Severe Thunderstorm Warning 283, NWS Cleveland, OH

280 
WWUS51 KCLE 040634
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
234 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

OHC035-040643-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0283.000000T0000Z-110904T0700Z/
CUYAHOGA OH-
234 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CUYAHOGA COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 4172 8100 4171 8102 4170 8100 4154 8101
      4135 8139 4144 8138 4145 8139 4157 8139
      4157 8149 4165 8148 4177 8129 4176 8126
      4186 8100
TIME...MOT...LOC 0633Z 232DEG 31KT 4150 8129

$$

OHC055-085-040700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0283.000000T0000Z-110904T0700Z/
GEAUGA OH-LAKE OH-
234 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT
FOR LAKE AND GEAUGA COUNTIES...

AT 232 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR CHESTERLAND...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHARDON...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
BURTON...KIRTLAND HILLS...AQUILLA...CHARDON AND MADISON.

LAT...LON 4172 8100 4171 8102 4170 8100 4154 8101
      4135 8139 4144 8138 4145 8139 4157 8139
      4157 8149 4165 8148 4177 8129 4176 8126
      4186 8100
TIME...MOT...LOC 0633Z 232DEG 31KT 4150 8129

$$

KING

516 
WWUS51 KCLE 040650
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
250 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

OHC055-085-040700-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0283.000000T0000Z-110904T0700Z/
GEAUGA OH-LAKE OH-
250 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LAKE AND GEAUGA COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER
APPEARED TO BE SEVERE...HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH
THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4172 8100 4171 8102 4170 8100 4154 8101
      4135 8139 4144 8138 4145 8139 4157 8139
      4157 8149 4165 8148 4177 8129 4176 8126
      4186 8100
TIME...MOT...LOC 0650Z 232DEG 31KT 4159 8114

$$

KING

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
152 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT OVER THE WESTERN LAKES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY.
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM
LEE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE REGION FOR MID AND LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES CONTINUE TO ASSIST IN SOME CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS INDIANA AND WESTERN OHIO. MUCH OF THIS
CONVECTION HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF DECREASING BUT WE WILL HAVE TO
CONTINUE TO MONITOR OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STILL CANT RULE OUT A
WIND GUST UP TO 45 MPH FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS. BELIEVE THE
INITIAL ACTIVITY THAT GETS INTO NW OHIO WILL REMAIN SCATTERED IN
NATURE.

OTHERWISE WE WILL CONTINUE TO WAIT FOR THE APPROACH OF A COLD
FRONT THAT IS LOCATED FROM WISCONSIN INTO IOWA. ADDITIONAL
ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY WITH MOST
OF IT ARRIVING AFTER MIDNIGHT.

LOWS ARE TOUGH...WENT ON THE MILD SIDE BUT WITH SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THEY COULD DROP OFF A LITTLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE FORECAST IS TOUGH...USED A BLEND OF THE NAM AND GFS FOR THE
FORECAST. THERE WILL BE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND
THEN THEY SHOULD DECREASE AS THE HIGH TRIES TO BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE NAM SEEMS TO BE TOO QUICK IN DRYING THINGS OUT
SUNDAY NIGHT...THE GFS/ECMWF ARE SLOWER WHICH MAKES SENSE.

A LITTLE BREAK AND THEN WE WILL WAIT FOR THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
STORM LEE TO MOVE UP INTO THE AREA.

THE HIGHS FOR SUNDAY ARE TOUGH...WENT CLOSER TO THE MOS GFS
NUMBERS AS WE MIGHT HAVE A BREAK IN THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
OTHERWISE USED A MIX OF THE GUIDANCE FOR THE TEMPERATURES. WHILE
THE FLOW IS ONSHORE WENT WARMER FOR LOWS CLOSE TO LAKE ERIE.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE TROPICAL SYSTEM OVER THE
GULF MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE COMING WEEK...MAKING IT A WET ONE
FOR US WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...AND THEN SOME DRYING LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. I PRETTY MUCH KEPT THE
PREVIOUS EXTENDED FORECAST AND GRIDS WITH VERY LITTLE CHANGE SO WE
WOULDN'T BE FLIP FLOPPING THE NEXT SEVERAL FORECAST CYCLES. SO WILL
KEEP CHC TO SLGT CHC OF PCPN FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGES
FOR THE PERIOD THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FORECAST PERIOD RATHER TRICKY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. IN THE
SHORT TERM USED TIMING WITH CURRENT RADAR TO INDICATE TEMPO GROUPS
FOR TSRA. LOOKS LIKE EVEN EASTERN SITES FROM CAK-YNG AND EVEN ERI
MAY SEE SOME ACTIVITY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TOWARD DAYBREAK
MENTIONED SOME CB WITH SHRA AT SELECTED SITES.

MODELS SHOWING THERE WILL BE A LULL IN ACTIVITY POSSIBLY DURING
THE MORNING HOURS WITH REDEVELOPMENT OF SHRA/TS IN THE AFTERNOON
AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION. MENTIONED TEMPOS AGAIN
FOR TSRA BUT THEN GOING INTO LATER AFTERNOON AT EASTERN SITES ONLY
MENTION SHRA WITH CB AS TO NOT HAVE LONG TEMPO GROUPS OF TSRA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS
BUT THEN THE TREND WILL BE TOWARD DEVELOPING MVFR CIGS TOWARD THE
END OF THE TAF PERIOD AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES IN.

OUTLOOK...NON VFR CONDITIONS IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. NON VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE PROBABLY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS NE OH/NW PA.

&&

.MARINE...
A WEAK GRADIENT ACROSS THE LAKES THIS EVENING WILL POSSIBLY RESULT
IN SOME LAKE BREEZES DEVELOPING...THEN WINDS BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY
OR SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION
WILL DROP SOUTHWARD LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS WILL TURN THE
WINDS WEST AND NORTHWEST WITH THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT.

LOOK FOR A COUPLE SURGES OF INCREASED WINDS AND WAVES. THE FIRST
OCCURS SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY WITH THE SURFACE COLD FRONT
THEN WINDS DIMINISH A BIT MONDAY AFTERNOON. THEN A SECOND INCREASE
AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVER THE LAKE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS
WINDS TURN MORE NORTHERLY AND NORTHEAST.

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING
AND THEN AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OVER THE LAKE BY MIDWEEK AS THE COLD FRONT AND TROPICAL SYSTEM MERGE
OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES.  BY THIS MIDWEEK TIME FRAME THE FLOW WILL BECOME MORE
NORTHEASTERLY...WHERE THE WINDS MAY INCREASE DEPENDING ON INFLUENCE
OF THE COLD FRONT AND TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVING EAST OF OUR FORECAST
AREA.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KIELTYKA
NEAR TERM...MULLEN
SHORT TERM...KIELTYKA
LONG TERM...BC
AVIATION...ABE
MARINE...BC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
346 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2011

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-042000-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
346 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT COULD BE STRONG
TO SEVERE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME SEVERE. DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE THE
MOST LIKELY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED MAINLY ON SUNDAY.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-042000-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
346 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT COULD BE STRONG
TO SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED MAINLY ON SUNDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1054 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2011

OHZ003-006>008-018-027-028-040400-
CRAWFORD-LUCAS-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-SENECA-WOOD-WYANDOT-
1054 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR CRAWFORD...LUCAS...NORTHEASTERN
WOOD...NORTHEASTERN WYANDOT...SENECA...WESTERN OTTAWA AND WESTERN
SANDUSKY COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT...

AT 1051 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HOLLAND TO
BUCYRUS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  PERRYSBURG AND BUCYRUS BY 1100 PM EDT.
  TIFFIN BY 1105 PM EDT.
  SYLVANIA AND ROSSFORD BY 1110 PM EDT.
  WOODVILLE...TOLEDO...GIBSONBURG AND CHATFIELD BY 1115 PM EDT.
  NORTHWOOD AND GENOA BY 1120 PM EDT.
  NEW WASHINGTON BY 1125 PM EDT.

THE TOWNS OF RISINGSUN...WAYNE...WEST MILLGROVE...HASKINS...NEVADA...
BRADNER...MAUMEE...PEMBERVILLE...NORTH ROBINSON AND LUCKEY ARE ALSO
IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS.

SCHULER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1116 PM EDT SAT SEP 03 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1037 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E NORTH BALTIMORE     41.18N 83.64W
09/03/2011                   WOOD               OH   PUBLIC

            BARN ROOF OFF AND SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON EAGLEVILLE ROAD

&&

MULLEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1134 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2011

OHZ009-010-019-040430-
ERIE-HURON-LORAIN-
1134 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD ERIE...HURON AND
   LORAIN COUNTIES...

AT 1128 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR BELLEVUE...OR 8 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CLYDE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THESE STORMS MAY MOVE NEAR CASTALIA...NORWALK...MILAN...AND BERLIN
HEIGHTS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1205 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

OHZ028-029-036-037-040500-
CRAWFORD-MARION-MORROW-RICHLAND-
1205 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD CRAWFORD...MARION...MORROW AND
RICHLAND COUNTIES...

AT 1156 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEAR UPPER SANDUSKY TO
MARION. ADDITIONAL STORMS WERE LOCATED SOUTHWEST TOWARD DAYTON AND
COLUMBUS. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 50 MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS.

THESE STORMS MAY MOVE NEAR MOUNT GILEAD...GALION...LEXINGTON...
ONTARIO...BELLVILLE AND MANSFIELD THROUGH 1 AM.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1219 AM EDT SUN SEP 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 PM     TSTM WND GST     MARION                  40.58N 83.13W
09/03/2011  M61 MPH          MARION             OH   ASOS

&&

MULLEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
104 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

OHZ030-031-038-047-040600-
ASHLAND-HOLMES-KNOX-WAYNE-
104 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD ASHLAND...KNOX...WESTERN
HOLMES AND WESTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 100 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF
BELLVILLE TO MOUNT VERNON TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CENTERBURG...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGEST  STORMS.

THESE STORMS MAY MOVE NEAR GAMBIER...HAYESVILLE...ASHLAND...
LOUDONVILLE...DANVILLE...NASHVILLE...GLENMONT AND SHREVE THROUGH
2 AM.