Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Green Bay, WI

033 
WWUS53 KGRB 081609
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1109 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

WIC015-081630-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-110608T1630Z/
CALUMET WI-
1109 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL
CALUMET COUNTY UNTIL 1130 AM CDT...

AT 1107 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CHILTON...OR 16 MILES SOUTHEAST OF APPLETON...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BRILLION AROUND 1115 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4403 8831 4417 8825 4423 8804 4421 8804
      4406 8805
TIME...MOT...LOC 1609Z 251DEG 50KT 4411 8813
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

AK

561 
WWUS53 KGRB 081627
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1127 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

WIC015-081637-
/O.EXP.KGRB.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-110608T1630Z/
CALUMET WI-
1127 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CALUMET COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 1130 AM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS 
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4403 8831 4417 8825 4423 8804 4421 8804
      4406 8805
TIME...MOT...LOC 1627Z 264DEG 52KT 4413 8804

$$

AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
300 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL AND
HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THIS FORECAST. WISCONSIN
IS IN THE WARM SECTOR OF A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER
NORTHERN MINNESOTA AT 08Z TODAY. A LOW LEVEL JET IS HELPING TO
PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL WISCONSIN. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE EAST CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE BY
DAYBREAK. BEING ELEVATED AND DIURNAL IT SHOULD DIMINISH SHORTLY
AFTER SUNSET.

IT SHOULD BE ANOTHER HOT AND SOMEWHAT HUMID DAY AGAIN TODAY. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S LIKELY OVER ALL BUT THE LAKESHORE.
DEW POINTS IN THE 60S WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS TO PRODUCE
HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 85 AND 95. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A SCATTERED TO
BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE FRONT WITH SOME
POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER.

THE FRONT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR THURSDAY.
HIGHS WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL INSTEAD OF 10 TO 20
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MAIN CONCERN DURING FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE TRYING TO TIME
THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...
WARM FRONT WILL BE PUSHING NORTHWARD TOWARDS WISCONSIN. THURSDAY
EVENING SHALL BE DRY WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH AND WEST OF A WAUSAU TO MANITOWOC LINE. ALTHOUGH
SOME SIGNIFICANT TIMING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 00Z WRF/12Z ECMWF AND THE
00Z GFS/CANADIAN...HAVE TRENDED TOWARD THE QUICKER WRF/ECMWF
SOLUTION. LOOKING AT THE CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ON FRIDAY...FURTHER
NORTH WARM FRONT AND OVER RUNNING SITUATION SHOULD BRING THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY TO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. ADDED THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE FORECAST ON FRIDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY A CHALLENGE THIS
MORNING DEPENDING ON QUICKLY PRECIPITATION ARRIVES. SOME LOCATIONS
MAY NOT GET OUT OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 50S. A SHARP CONTRAST TO THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S ON TUESDAY.

THE ACTIVITY SHOULD SCATTERED OUT FRIDAY NIGHT...THEREFORE ONLY
CHANCE POPS ARE WARRANTED. SOME INSTABILITY SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO
SATURDAY OVER THE FAR EAST BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR
WORKS INTO THE REGION.  THE SYSTEM FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK APPEARS SLIGHTLY
SLOWER WITH PRECIPITATION ARRIVING ON MONDAY. DID NOT GET TO SEE
THE
&&

.AVIATION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED EARLY TODAY MAINLY
SOUTH OF A WAUSAU TO GREEN BAY LINE. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...SOME MARINE FOG POSSIBLE TODAY AS AIR WITH 60S DEW POINTS
FLOW OVER THE COLD WATER OF LAKE MICHIGAN. TO DAYS WINDS SHOULD
HAVE ENOUGH OF A WESTERLY COMPONENT TO KEEP MOST OF THE FOG AWAY
FROM SHORE. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

RDM/ECKBERG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
559 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-091100-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-
WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-
MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN OCONTO-
559 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF A WAUSAU TO
IRON MOUNTAIN LINE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY...BUT IT WILL NOT BE
QUITE AS HOT AS YESTERDAY. HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 80S
TO MIDDLE 90S.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION COULD BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

LMZ521-522-541>543-091100-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
559 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD BE SEVERE...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. FOG COULD CONTINUE TO POSE A HAZARD TO BOATERS AT
TIMES... ESPECIALLY OVER THE LAKE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT...BUT SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1038 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

WIZ048>050-081700-
CALUMET-MANITOWOC-WINNEBAGO-
1038 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 1035 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OSHKOSH...MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS 40 TO 45 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ZITTAU...             WAUKAU...             PICKETT...
  OMRO...               FISK...               WINNECONNE...
  LAKE BUTTE DES MORTS...                     BUTTE DES MORTS...
  WITTMAN FIELD...      WINCHESTER...         OSHKOSH...
  LARSEN...             ALLENVILLE...         WINNEBAGO...
  NORTHERN LAKE WINNEBAGO...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.

AK