Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2011
River Flood Warning 9, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Feb 18, 2011, 9:06 AM CST for Carroll County, Chariton County, Missouri. It took effect at Feb 19, 2011, 4:30 PM CST. It was in force for 13 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 18, 2011, 9:06 AM CST (15:06 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 19, 2011, 4:30 PM CST
- Expired
- Feb 20, 2011, 5:17 AM CST
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Grand River near Brunswick (BRNM7).
- Action stage
- 14 ft
- Minor stage
- 19 ft
- Moderate stage
- 27 ft
- Major stage
- 33 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
068
WGUS43 KEAX 181506
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
906 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAM...
GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC033-041-191506-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0009.110219T1200Z-110222T0651Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.110219T1200Z.110220T1200Z.110221T0651Z.UU/
906 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:44 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST
BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE ABOUT 1
MILE WEST OF BRUNSWICK.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
BRUNSWICK 19 17.0 FRI 09 AM 19.6 SUNDAY MORNING
$$7 follow-up statements
407
WGUS83 KEAX 181544
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE
GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER
PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY
WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...
CHARITON...COOPER...LINN...LIVINGSTON...SALINE
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-191544-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T2212Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110218T0630Z.110220T2212Z.NO/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 8:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 27.7 FRI 09 AM 27.7 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
MOC115-117-191543-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110221T0100Z/
/CHZM7.1.SM.110217T2253Z.110218T1215Z.110220T0100Z.NO/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* AT 8:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY THIS
AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...LOW-LYING CROPLAND FLOODS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
CHILLICOTHE 24 26.3 FRI 09 AM 26.5 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-191543-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110222T0124Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110219T0000Z.110221T0124Z.NO/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT 8:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.8 FEET BY THIS
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
SUMNER 26 32.5 FRI 09 AM 32.8 THIS EVENING
$$
MOC033-041-191543-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0009.110219T1200Z-110222T0651Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.110219T1200Z.110220T1200Z.110221T0651Z.UU/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:44 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST
BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE ABOUT 1
MILE WEST OF BRUNSWICK.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
BRUNSWICK 19 17.0 FRI 09 AM 19.6 SUNDAY MORNING
$$
MOC021-191543-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110220T0900Z/
/AGYM7.1.SM.110218T0133Z.110219T0000Z.110219T0900Z.NO/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* AT 8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY THIS
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
PLATTE RIVER
AGENCY 20 20.5 FRI 08 AM 21.0 THIS EVENING
$$
MOC033-191543-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110220T0100Z/
/CAXM7.1.SM.110217T2137Z.110218T1345Z.110219T0100Z.UU/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* AT 9:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THIS EVENING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE
CREEK BEGINS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
WAKENDA CREEK
CARROLLTON 16 16.9 FRI 09 AM 16.9 THIS AFTERNOON
$$629
WGUS83 KEAX 190414
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE
PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY
WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...
LINN...LIVINGSTON
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER
GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK
PLATTE RIVER AT SHARPS STATION
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
LINN...LIVINGSTON...PLATTE
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...SALINE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-200414-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T2212Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110219T0330Z.110220T2212Z.NO/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 9:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 27.9 FRI 10 PM 27.9 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
$$
MOC115-117-190444-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110221T0100Z/
/CHZM7.1.SM.110217T2253Z.110218T1215Z.110219T0257Z.NO/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* AT 9:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 8:57 PM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 17.6 FEET BY SUNDAY
MORNING.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
CHILLICOTHE 24 23.8 FRI 10 PM 23.5 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-200413-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T1355Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110219T0330Z.110220T1355Z.NO/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT 9:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.6 FEET BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
SUMNER 26 32.6 FRI 10 PM 32.6 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
$$
MOC033-041-200413-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0009.110219T2230Z-110222T0651Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.110219T2230Z.110220T1200Z.110221T0651Z.UU/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6:12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST
BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE ABOUT 1
MILE WEST OF BRUNSWICK.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
BRUNSWICK 19 17.4 FRI 06 PM 19.6 SUNDAY MORNING
$$
MOC021-190444-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110220T0900Z/
/AGYM7.1.SM.110218T0133Z.110218T1645Z.110218T2345Z.NO/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* AT 9:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5:45 PM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 14.4 FEET BY SUNDAY
MORNING.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
PLATTE RIVER
AGENCY 20 19.3 FRI 09 PM 19.0 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
$$
MOC165-200413-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0010.110219T0900Z-110220T1800Z/
/SSTM7.1.ER.110219T0900Z.110219T1200Z.110219T1800Z.NO/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PLATTE RIVER AT SHARPS STATION.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 26.1 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 26.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
PLATTE RIVER
SHARPS STATION 26 25.7 FRI 09 PM 26.1 SATURDAY MORNING
$$
MOC033-190444-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110220T0100Z/
/CAXM7.1.SM.110217T2137Z.110218T1345Z.110218T2137Z.UU/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* AT 10:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 3:37 PM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 8.4 FEET BY SUNDAY
MORNING.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
WAKENDA CREEK
CARROLLTON 16 13.9 FRI 10 PM 14.0 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
$$934
WGUS83 KEAX 190432
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1032 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER
GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK
PLATTE RIVER AT SHARPS STATION
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
COOPER...LINN...LIVINGSTON...PLATTE...SALINE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-200432-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T2212Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110219T0330Z.110220T2212Z.NO/
1032 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 9:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 27.9 FRI 10 PM 27.9 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-200431-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T1355Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110219T0330Z.110220T1355Z.NO/
1032 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT 9:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.6 FEET BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
SUMNER 26 32.6 FRI 10 PM 32.6 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
$$
MOC033-041-200431-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0009.110219T2230Z-110222T0651Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.110219T2230Z.110220T1200Z.110221T0651Z.UU/
1032 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6:12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST
BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE ABOUT 1
MILE WEST OF BRUNSWICK.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
BRUNSWICK 19 17.4 FRI 06 PM 19.6 SUNDAY MORNING
$$
MOC165-200431-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0010.110219T0900Z-110220T1800Z/
/SSTM7.1.ER.110219T0900Z.110219T1200Z.110219T1800Z.NO/
1032 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PLATTE RIVER AT SHARPS STATION.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 26.1 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 26.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
PLATTE RIVER
SHARPS STATION 26 25.7 FRI 09 PM 26.1 SATURDAY MORNING
$$413
WGUS83 KEAX 190949
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
349 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER
GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK
PLATTE RIVER AT SHARPS STATION
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
COOPER...LINN...LIVINGSTON...PLATTE...SALINE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-200949-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T2212Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110219T0615Z.110220T2212Z.NO/
349 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 2:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 28.0 SAT 03 AM 27.8 THIS MORNING
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-200948-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T1355Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110219T0330Z.110220T1355Z.NO/
349 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT 2:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.4 FEET BY THIS
MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
SUMNER 26 32.4 SAT 03 AM 32.4 THIS MORNING
$$
MOC033-041-200948-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0009.110219T2230Z-110222T0651Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.110219T2230Z.110220T1200Z.110221T0651Z.UU/
349 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6:12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST
BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE ABOUT 1
MILE WEST OF BRUNSWICK.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
BRUNSWICK 19 17.4 FRI 06 PM 19.6 SUNDAY MORNING
$$
MOC165-200948-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110220T1800Z/
/SSTM7.1.ER.110219T1128Z.110219T1200Z.110219T1800Z.NO/
349 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PLATTE RIVER AT SHARPS STATION.
* AT 3:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.1 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL
FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 26.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
PLATTE RIVER
SHARPS STATION 26 25.6 SAT 03 AM 26.1 THIS MORNING
$$586
WGUS83 KEAX 191548
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
948 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
COOPER...LINN...LIVINGSTON...SALINE
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAM...
GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-201548-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110222T0415Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110219T1445Z.110221T0415Z.NO/
948 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 8:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 28.0 SAT 09 AM 27.9 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-201547-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T0845Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110219T0330Z.110220T0845Z.NO/
948 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT 8:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
SUMNER 26 31.9 SAT 09 AM 31.5 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
MOC033-041-201547-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0009.110219T2230Z-110222T0651Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.110219T2230Z.110220T1200Z.110221T0651Z.UU/
948 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* NO OBSERVED STAGE AVAILABLE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 19.6
FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST
BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE ABOUT 1
MILE WEST OF BRUNSWICK.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
BRUNSWICK 19 N/A 19.6 SUNDAY MORNING
$$732
WGUS83 KEAX 200339
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
939 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER
GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
COOPER...LINN...LIVINGSTON...SALINE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-210339-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110222T2000Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110219T1930Z.110221T2000Z.NO/
939 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 8:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 28.0 SAT 09 PM 27.0 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-210338-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T0813Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110219T0330Z.110220T0813Z.NO/
939 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT 8:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
SUMNER 26 30.1 SAT 09 PM 27.6 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
$$
MOC033-041-210338-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110221T1047Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110220T0600Z.110220T1047Z.UU/
939 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 19.4
FEET EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST
BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE ABOUT 1
MILE WEST OF BRUNSWICK.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
BRUNSWICK 19 19.4 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
$$786
WGUS83 KEAX 201117
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
517 AM CST SUN FEB 20 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC033-041-201147-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110221T1047Z/
/BRNM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
517 AM CST SUN FEB 20 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A MAXIMUM
VALUE OF 18.9 FEET THIS MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST
BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE ABOUT 1
MILE WEST OF BRUNSWICK.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
BRUNSWICK 19 18.9 THIS MORNING
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 18, 5:59 AM CST, 3 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 5:59 AM CST, 3 hours 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 559 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011 ...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION... .DISCUSSION... COMPARED TO YESTERDAYS RECORD BREAKING WARM TEMPERATURES A MODEST COOL DOWN CAN BE EXPECTED FOR TODAY. LIMITED MIXING OF A MODIFIED PACIFIC AIRMASS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE 50S THOUGH SOME AREAS IN THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA MAY PUSH 60 OR SO. BY SATURDAY ISENTROPIC LIFT COMMENCES SATURATING THE MID LEVELS INITIALLY. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER PUSHING INTO/THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA AND AS THE LOWER PORTIONS OF THE COLUMN BEGIN TO SATURATE THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES A BIT. FOCUS THEN SHIFTS TO A SYSTEM FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS NEBRASKA AND IOWA SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT. THE WARM ADVECTION FROM SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AND INCREASE AS THE UPPER WAVE MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR VERY WARM AIR ALOFT TO SURGE INTO THE MID/LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY AND WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR GOOD MIXING TEMPERATURES SHOULD AGAIN CLIMB WELL INTO THE INTO THE 60S FOR MOST LOCATIONS. GIVEN THE WARM AIR ALOFT IF DEEPER MIX OCCURS SOME AREAS MAY AGAIN SEE 70+ DEGREE READINGS. CONVERSELY IF THE WARM AND MOIST ADVECTION LEADS TO THICKER CLOUD COVER TEMPERATURES MAY NOT WARM AS MUCH. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES IT SURGES A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION USHERING A RETURN OF WINTER. MODEL DIFFERENCES REALLY START TO DEGRADE FORECAST CONFIDENCE BY THIS POINT AS THE GFS AND GEM ARE FASTER WITH THE FRONT DEVELOPING PRECIPITATION ON IT ONCE IT IS PASSED OUR FORECAST AREA. THE ECMWF IS SLOWER...LAGGING THE FRONT BACK ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES AT ABOUT THE SAME TIME AS THE COLD AIR IS SURGING BEHIND IT. WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE COLD ADVECTION AND TRAJECTORY OF THE MID LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT THINK THE GFS AND THE GEM MAY BE DEPICTING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE BETTER. NONE-THE-LESS...HAVE A HARD TIME DISCOUNTING THE ECMWF COMPLETELY. SO...HAVE KEPT LOW CHANCE POPS GOING FOR OUR EASTERN AND SOUTHERN ZONES AND AS THE COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION TRANSITION THIS PRECIPITATION INTO A WINTRY MIX BY DAYBREAK MONDAY. COLDER TEMPERATURES SHOULD STAY IN THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY BUT AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND WINDS SWITCH AROUND TO THE SOUTH A WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. CONSENSUS MODELS SHOW A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND OVER PREVIOUS FORECASTS AND SINCE CONFIDENCE IS NOT THE HIGHEST BEYOND A FEW DAYS DECIDED TO TEMPER THOSE MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES DOWN A BIT UNTIL BETTER CONTINUITY IS SEEN IN THE MODELS. CDB && .AVIATION... FOR THE 12Z TAFS...A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC WILL INSURE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. DB && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 18, 4:57 AM CST, 4 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 457 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-191100- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS- ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER- HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON- CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON- RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS- COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 457 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATER THIS WEEKEND AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AS WARM MOIST AIR PUSHES BACK NORTH INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA...THOUGH THE THREAT FOR ANY SEVERE WEATHER IS VERY LOW. THERE REMAINS A LARGE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM...AS WELL AS THE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR SINKING SOUTH INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...THIS COLDER AIR MAY ALLOW FOR A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. CDB
The office that day
Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2:38 PM CST | River Flood Warning | EAX | Platte | 17 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.