Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Green Bay, WI

118 
WWUS53 KGRB 302015
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
315 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

WIC067-078-083-115-302100-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-110730T2100Z/
LANGLADE WI-MENOMINEE WI-SHAWANO WI-OCONTO WI-
315 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN 
OCONTO...SHAWANO...MENOMINEE AND SOUTHEASTERN LANGLADE COUNTIES 
UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 309 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF WHITE LAKE TO 9 MILES EAST OF WITTENBERG...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE
DAMAGING WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  KESHENA AROUND 330 PM CDT.
  SHAWANO AROUND 335 PM CDT.
  GILLETT AROUND 350 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE MORGAN...
LYNDHURST...LEOPOLIS...GRESHAM...CAROLINE...PELLA...THORNTON...RED
RIVER...HAYES AND BREED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. DO NOT DRIVE 
YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4462 8860 4468 8862 4468 8923 4479 8922
      4507 8899 4530 8889 4502 8823 4459 8825
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 294DEG 34KT 4522 8862 4481 8891
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 0.88IN

$$

EB

338 
WWUS53 KGRB 302024
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
324 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

WIC067-078-083-115-302100-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-110730T2100Z/
LANGLADE WI-MENOMINEE WI-SHAWANO WI-OCONTO WI-
324 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN 
OCONTO...SHAWANO...MENOMINEE AND SOUTHEASTERN LANGLADE COUNTIES 
UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 318 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS UP 
TO 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MOUNTAIN TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KESHENA TO 8 
MILES SOUTH OF WITTENBERG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH. PENNY SIZE 
HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  GILLETT AROUND 335 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE SURING...
SHAWANO LAKE...BELLE PLAINE...HICKORY CORNERS...UNDERHILL...
PULCIFER...CECIL...BONDUEL...ZACHOW AND ADVANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR 
VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4462 8860 4468 8860 4468 8923 4480 8922
      4490 8902 4501 8889 4521 8872 4502 8823
      4468 8825 4468 8826 4466 8825 4459 8825
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 296DEG 45KT 4506 8846 4480 8864
          4467 8907
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 0.75IN

$$

EB

289 
WWUS53 KGRB 302039
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
339 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

WIC067-302045-
/O.CAN.KGRB.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-110730T2100Z/
LANGLADE WI-
339 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LANGLADE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 4462 8860 4468 8860 4468 8917 4476 8905
      4479 8882 4491 8862 4513 8854 4502 8823
      4468 8825 4468 8826 4466 8825 4459 8825
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 296DEG 45KT 4501 8829 4474 8845
          4460 8888

$$

WIC078-083-115-302100-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-110730T2100Z/
MENOMINEE WI-SHAWANO WI-OCONTO WI-
339 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN 
OCONTO...SHAWANO AND EASTERN MENOMINEE COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 332 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS UP 
TO 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 
MILES NORTH OF GILLETT TO SHAWANO TO 9 MILES WEST OF 
CLINTONVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO 
ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN
MENOMINEE...OCONTO AND SHAWANO COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS ZACHOW...PULCIFER...ADVANCE...KRAKOW...GREEN VALLEY...
ANGELICA AND HOFA PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING. 
FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR 
OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.  BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE ALSO LIKELY 
WITH THESE STORMS THAT MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND CAUSE SOME MINOR 
PONDING OF WATER. 

THE STORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO SHOW SIGNS OF WEAKENING AND IT IS 
LIKELY THAT THE WARNING WILL BE CANCELLED BEFORE 4 PM.  STAY TUNED 
FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES. 

&&

LAT...LON 4462 8860 4468 8860 4468 8917 4476 8905
      4479 8882 4491 8862 4513 8854 4502 8823
      4468 8825 4468 8826 4466 8825 4459 8825
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 296DEG 45KT 4501 8829 4474 8845
          4460 8888
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 0.75IN

$$

EB

450 
WWUS53 KGRB 302051
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
351 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

WIC078-083-115-302058-
/O.CAN.KGRB.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-110730T2100Z/
MENOMINEE WI-SHAWANO WI-OCONTO WI-
351 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN OCONTO...SHAWANO AND 
EASTERN MENOMINEE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR 
PROPERTY.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ARE 
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS AS THEY MOVE ACROSS 
SOUTHEAST OCONTO...EASTERN SHAWANO AND NORTHERN BROWN COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION...ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP LATER 
THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FOX VALLEY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 10. 

LAT...LON 4462 8860 4468 8860 4468 8917 4476 8905
      4479 8882 4491 8862 4513 8854 4502 8823
      4468 8825 4468 8826 4466 8825 4459 8825
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 296DEG 45KT 4495 8810 4468 8826
          4454 8869

$$

EB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
338 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

.SYNOPSIS...TYPICAL WARM SUMMERTIME WEATHER PATTERN WL REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

TYPICAL MIDDLE TO LATE SUMMERTIME PATTERN WL CONT...WITH FCST AREA
REMAINING ALONG THE SRN EDGE OF THE WESTERLIES. A SERIES OF STG
UPR TROFS WL MIGRATE EWD ACRS CANADA. THE PATTERN FAVORS A
CONTINUATION OF ABV NORMAL TEMPS...WITH HUMID CONDITIONS AT TIMES.
PCPN CHCS WL BE PRIMARILY OCCUR AS THE TAIL OF THE CANADIAN
SHRTWVS AND THEIR ASSOC SFC FRONTAL SYSTEMS CROSS THE AREA. THAT
SHOULD RESULT IN AOA PCPN FOR MOST OF THE AREA.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TDA/TNGT/SUN. LOTS OF DETAILS TO WORK OUT IN THE
FCST...AND CONFIDENCE IN GETTING THEM RIGHT IS NOT SO GREAT.
ISOLD SHRA/TSRA CONT TO FORM OUT OF ACCAS BAND STRETCHING FM NRN
LOWER MICHGAN BACK WWD INTO ND. THOUGHT THOSE MIGHT FINALLY END
ONCE WK SHRTWV SHIFTED E OF THE AREA ARND MIDNIGHT...BUT NO SUCH
LUCK. COVERAGE VERY LIMITED...BUT A FEW LCNS WL GET A BRIEF
DOWNPOUR. MODELS THAT HAD THE PCPN TO BEGIN WITH SHOWED IT ENDING
THIS MORNING. WL MAKE ISSUANCE TIME DECISION ON HOW TO HANDLE.

MAIN THREAT OF PCPN WL BE FOCUSED W OF THE AREA TDA. CONSIDERABLE
DIFFERENCES IN MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS FOR N-C WI THIS AFTN. BUT MOST
SUGGESTED 500-1500 J/KG CAPE WITH LIMITED OR NO CIN. IN LIGHT OF
THAT AND THE APPARENT EASE OF GETTING CONVECTION TO FIRE BASED ON
WHAT/S GOING ON NOW...DID NOT FEEL COMFORTABLE WITH A DRY FCST. SO
WL CARRY CHC POPS FM N-C INTO NE WI FOR THE AFTN/EVE. DRIER AIR
ALOFT THAN WE/VE SEEN RECENTLY WL TAKE WET-BULB ZERO HEIGHTS INTO
RANGE MORE FAVORABLE FOR HAIL. WL MENTION THE POSSIBLITY OF ISOLD
STG STORMS IN THE HWO.

MORE ORGANIZED AREA OF STORMS PROGGED TO DEVELOP TO THE W LATE
TDA...AND COULD SPREAD INTO THE FCST AREA LATER TNGT. SEVERAL
MODELS ALSO SUGGESTED SOME STORMS COULD FIRE E OF THE FCST AREA AS
850 MB FLOW STRENGTHENS AND GENERATES ISENT LIFT. WL CARRY CHC
POPS EVERYWHERE BUT E-C WI...WHICH SHOULD BE ABLE TO STAY DRY.

TAIL OF CANADIAN SHRTWV WL BRUSH THE AREA SUN MORNING...WITH WK
COOL FRONT SAGGING SWD ACRS THE AREA DURING THE DAY. MODEL FCST
SOUNDINGS SHOWED CONSIDERABLE INSTABILITY DURING THE AFTN...WITH
LITTLE CAPPING. LIMITING FACTOR WL PROBABLY BE LIMITED LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AS FLOW AT 850 MB PRETTY UNIFORM AND WLY. BUT BELOW
THAT...WINDS MAY STAY MORE BACKED. SOME OF THE HIGHER RESOLUTION
MODELS SUGGESTED ENOUGH CONVERGENCE OVER E-C WI FOR SML COMPLEX TO
FORM DURING THE AFTN...POSSIBLE WITH THE AID OF CONVERGENCE NR
LAKE BREEZE. PLACED HIGHEST POPS IN THIS AREA...AND TRENDED DOWN
WITH POPS OVER THE FAR N DURING THE MID-LATE AFTN AS FRONT SHOULD
BE THROUGH THERE BY THEN. INCRG WNWLY WINDS AT MIDDLE AND UPPER
LEVELS WOULD YIELD SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR SVR STORMS...AND LOWERING
WET-BULB ZERO HEIGHTS SUGGEST MUCH MORE OF A HAIL THREAT THAT WITH
RECENT STORMS. WHILE THERE IS THE LIMITING FACTOR OF WK LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE...AND SOME UNCERTAINTY OVER THE AMNT OF CLDS LINGERING
FM OVERNIGHT STORMS...RISK SEEMS HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE MENTION IN
THE HWO.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THRU FRIDAY. MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS ARE
TIMING BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS...PROSPECTS FOR SEVERE
WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN...AND CLOUDS/TEMPS.

MODELS STILL IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE LARGE SCALE
FEATURES...WITH SUB TROPICAL RIDGE PARKED OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS...WITH DISTURBANCES RIDING THE TOP OF THE RIDGE.
SMALLER SCALE DETAILS STILL HARD TO PIN DOWN...AS TIMING AND
LOCATION OF EACH SHORTWAVE WILL DETERMINE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
STORMS.

BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT ACROSS SOUTHERN WI SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH
LINGERING SHOWER ACTIVITY POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING AS IT CLEARS THE
AREA. MAIN CONCERN WITH RECENT MODELS TRENDS IS THE POSSIBILITY
OF THE BOUNDARY SNEAKING BACK INTO THE CWA MONDAY. AT THE
SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT OVER THE AREA ALONG WITH
MID-LEVEL HEIGHT RISES...HOWEVER COMBINATION OF THE BOUNDARY IN
THE AREA...AN UPPER JET DEPARTING TO THE NW...WEAK WAA...AND A
JUICY AIRMASS SITUATED JUST SOUTH OF THE FRONT...THINK THE DRY
FORECAST IS NOW IN JEOPARDY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA.
WILL ADD SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TO THE SOUTHERN CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR
THREAT OF SOMETHING FORMING NEAR THE BOUNDARY. IF STORMS DO
FORM...HEAVY RAIN WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT. WILL LEAVE PATCHY
FOG IN FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE
60S...WIND WILL DIE OFF TO UNDER 5 KTS...AND SKIES WILL BE
CLEARING...ALLOWING TEMPS FALL BEHIND THE DEPARTING SYSTEM.

THE MAIN SHOW WILL GEAR UP ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS MONDAY
NIGHT...WHERE NOSE OF LLJ WILL COMBINE WITH A COOL FRONT AND
SHORTWAVE TO GET A COMPLEX OF STORMS GOING. EXACT INITIATION TIME
AND LOCATION OF THIS COMPLEX...ALONG WITH ITS TRACK...WILL PLAY A
BIG ROLE IN WHAT HAPPENS ACROSS THE CWA LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. THREE SCENARIOS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS COMPLEX.
FIRST...THE COMPLEX ROLLS INTO THE AREA DURING THE LATE MORNING OR
EARLY AFTERNOON...LIMITING ANY DEVELOPMENT BEHIND THE COMPLEX ALONG
THE BOUNDARY AS THE AREA WOULD REMAIN RATHER STABLE. SECOND...THE
COMPLEX IS SLOWER...AND IS STILL IN NW WI AT 12Z TUESDAY...ALLOWING
INSTABILITY TO BUILD UP AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COMPLEX AND THE
COMPLEX RE-INTENSIFIES OVER THE AREA OR A NEW COMPLEX WILL
ORGANIZE ON AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE ORIGINAL COMPLEX.
THIRD...THE COMPLEX RACES OUT AHEAD...BRINGING ONE ROUND OF STORMS
OVERNIGHT...THEN CLEARS THE CWA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...ALLOWING
FOR DESTABILIZATION AND ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IN THE AFTERNOON
WITH THE COOL FRONT. MODELS ARE SPLIT BETWEEN SCENARIO ONE AND
TWO...AND THINK ONE OF THESE IS THE LIKELY SCENARIO THAT WILL PLAY
OUT. EITHER WAY IT LOOKS LIKE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL BE
THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS OVER THE AREA...AND WILL CONTINUE WITH
HIGH CHANCE POPS...BUT TOO MANY THINGS CAN GO WRONG WITH THIS TYPE
OF FORECAST...SO WILL NOT BUMP POPS TO LIKELY JUST YET. SEVERE
WEATHER STILL A THREAT...ESPECIALLY WITH SCENARIO TWO OR THREE...
BUT WITH DETAILS STILL UP IN THE AIR ON INITIAL COMPLEX...SO
CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH. GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE
MAIN THREATS. PWATS APPROACHING 2 INCHES...SO FLOODING WILL BE A
CONCERN ON ALREADY SATURATED SOILS.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING...BRINGING QUIET WEATHER TO THE AREA...THEN
DRIFTS EAST OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. CUT POPS TO SLIGHT CHC FOR
TUESDAY EVENING AND REMOVED POPS FOR LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...AS
MODELS SHOW THE COOL FRONT AND EXITING INTO LOWER MICHIGAN BY 06Z
WEDNESDAY. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THRU AT LEAST EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON
THURSDAY...HOWEVER MODELS ARE SHOWING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STAYING
ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS...KEEPING THE STORM THREAT JUST TO OUR
SOUTH.

TEMPS WILL BE TRICKY ON DAYS WITH STORM CHANCES...AS CLOUDS/RAIN
COULD HOLD TEMPS CLOSER TO 80...BUT IN GENERAL...ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPS WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...PATCHY MIFG SHOULD BE GONE BY 13Z. ALTHOUGH TSRA WL BE
POSSIBLE ACRS THE N TDA AND THIS EVENING...CONVERAGE WL BE TOO
LIMITED TO INCLUDE EXPLICITLY IN TAFS. THERE WL BE A BETTER CHC OF
TSRA OVER N-C WI LATER TNGT...BUT CONFIDENCE STILL TOO LOW TO
INCLUDE IN RHI TAF YET. DON/T EXPECT ANY TSRA OVER E-C WI UNTIL AT
LEAST SUN MORNING.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SKOWRONSKI/BERSCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
409 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-311100-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-
WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-
MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN OCONTO-
409 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN WISCONSIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE CHANCE WILL SPREAD INTO CENTRAL
WISCONSIN DURING THE NIGHT. A FEW OF THE STORMS OVER THE NORTH
COULD BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN SUNDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD
BE SEVERE...AND PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ALTHOUGH A
SEVERE STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT ANYWHERE IN THE AREA...THE
GREATEST RISK WILL BE OVER EAST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY IN
THE EVOLUTION OF THE WEATHER PATTERN TO MAKE A MEANINGFUL
ASSESSMENT OF THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITH THE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

GIVEN THE ISOLATED/MARGINAL NATURE OF THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
TODAY AND TONIGHT...FORMAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL PROBABLY NOT BE
NECESSARY. BUT SPOTTERS ARE STILL REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY
OBSERVATIONS OF HAIL...HEAVY RAIN...OR WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY.

LMZ521-522-541>543-311100-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
409 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT...MAINLY
NORTH OF STURGEON BAY. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE
SEVERE...AND PRODUCE STRONG WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND ROUGH
WATERS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

FOG OR HAZE COULD RESTRICT THE VISIBILITY ENOUGH TO POSE A HAZARD
TO BOATERS AT TIMES DURING THE WEEK.

JS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1219 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

WIZ005-010-018-301830-
LINCOLN-ONEIDA-VILAS-
1219 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS HEADED TOWARD NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...

AT 1215 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM IRONWOOD TO
GLIDDEN TO WEST OF LADYSMITH...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS 40 TO 45 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WINCHESTER...         PRESQUE ISLE...       MANITOWISH WATERS...
  LAC DU FLAMBEAU...    BOULDER JUNCTION...   WOODRUFF...
  WILLOW RESERVOIR...   TRIPOLI...            SPIRIT FALLS...
  MINOCQUA...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

AK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
119 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

WIZ005-010-018-019-030-301930-
LANGLADE-LINCOLN-MARATHON-ONEIDA-VILAS-
119 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE INTO NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...

AT 114 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 45 MILES
NORTHWEST OF EAGLE RIVER TO 45 MILES WEST OF RHINELANDER TO 90 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF RHINELANDER...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS 40 TO 45 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
   PRESQUE ISLE...       LAC DU FLAMBEAU...  TRIPOLI...
   BOULDER JUNCTION...   WOODRUFF...         MINOCQUA...
   ARBOR VITAE...        SAYNER...
   TOMAHAWK...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
212 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0209 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 NW RHINELANDER        45.68N 89.48W
07/30/2011  E65 MPH          ONEIDA             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            IN TOWN OF NEWBOLD, POWER OUT

&&

TERIE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
219 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0214 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 N MERRILL             45.19N 89.68W
07/30/2011  M51 MPH          LINCOLN            WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL TO 1/2 INCH

&&

TERIE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
242 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     TSTM WND GST     WAUSAU                  44.96N 89.63W
07/30/2011  E60 MPH          MARATHON           WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MANY TREES DOWN IN THE DOWNTOWN AREA IN THE CITY OF
            WAUSAU.

&&

PATH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
253 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     HAIL             MERRILL                 45.18N 89.68W
07/30/2011  E1.00 INCH       LINCOLN            WI   PUBLIC

            DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES ALSO

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GLEASON                 45.30N 89.50W
07/30/2011                   LINCOLN            WI   AMATEUR RADIO

            DEBRIS ON ROADS, SHINGLES OFF ROOF

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TOMAHAWK                45.46N 89.73W
07/30/2011                   LINCOLN            WI   AMATEUR RADIO

            10 INCH LIVE TREE DOWN

0239 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MERRILL                 45.18N 89.68W
07/30/2011                   LINCOLN            WI   AMATEUR RADIO

            12 INCH BRANCH BLOWN DOWN, SOME STRUCTURAL DATA

&&

TERIE