Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2011

Red Flag Warning 14, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

February 19, 201119 counties in Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this red flag warning at Feb 19, 2011, 5:09 AM CST for 19 counties in Texas. It took effect at Feb 20, 2011, 9:00 AM CST. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 19, 2011, 5:09 AM CST (11:09 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 20, 2011, 9:00 AM CST
Expired
Feb 20, 2011, 6:00 PM CST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Counties Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Crane County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 8 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2011-02-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2011-02-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2303 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
121 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

847 
WWUS84 KMAF 191109
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
509 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE GUADALUPE...DAVIS...AND APACHE
MOUNTAINS...AND THE VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR FOR MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20
MPH OR GREATER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...AND THE GUADALUPE...DAVIS...
AND APACHE MOUNTAINS...THE PERMIAN BASIN...UPPER TRANS PECOS...
AND BIG BEND REGIONS OF WEST TEXAS FOR MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND LOWER TRANS
PECOS REGIONS OF WEST TEXAS FOR MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15
PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND HIGH
FIRE DANGER...

.CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS
A VERY DRY AIRMASS...UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...DRY FUELS...
AND STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. RAPID AND INTENSE
FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE 
MOUNTAINS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  

NMZ114-TXZ057-074-258-192200-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0010.110220T1500Z-110221T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0014.110220T1500Z-110221T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0013.110219T1800Z-110220T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
509 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011 /409 AM MST SAT FEB 19 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST /11 AM MST/
TODAY TO 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS INCLUDING GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
AND CARLSBAD CAVERNS NATIONAL PARKS...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST...
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...AND THE DAVIS AND APACHE 
MOUNTAINS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO 6 PM
CST /5 PM MST/ SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS INCLUDING GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND CARLSBAD
CAVERNS NATIONAL PARKS...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST...VAN HORN AND
HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...AND THE DAVIS AND APACHE MOUNTAINS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO
6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NEW MEXICO...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN 
  NF/LNZ. IN TEXAS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR... 
  DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. 

* TIMING: SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 

* WIND: SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN 
  THE AFTERNOON. 

* HUMIDITY: 10 TO 15 PERCENT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

NMZ115-TXZ045-046-050-051-058>062-067>069-075-079>081-192200-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0010.110220T1500Z-110221T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0014.110220T1500Z-110221T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-ANDREWS-MARTIN-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
WARD-CRANE-UPTON-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-
509 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011 /409 AM MST SAT FEB 19 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO 6 PM
CST /5 PM MST/ SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE
PERMIAN BASIN...UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND BIG BEND REGIONS OF 
WEST TEXAS...AND THE PLAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO
6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NEW MEXICO...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM 
  ROSWELL/LNZ. IN TEXAS...GAINES...DAWSON...ANDREWS...MARTIN... 
  REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...LOVING...WINKLER... 
  ECTOR...MIDLAND...WARD...CRANE...UPTON...PECOS...PRESIDIO 
  VALLEY...MARFA PLATEAU...BIG BEND AREA. 

* TIMING: SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. 

* WIND: IN NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 25 
  TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. IN TEXAS... 
  SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN 
  THE AFTERNOON. 

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 15 PERCENT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ047-048-052-053-063-070-082-192200-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0010.110220T1500Z-110221T0000Z/
BORDEN-SCURRY-HOWARD-MITCHELL-GLASSCOCK-REAGAN-TERRELL-
509 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR 
THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AND THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS OF 
WEST TEXAS...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...BORDEN...SCURRY...HOWARD...
  MITCHELL...GLASSCOCK...REAGAN...TERRELL. 

* TIMING: SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. 

* WIND: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
  MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY: 10 TO 20 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR.  INCREASED WIND SPEEDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CREATE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD SUNDAY.
LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

70
4 follow-up statements
160 
WWUS84 KMAF 192030
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
230 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE GUADALUPE...
DAVIS...AND APACHE MOUNTAINS...AND THE VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54
CORRIDOR FOR MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR
LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND HIGH FIRE
DANGER...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...THE PERMIAN BASIN...TRANS
PECOS...AND BIG BEND REGIONS OF WEST TEXAS FOR MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR
GREATER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST IN THE GUADALUPE
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS TODAY...THEN SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO SUNDAY AS A VERY DRY
AIRMASS...UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...DRY FUELS...AND STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. RAPID AND INTENSE FIRE GROWTH
AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

TXZ047-048-052-053-063-070-082-200400-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0010.110220T1500Z-110221T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KMAF.FW.W.0014.110220T1500Z-110221T0000Z/
BORDEN-SCURRY-HOWARD-MITCHELL-GLASSCOCK-REAGAN-TERRELL-
230 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING
PLAINS...FAR EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN...AND LOWER TRANS PECOS
REGION... 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...BORDEN...SCURRY...HOWARD...
  MITCHELL...GLASSCOCK...REAGAN...TERRELL. 

* TIMING: SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

* WIND: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 
  MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY: 10 TO 20 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR.  INCREASED WIND SPEEDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CREATE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD SUNDAY.
LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&


$$

NMZ114-TXZ057-074-258-200400-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110220T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.110220T1500Z-110221T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
230 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011 /130 PM MST SAT FEB 19 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE GUADALUPE 
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO
6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO
6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NEW MEXICO...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN 
  NF/LNZ. IN TEXAS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR... 
  DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. 

* TIMING: SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

* WIND: SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN 
  THE AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY: 10 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

NMZ115-TXZ045-046-050-051-058>062-067>069-075-079>081-200400-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.110220T1500Z-110221T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-ANDREWS-MARTIN-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
WARD-CRANE-UPTON-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-
230 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011 /130 PM MST SAT FEB 19 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO
6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
THE PLAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...PERMIAN BASIN...TRANS
PECOS AND BIG BEND REGIONS...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NEW MEXICO...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM 
  ROSWELL/LNZ. IN TEXAS...GAINES...DAWSON...ANDREWS...MARTIN... 
  REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...LOVING...WINKLER... 
  ECTOR...MIDLAND...WARD...CRANE...UPTON...PECOS...PRESIDIO 
  VALLEY...MARFA PLATEAU...BIG BEND AREA. 

* TIMING: SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

* WIND: IN NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH IN
  THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. IN TEXAS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
  INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE PERMIAN BASIN
  AND LOWER TRANS PECOS AND 25 TO 35 MPH ELSEWHERE.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)
234 
WWUS84 KMAF 200339
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
939 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...THE PERMIAN BASIN...TRANS
PECOS...AND BIG BEND REGIONS OF WEST TEXAS FOR MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR
GREATER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO SUNDAY AS A VERY DRY
AIRMASS...UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...DRY FUELS...AND STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IMPACT THE AREA. RAPID AND INTENSE FIRE GROWTH
AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

NMZ114-115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-258-
201545-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.110220T1500Z-110221T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
939 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011 /839 PM MST SAT FEB 19 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO
6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NEW MEXICO...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN 
  NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ. IN TEXAS... 
  GAINES...DAWSON...BORDEN...SCURRY...ANDREWS...MARTIN... 
  HOWARD...MITCHELL...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...REEVES 
  COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...LOVING...WINKLER...ECTOR... 
  MIDLAND...GLASSCOCK...WARD...CRANE...UPTON...REAGAN... 
  DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...PECOS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...MARFA 
  PLATEAU...BIG BEND AREA...TERRELL...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. 

* TIMING: LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

* WIND: IN NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING
  INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
  IN TEXAS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING INCREASING TO
  20 TO 25 MPH FROM THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
  PERMIAN BASIN...LOWER TRANS PECOS...AND PRESIDIO RIVER VALLEY.
  ELSEWHERE...25 TO 35 MPH. IN THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS
  MOUNTAINS...WEST SOUTHWEST 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 65 AND
  60 MPH RESPECTIVELY.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. INCREASED WIND SPEEDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CREATE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD SUNDAY. LISTEN FOR
LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)
306 
WWUS84 KMAF 200950
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
350 AM CST SUN FEB 20 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...THE PERMIAN BASIN...TRANS PECOS...
AND THE BIG BEND REGION OF WEST TEXAS FOR MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR
GREATER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO TODAY AS A VERY DRY AIRMASS...
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...DRY FUELS...AND STRONG GUSTY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IMPACT THE AREA. RAPID AND INTENSE FIRE GROWTH
AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

NMZ114-115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-258-
210000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.110220T1500Z-110221T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
350 AM CST SUN FEB 20 2011 /250 AM MST SUN FEB 20 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/
THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NEW MEXICO...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN 
  NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ. IN TEXAS... 
  GAINES...DAWSON...BORDEN...SCURRY...ANDREWS...MARTIN... 
  HOWARD...MITCHELL...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...REEVES 
  COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...LOVING...WINKLER...ECTOR... 
  MIDLAND...GLASSCOCK...WARD...CRANE...UPTON...REAGAN... 
  DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...PECOS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...MARFA 
  PLATEAU...BIG BEND AREA...TERRELL...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. 

* TIMING: BEGINNING LATE THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

* WIND: IN NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING 
  INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 50 
  MPH. IN TEXAS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING 
  INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH FROM THE SOUTHWEST IN THE 
  AFTERNOON ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN...LOWER TRANS PECOS...AND 
  PRESIDIO RIVER VALLEY. ELSEWHERE...25 TO 35 MPH. IN THE 
  GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...WEST SOUTHWEST 30 TO 45 MPH 
  WITH GUSTS NEAR 65 AND 60 MPH RESPECTIVELY.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. INCREASED WIND SPEEDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CREATE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD TODAY. CLOSELY MONITOR
CURRENT CONDITIONS DURING THESE STRONG RED FLAG CONDITION DAYS.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)
107 
WWUS84 KMAF 202014
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
214 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...THE PERMIAN BASIN...TRANS PECOS...AND
THE BIG BEND REGION OF WEST TEXAS FOR MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AS A VERY DRY
AIRMASS...UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...DRY FUELS...AND GUSTY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IMPACT THE AREA. RAPID AND INTENSE FIRE GROWTH
AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

NMZ114-115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-258-
210000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-110221T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
214 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2011 /114 PM MST SUN FEB 20 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHEASTERN 
NEW MEXICO...THE PERMIAN BASIN...AND SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NEW MEXICO...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN 
  NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ. IN TEXAS... 
  GAINES...DAWSON...BORDEN...SCURRY...ANDREWS...MARTIN... 
  HOWARD...MITCHELL...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...REEVES 
  COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...LOVING...WINKLER...ECTOR... 
  MIDLAND...GLASSCOCK...WARD...CRANE...UPTON...REAGAN... 
  DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...PECOS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...MARFA 
  PLATEAU...BIG BEND AREA...TERRELL...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. 

* TIMING: CURRENT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* WIND: IN NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. IN TEXAS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH ACROSS THE
  PERMIAN BASIN...LOWER TRANS PECOS...AND PRESIDIO RIVER VALLEY.
  ELSEWHERE...25 TO 35 MPH. IN THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS
  MOUNTAINS...WEST SOUTHWEST 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 65 AND
  60 MPH RESPECTIVELY.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. INCREASED WIND SPEEDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CREATE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD TODAY. CLOSELY
MONITOR CURRENT CONDITIONS DURING THESE STRONG RED FLAG CONDITION
DAYS.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Feb 19, 3:05 AM CST, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 3:05 AM CST, 2 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
305 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
BROAD RIDGING CAN BE SEEN OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL
UNITED STATES ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER
THE AREA IS BRINGING IN SOME UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS. TROUGHING CAN BE
SEEN OFF THE WEST COAST OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW OFF THE COAST OF OREGON. LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE
CURRENTLY PRESENT AT THE SURFACE. SOME STRATUS CAN BE SEEN ON
SATELLITE OVER THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AND INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN.
SOME PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS IN THESE
AREAS.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PROJECTED TO MAKE ITS WAY SOUTH AND THEN CUT
EAST INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HIGH WINDS
ARE STILL ANTICIPATED FOR THE MOUNTAINS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER
TO THE CWA. 700MB WIND SPEEDS START INCREASING THIS EVENING. THE GFS
AND NAM BOTH SHOW WIND SPEEDS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS BY SUNDAY MORNING. 700MB HEIGHT GRADIENT IS AS
TIGHT AS 90 TO 100 DECAMETERS/200NM ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AND CROSS
SECTIONS SHOW A NICE ROTOR OF NEG 20CM/SEC. HAVE WENT AHEAD AND
UPGRADED THE HIGH WIND WATCH TO A WARNING. WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE IT
TO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS LATER THAN THE GUADALUPES PROBABLY STARTING
SUNDAY MORNING. BOTH THE NAM AND GFS ARE SHOWING 700MG HEIGHT
GRADIENTS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND UPPER TRANS PECOS OF 80
DECAMETERS/200NM STARTING SUNDAY MORNING. WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY FOR THESE AREAS AND THE VAN HORN CORRIDOR.

MORE STRATUS IS EXPECTED FOR TOMORROW MORNING FOR THE LOWER TRANS
PECOS AND SOUTHEASTERN PERMIAN BASIN. DESPITE THIS INCREASED CLOUD
COVER TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL.
850MB TEMPS WILL BE BETWEEN 15 AND 20 DEGREES C SATURDAY...AND OVER
20 DEGREES C ACROSS THE WHOLE CWA SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE AREA MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO
ABOUT 5 OR SO DEGREES WITHIN NORMAL. THE NAM IS SHOWING 20 KNOT
WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT MONDAY EVENING FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN. THE
GFS AND ECMWF ARE SHOWING WINDS AROUND 15.

THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO IMPACT THE AREA WILL BE ARRIVING
LATER IN THE WEEK. THE MEX IS STILL SHOWING SOME HIGHER WINDS AND
THE GFS IS SHOWING STRONG 700MB WIND SPEEDS FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...BUT THE ECMWF IS STILL NOT AGREEING AT THIS POINT. BOTH
MODELS ARE SHOWING A DRY WEEK FOR THIS COMING WEEK. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT MAY MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND...BRINGING SOME
COOLER TEMPERATURES.

.FIRE WX...
THE COMBINATION OF VERY LOW RH...UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST THIS
AFTERNOON FROM THE GUADALUPES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE APACHE AND DAVIS
RANGES.  CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER THESE AREAS
BEGINNING AROUND NOON...THUS WE WILL MAINTAIN THE RED FLAG WARNING
IN TOTO.

RH RECOVERY WILL BE POOR OVER THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT BUT VERY GOOD TO
EXCELLENT ELSEWHERE...PARTICULARY EAST OF A LAMESA...MIDLAND...FORT
STOCKTON...SANDERSON LINE...WHERE GULF MOISTURE RETURN IS INDICATED.
THIS WILL IN TURN AFFECT FINE FUEL MOISTURES...AND ALONG WITH THAT
THERE ARE SOME QUESTIONS AS TO THE EXTENT THAT THIS MOISTURE WILL
MIX OUT EAST OF THIS LINE SUNDAY.  CONSEQUENTLY...WE WILL HOLD OFF
ON UPGRADING THIS AREA TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR SUNDAY.

WEST OF A LAMESA...MIDLAND...FORT STOCKTON...TO SANDERSON LINE...WE
EXPECT ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY.  RH
READINGS IN THE TEENS TO SINGLE DIGITS ARE LIKELY...ALONG WITH 20
FOOT WINDS ABOVE 20 MPH.  WINDS MAY BE A BIT MORE MARGINAL OVER THE
UPPER TRANS PECOS GIVEN A FORECASTED WEAKNESS IN THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT.  HOWEVER...GIVEN THE EXPECTED POOR RH RECOVERY LEADING TO
PRECONDITIONED FUELS...MODERATE HAINES INDICES...AND PLACEMENT OF
THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE...WE FEEL THAT THIS WILL MAKE UP FOR THE
MARGINAL WINDS.  AS A RESULT...WE WILL ISSUE A RED FLAG WARNING FOR
SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE MIDLAND FIRE WEATHER
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY.

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH A WIND SHIFT
TO THE NORTH/NORTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL.  RH VALUES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE TEENS MONDAY AFTERNOON BUT WINDS ARE NOT
FORECAST TO BE AS STRONG AS ON SUNDAY.  HENCE WE WILL HOLD OFF ON
HIGHLIGHTS FOR NOW AND AWAIT FURTHER MODEL RUNS TO SEE IF THE SURFACE
WINDS TREND UPWARD FROM WHAT IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              75  56  82  43  /  10  10  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                87  48  80  42  /   0   0  10   0
DRYDEN TX                  76  51  82  45  /  10  10  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           83  54  87  43  /  10  10   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          79  48  76  37  /   0   0  10   0
HOBBS NM                   79  45  79  41  /  10   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   79  35  80  36  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    77  51  83  40  /  10  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                  78  53  82  41  /  10  10  10  10
WINK TX                    86  46  87  41  /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 8 AM TO 5 PM MST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST
     PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST SUNDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
     COUNTY.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
     NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...NORTHERN
     LEA COUNTY...SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/
     SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... ANDREWS...BIG BEND AREA...
     CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...
     GAINES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...
     MARTIN...MIDLAND...PECOS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...REEVES COUNTY
     AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54
     CORRIDOR...WARD...WINKLER.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... BORDEN...GLASSCOCK...HOWARD...
     MITCHELL...REAGAN...SCURRY...TERRELL.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS EVENING TO
     MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ SUNDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON CST /11 AM MST/ TODAY TO 9 PM CST /8
     PM MST/ THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...VAN
     HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... LOVING...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...VAN
     HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

&&

70/76
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 18, 2:38 PM CST, 14 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
238 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-192045-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
238 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011 /138 PM MST FRI FEB 18 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF FOG AND DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN...TRANS PECOS AND PORTIONS OF LEA COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE...DAVIS...AND APACHE MOUNTAINS...AND THE VAN HORN AND
HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL BE AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT...20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE 20 MPH OR GREATER
AND HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL BE PRESENT.

ON SUNDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH IMPACT FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THE
COMBINATION OF WINDY CONDITIONS...WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY CREATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE...DAVIS...AND
APACHE MOUNTAINS...AND THE VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR
BEGINNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN
EFFECT ACROSS ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO SUNDAY.

A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS
MOUNTAINS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY FOR STRONG WESTERLY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 19, 3:14 AM CSTHigh Wind WarningMAF49 hr
Feb 19, 3:14 AM CSTWind AdvisoryMAFAndrews, Gaines, Loving, Ward, Winkler49 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2011Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.