Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011

Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS New York, NY

April 28, 2011Orange County, Rockland County, New York; Bergen County, Passaic County, New Jersey

NWS New York, NY issued this flash flood warning at Apr 28, 2011, 11:42 AM EDT for Orange County, Rockland County, New York; Bergen County, Passaic County, New Jersey. It was in force for 2 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Apr 28, 2011, 11:42 AM EDT (15:42 UTC)
Expired
Apr 28, 2011, 1:45 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Bergen County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Orange County, NY, Rockland County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Apr 28, 12:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOODWest Mahwah, NJINTERSECTION OF RAMAPO VALLEY ROAD AND NORTH RAMAPO AVENUE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. INTERSECTION WAS BARRICADED.
Apr 28, 12:40 PM EDTFLASH FLOODStony Point, NYINTERSECTION OF THIELLS ROAD AND WILLOW GROVE ROAD COMPLETELY FLOODED AND CLOSED

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 48 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-04-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 211 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-04-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 346 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
211 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-85 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
513 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
346 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
324 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

150 
WGUS51 KOKX 281542
FFWOKX
NJC003-031-NYC071-087-281745-
/O.NEW.KOKX.FF.W.0001.110428T1542Z-110428T1745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1142 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  PASSAIC COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...
  ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
  SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
  NORTHWESTERN BERGEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 145 PM EDT...

* AT 1134 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SEVERE   
  THUNDERSTORMS STARTING TO MOVE INTO THE WARNED AREA. THESE STORM 
  WILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL THAT WITH QUICKLY LEAD TO FLASH 
  FLOODING. RAINFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR WILL OCCUR WITH 
  THESE STORMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7438 4121 7441 4137 7432 4131 7397
      4129 7395 4124 7397 4117 7391 4088 7425
      4089 7428 4092 7429 4097 7428 4099 7431
      4101 7443 4104 7444 4102 7448 4103 7450
      4108 7451

$$

JST
2 follow-up statements
046 
WGUS71 KOKX 281646
FFSOKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1246 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NJC003-031-NYC071-087-281745-
/O.CON.KOKX.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110428T1745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BERGEN NJ-ORANGE NY-ROCKLAND NY-PASSAIC NJ-
1246 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM EDT FOR
PASSAIC...ROCKLAND...SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE AND NORTHWESTERN BERGEN
COUNTIES...

AT 1245 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE WARNED AREA 
FROM WEST CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED 
ALONG THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY BETWEEN EXITS 14 AND 16 AND I-287 
SOUTH TO I-80 WITH 1/2 TO 3/4 OF AN INCH SO FAR. WITH MORE RAIN 
MOVING IN...FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN DEPTH AND AREA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY
AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7438 4121 7441 4137 7432 4131 7397
      4129 7395 4124 7397 4117 7391 4088 7425
      4089 7428 4092 7429 4097 7428 4099 7431
      4101 7443 4104 7444 4102 7448 4103 7450
      4108 7451

$$

JST
455 
WGUS71 KOKX 281744
FFSOKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
144 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NJC003-031-NYC071-087-281745-
/O.CON.KOKX.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110428T1745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BERGEN NJ-ORANGE NY-ROCKLAND NY-PASSAIC NJ-
144 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 145 PM EDT FOR 
PASSAIC...ROCKLAND...SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE AND NORTHWESTERN BERGEN 
COUNTIES...

AT 140 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THE 
HEAVY RAIN HAD MOVED EAST OF THE AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL 
OCCURRED ALONG THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY BETWEEN EXITS 14 AND 16 
AND I-287 SOUTH TO I-80 WHERE UP TO AN INCH FELL. ROAD CLOSURES HAVE 
BEEN REPORTED IN FAR NORTHWESTERN WESTERN BERGEN COUNTY. 

NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY
AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7438 4121 7441 4137 7432 4131 7397
      4129 7395 4124 7397 4117 7391 4088 7425
      4089 7428 4092 7429 4097 7428 4099 7431
      4101 7443 4104 7444 4102 7448 4103 7450
      4108 7451

$$

JST

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Apr 28, 11:04 AM EDT, 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 28, 11:04 AM EDT, 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1104 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ACCOMPANYING
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH ON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH
OF THE REGION ON MONDAY...THEN A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH
FROM THE WEST FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH 253 IN EFFECT UNTIL 20Z FOR ALL OF THE
SOUTHERN HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NJ...EAST THROUGH SOUTHWEST
CT AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND.

TWO SMALL LINE SEGMENTS HAVE ALREADY QUICKLY MOVED THROUGH NYC AND
SOUTHERN CT...WEAKENING AS THEY ENCOUNTERED THE STABLE MARINE
LAYER. MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA CURRENTLY DRY WHILE A LARGE LINE
OF CONVECTION ADVANCES FROM THE WEST. NUMEROUS SEVERE TS WARNINGS
ALREADY ALONG THIS LINE...AS EMBEDDED BOW ECHOES/QLCS-LIKE
FEATURES RACE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THESE STORMS ARE CURRENTLY
ENTERING ORANGE COUNTY...AND SHOULD SPREAD INTO THE NORTHEAST NJ
AND NYC OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MLCAPE IS MODEST AT ABOUT 500
J/KJ OVER NORTHEAST NJ...BUT 0-6KM SHEAR IS INCREASING TO 60-70
KT. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...ENHANCED BY 60KT
LOW-LEVEL JET WINDS POSSIBLY MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE IN
CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH
0-1KM SRH VALUES RANGING FROM 400-500 M2/S2...AND LCLS AROUND 1KM.

MAIN QUESTION WITH THE FORECAST IS WHETHER THESE STORMS CAN MAINTAIN
THEIR SEVERITY AS THEY REACH THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA. STABLE
MARINE LAYER WILL STILL BE IN PLACE...SO STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME
ELEVATED.

PW INCREASES TO OVER 1.5 INCHES AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS ORIENTS
ITSELF OVER THE FORECAST AREA. STORMS COULD PRODUCE VERY HEAVY
RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING...SO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NYC
METRO...NORTHEAST NJ AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY CONTINUES.

HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH 2 AM AS A RESULT OF A STRONG
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND SOUTHERLY SWELL. SURF HEIGHTS OF 6-9 FT AT THE
OCEAN BEACHES WILL RESULT IN WASHOVERS AND MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH
EROSION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH...FOLLOWED BY CLEARING SKIES. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND SFC
REFLECTION PASSING THROUGH ON FRI MAY TRIGGER SOME INSTABILITY
SHOWERS ACROSS THE INTERIOR. THIS TROUGH MAY CAUSE WINDS TO BECOME
A BIT GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES THROUGH...WHICH MAY
ALLOW FOR BETTER MIXING AND LOWERING OF DEWPTS. THIS IN TURN MAY
ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE A BIT HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT EARLY IN THIS
PERIOD...BUT DEVIATE BEYOND THIS WEEKEND AS THE LONG WAVE UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN FURTHER AMPLIFIES WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE IN THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC WHICH SLOWS THE EXIT
OF LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES..WHILE ANOTHER LONG
WAVE TROUGH DIGS AS IT ENTERS THE WESTERN STATES. SO...TIMING OF
SURFACE FEATURES WILL NOT BE VERY GOOD BEYOND SUNDAY...BUT COULD
ALSO MEAN DRY WEATHER MAY HANG IN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY...WITH AMPLIFIED LONG WAVE UPPER PATTERN IN
PLACE...SURFACE FEATURES WILL TEND TO SLOW DOWN. SO...EXPECT A
RATHER NICE WEEKEND FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION. HIGH PRES WILL
BUILD OFFSHORE S OF LONG ISLAND DURING THE WEEKEND...WHICH MEANS
RATHER PLEASANT AND DRY WEATHER. EXPECT HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S...BUT COOLER ALONG THE COAST WITH SEA BREEZES KICKING UP.

MODELS START TO DIVERGE LATER SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT TIMING THE
APPROACH OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM FROM THE LAKES AND MIDWEST. NOTING
THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN...FEEL THAT THE GFS IS MOVING
THIS NEXT FEATURE TOO FAST. THE GGEM AND ECMWF APPEAR TO BE
HANDLING THIS A BIT BETTER...SO WENT ALONG WITH A BLEND OF THEIR
SOLUTIONS TO KEEP DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH SUNDAY. MAY START TO SEE
CLOUDS APPROACHING SE NY/N NJ SUNDAY NIGHT AS WARM FRONT APPROACHES.

MONDAY...CONFIDENCE FOR THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST DECREASES
DURING THIS TIME FRAME WITH A VARIETY OF SOLUTIONS FOR THE TIMING
OF THE APPROACHING FRONT. FOR NOW...KEPT MAINLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
FOR MOST AREAS...WITH ONLY A LOW CHANCE MOVING INTO WESTERN AREAS.
HOWEVER...IF THE 12Z OP ECMWF MODEL IS RIGHT...MAY STILL BE TOO
FAST WITH THE ONSET OF PRECIP. HAVE PRECIP MOVING INTO MOST AREAS
DURING MONDAY NIGHT.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...CURRENT TIMING SUGGESTS THE FRONT ONLY SLOWLY
CREEPING ACROSS THE REGION WHILE WEAK WAVES OF LOW PRES MOVE ALONG
IT. SO...FOR NOW...EXPECT MAINLY CLOUDY AND COOL CONDITIONS WITH
CHANCE SHOWERS. DID NOT MENTION THUNDER AT THIS POINT...BUT COULD
HEAR A RUMBLE OR TWO WITH WEAK LOWS ON THE FRONT ENHANCING ANY
LIFT.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
LINE OF CONVECTION OVER EASTERN PA/WESTERN NJ AND EXTENDING DOWN
THE APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE DELMARVA AREA CONTINUES TO TRACK
NORTHEAST. TAFS LOOK GOOD BRINGING CONVECTION INTO THE WESTERN
TERMINALS AFTER 15Z...AND TAFS WILL BE UPDATED TO INCLUDE TSRA AS
THESE STORMS APPROACH.

WIDESPREAD MARINE LAYER WITH SUB-IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS LONG
ISLAND...COASTAL CT...AND RIGHT ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF
NYC...IMPACTING KJFK.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ISSUED THROUGH 4 PM EDT FOR TERMINALS
WEST OF A LINE FROM FAIRFIELD COUNTY TO NASSAU COUNTY. PRIMARY
THREAT IS DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY AS WELL.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS
INTO THE 20S. HIGHER GUSTS...POSSIBLY UP TO 30 KT CAN BE EXPECTED
AT KJFK AND KISP.

THE COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION BETWEEN 23Z-04Z WITH IMPROVEMENT
TO VFR.

     ...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED FOR TIMING OF CONVECTION
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED FOR TIMING OF CONVECTION
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. VLIFR CONDITIONS IN FOG/STRATUS.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED FOR TIMING OF CONVECTION
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED FOR TIMING OF CONVECTION
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED FOR TIMING OF CONVECTION
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED FOR TIMING OF CONVECTION
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. VLIFR CONDITIONS IN FOG/STRATUS.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

FRIDAY...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR VFR. W-NW WINDS MAY BECOME
GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR VFR. W-NW FLOW
COULD BE GUSTY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

MONDAY...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VFR. CLOUDS INCREASE FROM W-E
DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW CONFIDENCE FOR MVFR CIGS/VSBYS IN SCT
SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR ALL WATERS EXCEPT NY HARBOR HAS BEEN EXTENDED
INTO THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH DEWPOINTS HIGHER THAN SEA
SURFACE TEMPS WILL SERVE TO AT LEAST HOLD IN LOW CLOUDS...BUT ALSO
PROBABLY KEEPS VSBY AT 1NM OR LESS FOR A LARGE ENOUGH AREA TO
WARRANT THE ADVISORY.

SCA CONTINUES ON ALL WATERS FOR TODAY AND HAVE EXTENDED IT ON THE
OCEAN WATERS THROUGH FRI. STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT WILL CAUSE 15 TO 25 KT SUSTAINED ON THE WATERS...HIGHEST OVER
THE OCEAN. MAY BE ABLE TO MIX SOME OF THE STRONG LOW LEVEL JET DOWN
WITH GUSTS OCCASIONALLY REACHING 35KT...BUT THIS WOULD BE CONFINED
TO AREAS NEAR SHORE.

COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THIS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND
WINDS WILL DIMINISH. WINDS MAY LINGER A FEW HOURS LONGER THAN
CURRENTLY EXPECTED AND SCA MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED AS A RESULT.

SOUTHERLY SWELL BEING INDICATED BY WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE IS WHAT WILL
KEEP ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH FRI...POSSIBLY INTO
SATURDAY.

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRI...THEN HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THE WEEKEND WITH TRANQUIL CONDITIONS
RETURNING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 0.50 TO 1.25 INCHES EXPECTED IN SHOWERS AND
TSTMS FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO THU...WITH LOCALLY AS MUCH AS 2-3
INCHES. THIS MAY RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING. LARGER RIVERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE THIS AMOUNT OF
RAINFALL...WITH ONLY MINOR RISES EXPECTED.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR CTZ011-012.
NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR NYZ068>075-176>179.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR NYZ067.
     DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR NYZ075-080-081-178-
     179.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NYZ080-081-179.
NJ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR NJZ002-004-006-
     103>108.
MARINE...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ330-335-
     340-345-350-353-355.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ330-
     335-338-340-345.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GOODMAN
NEAR TERM...SCALORA
SHORT TERM...GOODMAN
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...MPS
MARINE...24
HYDROLOGY...GOODMAN
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 28, 9:56 AM EDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ068>074-176-177-291400-
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-PUTNAM-
ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ067-291400-
ORANGE-
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ179-291400-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ075-178-291400-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ006>008-010-NYZ078-079-291400-
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005-009-291400-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ080-081-291400-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ011-012-291400-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-291400-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ338-291400-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ335-355-291400-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
956 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

MALOIT

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 28, 7:51 AM EDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
751 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NYZ067-281230-
ORANGE-
751 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...DEVELOPING STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT ORANGE COUNTY...

AT 748 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NEWTON...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF HOPATCONG...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 85 MPH.

BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN ORANGE COUNTY...INCLUDING UNIONVILLE...FLORIDA...
MIDDLETOWN...GOSHEN...MONTGOMERY AND WALDEN...SHOULD MONITOR THE
WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 4150 7474 4151 7448 4160 7438 4160 7435
      4164 7427 4161 7424 4159 7414 4162 7413
      4162 7410 4159 7405 4159 7396 4151 7399
      4120 7439 4134 7469 4143 7476

GOODMAN
Special weather statement, Apr 28, 9:16 AM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
916 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

CTZ005-009-NJZ006-104-106-NYZ071>075-078-080-176>179-281400-
BRONX-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-HUDSON-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NEW YORK
(MANHATTAN)-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NASSAU-NORTHERN
QUEENS-NORTHWEST SUFFOLK-RICHMOND (STATEN IS.)-SOUTHERN
FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK-
916 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BRONX...FAIRFIELD...HUDSON...
KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NASSAU...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...QUEENS...RICHMOND
(STATEN ISLAND)...SOUTHEASTERN BERGEN...SOUTHEASTERN ESSEX...
WESTCHESTER AND WESTERN SUFFOLK COUNTIES...

AT 912 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM JERSEY CITY TO
CONEY ISLAND TO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ASBURY PARK...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR MORNINGSIDE HEIGHTS BY 920 AM.
  NEAR RIVERDALE BY 925 AM.
  NEAR BRONXVILLE BY 930 AM.
  NEAR HARRISON BY 935 AM.
  NEAR WESTBURY BY 940 AM.
  NEAR STAMFORD BY 945 AM.

WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. IN ADDITION...VERY
HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH AN HOUR...IS
OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. THIS COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLY MINOR LOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4056 7392 4062 7376 4063 7376 4062 7404
      4064 7404 4057 7410 4076 7417 4120 7349
      4145 7327 4144 7325 4117 7317 4104 7346
      4091 7323 4068 7328 4063 7356 4061 7354
      4065 7330 4055 7389

MALOIT
Special weather statement, Apr 28, 9:16 AM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
916 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

CTZ005-009-NJZ006-104-106-NYZ071>075-078-080-176>179-281400-
BRONX-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-HUDSON-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NEW YORK
(MANHATTAN)-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NASSAU-NORTHERN
QUEENS-NORTHWEST SUFFOLK-RICHMOND (STATEN IS.)-SOUTHERN
FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK-
916 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BRONX...FAIRFIELD...HUDSON...
KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NASSAU...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...QUEENS...RICHMOND
(STATEN ISLAND)...SOUTHEASTERN BERGEN...SOUTHEASTERN ESSEX...
WESTCHESTER AND WESTERN SUFFOLK COUNTIES...

AT 912 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM JERSEY CITY TO
CONEY ISLAND TO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ASBURY PARK...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR MORNINGSIDE HEIGHTS BY 920 AM.
  NEAR RIVERDALE BY 925 AM.
  NEAR BRONXVILLE BY 930 AM.
  NEAR HARRISON BY 935 AM.
  NEAR WESTBURY BY 940 AM.
  NEAR STAMFORD BY 945 AM.

WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. IN ADDITION...VERY
HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH AN HOUR...IS
OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. THIS COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLY MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4056 7392 4062 7376 4063 7376 4062 7404
      4064 7404 4057 7410 4076 7417 4120 7349
      4145 7327 4144 7325 4117 7317 4104 7346
      4091 7323 4068 7328 4063 7356 4061 7354
      4065 7330 4055 7389

MALOIT
Special weather statement, Apr 28, 10:45 AM EDT, 57 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1045 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NJZ002-NYZ067-281545-
ORANGE-WESTERN PASSAIC-
1045 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT ORANGE AND PASSAIC COUNTIES...

AT 1040 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HAVEN TO 6 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MILFORD TO 33 MILES WEST OF YARDLEY...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM WURTSBORO TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MILFORD TO 34 MILES
WEST OF EWING...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR PORT JERVIS BY 1050 AM.
  NEAR OTISVILLE BY 1055 AM.
  NEAR UNIONVILLE BY 1105 AM.
  NEAR MIDDLETOWN BY 1110 AM.
  NEAR WALDEN BY 1125 AM.
  NEAR WARWICK BY 1130 AM.

GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH COULD
CAUSE THE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLY MINOR
FLOODING...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4151 7461 4151 7448 4160 7438 4164 7427
      4160 7421 4162 7410 4159 7396 4144 7399
      4121 7413 4114 7424 4112 7421 4099 7428
      4100 7439 4104 7444 4102 7449 4108 7451
      4119 7438 4134 7469 4140 7473

MALOIT
Special weather statement, Apr 28, 11:38 AM EDT, 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1138 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

CTZ005-NJZ002-004-103>105-NYZ067>070-281645-
EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN
WESTCHESTER-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN
ESSEX-WESTERN PASSAIC-
1138 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT FAIRFIELD...NORTHERN BERGEN...
NORTHWESTERN ESSEX...PASSAIC...PUTNAM...ROCKLAND...SOUTHEASTERN
ORANGE AND WESTCHESTER COUNTIES...

AT 1134 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HIGHLAND LAKE TO
LAKE MOHAWK TO DOVER TO BERNARDSVILLE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WARWICK TO HOPATCONG TO DOVER TO 10 MILES
SOUTH OF SUCCASUNNA-KENVIL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR FLORIDA BY 1145 AM.
  NEAR CHESTER BY 1150 AM.
  NEAR RINGWOOD BY 1155 AM.
  NEAR WAYNE BY NOON.
  NEAR NEW WINDSOR BY 1205 PM.
  NEAR POMONA BY 1210 PM.

GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. IN
ADDITION...VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH
AN HOUR...IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. THIS COULD CAUSE PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLY MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4153 7399 4145 7399 4150 7392 4153 7354
      4167 7350 4152 7344 4144 7337 4122 7351
      4081 7434 4090 7434 4090 7428 4097 7428
      4101 7443 4104 7444 4103 7450 4108 7451
      4119 7438 4127 7452

MALOIT

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 9:07 PM EDTMarine Dense Fog AdvisoryOKX33 hr
Apr 28, 4:35 AM EDTHigh Surf AdvisoryOKXNassau, Suffolk21 hr
Apr 28, 7:25 AM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryOKXKings, Nassau, Queens, Suffolk8 hr
Apr 28, 7:51 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXOrange39 min
Apr 28, 9:16 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens44 min
Apr 28, 10:45 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXOrange60 min
Apr 28, 11:24 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOKXOrange111 min
Apr 28, 11:38 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXPutnam, Rockland, Westchester67 min
Apr 28, 11:43 AM EDTTornado WarningOKXOrange, Rockland32 min
Apr 28, 12:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXRockland24 min
Apr 28, 12:13 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOKXOrange, Putnam, Westchester2 hr
Apr 28, 12:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXOrange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester29 min
Apr 28, 12:30 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOKXRockland, Westchester3 hr
Apr 28, 12:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXPutnam, Rockland, Westchester30 min
Apr 28, 1:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXBronx, New York, Putnam, Richmond, Rockland, Westchester33 min
Apr 28, 1:18 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningOKX27 min
Apr 28, 2:07 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningOKX23 min
Apr 28, 3:06 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningOKX24 min
Apr 28, 3:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementOKXSuffolk35 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2011Flash Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.