River Flood Warning 7, NWS Kansas City, MO

503 
WGUS83 KEAX 172156
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...
CHARITON...COOPER...JOHNSON...LINN...LIVINGSTON...MACON...PETTIS...
SALINE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-182156-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T0453Z/
/VLYM7.1.SM.110217T0135Z.110217T1415Z.110218T0453Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT  3:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   23.1   THU 03 PM   23.3 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-195-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T0632Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110217T2145Z.110220T0632Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  3:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.5   THU 04 PM   27.4 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC041-121-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0005.110218T0527Z-110221T1727Z/
/PRIM7.1.SM.110218T0527Z.110219T1800Z.110220T1727Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 16.8 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   14.7   THU 04 PM   16.8 EARLY SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON

$$

MOC115-117-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0006.110218T1200Z-110220T0600Z/
/CHZM7.1.SM.110218T1200Z.110219T0000Z.110219T0600Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  2:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.2 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...LOW-LYING CROPLAND FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  CHILLICOTHE     24   23.3   THU 03 PM   24.2 FRIDAY EVENING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T2100Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110218T1200Z.110220T2100Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT  3:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.1 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   30.1   THU 04 PM   32.1 FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC021-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0007.110218T0430Z-110221T0000Z/
/AGYM7.1.SM.110218T0430Z.110219T0600Z.110220T0000Z.NO/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   19.6   THU 03 PM   21.0 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-182155-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T2240Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110216T0243Z.110216T1645Z.110217T2240Z.UU/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT  3:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.2 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   15.1   THU 03 PM   16.2 LATE THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-182155-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.110217T2207Z-110219T0200Z/
/CAXM7.1.SM.110217T2207Z.110218T0000Z.110218T0200Z.UU/
356 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.1 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   15.9   THU 03 PM   16.1 THIS EVENING

$$

NRR

603 
WGUS83 KEAX 180420
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...JOHNSON...
PETTIS

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...
CHARITON...COOPER...LINN...LIVINGSTON...MACON...SALINE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
LINN...LIVINGSTON

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-180450-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110219T0453Z/
/VLYM7.1.SM.110217T0135Z.110217T1415Z.110218T0040Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT 10:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  6:40 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 16.8 FEET BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   20.8   THU 10 PM   21.3 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-195-190419-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T0949Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110218T0345Z.110220T0949Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  9:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.7   THU 10 PM   27.7 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC041-121-190419-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0005.110218T0418Z-110221T1727Z/
/PRIM7.1.SM.110217T2249Z.110219T1800Z.110220T1727Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   15.6   THU 10 PM   16.8 EARLY SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON

$$

MOC115-117-190419-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0006.110218T0418Z-110221T0240Z/
/CHZM7.1.SM.110217T2253Z.110218T1800Z.110220T0240Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...LOW-LYING CROPLAND FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  CHILLICOTHE     24   25.5   THU 10 PM   26.0 EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-190419-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T2100Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110218T1200Z.110220T2100Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT  9:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.1 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   31.7   THU 10 PM   32.1 FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC021-190419-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.110218T0418Z-110221T0000Z/
/AGYM7.1.SM.110218T0133Z.110219T0600Z.110220T0000Z.NO/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   20.1   THU 09 PM   21.0 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-180450-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T2240Z/
/BONM7.1.SM.110216T0243Z.110216T1645Z.110217T1857Z.UU/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT  9:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12:57 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 11.8 FEET BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   12.8   THU 09 PM   13.3 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-190419-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110219T0815Z/
/CAXM7.1.SM.110217T2137Z.110218T0400Z.110218T0815Z.UU/
1020 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* AT 10:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   16.5   THU 10 PM   16.3 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

830 
WGUS83 KEAX 180927
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
327 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...CARROLL

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
COOPER...LINN...LIVINGSTON...MACON...SALINE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-195-190927-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T0949Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110218T0630Z.110220T0949Z.NO/
327 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  2:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.7   FRI 03 AM   27.7 THIS MORNING

$$

MOC041-121-190926-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110221T1727Z/
/PRIM7.1.SM.110217T2249Z.110219T1800Z.110220T1727Z.NO/
327 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* AT  2:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   15.2   FRI 03 AM   16.8 EARLY SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON

$$

MOC115-117-190926-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110221T0240Z/
/CHZM7.1.SM.110217T2253Z.110218T1200Z.110220T0240Z.NO/
327 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* AT  2:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.9 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...LOW-LYING CROPLAND FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  CHILLICOTHE     24   26.4   FRI 03 AM   26.9 THIS MORNING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-190926-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T2100Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110218T0845Z.110220T2100Z.NO/
327 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT  2:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   32.2   FRI 03 AM   32.1 THIS MORNING

$$

MOC021-190926-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110220T0818Z/
/AGYM7.1.SM.110218T0133Z.110218T1800Z.110219T0818Z.NO/
327 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* AT  2:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   20.2   FRI 02 AM   21.0 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-190926-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110219T1430Z/
/CAXM7.1.SM.110217T2137Z.110218T0900Z.110218T1430Z.UU/
327 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* AT  3:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   16.9   FRI 03 AM   16.8 THIS MORNING

$$

407 
WGUS83 KEAX 181544
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...
CHARITON...COOPER...LINN...LIVINGSTON...SALINE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-195-191544-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T2212Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110218T0630Z.110220T2212Z.NO/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  8:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.7   FRI 09 AM   27.7 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC115-117-191543-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110221T0100Z/
/CHZM7.1.SM.110217T2253Z.110218T1215Z.110220T0100Z.NO/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* AT  8:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...LOW-LYING CROPLAND FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  CHILLICOTHE     24   26.3   FRI 09 AM   26.5 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-191543-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110222T0124Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110219T0000Z.110221T0124Z.NO/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT  8:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.8 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   32.5   FRI 09 AM   32.8 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-041-191543-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0009.110219T1200Z-110222T0651Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.110219T1200Z.110220T1200Z.110221T0651Z.UU/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:44 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST 
  BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE ABOUT 1 
  MILE WEST OF BRUNSWICK.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  BRUNSWICK       19   17.0   FRI 09 AM   19.6 SUNDAY MORNING

$$

MOC021-191543-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110220T0900Z/
/AGYM7.1.SM.110218T0133Z.110219T0000Z.110219T0900Z.NO/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* AT  8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   20.5   FRI 08 AM   21.0 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-191543-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110220T0100Z/
/CAXM7.1.SM.110217T2137Z.110218T1345Z.110219T0100Z.UU/
944 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* AT  9:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   16.9   FRI 09 AM   16.9 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

629 
WGUS83 KEAX 190414
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...
LINN...LIVINGSTON

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK 
  PLATTE RIVER AT SHARPS STATION 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL...CHARITON...
LINN...LIVINGSTON...PLATTE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...SALINE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-195-200414-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110221T2212Z/
/BLVM7.1.SM.110216T1842Z.110219T0330Z.110220T2212Z.NO/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT  9:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.9   FRI 10 PM   27.9 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC115-117-190444-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110221T0100Z/
/CHZM7.1.SM.110217T2253Z.110218T1215Z.110219T0257Z.NO/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* AT  9:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  8:57 PM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 17.6 FEET BY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  CHILLICOTHE     24   23.8   FRI 10 PM   23.5 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-200413-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110221T1355Z/
/SNZM7.2.SM.110217T1524Z.110219T0330Z.110220T1355Z.NO/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT  9:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.6 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   32.6   FRI 10 PM   32.6 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-041-200413-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0009.110219T2230Z-110222T0651Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.110219T2230Z.110220T1200Z.110221T0651Z.UU/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST 
  BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE ABOUT 1 
  MILE WEST OF BRUNSWICK.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  BRUNSWICK       19   17.4   FRI 06 PM   19.6 SUNDAY MORNING

$$

MOC021-190444-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110220T0900Z/
/AGYM7.1.SM.110218T0133Z.110218T1645Z.110218T2345Z.NO/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* AT  9:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  5:45 PM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 14.4 FEET BY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   19.3   FRI 09 PM   19.0 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC165-200413-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0010.110219T0900Z-110220T1800Z/
/SSTM7.1.ER.110219T0900Z.110219T1200Z.110219T1800Z.NO/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER AT SHARPS STATION.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 26.1 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 26.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  SHARPS STATION  26   25.7   FRI 09 PM   26.1 SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-190444-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110220T0100Z/
/CAXM7.1.SM.110217T2137Z.110218T1345Z.110218T2137Z.UU/
1014 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* AT 10:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  3:37 PM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 8.4 FEET BY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   13.9   FRI 10 PM   14.0 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1145 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...

/533 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011/
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND A RESULTANT SPRING LIKE LLJ HAS KEPT THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WELL MIXED OVERNIGHT...WITH WINDS ACTUALLY FLIRTING
WITH ADVISORY CRITERIA AND TEMPERATURES STEADY OR RISING IN THE 50S.
WILL MONITOR WIND SPEEDS THROUGH THE MORNING TO ASSESS POTENTIAL
CONTINUED MIX DOWN...AND THE POSSIBILITY FOR A LOCAL AND SHORT TIME
FRAME WIND ADVISORY. STRATUS LAYER HAD BEGUN TO FILL OVER MUCH OF
THE FORECAST AREA...HOWEVER AREA PROFILERS CLEARLY SHOW WINDS THE
H9-H8 LAYER ALREADY VEERING AND ENTRAINING DRY AIR INTO THE WRN
PERIPHERY OF THE MOIST LAYER...WITH A SECONDARY SURGE OF CLOUDS OVER
ERN OKLAHOMA TAKING A TRAJECTORY TOWARDS CNTRL MISSOURI. WHILE
FURTHER BACKFILLING OF CLOUDS IN ERN KANSAS WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS...FEEL CONTINUED VEERING OF WINDS IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WILL SCATTER OUT CLOUDS FOR MUCH OF THE CWA BY EARLY AFTERNOON
PER GFS TYPE OUTPUT. PRESSURE GRADIENT AND WINDS WILL RELAX SOMEWHAT
BY THE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING INTO NWRN
MISSOURI...BUT NOT BEFORE REALIZING NEAR RECORD HIGHS FOR THE REGION
(SEE CLIMATE SECTION BELOW).

FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH LIMITED CONVERGENCE
AND DYNAMICAL SUPPORT FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...SOME
SATURATED ISENTROPIC ASCENT CAN BE NOTED IN THE 295K-300K LAYERS FOR
THE SRN HALF OF THE CWA...AND WILL HOLD SLIGHT CHANCE POPS HERE WITH
SUPPORT FROM THE OPERATIONAL NAM AND ECMWF...AS WELL AS HIGH
RESOLUTION 4KM WRF-NMM. MAY NEED A STRONGER MENTION INTO THE CHANCE
CATEGORY SHOULD CONDITIONS EVOLVE MORE FAVORABLY. SFC HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION...AND EVENTUALLY TOWARDS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WITH THE BRUNT OF COLDER AIR SHUNTED
INTO THE GREAT LAKES...WHILE THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT STALLS NEAR
THE I-40 CORRIDOR DUE TO PERSISTENT SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO THE SOUTH
AND RESUMPTION OF HEIGHT FALLS TO THE WEST AHEAD OF A DEEPER DESERT
SOUTHWEST TROUGH. AS THIS BOUNDARY WASHES OUT AND LIFTS NORTH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...RETURN OF VERY MOIST AIR TO THE SOUTH MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR SOME SCT SHOWERS INTO THE EVENING HOURS. HAVE KEPT
SOME THUNDER MENTION IN THE FORECAST WITH MARGINALLY FAVORABLE LAPSE
RATES ALOFT AND GOOD FORECAST ASCENT...THOUGH PROBABILITIES ARE NOT
PARTICULARLY HIGH.

MASSIVE REGIONAL UNCERTAINTY FOR THE END OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK...AS SOME INITIALIZATION FEATURES OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC
BASIN HAVE NOW BEEN IDENTIFIED BY THE 00Z GFS...WITH A DECIDED SHIFT
TOWARDS A SOLUTION ADVERTISED BY THE ECMWF AND GEM LAST NIGHT. TWO
CULPRITS APPEAR TO BE AT WORK HERE IN THE NRN STREAM...THE FIRST OF
WHICH IS A DEEPER NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALY DRIVING SOUTHEAST INTO SRN
ONTARIO WHILE AN UPSTREAM WAVE ENTERING THE ERN GULF OF ALASKA BOTH
ACT TO ENHANCE SPLIT FLOW RIDGING OVER WRN CANADA...SUCH THAT
STRONGER NRN PLAINS PRESSURE RISES FORCE AN ENHANCED BAROCLINIC ZONE
SOMEWHERE CLOSE TO OR WITHIN THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

ADDING TO THE UNCERTAINTY IS THE 00Z ECMWF SOLUTION...WHICH
MAINTAINS A MORE NEUTRALLY TILTED SRN STREAM TROUGH ENTERING THE
PLAINS ON SUNDAY...ACTING TO RETARD THE SOUTHWARD ADVANCE OF THE
COLDER CANADIAN AIRMASS BEFORE SHEARING EAST INTO A CONFLUENT ZONE
OVER THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO RIVER VALLEY MONDAY. THE DIFFERENCE IN
ATMOSPHERIC THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES AMONG MODELS SUNDAY AND MONDAY
BORDERS ON THE RIDICULOUS...WITH ENSEMBLE SFC TEMPERATURE SPREADS
APPROACHING 30F (NOT TO MENTION THE SPREAD IN CONDITIONS ABOVE THE
SFC). OF MORE CERTAINTY IS THE HUGE TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ACROSS THIS
BOUNDARY (WHEREVER IT MAY LIE)...SEPARATING A WARM MOIST SUBTROPICAL
SPRING AIRMASS FROM COLD CONTINENTAL AIRMASS...YIELDING THE
NECESSARY INGREDIENTS FOR ANY WAVE PROPAGATING THROUGH THE REGION TO
PRODUCE A WIDE VARIETY OF WEATHER TYPES (POTENTIALLY OF THE HIGH
IMPACT NATURE). HAVE GENERALLY TAKEN A GFS/ECMWF BLEND...WHICH LIES
JUST BELOW THE ENSEMBLE MEAN WITH RESPECT TO TEMPERATURES IN THIS
CRUCIAL PERIOD...AND HAVE HIGHLIGHTED THE ENTIRE GAMBIT OF
RAIN/FREEZING RAIN/SLEET/SNOW FOR THE SUNDAY NIGHT PERIOD...WITH A
PREFERENCE TOWARDS A CHANGE OVER TO ENTIRELY SNOW MONDAY AS THE WAVE
PASSES. A BRIEF PERIOD OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...BEFORE WRN CONUS TROUGHING RELOADS AND
INDUCES RETURN FLOW AND INCREASING HEIGHTS/THICKNESSES BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD.

21

&&

.AVIATION...

WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AND APPROACHING TROUGH SHUNTING THE BEST
MOISTURE SOUTHEAST...HAVE EFFECTIVELY ENDED THE STRATUS OVER THE
TERMINALS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THE
APPROACHING TROUGH WILL ALSO LEAD TO DIMINISHING WINDS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. THINK THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINALS BY
MID EVENING AND HAVE BUMPED UP TIMING SLIGHTLY. FRONT SHOULD GO
THROUGH DRY.

NRR

&&

.CLIMATE...

THERE REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR OR RECORD SETTING HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY AT KANSAS CITY AND ST. JOSEPH. HERE ARE THE
SPECIFICS FOR BOTH LOCATIONS:

THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE IN KANSAS CITY FOR FEBRUARY 17 IS 72
DEGREES WITH THAT RECORD SET IN 1970. THE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURE
FOR THE 17TH IS 43 DEGREES

AT ST. JOSEPH THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR FEBRUARY 17 IS ALSO 72
DEGREES WITH THAT RECORD ALSO SET IN 1970. THE NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURE IS 44 DEGREES.

DUX

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1253 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-181115-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1253 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO AROUND 25 MPH AND HIGHER
GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER DRIVING
CONDITIONS MAY STILL BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
KANSAS CITY TO MACON THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATER THIS WEEKEND
AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AS WARM MOIST
AIR PUSHES BACK NORTH INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA...THOUGH THE THREAT FOR
ANY SEVERE WEATHER IS VERY LOW.

THERE REMAINS A TREMENDOUS DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT
TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM...AS WELL AS THE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR
SINKING SOUTH INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS COLDER
AIR...ALTHOUGH HIGHLY UNCERTAIN IN ITS POSITION...COULD ALLOW FOR A
MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.