Severe Thunderstorm Warning 268, NWS Cleveland, OH

576 
WWUS51 KCLE 250358
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1158 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

OHC043-077-250415-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0268.000000T0000Z-110825T0415Z/
HURON OH-ERIE OH-
1158 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM EDT
FOR ERIE AND HURON COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...

AT 1137 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS IN BELLVUE REPORTED DOWNED 
TREES FROM A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES EAST OF HURON TO 
WILLARD...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE...NEW LONDON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM EDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

&&

LAT...LON 4150 8269 4144 8262 4139 8249 4143 8235
      4107 8234 4106 8243 4099 8244 4100 8283
      4145 8285 4149 8282 4146 8277 4147 8269
      4151 8272 4150 8270 4158 8269 4160 8274
      4163 8267
TIME...MOT...LOC 0357Z 281DEG 47KT 4144 8232 4100 8261

$$

SCHULER

289 
WWUS51 KCLE 250419
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1219 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

OHC043-077-250429-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0268.000000T0000Z-110825T0415Z/
HURON OH-ERIE OH-
1219 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ERIE AND HURON COUNTIES IN
NORTH CENTRAL OHIO EXPIRED AT 1215 AM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM EDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

LAT...LON 4150 8269 4144 8262 4139 8249 4143 8235
      4107 8234 4106 8243 4099 8244 4100 8283
      4145 8285 4149 8282 4146 8277 4147 8269
      4151 8272 4150 8270 4158 8269 4160 8274
      4163 8267
TIME...MOT...LOC 0358Z 281DEG 47KT 4143 8230 4099 8259

$$

SCHULER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1038 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND BE PRECEDED
AND ACCOMPANIED BY SOME GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER AND DRIER AIR
WILL FOLLOW ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH AND EAST
ACROSS THE LAKES. FINE LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL THEN PREVAIL
FRIDAY AND ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE HIGH DRIFTS SLOWLY TO THE
EAST.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
LOOKING TOWARD SEVERE WEATHER ROLLING ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
WIND AND HAIL BIGGEST RISK...BUT STILL CAN NOT RULE OUT A TORNADO.
PARAMETERS STRONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN UPGRADE TO A TORNADO WATCH
BOX. LINE OF CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM ONTARIO INTO NORTHWEST OHIO
AND CENTRAL INDIANA.

FOLLOWING THIS ROUND OF STORMS...ACTUAL COLD FRONT WORKS ACROSS THE
AREA 09-13Z THURSDAY...AS THERE SHOULD BE A LULL AFTER THE STORMS
AND PRIOR TO THE FRONT. MILD NIGHT AS MUCH OF THE NIGHT REMAINS IN
THE WARM SECTOR.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
CLOUDS SHOULD GRADUALLY MIX OUT THURSDAY MORNING BUT IT MIGHT TAKE
A WHILE...ESPECIALLY IN UPSLOPE AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF CLEVELAND
AND OVER NW PA. MAY ALSO SEE ANOTHER SURGE OF WRAPAROUND
CLOUDINESS DURING MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON BUT MOST OF THAT SHOULD
SLIDE TO OUR NORTH AND EAST...PERHAPS CLIPPING NW PA...BUT ONLY
INCLUDED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THERE. H8 TEMPS FALL TO 12C OR SO
THURSDAY AFTERNOON SO TEMPS SHOULD HOLD IN MID/UPPER 70S...BUT ALL
IN ALL A VERY COMFORTABLE DAY WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE...EVENTUALLY.

OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE DICTATED TO A MAJOR DEGREE BY
IRENE. WE WILL NOT BE IMPACTED DIRECTLY BY THE TROPICAL SYSTEM...WE
ARE WELL WEST OF IT. HOWEVER...IT WILL ACT TO SLOW DOWN THE
EASTWARD PROGRESSION OS SYSTEMS UPSTREAM OF OUR CWA. WEAK RIDGING
ALOFT WILL BUILD IN ACROSS OHIO THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY THEN
THE RIDGE SHARPENS AS A RESULT OF IRENE/S NORTHWARD MOVEMENT.

AS WE GET INTO SATURDAY...THE WEAK SURFACE FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT IS
EXPECTED TO WORK ITS WAY SOUTH FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL ALL
BUT DISSIPATE SINCE OHIO WILL BE IN THE LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE TO
THE NORTHWEST OF IRENE...THEREBY EXTENDING DRY WEATHER ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND...OHIO WILL REMAIN JUST TO THE WEST OF
THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH IRENE AND THEREFORE WILL STAY UNDER
A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES...LACK OF CLOUD COVER SHOULD DROP
TEMPERATURES AT NIGHT JUST A BIT BELOW NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF
THE YEAR WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 60. DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD RANGE IN
THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

IN THE MONDAY TO TUESDAY TIME FRAME...I AM A BIT LESS CONFIDENT
IN THE TIMING OF THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM AND ACCOMPANYING
POTENTIAL FOR RAINFALL. MANUAL GRAPHICS SEEM TO FOLLOW MORE OF AN
ECMWF SOLUTION WHICH BRINGS THE NEXT BATCH OF RAINFALL TO THE
REGION TUESDAY. AT THIS POINT...I PLAN TO FOLLOW THAT LINE OF
THOUGHT AND BRING CHANCE POPS TO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
ALL SITES VFR AT 00Z WITH MAIN THREAT THE TIMING OF A LINE OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT WHICH SHOULD
EVENTUALLY DEVELOP AND CROSS OUR REGION FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. ACTIVITY HAS BEEN
DELAYED BUT STILL EXPECT SOME DEVELOPMENT SO USED A TEMPO GROUP
FOR TS FOR A 2-3 HOUR PERIOD BEGINNING AT 02Z TOL AND 03-04Z AT
CLE/ERI. MVFR CEILINGS WILL FOLLOW AFTER FROPA...GRADUALLY
THINNING LATER THURSDAY MORNING. THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS
WILL EXIST WITH THE LINE OF STORMS.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY...VFR/MVFR CIGS. FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY
VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
WILL EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES THROUGH 4 AM THURSDAY TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE STRONG SOUTHERLIES AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS
EVENING...AND THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION WITH THE FRONT. WAVE
ACTION MOSTLY OFFSHORE WITH THE SOUTHERLIES...BUT WINDS STRONG
ENOUGH FOR ADVISORIES. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST PRIOR TO
DAYBREAK THURSDAY BUT SPEEDS WILL BE IN THE 10-20 KNOT
RANGE...ALLOWING WAVES TO SUBSIDE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA. LOOK FOR MODERATE NORTHERLIES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...TENDING NORTHEAST AS TIME WEARS ON.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR LEZ142>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SFM/BUF/
NEAR TERM...SFM/BUF/OUDEMAN
SHORT TERM...TAN/BUF/
LONG TERM...TAN/BUF
AVIATION...SFM
MARINE...SFM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1028 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-260230-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
1028 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...TORNADO WATCH 805 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-260230-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
1028 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 804 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
946 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-250515-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
946 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA
TONIGHT...BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM. DAMAGING WINDS...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING...AND LARGE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR TORNADOES AS WELL...MAINLY FOR THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA...FROM CLEVELAND TO ERIE PA.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 5 AM.

SCHULER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1120 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 W LUCKEY              41.45N 83.54W
08/24/2011  E60.00 MPH       WOOD               OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

1110 PM     TSTM WND GST     FINDLAY                 41.04N 83.64W
08/24/2011  M58.00 MPH       HANCOCK            OH   ASOS

&&

OUDEMAN