Severe Thunderstorm Warning 131, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1003 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

.UPDATE...INCREASED THE POPS AREAWIDE TODAY WITH THE LARGEST
INCREASE OVER THE PANHANDLE AND EAST OF I-65 WHERE RAIN IS ALREADY
OCCURRING. ALSO LOWERED TEMPS A FEW DEGREES ACROSS THE BOARD DUE TO
RAIN AND MORE CLOUD DEBRI AROUND MOST OF THE DAY. BUMPED UP THE POPS
A LITTLE BIT THIS AFTERNOON AS BELIEVE AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL BE
OUTFLOW AND SEA BREEZE DRIVEN...BUT ALSO THINK THE BETTER CHANCES
WILL BE EAST OF THE SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BORDER. /11

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
412 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-171100-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
412 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG
OR EVEN BRIEFLY SEVERE WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS THE PRIMARY
THREAT.

HEAT INDICES AROUND 105 DEGREES CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. FURTHER INLAND...HEAT
INDICES WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 105 DEGREES.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEACHES.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ACROSS AREA BAYS AND THE NEAR SHORE WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE HEAT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES
REMAINING IN THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1010 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

FLZ004-161600-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA FL-
1010 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...THROUGH 1100 AM CDT...

AT 1008 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BAGDAD...OR NEAR AVALON BEACH...AND MOVING
NORTH AT 5 MPH.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
MILTON...PACE AROUND 1025 AM CDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 20 AND 30.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING TELEPHONES
UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. UNPLUG UNNECESSARY ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES
BEFORE THIS STORM APPROACHES.

&&