Red Flag Warning 22, NWS Goodland, KS

927 
WWUS83 KGLD 081928
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
128 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY AND AGAIN MONDAY...

.VERY WARM AND DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. VERY
LOW HUMIDITIES...GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND AVAILABLE FINE
FUELS WILL CREATE AREAS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

COZ252-KSZ001-091200-
/O.EXA.KGLD.FW.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110509T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0014.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
YUMA-CHEYENNE KS-
128 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011 /228 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
001 AND 252...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 001 AND 252...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND...SOUTHWESTERLY WIND OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
  WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN BELOW 10 PERCENT THROUGH
  EARLY THIS EVENING AND WILL FALL TO LESS THAN 10 PERCENT AGAIN ON
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. REFER TO LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED
FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ253-254-KSZ013-014-027-028-041-042-091200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110509T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0022.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-LOGAN-GREELEY-
WICHITA-
128 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011 /228 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 013...014...027...028...041...042...253 AND 254...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013...014...027...028...041...042...
253 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT 
  CARSON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA. 

* WIND...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS 
  WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH 
  SUNDAY EVENING. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN 
  DEVELOP ON MONDAY...WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH EXPECTED.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 10
  PERCENT THROUGH THIS EVENING AND AGAIN ON MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. REFER TO LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED
FLAG WARNINGS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

KSZ002-003-015-029-NEZ079>081-091200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0014.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
RAWLINS-DECATUR-SHERIDAN-GOVE-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
128 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011 /228 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 002...003...015...029...079...080 AND 081...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 
  SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 029 GOVE. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED WILLOW. 

* WIND...SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO 
  DEVELOP ACROSS THE WATCH AREA ON MONDAY.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 
  10 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. REFER TO LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED
FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

132 
WWUS83 KGLD 082144
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
344 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
WILL DEVELOP AGAIN MONDAY...

.VERY WARM AND DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. VERY
LOW HUMIDITY...GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND AVAILABLE FINE FUELS
WILL CREATE AREAS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

COZ252-KSZ001-090945-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0014.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KGLD.FW.W.0022.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110509T0200Z/
YUMA-CHEYENNE KS-
344 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011 /444 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 001 AND 252...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM
MDT /10 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 001 AND 252...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM
MDT /10 PM CDT/ MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

* WIND...SOUTHWESTERLY WIND OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
  CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND WILL DEVELOP AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN BELOW 10 PERCENT
  THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND WILL FALL TO LESS THAN 10 PERCENT
  AGAIN ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

KSZ002-003-015-029-NEZ079>081-090945-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0014.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KGLD.FW.W.0022.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
RAWLINS-DECATUR-SHERIDAN-GOVE-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
344 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011 /444 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM
MDT /10 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 002...003...015...029...079...080 AND 081...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM
MDT /10 PM CDT/ MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

* WIND...SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  ACROSS THE WARNING AREA ON MONDAY.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 
  10 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ253-254-KSZ013-014-027-028-041-042-090945-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110509T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0022.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-LOGAN-GREELEY-
WICHITA-
344 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011 /444 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 013...014...027...028...041...042...253 AND 254...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013...014...027...028...041...042...
253 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT 
  CARSON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA. 

* WIND...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL AGAIN
  DEVELOP ON MONDAY...WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH EXPECTED.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 10
  PERCENT THROUGH THIS EVENING AND AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

048 
WWUS83 KGLD 090155
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
755 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MONDAY...

.VERY WARM AND DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING. VERY LOW HUMIDITY...GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND
AVAILABLE FINE FUELS WILL CREATE AREAS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

COZ252>254-KSZ001-013-014-027-028-041-042-091200-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FW.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110509T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0022.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-
LOGAN-GREELEY-WICHITA-
755 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011 /855 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...013...014...027...028...041...042...
252...253 AND 254...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
001...013...014...027...028...041...042...252...253 AND 254...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
  DEVELOP LATE MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. 

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 10
  PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

KSZ002-003-015-029-NEZ079>081-091200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0022.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
RAWLINS-DECATUR-SHERIDAN-GOVE-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
755 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011 /855 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 002...003...015...029...079...080 AND
081...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
  DEVELOP LATE MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. 

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 10
  PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

509 
WWUS83 KGLD 090922
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
322 AM MDT MON MAY 9 2011

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE...

.VERY WARM AND DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH GUSTY
SOUTHWESTERLY EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING. THESE CONDITIONS
COMBINED WITH AVAILABLE FINE FUELS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE AIR MASS OVER THE AREA WILL REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AGAIN ON
TUESDAY...BUT OVER A SMALLER AREA.

COZ253-254-KSZ001-002-013>015-027>029-041-042-092130-
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.A.0015.110510T1600Z-110511T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KGLD.FW.W.0022.110509T1400Z-110510T0300Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
SHERIDAN-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
322 AM MDT MON MAY 9 2011 /422 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MDT /9 AM CDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND
LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...013...014...015...
027...028...029...041...042...253 AND 254...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 001...002...013...014...015...027...028...029...041...042...
253 AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
  DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING HOURS. GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
  AGAIN DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE AREA.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL QUICKLY FALL TO LESS THAN 15
  PERCENT THIS MORNING AND MAY FALL TO LESS THAN 5 PERCENT IN SOME
  AREAS. ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO AROUND 10
  PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ252-KSZ003-NEZ079>081-092130-
/O.EXT.KGLD.FW.W.0022.110509T1400Z-110510T0300Z/
YUMA-DECATUR-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
322 AM MDT MON MAY 9 2011 /422 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MDT /9 AM CDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND
LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 003...079...080...081 AND
252...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
  DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL T0 10 PERCENT OR LESS
  DURING THE AFTERNOON. HUMIDITIES WILL FALL THE MOST RAPIDLY IN
  THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA...WHERE VALUES MAY FALL
  TO UNDER 15 PERCENT BY 9 AM MDT (10 AM CDT).

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
JRM

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

656 
WWUS83 KGLD 091651
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1051 AM MDT MON MAY 9 2011

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE...

.VERY WARM AND DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH GUSTY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH.
THESE CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH AVAILABLE FINE FUELS WILL CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE AIR MASS OVER THE AREA WILL
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AGAIN ON
TUESDAY... BUT OVER A SMALLER AREA.

KSZ004-016-100300-
/O.EXA.KGLD.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110510T0300Z/
NORTON-GRAHAM-
1151 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 004 AND 016...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.  

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 15 PERCENT
  AND MAY FALL TO LESS THAN 5 PERCENT IN SOME AREAS. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ253-254-KSZ001-002-013>015-027>029-041-042-101200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110510T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.110510T1600Z-110511T0200Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
SHERIDAN-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
1051 AM MDT MON MAY 9 2011 /1151 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 001...002...013...014...015...027...028...029...041...042...
253 AND 254...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 001...002...013...014...015...027...028...029...
041...042...253 AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL 
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 
  WILL AGAIN DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE AREA. 

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 15 PERCENT AND
  MAY FALL TO LESS THAN 5 PERCENT IN SOME AREAS. ON TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO AROUND 10 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH
  OF THE AREA.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ252-KSZ003-NEZ079>081-100300-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110510T0300Z/
YUMA-DECATUR-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1051 AM MDT MON MAY 9 2011 /1151 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 003...079...080...081 AND 252...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 15 PERCENT
  THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

365 
WWUS83 KGLD 092148
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
348 PM MDT MON MAY 9 2011

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE...

.VERY WARM AND DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH GUSTY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS APPROACHING
40 MPH. THESE CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH AVAILABLE FINE FUELS WILL
CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE AIR MASS OVER THE
AREA WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
AGAIN ON TUESDAY...WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS POSSIBLE. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA.

KSZ041-042-101200-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0015.110510T1600Z-110511T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0023.110510T1600Z-110511T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110510T0300Z/
GREELEY-WICHITA-
348 PM MDT MON MAY 9 2011 /448 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 041 AND 042...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM
MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 041 AND 042...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM
MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 


* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
  DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

* HUMIDITY...TUESDAY AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO AROUND 10
  PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ253-254-KSZ001-002-013>015-027>029-101200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110510T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.110510T1600Z-110511T0200Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
SHERIDAN-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
348 PM MDT MON MAY 9 2011 /448 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 001...002...013...014...015...027...028...029...253 AND
254...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 001...002...013...014...015...027...028...029...
253 AND 254...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
  DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.

* HUMIDITY...TUESDAY AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO AROUND 10
  PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ252-KSZ003-004-016-NEZ079>081-100300-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110510T0300Z/
YUMA-DECATUR-NORTON-GRAHAM-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
348 PM MDT MON MAY 9 2011 /448 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 003...004...016...079...080...081 AND 252...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL 
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 15 PERCENT 
  THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

895 
WWUS83 KGLD 100255
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
855 PM MDT MON MAY 9 2011

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TUESDAY...

.VERY WARM AND DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TUESDAY WITH
GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. THESE CONDITIONS
COMBINED WITH AVAILABLE FINE FUELS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. 

KSZ041-042-101200-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110510T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0023.110510T1600Z-110511T0200Z/
GREELEY-WICHITA-
855 PM MDT MON MAY 9 2011 /955 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 041 AND 042...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
041 AND 042...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
  DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY.

* HUMIDITY...WILL FALL AT OR BELOW 10 PERCENT. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ253-254-KSZ001-002-013>015-027>029-101200-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110510T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.110510T1600Z-110511T0200Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
SHERIDAN-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
855 PM MDT MON MAY 9 2011 /955 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 001...002...013...014...015...027...028...029...
253 AND 254...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
001...002...013...014...015...027...028...029...253 AND 254...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
  DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY.

* HUMIDITY...WILL FALL INTO THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ252-KSZ003-004-016-NEZ079>081-100400-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110510T0300Z/
YUMA-DECATUR-NORTON-GRAHAM-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
855 PM MDT MON MAY 9 2011 /955 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
003...004...016...079...080...081 AND 252...

ALTHOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINS BELOW 20 PERCENT WINDS HAVE
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY AND NO LONGER POSE A THREAT FOR RAPID FIRE
GROWTH. 

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
306 AM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011

.DISCUSSION...
305 AM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011

330Z WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED BROAD LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGING
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WITH TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE PAC NW. VWP AND
PROFILER DATA INDICATE LLJ ALREADY DEVELOPING WITH H85 WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 50 KTS AT LNX AND GLD. AT THE SFC TROUGH WAS CENTERED
ROUGHLY FROM KLHX TO KCYS. MOISTURE ADVECTION ALREADY BECOMING
APPARENT AS TDS CONTINUE TO RISE WITH NEAR 50 TDS OBSERVED AT
KOEL.

MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS FOR PERIOD WILL BE SEVERE WX CHANCES TODAY
AND PRECIP CHANCES THROUGH MID WEEK ALONG WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY...POSSIBLY LASTING INTO TUESDAY.

TODAY-TONIGHT...WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPARENT IN WV IMAGERY OVER
EASTERN COLORADO WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE
PAC NW TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DIG INTO THE ROCKIES THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MUCAPES INCREASE RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT...COINCIDING WITH TROUGH
PASSAGE BUT AS WAS THE CASE WITH THE PAST SEVERAL MODEL
RUNS...INSTABILITY ALL BELOW A FAIRLY STRONG INVERSION AROUND
H8...SO DO NOT THINK THE STRONG INSTABILITY WILL BE REALIZED.
HOWEVER GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND H85-H7 PERSISTENT WAA NOT
IMPOSSIBLE FOR SOMETHING TO DEVELOP. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THINGS BUT
PLAN ON KEEPING FORECAST DRY THROUGH THE MORNING. FOCUS FOR THE
PERIOD THEN TURNS TO DEVELOPING WARM FRONT AS IT WILL NOT ONLY BE
THE FOCUS FOR ANY THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...BUT WILL ALSO BE THE
DELINEATION BETWEEN RED FLAG CONDITIONS AND A MORE HUMID AIRMASS.

FOR THUNDERSTORMS BIG NEGATIVE ISSUE REMAINS CINH STRENGTH THROUGH
THE DAY. LATEST MODELS STILL HOLDING ONTO MIXED LAYER CINH VALUES
AROUND 50 J/KG AND WHILE THAT IS NOT AN IMPOSSIBLY STRONG VALUE TO
OVERCOME...STILL CONCERNED THAT ANY KIND OF FRONTOGENETICAL
CIRCULATION THAT DEVELOPS WILL BE LIFTING THE WARM...VERY DRY SIDE
WHICH IS UNLIKELY TO INITIATE ANYTHING. THAT BEING SAID...THERE DOES
APPEAR TO BE PERSISTENT 0-2KM CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT THROUGH
THE DAY SO WHILE STORMS ARE NOT LIKELY...STILL CANNOT TOTALLY RULE
ONE OR TWO OUT. WHILE INSTABILITY HIGHER TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
AREA...APPEARS TO BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND SHEAR TO WARRANT AT
LEAST A SMALL THREAT OF HAIL AND MICROBURSTS.  ANY THUNDERSTORM
THREAT SHOULD END IN THE EARLY EVENING WHEN FRONTAL ZONE LIFTS TO
THE NORTH AND ENTIRE CWA FALLS INTO WARM/DRY SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM.

FOR FIRE WX...THINK RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL EASILY MEET RED FLAG
CRITERIA ON THE DRY SIDE OF FRONT...AND WILL LIKELY SEE A RATHER
LARGE DIURNAL SWING IN TDS WITH ADVECTION AND DEEP MIXING LIKELY
LOWERING THE AFTERNOON DEWPOINT GREATLY AND WOULD NOT BE SHOCKED TO
SEE A FEW AREAS SEE 40+ TD CHANGES TODAY. LOOKS LIKE WINDS WILL GET
GUSTY AND SHOULD ALSO MEET CRITERIA TO THE AREAS WELL TO THE SOUTH
AND WEST OF FRONT...BUT WINDS LOOK TO BE A LITTLE LIGHTER NEAR THE
FRONTAL ZONE. NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH ABOUT THE WIND SPEEDS TO UPGRADE
THE ENTIRE WATCH TO A WARNING...ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN
ENDS...AND REALLY GETTING TOO CLOSE IN TIME TO KEEP WATCH GOING. FOR
THE TIME BEING WILL JUST UPGRADE THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF WATCH
WHERE CONFIDENCE IS HIGHEST.

MONDAY-MONDAY NIGHT..WITH POSITION OF THE TROUGH CWA WILL MOST
LIKELY BE WELL INTO THE DRY SECTOR OF THIS SYSTEM LEADING TO SUNNY
AND WARM CONDITIONS AND LITTLE IF ANY THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION GIVEN
THE AIRMASS OVER THE AREA. PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE DAY WILL BE
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RED FLAG WARNING CONDITIONS. BASED ON THE
AIRMASS THAT WILL BE SETTLING OVER THE AREA THINK THAT ENTIRE CWA
(MINUS NORTON AND GRAHAM WHERE FUELS ARE NOT CRITICAL) WILL HAVE
ENOUGH OF A THREAT FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO MAINTAIN
THE WATCH...SINCE AIRMASS RESPONSIBLE FOR TODAYS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH OVER THE PERIOD. AS WAS THE CASE
TODAY WITH WARM TEMPS...DEEP MIXING AND VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF A
MOISTURE FLUX FROM THE SURFACE THINK TDS WILL DROP AS TEMPERATURES
CLIMB RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD HUMIDITIES BELOW 10 PERCENT. POTENTIAL
FOR WIND LOOKS TO BE HIGHER AND MORE WIDESPREAD FOR THE PERIOD WITH
HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR BOTH WIND AND LOW RH ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST CWA
SIMILAR TO TODAY. WITH CONFIDENCE INCREASING THINK UPGRADING WATCH
TO A WARNING IS JUSTIFIED OVER A PORTION OF THE AREA. WITH HIGHEST
CONFIDENCE IN WARNING CRITERIA IN SAME LOCATION AS TODAY...THINK
SIMPLY UPGRADING THE SAME AREA WILL HELP AVOID CONFUSION.

TUES-WED...PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO BECOME MORE ACTIVE AS LARGE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE EAST...WITH
VARIOUS SMALLER TROUGHS ROTATING AROUND LARGER TROUGH BEFORE SYSTEM
BEGINS TO MOVE OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THE TAIL END OF THE NAM
AND LATEST GEM HAVE COME MORE IN LINE WITH THE MUCH STRONGER
SOLUTION WITH RESPECT TO SOUTHERN HALF OF THE TROUGH AND THINK
LEANING IN THIS DIRECTION THE WAY TO GO. WILL WANT TO SEE SOME GEFS
DATA BEFORE DETERMINING HOW CONFIDENT I AM IN THIS SOLUTION...BUT
LOOKS LIKE POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION IS INCREASING MAINLY ON
WEDNESDAY. ASIDE FROM THE TRENDS IN THE OPERATIONAL MODELS...THERE
DOES APPEAR TO BE SEVERAL ENSEMBLE MEMBERS OF THE GFS ENSEMBLE DATA
THAT ARE MUCH SLOWER THAN THE OPERATIONAL RUNS. WHILE NONE OF THE
MEMBERS ARE OF SIMILAR STRENGTH AS THE OPERATIONAL GEM AND
ECMWF...THERE DOES SEEM TO BE SOME SUPPORT FOR A SLOWER SYSTEM.
WHILE DETAILS SUCH AS DRY SLOT POSITION AND MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILTY
ARE TOO UNCERTAIN TO REALLY TRY TO PIN DOWN BEST AREAS FOR
PRECIP...THINK THERE IS ENOUGH DATA TO SUPPORT INCREASING POPS INTO
CHANCE RANGE.

THURSDAY-SATURDAY...NO CHANGES PLANNED ATTM.

JRM
&&

.AVIATION...
1105 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2011

FOR THE 06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH
EFFECTIVE PERIOD AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK. LOW LEVEL JET OF AROUND 40KT
HAS DEVELOPED OVER BOTH TERMINALS...WITH LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. WIND SHEAR WILL DECREASE AS LOW LEVEL JET
MOVES EAST OF KGLD AFTER 10Z...AND AFTER 12Z AT KMCK. SURFACE WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING AT
KGLD...REMAINING MORE SOUTHERLY AND NOT AS STRONG AT KMCK. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF DRY LINE SUN AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. LATEST GUIDANCE PUTS DRY LINE JUST EAST OF KMCK...SO I HAVE
KEPT CB MENTION OUT OF TAFS DURING THIS ISSUANCE.

DR
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR KSZ001>003-015-029.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
     MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR KSZ013-014-027-028-041-042.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM
     CDT/ MONDAY FOR KSZ013-014-027-028-041-042.

NE...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR NEZ079>081.

CO...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR COZ252.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT THIS
     EVENING FOR COZ253-254.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT MONDAY FOR COZ253-254.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
327 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2011

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-081645-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
327 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2011 /427 PM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS
FAR EASTERN COLORADO AND FAR WESTERN KANSAS THROUGH SUNSET.
WHILE WINDS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 15 MPH...ANYONE
PLANNING A CONTROLLED BURN SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE WILL BE A POSSIBILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. LATE SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY EVENING THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM STRATTON NEBRASKA TO GOVE
KANSAS. THE THREAT FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER ON TUESDAY IS LOW WHILE
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

THE POSSIBILITY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS
THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ANYONE WITH PLANS FOR OUTDOOR
BURNING SHOULD REFER TO THE LATEST FIRE WEATHER FORECASTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.