Alert archive / Minnesota / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 41, NWS Grand Forks, ND

May 11, 2011Norman County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at May 11, 2011, 11:18 AM CDT for Norman County, Minnesota. It was in force for 23 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2011, 11:18 AM CDT (16:18 UTC)
Expired
May 12, 2011, 10:07 AM CDT
In force
23 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Flood severity
Minor

County Norman County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Wild Rice River (MN) at Hendrum (HNDM5). The gauge peaked at 20.08 ft at May 11, 2011, 9:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate202505/1105/1205/13
Action stage
18 ft
Minor stage
20 ft
Moderate stage
28 ft
Major stage
32 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05064000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

922 
WGUS43 KFGF 111618
FLWFGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1118 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A NEW 
FLOOD WARNING FOR 
WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY...


.RECENT RAINFALL TO THE EAST OF HENDRUM HAS CAUSED THE WILD RICE RIVER 
TO RISE BACK UP TO FLOOD STAGE.  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST 
ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE FALLING AGAIN.  

  A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT WITH MORE DETAILED FLOODING INFORMATION 
  WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC107-111918-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0041.110511T1618Z-110513T1200Z/
/HNDM5.1.ER.110511T1200Z.110512T0600Z.110513T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.


$$
3 follow-up statements
254 
WGUS83 KFGF 111632
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...

 
  THIS IS A CANCELLATION FLOOD STATEMENT FOR THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR 
  THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT LISBON AFFECTING RANSOM COUNTY
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT HALSTAD AFFECTING NORMAN AND TRAILL COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS AFFECTING POLK AND GRAND FORKS 
COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT OSLO AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND GRAND 
FORKS COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...KITTSON AND 
PEMBINA COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT PEMBINA AFFECTING KITTSON AND PEMBINA COUNTIES
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
   THE SHEYENNE RIVER NEAR KINDRED AFFECTING CASS AND RICHLAND 
COUNTIES
   THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT WEST FARGO DIVERSION AFFECTING CASS COUNTY
   THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT HARWOOD AFFECTING CASS COUNTY

.THE MAINSTEM RED RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES IN NORTH DAKOTA AND MINNESOTA
ARE FORECASTED TO SLOWLY RECEDE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.  RECENT RAINFALL
IN MINNESOTA HAS CAUSED A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS SUCH AS HENDRUM 
TO RISE BACK UP...BUT THE RISES WILL BE SHORT LIVED.  A FEW ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  HOWEVER....WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THAT WOULD AFFECT FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-NDC017-130432-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.3.SM.110329T2115Z.110409T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 23.9 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 24.0 FEET, FARGO...2ND STREET CLOSES 
  BETWEEN 1ST AND 3RD AVENUE NORTH FOR CONSTRUCTION OF TEMPORARY DIKE
  THAT PROTECTS CITY HALL IF THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE 31 
  FEET.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

RED RIVER
  FARGO             23.9   23.5   23.2   22.9   22.7   22.5   22.4

$$

MNC107-NDC097-130432-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-110514T0000Z/
/HILN8.3.SM.110404T2315Z.110412T1200Z.110513T1200Z.NR/
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT HALSTAD.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 26.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

RED RIVER
  HALSTAD           26.4   26.0   25.6   25.2   24.8   24.3   23.8

$$

MNC119-NDC035-130432-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EGFM5.3.SM.110331T0100Z.110414T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 33.9 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 34.0 FEET, EAST GRAND FORKS WATER 
  ENCROACHING 4TH ST UNDERPASS OF HIGHWAY 2.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  33.9   32.9   32.2   31.5   31.0   30.4   29.9

$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-130432-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.3.SM.110330T1122Z.110415T0230Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT OSLO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 33.2 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.


&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

RED RIVER
  OSLO              33.2   32.7   32.1   31.5   30.9   30.3   29.7

$$

MNC069-089-NDC067-099-130432-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DRTN8.3.SM.110404T1833Z.110419T2115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 39.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 40.0 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 39.0 FEET, RURAL ROAD DAMAGES START.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

RED RIVER
  DRAYTON           39.8   39.5   39.1   38.7   38.2   37.7   37.2

$$

MNC069-NDC067-130432-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PBNN8.3.SM.110406T2118Z.110425T1730Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT PEMBINA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 48.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 47.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 47.7 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 48.0 FEET, CITY DIKE PATROL STARTS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

RED RIVER
  PEMBINA           47.7   47.4   47.0   46.6   46.3   45.9   45.6

$$

MNC107-130431-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110513T1200Z/
/HNDM5.1.ER.110511T1200Z.110512T0600Z.110513T0000Z.NO/
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           20.1   19.8   19.3   18.6   17.9   17.2   16.4

$$

NDC073-111702-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-110512T1200Z/
/LBNN8.3.SM.110408T1000Z.110424T0300Z.110511T1000Z.NR/
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT LISBON.
* AT 11:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  5:00 AM WEDNESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 14.7 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. RAW
  SEWAGE BEGINS BEING DUMPED INTO THE RIVER.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

SHEYENNE RIVER
  LISBON            14.7   14.5   14.2   13.8   12.9   12.2   11.9

$$

NDC017-077-130431-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KNDN8.2.SM.110405T0648Z.110422T0945Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEYENNE RIVER NEAR KINDRED.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 20.2 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.MANY ROADS 
  UNDERWATER INCLUDING MOST OF 55TH ST. SE

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

SHEYENNE RIVER
  KINDRED           20.2   20.1   19.9   19.7   19.4   19.0   18.4

$$

NDC017-130431-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WFON8.3.SM.110405T1640Z.110425T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT WEST FARGO DIVERSION.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.2 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON.  
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 21.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOOD STAGE...APPROXIMATE 
  STAGE WHERE FLOODING BEGINS IN AREAS ALONG THE SHEYENNE RIVER NORTH
  OF THE DIVERSION CHANNEL TO HARWOOD...ND.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

SHEYENNE RIVER
  WEST FARGO DIVER  22.1   22.0   21.9   21.8   21.6   21.4   21.3

$$

NDC017-130431-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWDN8.3.SM.000000T0000Z.110410T2115Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1132 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT HARWOOD.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 890.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 886.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 890.0 FEET BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 890.6 FEET, I-29 SOUTH OF HARWOOD IS 
  FLOODED BY THE SHEYENNE RIVER.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

SHEYENNE RIVER
  HARWOOD          889.9  889.9  889.8  889.5  889.2  889.0  888.7

$$
330 
WGUS83 KFGF 120136
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
836 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY

.THE TRIBUTARIES IN MINNESOTA ARE FORECASTED TO SLOWLY RECEDE 
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.  RECENT RAINFALL IN MINNESOTA HAS 
CAUSED HENDRUM TO RISE BACK UP...BUT THE RISES WILL BE SHORT 
LIVED.  A FEW ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 
REGION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  HOWEVER....WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THAT WOULD AFFECT FLOODING IS NOT 
EXPECTED.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC107-131200-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110513T1200Z/
/HNDM5.1.ER.110511T1200Z.110511T2030Z.110513T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT THURSDAY.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/12  05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           20.0   19.6   19.0   18.3   17.5   16.8   16.1

$$
199 
WGUS83 KFGF 121507
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

 
  THIS IS A CANCELLATION FLOOD STATEMENT FOR THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR 
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT HALSTAD AFFECTING NORMAN AND TRAILL COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS AFFECTING POLK AND GRAND FORKS 
COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT OSLO AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND GRAND 
FORKS COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...KITTSON AND 
PEMBINA COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT PEMBINA AFFECTING KITTSON AND PEMBINA COUNTIES
   THE SHEYENNE RIVER NEAR KINDRED AFFECTING CASS AND RICHLAND 
COUNTIES
   THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT WEST FARGO DIVERSION AFFECTING CASS COUNTY
   THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT HARWOOD AFFECTING CASS COUNTY

. THE MAINSTEM RED RIVER AND THE TRIBUTARIES IN MINNESOTA AND NORTH
DAKOTA WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RECEDE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.  
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE I-94 CORRIDOR 
TODAY AND ACROSS THE REST OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FROM THESE SHOWERS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE 
WIDESPREAD OR HEAVY ENOUGH TO HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON FLOODING.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-NDC017-140307-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.3.SM.110329T2115Z.110409T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 23.1 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 24.0 FEET, FARGO...2ND STREET CLOSES 
  BETWEEN 1ST AND 3RD AVENUE NORTH FOR CONSTRUCTION OF TEMPORARY DIKE
  THAT PROTECTS CITY HALL IF THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE 31 
  FEET.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19

RED RIVER
  FARGO             23.1   22.7   22.4   22.1   21.9   21.6   21.4

$$

MNC107-NDC097-140306-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-110514T0600Z/
/HILN8.3.SM.110404T2315Z.110412T1200Z.110513T1800Z.NR/
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT HALSTAD.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 26.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19

RED RIVER
  HALSTAD           26.1   25.7   25.3   24.8   24.2   23.6   23.1

$$

MNC119-NDC035-140306-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EGFM5.3.SM.110331T0100Z.110414T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 33.6 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 34.0 FEET, EAST GRAND FORKS WATER 
  ENCROACHING 4TH ST UNDERPASS OF HIGHWAY 2.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  33.6   32.9   32.3   31.7   31.0   30.4   29.8

$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-140306-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.3.SM.110330T1122Z.110415T0230Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT OSLO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 33.1 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19

RED RIVER
  OSLO              32.8   32.4   31.9   31.4   30.8   30.2   29.6

$$

MNC069-089-NDC067-099-140306-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DRTN8.3.SM.110404T1833Z.110419T2115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 39.7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 39.3 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 39.0 FEET, RURAL ROAD DAMAGES START.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19

RED RIVER
  DRAYTON           39.3   38.9   38.5   38.1   37.7   37.4   37.0

$$

MNC069-NDC067-140306-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PBNN8.3.SM.110406T2118Z.110425T1730Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT PEMBINA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 47.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 47.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 47.4 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 48.0 FEET, CITY DIKE PATROL STARTS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19

RED RIVER
  PEMBINA           47.4   47.0   46.7   46.3   45.9   45.6   45.2

$$

MNC107-121537-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110513T1200Z/
/HNDM5.1.ER.110511T1200Z.110511T2030Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM.
* AT  8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 19.9 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 19.5 FEET BY .
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           19.5   19.1   18.7   18.3   17.5   16.7   16.1

$$

NDC017-077-140306-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KNDN8.2.SM.110405T0648Z.110422T0945Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEYENNE RIVER NEAR KINDRED.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.2 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.MANY ROADS 
  UNDERWATER INCLUDING MOST OF 55TH ST. SE

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19

SHEYENNE RIVER
  KINDRED           20.1   19.9   19.6   19.3   19.0   18.6   17.9

$$

NDC017-140306-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WFON8.3.SM.110405T1640Z.110425T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT WEST FARGO DIVERSION.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 22.0 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 21.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOOD STAGE...APPROXIMATE 
  STAGE WHERE FLOODING BEGINS IN AREAS ALONG THE SHEYENNE RIVER NORTH
  OF THE DIVERSION CHANNEL TO HARWOOD...ND.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19

SHEYENNE RIVER
  WEST FARGO DIVER  22.0   21.9   21.8   21.5   21.3   21.0   20.8

$$

NDC017-140306-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWDN8.3.SM.000000T0000Z.110410T2115Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT HARWOOD.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 889.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 886.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 889.7 FEET
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 890.6 FEET, I-29 SOUTH OF HARWOOD IS 
  FLOODED BY THE SHEYENNE RIVER.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/13  05/14  05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19

SHEYENNE RIVER
  HARWOOD          889.7  889.5  889.3  889.0  888.7  888.4  888.0

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 11, 10:12 AM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 11, 10:12 AM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1012 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...
GOING FORECAST HAS THINGS PRETTY WELL IN HAND BUT WILL MAKE A FEW
MINOR CHANGES THIS MORNING. REGIONAL RADAR LOOP SHOWS ANY DYING
CONVECTIVE SHOWERS TO OUR SOUTH HAVE PRETTY MUCH DIED OUT. THERE
IS ONE COMPLEX ACROSS SOUTHERN MN BUT DO NOT EXPECT THAT TO REACH
UP INTO OUR FA. THEREFORE TRIMMED OUT ANY MENTION OF ISOLATED
SHOWERS TODAY. LOOKS FOR THE MOST PART LIKE IT WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY FOR THE MORNING (EXCEPT THE FAR SE) THEN THERE MAY BE ONLY
A FEW BREAKS THRU THE AFTERNOON (STILL MORE SO IN THE SOUTH/SE).
DESPITE SOME BREAKS OF SUN IN THE FAR SE ALSO DROPPED HIGHS A
LITTLE MORE THERE.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF FOG CAUSING PATCHY IFR/LIFR EAST OF RED RIVER VALLEY
THEN WIDESPREAD IFR UNDER BROAD LOW CLOUDS ROTATING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN CWFA. EXPECT MVFR TO IFR GENERALLY NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY
200 CORRIDOR TIL LATER IN THE DAY THEN MOSTLY MVFR.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
MODERATE TO MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES IN THE BASIN OF THE RED
RIVER OF THE NORTH...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF WEST FARGO WHICH IS
STILL IN MAJOR CATEGORY.

MOST AREA RIVERS ARE RESPONDING ABOUT AS FORECAST. THE CURRENT
FORECASTS CONTAIN 24 HOURS OF FORECAST PRECIPITATION...SO
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL HAVE TO BE FACTORED INTO LATER FORECASTS.
THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS A SLOWING IN THE RATE OF FALL OR MINOR
RISES...ALL DEPENDENT ON WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINS OCCUR. STAY
TUNED TO LATER RIVER PREDICTIONS.

AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE ALONG THE MAIN-STEM RED NORTH OF OSLO
TO CANADA...IN CASS COUNTY FROM KINDRED TO HARWOOD...IN PEMBINA
COUNTY DOWNSTREAM OF WALHALLA THROUGH NECHE INTO PEMBINA. A FLOOD
ADVISORY HAS REPLACED THE AREAL FLOOD WARNING IN THE DEVILS LAKE
BASIN AS OVERLAND RUNOFF HAS SUBSIDED. SEE SPECIFIC FLOOD STATEMENTS
FOR MORE DETAILS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 603 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011/

UPDATE...
WILL UPDATE ZONES TO ADD LOW POP SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHERN ZONES
THIS MORNING. REGIONAL 88D SHOW -RASH LEFTOVER FROM CONVECTION IN
NEBRASKA HOLDING TOGETHER. FAIRLY STRONG 200MB DIVERGENCE
ASSOCIATED WITH JET STREAK FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTHERN CWFA AND
MOVE NORTH AS IT WEAKENS. ALSO TWEAKED WINDS AS A SLIGHTLY TIGHTER
GRADIENT IS DEVELOPING ALONG WITH ISALLOBARIC RISES HELPING IN
FAVORED HIGHER TERRAIN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011/

SYNOPSIS...
HIGH AMPLITUDE...BLOCKY PATTERN FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH
OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. WITH SUCH A BLOCKY PATTERN EXPECT
RELATIVELY SLOW MOVEMENT OF OVERALL SYSTEMS AND SLOW EVOLUTION
NEXT 24 TO 72 HOURS. A GRADUAL COOLING TREND AS MEAN TROUGH
PROGRESSES INTO THE PLAINS.

SHORT TERM...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON MASS FIELDS AND LEANED TOWARDS THE
NAM OF THIS PACKAGE. SEVERAL CHALLENGES IN TODAYS FORECAST...FROM LOW
CLOUDS AND POTENTIAL FOG EARLY TO SHOWER THREAT NORTH AND EAST.
PATCHY FOG HAS BEEN NOTED IN FAR NORTH VALLEY AND ACROSS MUCH OF
MINNESOTA WITH METAR VSBY BOUNCING FROM 1/4 TO P6SM. OPTED TO NOT
MENTION IN ZONES AS INCREASING WINDS SHOULD MIX OUT AROUND 12Z.

AS UPPER LOW/VORT MAX MOVES OUT OF NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA INTO
MANITOBA A FEW SHOWERS WILL ROTATE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES
THIS MORNING...AS PER BUFCAN AND OBS. WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS
ROTATING AROUND SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO CANADA SHOULD TRAVERSE
REGION THEN BEGIN TO BREAK UP AS SYSTEM PULLS NORTH. CLOUD COVER
THEN INCREASES FROM SOUTH AS MOISTURE AND CONVECTIVE DEBRIS SHIFT
NORTH IN MID-UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW LATE TODAY INTO THURSDAY.

A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTH VALLEY UNDER THE
LOW CLOUDS...RUG REPORTED -RA...THEN ISO RASH FAR EAST CWA AS
ENERGY LIFTS NORTH. DID NOT MENTION THUNDER AS CAPE...NEGATIVE LI
AND BOUNDARY EAST OF CWFA.

TONIGHT SURFACE HIGH BUILDING INTO THE CWFA WITH MUCH DRIER COLUMN
RESULTING IN VERY STABLE AIRMASS. FEEL THAT MOST AREAS WILL BE DRY
BUT DID LEAVE ISO RASH WITH SOUTH FLOW IN PLACE ABOVE 700 MB AND
ABUNDANT CONVECTION SOUTH OF CWFA.

WITH BLOCKING PATTERN AND TWO SYSTEMS AFFECTING AREA SUSPECT A FEW
SHOWERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE SO LEFT SLIGHT CHC-CHC POPS SIMILAR TO
PREVIOUS FORECAST. NEXT MAIN CHALLENGE WILL BE UPPER LOW THAT
MODELS ROTATE BACK ACROSS AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.

EXTENDED...
DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO EXTENDED MAINLY DUE TO EXTREME MODEL
RUN-TO-RUN VARIABILITY AND HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN. FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY COOLER WITH WARMER WEATHER SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LOOKS SHOWERY FRIDAY AND PERHAPS SATURDAY UNDER COLD CORE LOW
DROPPING ACROSS CWFA. SHOULD BECOME PRECIPITATION FREE UNDER RISING
HEIGHTS NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

GODON
Hazardous weather outlook, May 11, 6:46 AM CDT, 4 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
646 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-121145-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-
GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
WESTERN WALSH-
646 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SPRING SNOW MELT AREAL AND RIVERINE FLOODING CONTINUES
ALONG THE RED RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD
WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ON SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

WIDESPREAD SPRING SNOW MELT AREAL AND RIVERINE FLOODING CONTINUES
ALONG THE RED RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD
WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ON SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

EWENS

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.