High Wind Warning 5, NWS Marquette, MI

588 
WWUS73 KMQT 170826
NPWMQT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
426 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

...VERY GUSTY WEST WINDS NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE OVER HUDSON BAY
AND A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL RESULT IN
STRONG AND GUSTY WEST WINDS THROUGH THIS MORNING. THE STRONGEST
WINDS GUSTING TO 50 TO 60 MPH EARLY TODAY WILL BE AT EXPOSED LOCATIONS
NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR OVER NORTHWEST UPPER MICHIGAN AND EAST OF
MUNISING.

MIZ001-003-171600-
/O.EXB.KMQT.WI.Y.0013.111017T1200Z-111017T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-111017T1200Z/
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK
426 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO NOON EDT
TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO NOON EDT
TODAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 TO 60 MPH ARE
   EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING. WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
   45 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM 8 AM UNTIL NOON.

 * THE HIGHEST WIND WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORE 
   FROM FREDA TO EAGLE RIVER AND COPPER HARBOR...AND OVER WEST 
   FACING HIGHER TERRAIN FROM TOIVOLA TO CALUMET AND PHOENIX. 

 IMPACTS...

 * EXPECT THESE STRONG WINDS TO BLOW DOWN TREES AND CAUSE NUMEROUS
   POWER OUTAGES.

 * DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ON
   ROADS IN EXPOSED AREAS NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH
   OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

 * FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION OR TO REPORT WIND DAMAGE TO THE 
   NWS MARQUETTE...VISIT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MQT

&&

$$

MIZ006-007-171600-
/O.EXT.KMQT.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-111017T1600Z/
ALGER-LUCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND MARAIS...MUNISING...NEWBERRY
426 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED
   THROUGH THIS MORNING NEAR THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE.

 * THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED EAST OF MUNISING FROM PICTURED
   ROCKS NATIONAL LAKESHORE AND GRAND MARAIS IN ALGER COUNTY...TO
   MUSKALLONGE LAKE STATE PARK AND CRISP POINT IN FAR NORTHERN LUCE
   COUNTY.

 * FARTHER INLAND FROM LAKE SUPERIOR AT CHATHAM...SHINGLETON AND 
   NEWBERRY...EXPECT WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. 

IMPACTS...

 * LOOSE ITEMS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE AND TRASH BINS WILL BE 
   BLOWN AROUND EASILY. 

 * DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES MAY BE DIFFICULT.

 * TREE LIMBS MAY COME DOWN DURING STRONGER WIND GUSTS...LEADING 
   TO SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 
   MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE 
   DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE 
   EXTRA CAUTION. 

&&

$$

MIZ002-171200-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-111017T1200Z/
ONTONAGON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONTONAGON
426 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED
   TO CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING.

 * THE HIGHEST WIND WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORE.

 * FARTHER INLAND FROM LAKE SUPERIOR...EXPECT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 
   MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. 

IMPACTS...

 * LOOSE ITEMS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE AND TRASH BINS WILL BE 
   BLOWN AROUND EASILY. 

 * DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES MAY BE DIFFICULT.

 * TREE LIMBS MAY COME DOWN DURING STRONGER WIND GUSTS...LEADING 
   TO SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 
   MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE 
   DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE 
   EXTRA CAUTION. 

&&

$$

JLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
333 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

.SHORT TERM TO 00Z TUE...

UPPER AIR PATTERN CONSISTS OF A 500 MB RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
U.S. WITH TROUGHING IN THE PACIFIC NW AND TROUGHING ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES REGION AND NEW ENGLAND WITH A STRONG CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER
HUDSON BAY. THERE IS ALSO A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES THIS MORNING THAT SHOWS UP ON WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY
WITH A CYCLONIC SPIN NOTED ACROSS NE MN. THIS MOVES THROUGH AND WILL
KICK UP THE WINDS AS IT PASSES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AS IT ROTATES AROUND THE CLOSED
UPPER LOW.

SOME WRAPAROUND MOISTURE WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE PERIOD AS MOISTURE
PIVOTS AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME LAKE
ENHANCEMENT GOING ON AS WELL. WITH THE WEST WINDS THOUGH...THIS WILL
CONFINE THE POPS TONIGHT TO THE KEWEENAW AND EAST OF MUNISING ALONG
THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE. FOR MONDAY...WITH NEXT SHORTWAVE MOVING
THROUGH AND WRAPAROUND MOISTURE...SHOWERS SHOULD MAKE A RESURGENCE
ON LAND AND WILL ALSO BE AIDED BY SOME COLD AIR ALOFT. NAM AND GFS
SHOWING 850 MB TEMPERATURES OF -2C TO -4C AND WITH LAKE SUPERIOR
ANYWHERE FROM 9C TO 11C...THIS IS ENOUGH FOR LAKE ENHANCEMENT
ESPECIALLY WITH SOME WRAPAROUND MOISTURE THROWN IN. THE LOWEST POPS
WILL BE THE AREAS FURTHEST FROM LAKE SUPERIOR WITH A WEST WIND
PREVAILING. NUMEROUS POPS ACROSS THE KEWEENAW AND ALSO EAST OF
MUNISING ALSO LOOK GOOD.

OVERALL...DID NOT MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES TO THE GOING FORECAST FOR
TEMPERATURES OR WEATHER. DID INCREASE THE WINDS A BIT IN THE
FORECAST TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AS GRADIENT LOOKS A BIT TIGHTER AND
ABLE TO MIX DOWN SOME HIGHER WINDS FROM ALOFT. WHERE THE WIND
ADVISORIES ARE CONTINUE TO LOOK GOOD WITH THE TIMES LOOKING GOOD AS
WELL. ONLY THING TO WATCH WOULD BE ALGER COUNTY NEAR GRAND MARAIS.
EARLIER...THEY HAD A GUST TO 60 MPH AFTER 2 PM...BUT IT APPEARED TO
BE FROM A SHOWER THAT BROUGHT THE WIND DOWN TO THE SFC. THINK THIS
WAS AN ISOLATED INCIDENT. WITH WEST WINDS...THIS SHOULD KEEP THE
WIND CONFINED TO IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE SHORELINE AND INTO THE LAKE
AND THOUGHT AREA WAS SMALL ENOUGH NOT TO PUT UP AN ADVISORY. IF THE
WIND WAS A BIT MORE NORTHWEST...THAN DEFINITELY AN ADVISORY WOULD BE
NEEDED.

.LONG TERM /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY/...

WE WILL START THE PERIOD MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
THAT MOVED TO JAMES BAY YESTERDAY...STILL OVER JAMES BAY. A
SHORTWAVE WILL HAVE ROTATED AROUND THIS LOW THROUGH THE CWA ON
MONDAY...AND WILL BE WELL PAST THE CWA BY 00Z TUE. THE CENTRAL CONUS
WILL BE UNDER A DEEP UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING DOWN TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. TO THE W...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE W
COAST. TOPPING THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE A 250MB JET MAX AT
120KTS...WITH THE REST OF THE JET AT 100+KTS EXTENDING SE INTO ERN
CO. EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER TROUGH/NW FLOW WILL BE A COUPLE OF
SHORTWAVES.

SO FOR MONDAY NIGHT...LAKE EFFECT ONGOING FROM MONDAY SHOULD
DIMINISH SOME SINCE WE WILL BE UNDER SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE
THAT PASSED OVER EARLIER. 850MB TEMPS WILL BE BETWEEN -2C AND
-4C...WITH LAKE SFC TEMPS AROUND 10C. THIS WILL RESULT IN DELTA TS
BETWEEN LAKE SFC AND 850MB TEMPS OF AROUND 13C...WHICH WILL NOT BE
ALL THAT FAVORABLE FOR LAKE EFFECT BY ITSELF. HOWEVER...DEEP
MOISTURE AND CYCLONIC NW FLOW OVER LAKE SUPERIOR BE ON THE PLUS SIDE
FOR LAKE EFFECT. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR A RAIN/SNOW MIX OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF WRN UPPER MI...SINCE WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS WILL BE
AROUND OR LESS THAN 1000FT.

THE UPPER SHORTWAVES AND JET MAX WILL DIVE INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS
UPPER TROUGH TUESDAY...DEEPENING THE TROUGH INTO A CLOSED LOW OVER
IL/IN BY 12Z WED. WITH THE JET DIVERTING AROUND THIS SYSTEM...THE
LOW OVER JAMES BAY WILL FINALLY GO AWAY TUESDAY...WAS STARTING TO
THINK IT AND THE GALES IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING WERE GOING TO BECOME A
PERMANENT FEATURE.

THE 250MB JET MAX WILL BEGIN ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE DEEP UPPER LOW
BY LATE TUESDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE RAPID SFC CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE
SERN CONUS. A 990MB LOW WILL OCCLUDE DIRECTLY UNDER THE UPPER LOW
OVER LAKE ONTARIO BY 00Z THU...AND WILL THEN MOVE TO CENTRAL QUEBEC
BY 06Z FRIDAY AS SFC AND UPPER RIDGING MOVE OVER THE CWA.

AS THE SFC LOW SPINS UP OVER THE SE...LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD WILL
BECOME MORE NLY BY 00Z WED...THEN NELY BY 06Z WED. THE CYCLONIC NELY
WINDS WILL LAST UNTIL 12Z THU WHEN WINDS WILL BECOME NLY. 850MB
TEMPS WILL BE AROUND -3C TO -5C TUESDAY MORNING...AND WILL COOL TO
AROUND -6C BY 12Z THU. DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...BEFORE DRY UPPER LEVEL AIR STARTS TO MOVE IN. BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...DRY AIR WILL BE WORKING INTO THE MID LEVELS...WHICH WILL
REDUCE MOISTURE IN THE DGZ. THIS WILL RESULT IN LIKELY LAKE EFFECT
PRECIPITATION TRANSITIONING FROM NW FLOW AREAS TUESAY MORNING...TO
NE FLOW AREAS TUESDAY NIGHT. BY FRIDAY MORNING...ALL LAKE EFFECT
SHOULD BE GONE AS THE ENTIRE PROFILE WILL BE DRY AND HIGH PRESSURE
WILL HAVE MOVED OVER THE ENTIRE CWA.

SYNOPTICALLY...THIS EVENT SHOULD BE FAIRLY EASY...ESPECIALLY
CONSIDERING THE GREAT MODEL AGREEMENT FOR THIS PERIOD. MORE
UNCERTAINTY IS INJECT WHEN LOOKING IN THE THERMODYNAMIC ASPECT IN
RELATION TO PTYPE. FOR TUESDAY NIGHT...ICE NUCLEATION WILL BE IN
FULL SWING WITH THE DEEP MOISTURE AND LARGE SCALE LIFT...BUT THE BIG
QUESTION FOR SNOW REMAINS IN THE BL TEMPS. WITH LOWS FORECAST TO BE
JUST ABOVE FREEZING...AND COLD 850MB TEMPS...WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS
WILL BE AROUND 500-1000FT. THIS SHOULD KEEP PRECIP FROM BEING ALL
SNOW...BUT AT THIS POINT IT WILL BE BORDERLINE ALL SNOW. KEPT A MIX
OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE WRN HALF OF UPPER
MI.

HIGHS IN THE 40S WILL KEEP PRECIP LIQUID WEDNESDAY...EXPECT THERE
MAY BE SOME BRIEF SNOW MIXED IN UNDER ANY HEAVIER SHOWERS. LEFT SNOW
OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW FOR DAYTIME WEDNESDAY.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT/EARLY THU WILL BE A DIFFERENT STORY...WITH EVEN MORE
UNCERTAINTY. COOLER TEMPS WILL ALLOW A BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW...BUT
ONLY IF WE HAVE DEEP ENOUGH MOISTURE. 850MB TEMPS WILL BE AT THEIR
COOLEST AT -6C...WITH LOWS RIGHT AROUND FREEZING...LEADING TO WET
BULB ZERO TEMPS NEAR THE SFC. THE BIGGEST QUESTION FOR SNOW IS IF
MOISTURE WILL BE DEEP ENOUGH FOR DENDRITE GROWTH. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...BUT THERE IS A DRY LAYER FROM -9C TO
AROUND -18C. IF THE SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER TO THE CWA...MOISTURE WILL
INCREASE...OR IT COULD BE DRIER IF THE SYSTEM MOVE FURTHER SE. WITH
THIS UNCERTAINTY...KEPT A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF CENTRAL AND WRN UPPER MI.

AS THE LOW MOVES INTO QUEBEC AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE
WRN CWA THURSDAY...LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME NWLY BY LATE
THURSDAY. ALSO 850MB TEMPS WARM TO AROUND -3C OVER THE E...AND TO
AROUND 2C OVER THE W. THIS WILL DIMINISH LAKE EFFECT OVER ALL BUT
THE FAR ERN CWA BY THURSDAY NIGHT. PAST EXPERIENCE SHOWS THAT LAKE
EFFECT RAIN MAY LAST THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING OVER THE FAR E...UNTIL
WINDS BECOME OFFSHORE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

WE WILL SEE A BRIEF WARM UP FRIDAY UNDER THE HIGH PRESSURE...BEFORE
A TROUGH/COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGHS FRIDAY LOOK TO
BE IN THE 50S AS 850MB TEMPS WARM TO AROUND 3C. BEHIND THE
TROUGH/COLD FRONT...AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES DOWN FROM CANADA AS SFC
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM THE WEST ON SATURDAY. MOISTURE AND UPPER
SUPPORT WILL BE LIMITED WITH THE COLD FRONT...SO ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS LOOK GOOD.

850MB TEMPS DROP DOWN TO AROUND -2C SATURDAY WITH WNW WINDS...SO
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER THE E NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR SEEM REASONABLE.
NOT ESPECIALLY EXCITED ABOUT LAKE EFFECT CHANCES SINCE WE WILL HAVE
LOW LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND DRY MID/UPPER LEVELS.

GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THROUGH SATURDAY LEADS TO ABOVE NORMAL
CONFIDENCE...ESPECIALLY IN THE SYNOPTIC SCALE FEATURES.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE NRN PLAINS SUNDAY...WITH A WEAK SFC
LOW MOVING INTO MN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THERE COULD BE SOME PRECIP AS
THE LOW MOVES INTO THE AREA...BUT ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS TO
SUPPORT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AT BEST.
&&

.AVIATION /FOR THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE/...

WINDS WILL CONTINUE STRONG AT ALL TAF SITES AS PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS UP AND DAYTIME MIXING CONTINUES. WHILE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE A
BIT OVERNIGHT EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO CONTINUE AT KCMX DUE TO TERRAIN
INFLUENCES. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AND MAY BE
ENOUGH TO INITIATE SOME LAKE ENHANCED SHOWERS AT KCMX ALONG WITH
MVFR/VFR CIGS AT KCMX AND KIWD. SUBSIDENCE MOVING IN THE LATTER HALF
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR ON PRECIPITATION
AND MVFR CIGS. HAVE MENTION OF VCSH IN KCMX TAF AT THIS TIME.
&&

.MARINE /FOR THE 4 PM LAKE SUPERIOR FORECAST ISSUANCE/...

LOW PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF JAMES BAY WILL REMAIN IN THAT AREA
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...DOMINATING THE WEATHER OVER THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES. THIS LOW WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE REGION AS IT COMBINES
WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH. THE SFC PRESSURE
GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT THROUGH TONIGHT...WHILE ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD
AIR ADVECTION ARRIVES IN THE WAKE OF THE DISTURBANCE. DECENT LAPSE
RATES OVER THE WATER SUPPORTS GOOD MIXING...WITH THE NET RESULT
BEING A CONTINUATION OF THE GALES ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR AND ALSO
ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN. WHILE GUSTS TO 35 TO 45 KNOTS WILL BE THE
PREVAILING SPEEDS...CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW GUSTS APPROACHING 50 KNOTS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.
THE LOW WILL FINALLY BEGIN MOVING AWAY FROM THE REGION MONDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING AS HIGH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
EXPANDS INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY. RIDGE BUILDS INTO
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY THURSDAY...WITH WINDS DECREASING TO BELOW
20 KNOTS BY LATE THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY. CLOSE ENOUGH TO GALES ON
LAKE MICHIGAN TO HOIST THEM AS WELL AND THE WIND STAYS UP INTO
MONDAY MORNING THERE.
&&

.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UPPER MICHIGAN...
  WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY FOR MIZ001>003.

LAKE SUPERIOR...
  GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EDT MONDAY FOR LSZ244>251-264>267.

  GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EDT /4 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR LSZ162-241>243-
     263.

LAKE MICHIGAN...
  GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LMZ221-248-250.

&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM...TITUS
AVIATION...07
MARINE...07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
344 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

MIZ001>003-171945-
KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-
344 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 50 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT. SEE THE
LATEST WIND ADVISORY PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WEST WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 30 TO 40 MPH MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

REPORTS OF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND ANY ASSOCIATED PROPERTY DAMAGE WOULD
BE APPRECIATED.

MIZ004>007-009>014-084-085-171945-
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-ALGER-LUCE-GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-
DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
344 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 /244 PM CDT SUN OCT 16 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WEST WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...MAINLY
NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. A FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR GRAND
MARAIS THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

LSZ162-240>251-263>267-171945-
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM-SAXON HARBOR WI TO BLACK RIVER MI-
BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI-
ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI-
EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI-
MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI-
POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING
KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI-
MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI-
GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE
CANAL MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER INCLUDING ISLE
ROYALE NATIONAL PARK-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU
ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER-
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE-
LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF
SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER-
344 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 /244 PM CDT SUN OCT 16 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR...CENTRAL LAKE SUPERIOR AND WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WEST GALES ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF LAKE SUPERIOR THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND A PERSISTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED NORTHEAST OF UPPER
MICHIGAN. FREQUENT GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
OVER MUCH OF LAKE SUPERIOR. SEE THE LATEST MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
AND LAKE SUPERIOR OPEN WATERS FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WEST GALES ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF LAKE SUPERIOR MONDAY
MORNING...THEN OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR UNTIL LATE
MONDAY. SEE THE LATEST MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE AND LAKE SUPERIOR OPEN
WATERS FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

LMZ221-248-250-171945-
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-
344 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WEST GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
SEE THE LATEST MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE AND LAKE MICHIGAN MARINE
FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WEST GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID
MORNING ON MONDAY. SEE THE LATEST MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE AND LAKE
MICHIGAN MARINE FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

TITUS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
242 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0208 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE GRAND MARAIS       46.68N 85.97W
10/16/2011  M60.00 MPH       ALGER              MI   C-MAN STATION

&&

MBABICH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
243 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW CALUMET           47.28N 88.53W
10/15/2011  M51.00 MPH       HOUGHTON           MI   C-MAN STATION

0715 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG NEWBERRY                46.35N 85.51W
10/15/2011                   LUCE               MI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS LUCE COUNTY RESULTING IN
            SEVERAL POWER OUTAGES. THIS HAS BEEN ONGOING THROUGHOUT
            THE DAY.

1036 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST FREDA                   47.13N 88.82W
10/16/2011  M43.00 MPH       HOUGHTON           MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WINDS SUSTAINED AROUND 35 MPH. GUSTING IN THE LOW 40S.

1050 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 41 N COPPER HARBOR      48.06N 87.89W
10/16/2011  M45.00 MPH       LSZ264             MI   BUOY

0140 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW CALUMET           47.28N 88.53W
10/16/2011  M45.00 MPH       HOUGHTON           MI   C-MAN STATION

0208 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE GRAND MARAIS       46.68N 85.97W
10/16/2011  M60.00 MPH       ALGER              MI   C-MAN STATION

&&

MBABICH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
254 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0153 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE HOUGHTON           47.16N 88.49W
10/16/2011  M50.00 MPH       HOUGHTON           MI   ASOS

            MEASURED AT HOUGHTON COUNTY AIRPORT KCMX

&&

MBABICH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
344 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

MIZ006-007-014-085-162200-
ALGER-LUCE-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND MARAIS...MUNISING...NEWBERRY...
MANISTIQUE...SENEY
344 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

...SHOWERS WITH SOME SMALL HAIL MOVING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL UPPER
MICHIGAN...

SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 6 PM EDT. SOME OF THE HEAVIER
SHOWERS WILL CONTAIN PEA SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS BRIEFLY UP TO 50
MPH. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH SOME OF THE SHOWERS.

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
400 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PINE STUMP JUNCTION     46.57N 85.58W
10/15/2011                   LUCE               MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ACROSS THE ROAD NEAR PINE STUMP
            JUNCTION. EXACT TIME UNKNOWN...ESTIMATED BY TIME OF
            HIGHEST WINDS AT GRRM4.

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E PIKE LAKE           46.64N 85.36W
10/15/2011                   LUCE               MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL 3 FT DIAMETER TREES DOWN NEAR THE PIKE LAKE AREA
            NEAR COUNTY ROAD 414. EXACT TIME OF INCIDENT
            UNKNOWN...ESTIMATED BY HIGHEST WINDSPEEDS AT GRMM4.

&&

MBABICH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
550 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0546 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST FREDA                   47.13N 88.82W
10/16/2011  M50 MPH          HOUGHTON           MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WINDS SUSTAINED IN THE LOW TO MID 40S WITH FREQUENT GUSTS
            NEAR 50 MPH.

&&

JMWIX