River Flood Warning 6, NWS Mobile, AL

728 
WGUS84 KMOB 092258
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
458 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AND COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
ALABAMA...
 
  TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY. 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO AFFECTING GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG MANY AREA RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-102258-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0004.110309T2344Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.110309T2344Z.110314T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
458 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 3PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 25 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.
* AT 18 FEET, CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC041-153-102258-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0006.110314T0600Z-110314T1200Z/
/WYNM6.1.ER.110314T0600Z.110314T0600Z.110314T0600Z.NO/
458 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO
* FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
* AT 3 PM WEDNESDAY THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE TO FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 35.0 FEET, WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLANDS WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-102258-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.110308T0030Z.110317T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
458 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 3PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 22.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$

MSC111-102258-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0007.110313T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RNTM6.1.ER.110313T0000Z.110314T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
458 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 3PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 22 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.


$$

ALC023-025-129-102258-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0003.110309T2217Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.110309T1750Z.110311T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
458 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 3PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 37.7 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-102258-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0001.110311T1330Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.110311T1330Z.110314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
458 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 3PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 25.3 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC025-099-131-102257-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0008.110313T0600Z-110314T0000Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.110313T0600Z.110313T1100Z.110313T1800Z.NO/
458 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 3PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 42.1 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.


$$

MSC039-041-059-102257-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0005.110311T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.110311T1800Z.110314T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
458 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 3PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.

$$

912 
WGUS84 KMOB 101745
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1145 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO AND AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GREENE AND WAYNE AND GEORGE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVERS. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC041-153-111745-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0006.110312T0600Z-110312T1200Z/
/WYNM6.1.ER.110312T0600Z.110312T0600Z.110312T0600Z.NO/
1145 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO
* FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING
* AT 6 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 34 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 35 FEET EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 35 FEET, WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLANDS WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-111745-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.110308T0030Z.110317T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1145 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 11AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28 FEET BY NEXT WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
  LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$

568 
WGUS84 KMOB 110436
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1036 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY. 

  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM AFFECTING DALLAS...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 

  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY FLORIDA. 

  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 

  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 

  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 

  CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO AFFECTING GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE
COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG AREA RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-120436-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.110309T2322Z.110314T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1036 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 10PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 24 FEET, SOME COUNTY ROADS IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED.  

$$

MSC041-153-120436-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0006.110312T0600Z-110312T1200Z/
/WYNM6.1.ER.110312T0600Z.110312T0600Z.110312T0600Z.NO/
1036 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO
* AT 10 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS AN ESTIMATED 33.1 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35 FEET
* AT 35 FEET, WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLANDS WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-120436-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.110308T0030Z.110317T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1036 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 10PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
*AT 26 FEET, FLOODING AT THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE BEGINS WHEN THE LEVEL RISES ABOVE 
26 FEET.  

$$

MSC111-120436-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0007.110313T1312Z-110315T1200Z/
/RNTM6.1.ER.110313T1312Z.110314T0600Z.110315T0600Z.UU/
1036 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING
* AT 9PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 22 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-120436-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.110309T1750Z.110315T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1036 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 35.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

ALC023-025-129-120436-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.110311T0451Z.110316T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1036 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 7PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  27.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.


$$

ALC047-099-131-120436-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110314T2122Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.110310T0817Z.110312T1800Z.110314T1522Z.NO/
1036 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 9PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 67.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 66 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 71.8 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 66 FEET, FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE 
MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC025-099-131-120436-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.110310T1924Z.110313T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1036 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 07PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 47.7 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.


$$

ALC053-FLC033-120436-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0010.110312T1200Z-110313T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.110312T1200Z.110312T1200Z.110312T1800Z.NO/
1036 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING
* AT 10PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 17 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 17 FEET, CONSIDERABLE FLOODING OF LOWLANDS WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-120436-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0005.110312T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.110312T0000Z.110314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1036 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM TOMORROW EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 24.5 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 20 FEET, WATER COVERS MAIN ROAD AT PLUM BLUFF, IN SOUTHERN GEORGE COUNTY.  

$$

258 
WGUS84 KMOB 111638
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1038 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO AFFECTING GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC041-153-111708-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110312T1200Z/
/WYNM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1038 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY NEAR WAYNESBORO
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35 FEET

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1030 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011

.UPDATE...QUICK UPDATE TO FORECAST PACKAGE TO REMOVE
BUTLER...MONROE...CONECUH AND CRENSHAW COUNTIES IN ALABAMA AND
GEORGE COUNTY IN MISSISSIPPI FROM TORNADO WATCH #46.  OVERALL...
PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE SEEMS ON TRACK WITH ONLY MINOR TWEAKS
MADE...DID KNOCK HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION DOWN A FEW
DEGREES TODAY. /08

**********************PREVIOUS***************************

...TORNADO WATCH EASTERN TWO THIRDS TILL NOON...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALL THE AREA TODAY...
...WIND ADVISORY ALL AREA TODAY...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)MAIN FOCUS THIS MORNING AND EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING IN
FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED
FLOODING MOSTLY OVER THE NORTHWARD PART OF THE CWFA EARLY TODAY THEN
TRANSITIONING FURTHER TO THE SOUTH MOSTLY OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF
THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. TO THE
WEST A 100 KT UPPER JET AXIS CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD...REACHING
THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY BY AROUND MIDDAY WITH THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION NOSING FURTHER TO THE EAST NEARING WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CWFA LATER THIS MORNING. THE GFS...ECMWF AND NAM DEPICT THIS PATTERN
WELL WITH THE GFS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE OTHER 2 MODELS. ALL
MODELS ALSO SHOW THIS UPPER JET STRENGTHENING AS IT SHIFTS FURTHER
EAST LATER THIS MORNING RESULTING IN INCREASED LIFT IN THE LOWER
LEVELS AND UPPER DIVERGENCE ALOFT IN THE VICINITY OF THE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION. THIS FAVORABLE SIDE OF THE UPPER JET BECOMES MORE
IN PHASE WITH A 40 TO 45 KNOT H8 JET CORE OVER OUR AREA BY THIS TIME
LIKELY LEADING TO SOME EXPLOSIVE THUNDERSTORM GROWTH OVER SOME OF
OUR WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWFA BETWEEN 4 AND 9 AM. 0 TO 1 KM
HELICITY VALUES CONTINUE TO HOVER AROUND 300 M2/S2 FOR MOST AREAS
THIS MORNING LIKELY RESULTING IN MORE ROTATING CELLS THAN
NOT...SHIFTING EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AS A RESULT A TORNADO
WATCH HAS BEEN REISSUED FOR MOST OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWFA
THIS MORNING WHICH WILL LIKELY BE BE EXTENDED FURTHER TO THE EAST BY
AROUND 8 OR 9 AM THIS MORNING. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES. AS
FOR THE FURTHER FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL NEAR THE COAST LATER TODAY
HAVE BUMPED UP THE CURRENT QPF VALUES TO AROUND 2 INCHES OVER MUCH
OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ADJACENT ALABAMA COUNTIES
MOSTLY DUE TO TRAINING CELLS IN THE VICINITY OF THE BETTER LIFT OR
DYNAMIC FORCING ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER JET SHIFTING EAST.
SLIGHTLY BETTER MOISTURE OR THETA E VALUES ARE ALSO NOTED IN THE
GUIDANCE SUPPORTING THE BETTER QPF VALUES IN OUR COASTAL AND SE
AREAS. AS FOR TEMPS WILL GO WARMER THEN THE COOLER MET GUIDANCE FOR
MOST INLAND AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST...AND STAY CLOSE OR UNDERCUT
THE GUIDANCE A DEGREE OR TWO NEAR IMMEDIATE COAST DUE TO THE COOLER
NEAR SHORE WATERS. 32/EE

THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...COLD FRONT WILL BE OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA BY THURSDAY MORNING...TAKING THE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH IT. THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM WILL BE DRY AND COOL. HIGH
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MOSTLY MID 60S WITH THE COOLEST MORNING BEING
FRIDAY MORNING WITH MID TO LOW 30S GENERALLY NORTH OF AN ANDALUSIA
TO CHATOM LINE AND MID TO UPPER 30S SOUTH TO THE COAST. FRIDAY NIGHT
LOWS WILL BE LOWEST OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS WHERE LOWS WILL
APPROACH FREEZING AGAIN TO THE EAST OF A GREENVILLE TO CRESTVIEW
LINE. POSSIBILITY THAT A FREEZE WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FOR A
FEW AREAS SINCE ITS BEEN A WHILE SINCE WE HAVE HAD TEMPERATURES THAT
COOL. /11

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)AFTER A COOL START
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM NICELY INTO THE LOWER 70S ON SATURDAY.  THE
SURFACE HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY WITH THE WINDS
TURNING SOUTHEAST UNDER A ZONAL UPPER FLOW. SURFACE HIGH GRADUALLY
BREAKS DOWN BY SUNDAY AS A SHORT WAVE ROLLS EAST OUT OF THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES. THIS WAVE WILL SPREAD CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE EURO IS A BIT MORE ROBUST WITH THE SHORT WAVE BUT
BOTH THE GFS AND EURO GENERATE SOME RAIN FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT. GIVEN TIME OF YEAR...WENT AHEAD AND MADE THE WEATHER GRIDS
THUNDER VS SHOWERS ALTHOUGH POPS ARE ON THE LOW END. TEMPERATURES
MOSTLY 50S TO 70S.

&&

.MARINE...A STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
THIS EVENING AHEAD A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. SEAS WILL
BUILD TO 6 TO 8 FEET OUT TO 60 NM WITH ROUGH CONDITIONS OVER AREA
BAYS AND SOUNDS. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH SOME STORMS BECOMING STRONG TO SEVERE
POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED WITH WIND VELOCITIES IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS AND
VERY STRONG WATERSPOUTS MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE COAST. THE
THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL DECREASE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE MAIN
UPPER LEVEL FORCING BEGINS TO PULLOUT TO THE ENE. A STRONG OFFSHORE
FLOW IS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT
CONTINUING THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY...THEN GRADUALLY DECREASING
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL INITIALLY RANGE FROM 3 TO 5
FEET NEAR SHORE AND 5 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE THEN GRADUALLY
DECREASE LATE THU THROUGH FRI MORNING. A LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE MARINE AREA THROUGH MIDDAY FRIDAY BECOMING
SOUTHWEST BY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST. 32/EE

&&

.AVIATION...BKN TO OVC CEILINGS AROUND 1K FT LOWERING TO AROUND 500
FT AT TIMES IN HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS...CONTINUING THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE FROM NOW
THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACCOMPANIED BY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58
MPH...LARGE HAIL AND STRONG TORNADOES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE
SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KNOTS AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE WEST BY
EARLY THIS EVENING...RESULTING IN A NORTHERLY FLOW AT 12 TO 17 KTS
THROUGH 12Z THU. CLOUDS BASES WILL STEADILY LIFT BEHIND THE FRONT
MOSTLY BEFORE 06Z THU. 32/EE
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. WILL CONTINUE THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THURSDAY OVER THE PANHANDLE DUE TO 20 FOOT
NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR OR ABOVE 15 MPH AND LOWEST AFTERNOON HUMIDITY
BETWEEN 30 AND 35 PERCENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      72  45  64  38 / 100  20  00  00
PENSACOLA   70  49  64  41 / 100  30  00  00
DESTIN      70  51  63  43 / 100  50  00  00
EVERGREEN   71  45  62  33 / 100  30  05  00
WAYNESBORO  74  41  62  33 / 100  05  00  00
CAMDEN      71  43  61  32 / 100  20  05  00
CRESTVIEW   71  49  65  35 / 100  40  00  00

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...AND
     WILCOX.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...AND
     WILCOX.

FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 5 PM THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...AND COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND WAYNE.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND WAYNE.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT
     20 NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
     PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
555 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-101200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
600 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN FROM
THE WEST IN RESPONSE TO A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TRACKING
EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN GULF STATES. SOME STORMS WILL BECOME
SEVERE AT TIMES ACCOMPANIED WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT
EAST TODAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CONTINUES TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST.

DUE TO THE STRONG DYNAMICALLY FORCING ALOFT WITH THIS SYSTEM AND
DEEP ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE IN PLACE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING
EXISTS ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS MORNING THEN TRANSITIONING TO THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND THE ADJACENT ALABAMA COUNTIES LATER THIS MORNING
CONTINUING THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL TOTALS COULD
REACH 5 TO 7 INCHES LOCALLY OVER THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING AND 3 TO 5 INCHES LOCALLY OVER THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE ADJACENT ALABAMA COUNTIES LATE
THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL TOTALS COUNTY WIDE WILL
LIKELY REACH 2 TO 3 INCHES IN THESE AREAS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

A STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY STRONG
OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO GIVE WAY TO HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
NORTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND SPOTTER INFORMATION WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF TODAY. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL
DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST BEGINNING LATER THIS MORNING...EXITING
THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
EARLY THIS EVENING. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES THROUGHOUT THE
DAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
936 AM CST WED MAR 09 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0931 AM     TORNADO          SILVERHILL              30.55N 87.75W
03/09/2011                   BALDWIN            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BALDWIN COUNTY EMA REPORTING DAMAGE IN THE FORM OF
            SEVERAL ROOFS BLOWN OFF HOUSES. STREETS AFFECTED INCLUDE
            FIRST AND FOURTH STREET AS WELL AS HIGHWAY 104 AND FOURTH
            STREET.

&&

CUPO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1006 AM CST WED MAR 09 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1001 AM     HAIL             10 NW PENSACOLA         30.52N 87.31W
03/09/2011  E1.00 INCH       ESCAMBIA           FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL REPORTED ALONG TEN MILE ROAD NORTH OF PENSACOLA.

&&

CUPO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1017 AM CST WED MAR 09 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0932 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ANDALUSIA               31.31N 86.48W
03/09/2011                   COVINGTON          AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN NEAR AIRPORT ROAD AND SOUTH
            BYPASS.

&&

CUPO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1023 AM CST WED MAR 09 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0923 AM     TORNADO          WALNUT HILL             30.89N 87.51W
03/09/2011                   ESCAMBIA           FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAMAGE TO AN UNKNOWN NUMBER OF HOMES WERE REPORTED WITH
            TREES DOWNED ON THE HOMES. CONFIRMED BY EMERGENCY
            MANAGER.

&&

CUPO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1039 AM CST WED MAR 09 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MCDAVID                 30.87N 87.32W
03/09/2011                   ESCAMBIA           FL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            ESCAMBIA COUNTY 911 REPORTED FIVE STRUCTURES WITH HEAVY
            DAMAGE ALONG THE TWO-HUNDRED BLOCK OF MAIN STREET.

&&

CUPO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1041 AM CST WED MAR 09 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1016 AM     TORNADO          MILTON                  30.62N 87.03W
03/09/2011                   SANTA ROSA         FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET SIGN BENT OVER AND A TREE DOWN IN YARD NEAR THE
            FIVE THOUSAND BLOCK OF ALABAMA STREET.

&&

CUPO