE AS A PATHWAY FOR MORE WEAK DISTURBANCES TODAY.
THERE ARE FEW IF ANY DISTURBANCES ALOFT TO TRIGGER ORGANIZED
SHOWERS TODAY. THE GFS/ECMWF MODELS WAS FOLLOWED FOR THE MOST
PART WITH SLGT CHC OR LOW CHC POPS ACROSS THE REGION. OVERALL QPF
TOTALS WILL BE LIGHT...LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. SKIES WILL
REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. MAV TEMPS USED FOR
THE MOST PART.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/...
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL REMAIN THE SAME. THE UPPER LOW WILL
DEEPEN SLIGHTLY AND WOBBLE A BIT WESTWARD. A DEEP SRLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW UPPER DISTURBANCES WILL
APPROACH OVERNIGHT WITH POPS INCREASING INTO THE CHC RANGE
OVERNIGHT. THE QPF LOOKS MOSTLY TO STAY ACROSS NJ OR OFFSHORE...SO
THE ADDITIONAL RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO POSE ANY FLOODING THREATS
ATTM. THE MORE STEADY RAINS WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY. ONCE AGAIN THE MAV
MOS TEMPS LOOKED OKAY AND WERE FOLLOWED. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
AS THERE IS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SOME ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE VORTEX TO OUR WEST SEEMS TO BE
PROGGED FOR SUNDAY, AND A SURFACE REFLECTION SHOULD MOVE UP THE
REMNANTS OF THE WEAKENING SURFACE COLD FRONT. THAT FRONT WAS TO OUR
WEST EARLY THIS MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO STALL SOMEWHERE NEAR THE
COAST. PRESENT GUIDANCE THEREFORE SUGGESTS THE SUNDAY SYSTEM'S
GREATEST IMPACT WILL BE NEAR THE COAST. WINDS ARE NOT A CONCERN, BUT
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS. THE AREA WITH HIGHEST POPS AND GREATEST QPF
THIS FORECAST HAPPENS TO BE THE AREA THAT RECEIVED THE LEAST AMOUNT
OF RAINFALL FROM YESTERDAY'S SYSTEM.

AFTER THAT, MORE ENERGY AROUND THE VORTEX MAY BRING ANOTHER FRONTAL
SYSTEM TOWARD US SOMETIME IN THE MONDAY NIGHT TO TUESDAY NIGHT TIME
FRAME. IT BECOMES MORE DIFFICULT TO TARGET SPECIFIC TRIGGERS OF RAIN
BEYOND THAT, BUT UNTIL THE VORTEX OPENS UP AND LIFTS BY TO OUR EAST,
WE WILL BE WARM AND HUMID AND PRIMED FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT TRIGGER THAT
COMES OUR WAY.

RIGHT NOW, WE ARE SOMEWHAT OPTIMISTICALLY CALLING FOR DRYING TO
BEGIN AROUND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. UNTIL THEN, TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL, ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

THE DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA HAS RESULTED IN MOSTLY MVFR/IFR
CIGS AND VSBYS OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO VARY WIDELY BY
LOCATION AND TIME...WITH SOME DZ AFFECTING THE AREA TOO.

CONDITIONS WILL PROBABLY IMPROVE SLOWLY THIS MORNING...POSSIBLY
BACK TO VFR FOR AWHILE...BUT BKN-OVC SKY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
FOR THE MOST PART. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VEER INTO A NE OR E
DIRECTION BY LATE IN THE DAY.

LOWER CIGS/VSBYS EXPECTED AGAIN SAT NIGHT WITH MORE SHOWERS/FOG
ARRIVING FROM ANOTHER DISTURBANCE FROM THE SOUTH BY SUN MORNING.

OUTLOOK...
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE UPPER LOW
CONTINUING TO CIRCULATE MOISTURE AND ENERGY THROUGH THE AREA.
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE QUITE POSSIBLE IN PERIODS OF RAIN AND ALSO
AROUND DAYBREAK. AN IMPROVEMENT TO CONSISTENT VFR CONDITIONS
HOPEFULLY WILL ARRIVE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
FAIRLY STEADY CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS WITH MOSTLY SRLY OR SWRLY
WINDS AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS AND SEAS 3 TO 4 FT ON THE OCEAN. WINDS WILL
BECOME SERLY BY LATER TODAY. THE SEAS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE TO
AROUND 5 FT BY LATE MORNING AND REMAIN THAT WAY INTO TONIGHT. A
SCA FLAG WILL BE RAISED TODAY AND CONTINUE TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE
ADVISORY CRITERION, BUT THE EXTENDED SOUTHERLY FETCH LIKELY WILL
CAUSE SEAS TO HANG AROUND THE ADVISORY CRITERION FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD WATCH WAS DROPPED OVERNIGHT. A FEW FLOOD WARNINGS
CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING WITH RIVERS RUNNING HIGH FROM LAST
EVENINGS RAIN. SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY INTO
SUNDAY SO NO ADDITIONAL WATCHES WERE CONSIDERED. ANY RAINS LATE
TONIGHT OR SUNDAY WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN OFFSHORE OR ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE DE/NJ COASTAL AREAS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RERMPO ISSUED - THE 3.06 INCHES ON FRIDAY WAS A NEW DAILY RECORD
FOR THE 23RD.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 11 AM THIS
     MORNING TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...O'HARA
NEAR TERM...O'HARA
SHORT TERM...O'HARA
LONG TERM...DELISI
AVIATION...DELISI/O'HARA
MARINE...DELISI/O'HARA
HYDROLOGY...O'HARA
CLIMATE...O'HARA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
401 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-250900-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
401 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>455-250900-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
401 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS
MORNING TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-250900-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
401 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.