Freeze Watch 2, NWS Twin Cities, MN

438 
WWUS73 KMPX 140352
NPWMPX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1052 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2011

...FREEZE WARNING FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.A FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS WARNING INCLUDES
ALBERT LEA... ALEXANDRIA...MANKATO...MORA...MONTEVIDEO...REDWOOD
FALLS...ST. CLOUD...TWIN CITIES AND RED WING.

A FREEZE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
POSSIBLE FOR THIS AREA BY THURSDAY MORNING.

STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING THE
COMBINATION OF LIGHT WINDS...A CLEAR SKY...AND WELL BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. WIDESPREAD FREEZE IS LIKELY...WITH EXPECTED LOW
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED MAINLY DURING THE GROWING SEASON.
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FREEZING.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-141200-
/O.CON.KMPX.FZ.W.0001.110915T0500Z-110915T1300Z/
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...MADISON...BENSON...
MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...MINNEAPOLIS...
BLAINE...ST. PAUL...STILLWATER...GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...
HUTCHINSON...GAYLORD...CHASKA...SHAKOPEE...BURNSVILLE...
REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM...ST. PETER...LE SUEUR...FARIBAULT...
RED WING...ST. JAMES...MANKATO...WASECA...OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...
BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA
1052 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT
TO 8 AM CDT THURSDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT
TO 8 AM CDT THURSDAY. 

* LOW TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S BY THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

WIZ014>016-023>028-141200-
/O.CON.KMPX.FZ.A.0002.110915T0500Z-110915T1300Z/
POLK-BARRON-RUSK-ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE...RICE LAKE...
BARRON...LADYSMITH...HUDSON...NEW RICHMOND...RIVER FALLS...
PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE...BOYCEVILLE...DURAND...PEPIN...
CHIPPEWA FALLS...BLOOMER...EAU CLAIRE...ALTOONA
1052 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2011

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. 

* LOW TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO MIDDLE 30S BY THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

892 
WWUS73 KMPX 140630
NPWMPX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
130 AM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

...FREEZE WARNING FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.A FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS WARNING INCLUDES
ALBERT LEA...ALEXANDRIA...MANKATO...MORA...MONTEVIDEO...REDWOOD
FALLS...ST. CLOUD...TWIN CITIES AND RED WING.

A FREEZE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
POSSIBLE FOR THIS AREA BY THURSDAY MORNING.

STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING THE
COMBINATION OF LIGHT WINDS...A CLEAR SKY...AND WELL BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. WIDESPREAD FREEZE IS LIKELY...WITH EXPECTED LOW
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED MAINLY DURING THE GROWING SEASON.
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FREEZING.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-141430-
/O.CON.KMPX.FZ.W.0001.110915T0500Z-110915T1300Z/
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...MADISON...BENSON...
MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...MINNEAPOLIS...
BLAINE...ST. PAUL...STILLWATER...GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...
HUTCHINSON...GAYLORD...CHASKA...SHAKOPEE...BURNSVILLE...
REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM...ST. PETER...LE SUEUR...FARIBAULT...
RED WING...ST. JAMES...MANKATO...WASECA...OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...
BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA
130 AM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CDT THURSDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CDT THURSDAY. 

* LOW TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S BY THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

WIZ014>016-023>028-141430-
/O.CON.KMPX.FZ.A.0002.110915T0500Z-110915T1300Z/
POLK-BARRON-RUSK-ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE...RICE LAKE...
BARRON...LADYSMITH...HUDSON...NEW RICHMOND...RIVER FALLS...
PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE...BOYCEVILLE...DURAND...PEPIN...
CHIPPEWA FALLS...BLOOMER...EAU CLAIRE...ALTOONA
130 AM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. 

* LOW TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO MIDDLE 30S BY THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

747 
WWUS73 KMPX 140921
NPWMPX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
421 AM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

...EARLY SEASON FREEZING CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
TONIGHT...

.A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL AND
MUCH OF SOUTHERN MINNESOTA FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 8 AM
THURSDAY MORNING. THIS WARNING INCLUDES THE TWIN CITIES...
ALBERT LEA...ALEXANDRIA...MANKATO...MONTEVIDEO...MORA...RED
WING...REDWOOD FALLS...AND ST. CLOUD. THE WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED TO ENCOMPASS FAR WESTERN WISCONSIN...INCLUDING
MENOMONIE...NEW RICHMOND...AND RICE LAKE. A FROST ADVISORY HAS
BEEN ISSUED FURTHER EAST FOR TONIGHT INCLUDING DURAND...EAU
CLAIRE...AND LADYSMITH.

STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WILL BRING
THE COMBINATION OF LIGHT WINDS...A CLEAR SKY...AND WELL BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A WIDESPREAD FREEZE APPEARS DEFINITE ACROSS
MUCH OF MINNESOTA AND IS LIKELY INTO FAR WESTERN WISCONSIN.
LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED MAINLY DURING THE GROWING SEASON.
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FREEZING. THESE
CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS LIKELY. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.



WIZ014-015-023>025-141730-
/O.UPG.KMPX.FZ.A.0002.110915T0500Z-110915T1300Z/
/O.EXA.KMPX.FZ.W.0001.110915T0500Z-110915T1300Z/
POLK-BARRON-ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE...RICE LAKE...
BARRON...HUDSON...NEW RICHMOND...RIVER FALLS...PRESCOTT...
MENOMONIE...BOYCEVILLE
421 AM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS
ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 8 AM CDT THURSDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOW TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30 DEGREES TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-141730-
/O.CON.KMPX.FZ.W.0001.110915T0500Z-110915T1300Z/
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...MADISON...BENSON...
MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...MINNEAPOLIS...
BLAINE...ST. PAUL...STILLWATER...GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...
HUTCHINSON...GAYLORD...CHASKA...SHAKOPEE...BURNSVILLE...
REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM...ST. PETER...LE SUEUR...FARIBAULT...
RED WING...ST. JAMES...MANKATO...WASECA...OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...
BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA
421 AM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CDT THURSDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CDT THURSDAY. 

* LOW TEMPERATURES...26 TO 30 DEGREES N MOST OUTLYING AREAS
  TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

WIZ016-026>028-141730-
/O.UPG.KMPX.FZ.A.0002.110915T0500Z-110915T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KMPX.FR.Y.0004.110915T0500Z-110915T1300Z/
RUSK-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LADYSMITH...DURAND...PEPIN...
CHIPPEWA FALLS...BLOOMER...EAU CLAIRE...ALTOONA
421 AM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS
ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 8 AM CDT THURSDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

LOW TEMPERATURES...MAINLY IN THE MID 30S TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS LIKELY. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1221 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2011

.UPDATE...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WE ARE IN THE MIDST OF QUITE A 60 HOUR CHANGE IN WEATHER...WHICH
FOR MID-SEPTEMBER IS SOMEWHAT EARLY. AFTER 90 DEGREES IN
MINNEAPOLIS YESTERDAY...A LARGE PART OF THE FORECAST AREA IS
LIKELY TO DROP BELOW FREEZING TOMORROW NIGHT INCLUDING POTENTIALLY
OUTLYING AREAS OF THE METRO.

SYNOPSIS...A VERY AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS SEEN ON WATER
VAPOR SATELLITE ACROSS ALASKA INTO CANADA...WITH A DEEP TROUGH
OVER HUDSON BAY TAKING SHAPE AND LOBES ROTATING AROUND IT. THIS IS
A SETUP FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE AREA. BRIEF SURFACE
RIDGING WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE MORNING BEHIND THE
STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WENT THROUGH LAST EVENING. A SECOND COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT WAVE ROTATING AROUND THE HUDSON BAY
TROUGH WILL SWING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING. THIS
FEATURE WILL USHER IN AN EXPANSIVE CANADIAN HIGH FOR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT CREATING FROST AND FREEZE CONCERNS.
OVERALL A DRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WORKWEEK WITH SOME
WARMER AND POSSIBLY UNSETTLED WEATHER DURING THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK.

TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WHILE THERE WILL BE A WEAK THERMAL RIDGE
AHEAD OF THE INCOMING COLD FRONT...THE HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 15 TO 20 DEGREES COLDER THAN YESTERDAY. HAVE
BLENDED THE GOING HIGHS TOWARDS THE BEST PERFORMING MODELS DURING
THE FIRST COOLER AIR SURGE THE LATTER HALF OF LABOR DAY WEEKEND.
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON GUIDANCE TO BE BETWEEN
6 PM AND MIDNIGHT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...PASSING THROUGH THE METRO
AROUND 10 PM. THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SHOULD IMMEDIATELY CAUSE A SHARP
TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT DROP AS WELL AS A 2-3 HOUR GUSTY WIND
PERIOD. TEMPORARY WIND GUSTS ON GFS BUFKIT PROFILES FAVOR 25 KTS
AND NAM FAVOR 30 KTS. HAVE GONE WITH A BLEND AT THIS TIME IN THE
FORECAST WINDS. HAVE ALSO TRIED TO ADAPT THE TEMPORAL RESOLUTION
OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE INTO THE HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT
GRIDS. WHILE THERE COULD BE SOME SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS TO
THE NORTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA...ONLY SOME CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED
ATOP OUR IMMEDIATE REGION. THESE SHOULD BE ALONG AND BEHIND THE
FRONT. THERE IS A WEAK SHEARED OUT WAVE AND SOME 700-600 MB
FRONTOGENESIS FORECAST ON THE NAM AND GFS ACROSS SOUTHWEST MN ALONG
THE MID-LEVEL FRONT OVERNIGHT. THE COLUMN IS SOMEWHAT DRY FOR
SHOWERS SO JUST HAVE GONE MOSTLY CLOUDY AT THIS TIME. THE COLD AIR
ADVECTION BRUNT WILL HAPPEN TONIGHT...SO ON WEDNESDAY WITH
CONTINUED DRY AIR ADVECTION THE SIGNATURE FOR STRATOCU IS NOT THAT
STRONG. THE CU RULE HINTS AT CLOUDS LINGERING IN THE EAST AND
NORTH BUT THAT IS IT...AND MAYBE ONLY THROUGH THE MORNING.
WEDNESDAY LOOKS TO HAVE THE COOLEST HIGHS SINCE THE FIRST HALF OF
MAY.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...THE 13.00 GFS IS SLIGHTLY
QUICKER WITH BUILDING THE CANADIAN HIGH OVER THE AREA THAN THE
13.00 NAM. THIS WOULD FAVOR MORE OF THE AREA SEEING A FREEZE
CONCERN WITH WINDS BEING CALM ALREADY BY MID-EVENING. EITHER
WAY...BOTH MODELS AGREE WESTERN MN SHOULD SEE CALM CONDITIONS AND
CLEAR SKIES TO START THE EVENING...AND THAT WILL SPREAD EASTWARD
WITH TIME. WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES OF -1C TO -4C AND THE OTHER
AFOREMENTIONED IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING ELEMENTS...HAVE TRENDED
HEAVILY TOWARDS THE COOLER GUIDANCE. TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 30S ARE THUS CURRENTLY FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
OUTLYING MN CWA. LOWER TO MID 30S ARE FORECAST FOR WESTERN WI
WHERE THE WINDS WILL CALM LATER AND THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING
STRATOCU. HAVE MENTIONED FROST EVERYWHERE...WIDESPREAD IN THE
WEST. WHILE FREEZE WATCHES ARE RARE AND GENERALLY NOT ISSUED 36
HOURS IN ADVANCE...THESE FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE TWO AND A HALF
WEEKS AHEAD OF NORMAL FOR MOST OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MN /AND
POSSIBLY WESTERN WI IF THAT AREA CAN DROP COLDER/. ALSO...A LATE
PLANTING START COULD MEAN HEIGHTENED RISK. IN ADDITION...A HARD
FREEZE OF 28F OR LOWER IS POSSIBLE IN WESTERN MN...WHICH WOULD BE
3 TO 4 WEEKS AHEAD OF TIME. SO HAVE COLLABORATED WITH NEIGHBORS
FOR A FREEZE WATCH FOR TOMORROW NIGHT. THURSDAY NIGHT WILL SEE THE
RIDGING OVER WESTERN WI...SO A COOL NIGHT IS EXPECTED THERE ONCE
AGAIN...POTENTIALLY COLDER THAN WEDNESDAY NIGHT THERE AND BELOW
FREEZING. CURRENTLY THE FORECAST LOW /32/ FOR EAU CLAIRE ON FRIDAY
MORNING IS A RECORD /PREVIOUS WAS 34 IN 1916/.

BEYOND...THERE WERE LITTLE CHANGES MADE TO THIS PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AS MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE IN A DRY AND GENERAL GRADUAL
WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE UPPER FLOW
TURNS WEST SOUTHWEST BY THE MIDDLE TO END OF THE WEEKEND WITH
GRADUALLY INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. HAVE INTRODUCED A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS ON SUNDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF A FRONT AND INSTABILITY
AXIS AHEAD OF IT. THE 13.00 GFS HAS TRENDED QUICKER THAN THE
EC...AND AT THIS TIME HAVE FAVORED THE SLOWER EC SOLUTION KEEPING
THE CHANCE ON MONDAY AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TAF ISSUANCE/
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGH THE PERIOD.  A COLD FRONT WILL
ADVANCE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT.  NORTHWEST WINDS
INCREASING TO 12 TO 18 KNOTS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. SEE TAFS FOR
THE LATEST TIMING. STILL FAIRLY DRY BEHIND THE FRONT. SO NOT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF CLOUDS OR WEATHER DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MSP...VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.  NORTHWEST
WINDS INCREASING LATER THIS EVENING...WITH OCCASIONAL GUST NEAR 20
KNOTS.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
     FOR BENTON-BLUE EARTH-BROWN-CARVER-CHIPPEWA-DOUGLAS-
     FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-ISANTI-KANABEC-KANDIYOHI-LAC QUI PARLE-
     LE SUEUR-MARTIN-MCLEOD-MEEKER-MILLE LACS-MORRISON-NICOLLET-
     POPE-REDWOOD-RENVILLE-RICE-SCOTT-SHERBURNE-SIBLEY-STEARNS-
     STEELE-STEVENS-SWIFT-TODD-WASECA-WATONWAN-WRIGHT-YELLOW
     MEDICINE.

WI...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1117 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2011

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
141100-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
1117 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA... AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

AN EARLY SEASON FREEZE IS BECOMING LIKELY ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT
ACROSS A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND
POSSIBLY WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. SEE THE LATEST FREEZE WATCH FOR
MORE INFORMATION. THE FREEZE THREAT LOOKS TO PERSIST IN WEST
CENTRAL WISCONSIN ON THURSDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH THIS WEEK.