Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2011

Red Flag Warning 19, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

February 25, 20117 counties in Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this red flag warning at Feb 25, 2011, 2:17 PM CST for 7 counties in Texas. It took effect at Feb 26, 2011, 11:00 AM CST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 25, 2011, 2:17 PM CST (20:17 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 26, 2011, 11:00 AM CST
Expired
Feb 26, 2011, 6:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Counties Andrews County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Loving County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-02-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-02-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 56 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2687 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
146 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

660 
WWUS84 KMAF 252017
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
217 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS
GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10 FOR 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR
GREATER...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO...THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...UPPER TRANS PECOS...GUADALUPE
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN CORRIDOR AND PRESIDIO COUNTY FOR 20
FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15
PERCENT OR LESS...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR 20 FT WINDS OF 30 MPH OR GREATER...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...AND VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.WINDY AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. SINGLE DIGIT MINIMUM RH VALUES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY. AREAS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 10 WILL SEE WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER THIS AFTERNOON.
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA WILL EXPERIENCE WINDS OF 20 MPH OR
GREATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW MAKES ITS
WAY INTO THE SOUTHWEST CONUS. THE MOST DANGEROUS DAY FOR FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE SUNDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE
10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE AGAIN FOR THE ENTIRE CWA. WITH THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW JUST NORTH OF THE AREA...VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP
THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS SUNDAY.

NMZ114-115-TXZ045-046-050-057>060-067-074-258-260830-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0014.110226T1700Z-110227T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0019.110226T1700Z-110227T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110226T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0015.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-ANDREWS-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-WARD-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
217 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011 /117 PM MST FRI FEB 25 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN 
PERMIAN BASIN...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...UPPER TRANS 
PECOS...AND DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CST /10 AM MST/ TO 6 PM
CST /5 PM MST/ SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE 
WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...UPPER 
TRANS PECOS...AND DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE 
WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...UPPER 
TRANS PECOS...AND DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CST /10 AM MST/ TO
6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ SATURDAY.  

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NEW MEXICO...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN 
  NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ. IN TEXAS... 
  GAINES...DAWSON...ANDREWS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 
  CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...LOVING... 
  WINKLER...WARD...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE 
  MOUNTAINS. 

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
  FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND: WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH FOR THE PLAINS TODAY AND 
  SATURDAY. WEST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH FOR THE MOUNTAINS TODAY AND 
  SATURDAY. WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 
  MPH FOR THE PLAINS...AND 55 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 100 MPH 
  FOR THE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY: 4 TO 14 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND 
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS AND 
VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE WEATHER 
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

&&

$$

TXZ075-080-260830-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0014.110226T1700Z-110227T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0019.110226T1700Z-110227T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0015.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
217 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE MARFA PLATEAU...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE 
MARFA PLATEAU...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM CST
SATURDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...PECOS...MARFA PLATEAU.

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON. FIRE WEATHER WATCH
  SUNDAY.

* WIND: WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH SATURDAY. WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 
  MPH GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 12 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND 
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS AND 
VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE WEATHER 
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

&&

$$

TXZ047-048-051>053-061>063-068>070-260830-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110226T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0015.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
BORDEN-SCURRY-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-
CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
217 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE 
EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...BORDEN...SCURRY...MARTIN...HOWARD...
  MITCHELL...ECTOR...MIDLAND...GLASSCOCK...CRANE...UPTON... 
  REAGAN. 

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE WEATHER WATCH 
  SUNDAY.

* WIND: WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH TODAY. WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH 
  GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 MPH SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND 
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS AND 
VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE WEATHER 
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

&&

$$

TXZ079-081-082-260830-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0015.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
PRESIDIO VALLEY-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
217 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE 
BIG BEND AREA AND LOWER TRANS PECOS...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...BIG BEND AREA...
  TERRELL. 

* TIMING: FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY.

* WIND: WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 MPH 
  SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY: 4 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND 
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS AND 
VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE WEATHER 
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)
3 follow-up statements
604 
WWUS84 KMAF 260021
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
621 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO...THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...UPPER TRANS PECOS...
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN CORRIDOR AND PRESIDIO
COUNTY FOR 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR 20 FT WINDS OF 30 MPH OR GREATER...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...AND VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.WINDY AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. SINGLE DIGIT MINIMUM RH VALUES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR SATURDAY. WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA WILL
EXPERIENCE WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS A
STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE SOUTHWEST CONUS. THE
MOST DANGEROUS DAY FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE SUNDAY.
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE AGAIN FOR
THE ENTIRE CWA. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST NORTH OF THE
AREA...VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE LATE EVENING
HOURS SUNDAY.

NMZ114-115-TXZ045-046-050-057>060-067-074-258-261230-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110226T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0019.110226T1700Z-110227T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0015.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-ANDREWS-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-WARD-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
621 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011 /521 PM MST FRI FEB 25 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CST /10 AM MST/
TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...UPPER 
TRANS PECOS...AND DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FOR THE 
WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...UPPER 
TRANS PECOS...AND DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54
CORRIDOR...UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NEW MEXICO...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ. IN TEXAS...
GAINES...DAWSON...ANDREWS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54
CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...LOVING...
WINKLER...WARD...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS.

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON.FIRE WEATHER WATCH
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND: WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH FOR THE PLAINS SATURDAY. 
        WEST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH FOR THE MOUNTAINS SATURDAY. 
        WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 MPH FOR THE
        PLAINS...AND 55 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 100 MPH FOR THE
        MOUNTAINS SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY: 4 TO 14 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RED FLAG WARNING -- NO FIRE...AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR
ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-
DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ047-048-051>053-061>063-068>070-261230-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110226T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0015.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
BORDEN-SCURRY-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-
CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
621 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE
EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...BORDEN...SCURRY...MARTIN...HOWARD...
  MITCHELL...ECTOR...MIDLAND...GLASSCOCK...CRANE...UPTON... 
  REAGAN. 

* TIMING: FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY.

* WIND: WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 MPH SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ075-080-261230-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0019.110226T1700Z-110227T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0015.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
621 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM CST
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR PECOS AND MARFA
PLATEAU...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR 
PECOS AND MARFA PLATEAU...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...PECOS...MARFA PLATEAU.

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON. FIRE WEATHER 
  WATCH SUNDAY. 

* WIND: WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH SATURDAY. WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 
  MPH GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 12 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

&&

$$

TXZ079-081-082-261230-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0015.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
PRESIDIO VALLEY-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
621 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR 
PRESIDIO VALLEY AND BIG BEND AREA...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...BIG BEND AREA...
  TERRELL. 

* TIMING: FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY.

* WIND: WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 MPH 
  SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY: 4 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)
833 
WWUS84 KMAF 261009
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
409 AM CST SAT FEB 26 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO...THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...UPPER TRANS PECOS...
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN CORRIDOR AND PRESIDIO
COUNTY FOR 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT SUNDAY FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS CONSISTING OF 20 FT WINDS OF 30 MPH OR GREATER...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...AND VERY HIGH
FIRE DANGER...

.WINDY AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. SINGLE DIGIT MINIMUM RH VALUES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ARE
ANTICIPATED TODAY. WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL EXPERIENCE
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER THIS AFTERNOON AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
MOVES INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THE MOST DANGEROUS DAY FOR FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL BE SUNDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE 10 TO 15
PERCENT RANGE AGAIN FOR THE ENTIRE CWA. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
JUST NORTH OF THE AREA...VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH
THE LATE EVENING HOURS SUNDAY. EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS COULD BE
A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER EVENT.

TXZ046-050-060-067-075-262200-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FW.W.0019.110226T1700Z-110227T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0015.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0020.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
DAWSON-ANDREWS-WINKLER-WARD-PECOS-
409 AM CST SAT FEB 26 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND UPPER 
TRANS PECOS...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR TODAY FOR MOST OF THE WESTERN 
PERMIAN BASIN AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...DAWSON...ANDREWS...WINKLER...WARD...
  PECOS. 

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* WIND: SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR
  60 TO 65 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* HUMIDITY: 9 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&


$$

NMZ114-115-TXZ045-057>059-074-080-258-262200-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0015.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0020.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0019.110226T1700Z-110227T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-MARFA PLATEAU-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
409 AM CST SAT FEB 26 2011 /309 AM MST SAT FEB 26 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CST /10 AM MST/
THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS
AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE VAN HORN HIGHWAY 
54 CORRIDOR...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO 9 PM
CST /8 PM MST/ SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR 
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE VAN HORN HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...THE 
UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO
9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NEW MEXICO...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN 
  NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ. IN TEXAS... 
  GAINES...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND 
  UPPER TRANS PECOS...LOVING...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA... 
  MARFA PLATEAU...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. 

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON. RED FLAG WARNING LATE
  SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING.

* WIND: WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH TODAY. WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH
  GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 SUNDAY. WINDS COULD BE STRONGER SUNDAY IN
  THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ047-048-051>053-061>063-068>070-079-081-082-262200-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0015.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0020.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
BORDEN-SCURRY-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-
CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PRESIDIO VALLEY-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
409 AM CST SAT FEB 26 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...LOWER TRANS 
PECOS...AND BIG BEND...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...BORDEN...SCURRY...MARTIN...HOWARD...
  MITCHELL...ECTOR...MIDLAND...GLASSCOCK...CRANE...UPTON... 
  REAGAN...PRESIDIO VALLEY...BIG BEND AREA...TERRELL. 

* TIMING: LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING.

* WIND: WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 MPH SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY: 8 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)
140 
WWUS84 KMAF 262023
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
223 PM CST SAT FEB 26 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO...THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...UPPER TRANS
PECOS... GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN CORRIDOR AND
PRESIDIO COUNTY FOR 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT SUNDAY FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS CONSISTING OF 20 FT WINDS OF 30 MPH OR GREATER...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...AND VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.WINDY AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THE REST OF TODAY.
TOMORROW LOOK FOR HIGHER RH BUT ALSO HIGHER WIND SPEEDS. SINGLE
DIGIT MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE POSSIBLE FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL EXPERIENCE WINDS
OF 20 MPH OR GREATER THIS AFTERNOON AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
THROUGH MOVES INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THE MOST DANGEROUS DAY FOR
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE SUNDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE IN
THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE AGAIN FOR THE ENTIRE CWA. WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL APPROACHING THE AREA...VERY STRONG WINDS WILL MIX DOWN
TO THE SURFACE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON SUNDAY.  EXTREMELY
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA. THIS COULD BE A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
EVENT.

NMZ114-115-TXZ045-057>059-074-080-258-270830-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110227T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0020.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-MARFA PLATEAU-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
223 PM CST SAT FEB 26 2011 /123 PM MST SAT FEB 26 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE GUADALUPE 
MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS... DAVIS MOUNTAINS... AND
VAN HORN REGION...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO
9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY 
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS... DAVIS
MOUNTAINS... AND VAN HORN REGION...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NEW MEXICO...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN 
  NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ. IN TEXAS... 
  GAINES...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND 
  UPPER TRANS PECOS...LOVING...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA... 
  MARFA PLATEAU...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. 

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON. RED FLAG WARNING 
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING. 

* WIND: WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH TODAY. WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH 
  GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 SUNDAY. WINDS COULD BE STRONGER SUNDAY IN 
  THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ046>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-075-079-081-082-270830-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0020.110227T1500Z-110228T0300Z/
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-WINKLER-ECTOR-
MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
223 PM CST SAT FEB 26 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...DAWSON...BORDEN...SCURRY...
  ANDREWS...MARTIN...HOWARD...MITCHELL...WINKLER...ECTOR... 
  MIDLAND...GLASSCOCK...WARD...CRANE...UPTON...REAGAN...PECOS...
   PRESIDIO VALLEY...BIG BEND AREA...TERRELL. 

* TIMING: LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY EVENING.

* WIND: WEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH GUSTS NEAR 60 TO 65 MPH SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY: 8 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. HIGH WINDS
AND VERY LOW RH/S...COMBINED WITH ONGOING DROUGHT...WILL CREATE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Feb 25, 11:17 AM CST, 3 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 25, 11:17 AM CST, 3 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1117 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SEE BELOW

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL LAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ONCE
AGAIN...BEFORE DYING DOWN AROUND SUNSET. THE SAME SETUP IS
EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY...WITH WINDS GUSTING AGAIN STARTING LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2011/

DISCUSSION...
SWIFT ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE TODAY AND SATURDAY. THIS WILL
RESULT IN GENERALLY MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AS A LEE TROUGH
PERSISTS AND INTENSIFIES WITH LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGING DEVELOPING.
THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE NORTHEAST PERMIAN BASIN
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT HAD BACK DOORED THAT AREA. THIS FRONT WILL
MIX EAST/WEAKEN DURING THE DAY TODAY IN THE ZONAL DOWN SLOPE FLOW.
ALTHOUGH THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE RATHER WEAK TODAY
HAVE UPGRADED THE HIGH WIND WATCH TO HIGH WIND WARNING THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AS WESTERLY 700 MILLIBAR
FLOW INCREASES TO 30 TO 40 KNOTS. WILL CONTINUE THE HIGH WIND
WATCH SATURDAY FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS DUE TO 700 MILLIBAR
FLOW THAT WILL RANGE FROM 35 TO 45 KNOTS OUT OF THE WEST-SOUTHWEST.

THE MAIN WEATHER STORY THIS PACKAGE CONTINUES TO BE THE POTENTIAL
FOR A WIDESPREAD HIGH WIND EVENT SUNDAY AS AN INTENSE UPPER LEVEL
STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE FORECAST TO TRACK FROM THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES TO THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE. AN UPPER LEVEL JET
OF 110 TO 150 KNOTS IS PROGGED TO BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA WITH
A VERY IMPRESSIVE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT
PLOWS EAST DURING THE DAY. WILL CONTINUE THE HIGH WIND WATCH AND
CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. IN ADDITION
AREAS OF BLOWING DUST MAY IMPACT THE ENTIRE COUNTY WARNING AREA
DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.

BEYOND SUNDAY THE FLOW ALOFT NEXT WEEK CONTINUES TO BE PROGGED TO
BE ZONAL SO PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN VERY
LOW. TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL BE KNOCKED BACK TO NEAR NORMAL
BEHIND SUNDAYS FRONT BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN
BY TUESDAY AS ANOTHER PERSISTENT LEE TROUGH FORMS BENEATH THE
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT.

FIRE WEATHER...
STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TODAY THE FOCUS WILL BE WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER
WHERE THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST. A FIRE NEAR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
NP IS ONGOING AND STRONG WINDS WILL REMOTE AND DIFFICULT TERRAIN
WILL INHIBIT FIRE CONTROL EFFORTS. WINDS BECOME WEAKER THE FURTHER
EAST YOU GO AND THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR
TODAY MAY NOT QUITE VERIFY WITH WINDS TOPPING OUT AT 15 TO 20 MPH
DUE TO A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN BASIN.
HOWEVER GIVEN THE VERY DRY CONDITIONS DECIDED NOT TO TRIM BACK THE
RED FLAG WARNING TODAY.

POOR TO FAIR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY LOOKS MUCH LIKE TODAY WITH SOLID RED FLAG CONDITIONS OUT
WEST BECOMING MORE MARGINAL FURTHER EAST. ADDED DAWSON AND PECOS
COUNTIES TO THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY AND LEFT THE REST AS IS.

THE WORST CONDITIONS STILL POINT TO SUNDAY WHERE STRONG WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROPPING
BELOW 15 PERCENT. THIS COULD BE AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
DAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON SHIFTING
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO A WEST OR NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. THE FRONT WILL
KEEP THE WINDS WELL ABOVE 20 MPH INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AND SO DESPITE
FAIR RH RECOVERY...DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE
WELL AFTER SUNSET. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN MONDAY WILL RELAX THE
WINDS BUT VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT
INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN
     NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY
     PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA
     COUNTY...SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST
     PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
     NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
     COUNTY.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... ANDREWS...BIG BEND AREA...
     BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...
     ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...
     PECOS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER
     TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...TERRELL...UPTON...VAN HORN AND
     HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...WINKLER.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... ANDREWS...BIG BEND AREA...BORDEN...
     CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...
     GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...
     PECOS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER
     TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...TERRELL...UPTON...VAN HORN AND
     HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...WINKLER.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... ANDREWS...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE
     MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...
     GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...LOVING...MARTIN...MIDLAND...
     MITCHELL...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...
     SCURRY...UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...
     WINKLER.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... ANDREWS...DAVIS/APACHE
     MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...GAINES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...PECOS...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER
     TRANS PECOS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...
     WINKLER.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

76
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 25, 12:42 PM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1242 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-261845-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1242 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2011 /1142 AM MST FRI FEB 25 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TODAY FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS AND A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

IT WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
CONTINUE SATURDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE UPPER TRANS
PECOS...DAVIS MOUNTAINS...MARFA PLATEAU AND WESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AGAIN
FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...A HIGH WIND
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE MOST DANGEROUS DAY
FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE SUNDAY...WHEN EXTREMELY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. DRY AND VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH AND A HIGH WIND WATCH ARE IN EFFECT
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 25, 3:59 AM CSTHigh Wind WatchMAF24 hr
Feb 25, 3:59 AM CSTHigh Wind WarningMAF14 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2011Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.