Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

899 
WWUS85 KFGZ 301956
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1256 PM MST SAT APR 30 2011

AZZ117-010200-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110501T0200Z/
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
1256 PM MST SAT APR 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

* AFFECTED AREA: THE WHITE MOUNTAINS ZONE.

* TIMING: THE WHITE MOUNTAINS WILL SEE RED FLAG CONDITIONS THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* 20-FOOT WINDS: SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY SUSTAINED WINDS 15 TO25 
  MPH WITH WIND GUSTS 30 TO 40 MPH. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: 10 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE NOTIFY FIELD CREWS OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

827 
WWUS85 KFGZ 302212
RFWFGZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
312 PM MST SAT APR 30 2011

AZZ117-302315-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110501T0200Z/
WHITE MOUNTAINS (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 117)-
312 PM MST SAT APR 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS CANCELED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE WARNED AREA IS ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES...
AND WINDS HAVE DECREASED...THUS THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELED.

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
330 AM MST SAT APR 30 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A MUCH COOLER AIR MASS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA
TODAY AND SUNDAY...KEEPING TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE STORM WILL HEAD EASTWARD WITH
WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE LATER TODAY
THROUGH SUNDAY...AND WILL BE CENTERED NEAR THE 4-CORNERS. THIS
SYSTEM WILL USHER IN A MUCH COOLER AIR MASS...WITH GUSTY NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS IS A DRY SYSTEM FOR OUR
AREA...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF NORTHEAST ARIZONA WHERE VERY
COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL CREATE SOME INSTABILITY BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE...ANY
CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS SHOULD BE HIGH-BASED...PRODUCING ONLY
SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO BE QUITE A BIT
COOLER THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. SOME OF THE
TYPICALLY COLDER MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO FALL INTO
THE TEENS.

THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST OF THE STATE BY MONDAY...THOUGH
NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL LIKELY KEEP TEMPS A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
LOOK FOR MUCH WARMER WEATHER...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHTER WINDS
FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE AFFECTS
THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A DRY COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL ARIZONA THIS MORNING WITH
DEW POINTS FALLING 10 TO 20 DEGREES AFTER THE FRONT PASSES. WIND
SPEEDS WILL BE LIGHTER TODAY FOR MOST ZONES. THE WHITE MOUNTAINS
ZONE WILL EXCEED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS
THIS AFTERNOON AS STRONGER WIND GUSTS WITH LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL
PERSIST. A HAINES INDEX OF 6 IS ALSO FORECAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN ARIZONA FROM SAINT JOHNS TO SHOW LOW TO
HAPPY JACK. WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE ON SUNDAY.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
RESULTING IN A WARMING AND DRYING TREND WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FORECAST ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A HAINES INDEX OF 6
WILL SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF OUR FIRE WEATHER ZONES ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FROM NOON
UNTIL 7 PM MST FOR ZONE 117 (WHITE MTNS)

&&

PUBLIC..................JJ
AVIATION/FIRE WX........BOHLIN

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
815 PM MST FRI APR 29 2011

AZZ004>018-037>040-300330-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
815 PM MST FRI APR 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ARIZONA...NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...NORTHEAST ARIZONA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.