Small Craft Advisory 85, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

897 
WHUS71 KBOX 071323
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
923 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

ANZ232>234-072130-
/O.EXA.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.110807T1400Z-110808T0000Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
923 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-256-072130-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.110807T1400Z-110808T0000Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
923 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-255-072130-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.110807T1400Z-110808T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
923 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-072130-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.110807T1400Z-110808T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
923 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

581 
WHUS71 KBOX 071546
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1146 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

ANZ251-080000-
/O.EXA.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T0000Z/
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1146 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-256-080000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T0000Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1146 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-255-080000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
1146 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-080000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1146 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-080000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T0000Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
1146 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

081 
WHUS71 KBOX 072018
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
418 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

ANZ235-237-256-080430-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T1000Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
418 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-254-255-080430-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
418 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ251-080000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T0000Z/
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
418 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-080000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T0000Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
418 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

060 
WHUS71 KBOX 072321
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
721 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

ANZ232>234-251-080030-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T0000Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
721 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 25 KT THIS EVENING...THEREFORE THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

ANZ235-237-256-080730-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T1000Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
721 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-254-255-080730-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
721 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

695 
WHUS71 KBOX 080138
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
938 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

ANZ250-254-255-080945-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
938 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT.
  SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-256-080945-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T1000Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
938 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

456 
WHUS71 KBOX 080817
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
417 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

ANZ235-237-256-081000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T1000Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
417 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS AROUND 5 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-254-255-081000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
417 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS AROUND 5 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

718 
WHUS71 KBOX 081019
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
619 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011


ANZ235-237-250-254>256-081130-
/O.EXP.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-110808T1000Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
619 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
405 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TODAY. THIS LOW WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE ENTIRE REGION MUCH
OF THE DAY WITH SHOWERS BECOMING LESS NUMEROUS DURING THE AFTERNOON
FROM WEST TO EAST. PERIODIC SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
4 AM UPDATE...

LATEST SATELLITE/RADAR/SURFACE OBS AND 00Z MODEL DATA ALL SUGGEST
LESS RAINFALL THAN EARLIER PREDICTED. DESPITE ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN
PLACE ACROSS THE REGION WITH PWATS AOA 2 INCHES...LARGE SCALE
FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH MID LEVEL TROF IS NOT AS ROBUST AS EARLIER
PROJECTED AND INSTABILITY ALOFT IS LACKING FOR WIDESPREAD EMBEDDED
CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. THUS RAINFALL IS NOT AS INTENSE OR WIDESPREAD
/MORE OR LESS FRAGMENTED/ AS PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. ALSO SYSTEM IS
FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE AND THAT SHOULD HOLD DOWN QPF AMOUNTS.
00Z GFS AND ECMWF 06 HR FCST APPEARS TO BE MATCHING UP BEST WITH
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AT 06Z. THEREFORE WILL FOLLOW THE 00Z
GFS AND ECMWF CLOSELY. WITH THAT SAID BEST FORCING FOR ASCENT THIS
MORNING WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS CT/RI AND SOUTH OF I-90 IN
MA...THAT/S A SOUTHWARD SHIFT FROM PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS. THIS IS
WHERE ONE OR MORE SURFACE WAVES WILL RIDE THE SFC BOUNDARY IN PLACE
AN ENHANCE RAINFALL ACROSS THIS REGION. THUS EXPECTING THE HEAVIEST
RAINS TO BE CONCENTRATED ACROSS CT/RI AND SOUTH OF I-90 IN MA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH 2 AM WERE UP 0.80 TO 0.90 INCHES ACROSS THE
GREATER HARTFORD AND SPRINGFIELD AREA WITH CONSIDERABLY LESS
ELSEWHERE.  THINKING BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL OF 0.50-1.00 WITH
LOCALLY UP TO 1.5 TO PERHAPS 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF CT. THIS
MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR SOME MINOR POOR DRAINAGE/URBAN TYPE FLOODING.
OTHERWISE RIVERS AND STREAMS HAVE PLENTY OF STORAGE CAPACITY AND
WILL ONLY SEE MINOR RISES AND REMAIN WITHIN THEIR BANKS.

SHOWERS SHOULD BECOME LESS NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO EAST
AS BEST SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING SHIFTS MOVES OFFSHORE. ALTHOUGH
ABUNDANT DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND WEAK SURFACE REFLECTION TO MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS TO
PERSIST.

AS FOR TEMPS...SIDED WITH THE COOLER IN HOUSE BIAS CORRECTED MOS
GIVEN LOW CLOUDS SHOULD BE STUBBORN AND ANY BREAKS OF SUNSHINE
SHOULD OCCUR WEST OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
TONIGHT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECTED AS DEEP LAYER TROF REMAINS OVER THE AREA
ALONG WITH COPIOUS MOISTURE. GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE GFS AND ITS MOS
POPS HERE. ALSO EXPECT PATCHY FOG AND DRIZZLE GIVEN THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE.

MONDAY...
SOME UNCERTAINTY HERE ON HOW QUICK TRAILING SHORT WAVE TROF WILL
EXIT NEW ENGLAND. THE 00Z NAM AND GFS BOTH HAVE THE MEAN MID LEVEL
MOVING OFSHR AROUND 18Z. MEANWHILE THE 00Z ECMWF IS ABOUT 06 HRS
SLOWER. THUS A LOW RISK FOR AN AFTN SHOWER OR TSTM. DEEP LAYER SHEAR
AND INSTABILITY IS LACKING SO NOT EXPECTING ORGANIZED OR STRONG
CONVECTION. AS FOR POPS BLENDED SOME OF THE HIGHER METNAM TO THE
LOWER MAVMOS VALUES. REGARDING TEMPS COULD BE A WARM DAY WITH WNW
FLOW AND 850 TEMPS AROUND +15C. SO A BLEND OF THE METNAM AND MAVMOS
HIGHS SEEM REASONABLE.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...
  * UNSETTLED WEATHER THROUGH THE MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
  * HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY

OVERALL...
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW DECENT AGREEMENT IN THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
PATTERN THROUGH THE LONG TERM. THE TIME MEAN JET BEGINS TO FURTHER
SETTLE OVER SNE AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH. LARGEST
DISCREPANCIES COME IN THE FORM OF THE SFC REFLECTION OF THESE
WAVES AND THEIR TIMING/PLACEMENT. LATEST GFS IS NOW MORE IN LINE
WITH GEFS MEAN SUGGESTING TIMING OF LOW PRES FROM THE GREAT LAKES
IS SUFFICIENTLY FAST TO GENERATE SOME -SHRA MON WITH SOME CLEARING
AND DRY AIR IN THE N/NW FLOW BY MON NIGHT...ECMWF REMAINS SLOW
SUGGESTING THE LOW STRENGTHENS S OF SNE. CURRENTLY...ONLY ECMWF
HOLDS ONTO SLOW MOVING LOW PRES EFFECTING SNE THROUGH TUE...WITH
GFS/GEFS MEAN/NAM SUGGESTING LOW STRENGTHENS OFFSHORE WITH N/NW
WRAP AROUND ADVECTING LOWER DWPT AIR OVER THE REGION. THE BIGGEST
CHANGE COMES AS WEAK HIGH PRES PUSHES E AND SLY FLOW RETURNS PRIOR
TO SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRES MOVING THROUGH
QC. TIMING NOW BETTER AGREED UPON BETWEEN LONG RANGE
GUIDANCE...SUGGESTING FROPA OVERNIGHT WED NIGHT. THIS IS FOLLOWED
BY STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRES AND COOL DRY AIR MOVING THU INTO EARLY
SAT.

DETAILS...

MON INTO MON NIGHT...
AS STATED EARLIER...STRENGTHENING LOW PRES WILL BEGIN ITS
MIGRATION E OF NEW ENGLAND AS KICKER SHORTWAVE DIVES INTO THE JET
FROM ON. WHILE THIS WILL PUT SNE IN THE N/NW FLOW REGIME WITH SOME
DRY AIR DRAWING FROM THE N...SOUNDINGS FAVOR SOME LLVL TRAPPED
MOISTURE. THIS MOISTURE WILL LIKELY HAVE TWO EFFECTS...TO KEEP
MUCH OF THE REGION UNDER CLOUDS WELL INTO THE DAY...AND COMBINE
WITH DRY AIR ADVECTING IN ALOFT TO DESTABILIZE THE COLUMN
SOMEWHAT. WHILE SB/ML CAPES ARE NOT TOO HIGH AT THIS POINT...THE
MOVEMENT OF A REASONABLY ROBUST AND COOL SHORTWAVE MAY BE ENOUGH
TO TAP THIS INSTABILITY AND ALLOW FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT. LLVL WINDS
WILL BE WEAK...SO ATTM...WILL SUGGEST CHANCE -SHRA WITH ISO TSTMS
INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT...BUT WILL LOWER POPS FROM THERE AS THE
LACK OF INSTABILITY MAY ALLOW DRY AIR TO ENTRAIN INTO LLVLS SUCH
THAT COLUMN BECOMES DRIES.

TUE INTO EARLY WED...
WITH MODELS CONTINUING TO FAVOR LOW PRES WELL OFFSHORE...WEAK
RIDGING MAY BE ENOUGH TO AT LEAST PROVIDE MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS.
ATTM...WITH CYCLONIC FLOW AT H7 AND H85 WITH SOME MOISTURE...WILL
MAINTAIN AT LEAST ISOLD POPS. GIVEN THE UNSETTLED NATURE OF THE
ATMOSPHERE...A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY KEEP MIXING
FROM REACHING THE H85 TEMPS OF 15C. THEREFORE EXPECT MUCH OF THE
REGION TO REMAIN IN THE 70S DURING THE DAY...WITH MID 60S EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT.

WED INTO WED NIGHT...
WEAK HIGH PRES PIVOTS E OF THE REGION ALLOWING RETURN FLOW TO
DRAW MORE MOISTURE OF SNE IN ADVANCE OF STRONG AND SLOW MOVING
COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRES IN QC. FROPA LOOKS TO BE
OVERNIGHT...BUT PRE FRONTAL TROF IS SUGGESTED...AND WITH ENOUGH
LIFT AND INCREASING MOISTURE...A SECOND ROUND OF -SHRA IS
EXPECTED. MID LVL LAPSE RATES AND CAPE VALUES ARE FAIRLY BENIGN
ATTM...SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH TSTM DEVELOPMENT. ALSO...DRY AIR
MOVES IN QUICKLY WITH THE FROPA OVERNIGHT...SO EXPECT THAT MUCH OF
THE -SHRA ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.

THU INTO EARLY SAT...
THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN A SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER
AIRMASS WITH ASSOCIATED HIGH PRES MOVING OVER THE REGION. THU THRU
FRI NIGHT WILL LIKELY REMAIN MOSTLY DRY AS A RESULT. WITH H85
TEMPS DROPPING INTO THE LOWER TEENS...TEMPS DURING THE DAY MAY
ONLY REACH THE VERY LOW 80S IN THE WARMEST SPOTS. COMBINE THIS
WILL DWPTS FALLING INTO THE 50S WITH THIS DRIER AIRMASS...AND SOME
RELIEF FROM THE HUMIDITY EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK IS POSSIBLE.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
  LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT
  MODERATE...30 PERCENT TO 60 PERCENT
  HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT

THROUGH 12Z...
TRENDS WILL BE FOR ANY VFR CIGS TO LOWER TO MVFR REGIONWIDE AND
LOCALLY IFR. VSBYS SHOULD REMAIN FAIR IN THE MVFR RANGE WITH
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ESPECIALLY ACROSS CT/RI AND SOUTHEAST MA.
CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO HIGH.

AFTER 12Z...
HEAVIEST SHOWERS WILL FOCUSED ACROSS CT/RI AND SOUTHEAST MA AND
THEN SHOWERS BECOMING LESS NUMEROUS AFT 18Z FROM WEST TO EAST.
IFR/MVFR TO START THE DAY WILL SLOWLY LIFT TO MVFR/VFR LATE WITH
BEST CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. FORECASTER CONFIDENCE
MODERATE TO HIGH.

SUN NIGHT...
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE TERMINALS WITH A WIND SHIFT FROM SW TO
WNW. THIS WILL IMPROVE CONDITIONS SLOWLY FROM TO VFR BAF/BDL TO
MVFR ACROSS EASTERN MA. SOME UNCERTAINTY ON HOW FAST CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE ACROSS RI AND EASTERN MA.

MONDAY...
MAINLY MVFR/VFR CIGS WITH A LOW PROB OF AN AFTN SHOWER/TSTM AS A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. COVERAGE OF ANY
SHOWERS/TSTMS SHOULD BE ISOLATED. CONFIDENCE MODERATE.

KBOS TERMINAL...VFR CONDITIONS SLOWLY LOWER TO MVFR IN SHOWERS AS
12Z APPROACHES...THEN REMAINING MVFR. COULD HAVE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
IFR CONDITIONS BUT MVFR THE GREATER PROBABILITY. VERY LOW RISK OF
THUNDER TODAY. SHOWERS BECOME LESS NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON. MVFR
TONIGHT POSSIBLY IMPROVING TO VFR TOWARD MON MORNING. DRY WEATHER
SHOULD PREVAIL ESPECIALLY SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT. MARGINAL
VFR/MVFR MONDAY WITH A LOW PROB OF AN ISOLATED AFTN SHOWER/TSTM.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

MONDAY NIGHT...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE VFR. SCATTERED -SHRA/TSTMS
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY DURING AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS WITH LOCALIZED
MVFR/IFR.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. VFR DOMINATES...BUT
PERIODS OF -SHRA ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS. MVFR POSSIBLE IN THESE -SHRA.

THU...VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY...
DEFINITELY NOT AN IDEAL BOATING DAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/LOW VSBY
AT TIMES AND SSW WINDS OF 15-20 KT GUSTING TO 25 KT AT TIMES. THUS
HAVE POSTED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAINLY FOR THE OUTER WATERS WHERE
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5-6 FT ON THE OCEAN WATERS.

TONIGHT...
SOME IMPROVEMENT WITH THE WIND SHIFT FROM SSW TO WSW. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ESPECIALLY DURING THE EVENING. VSBYS IMPROVES WITH THE WIND
SHIFT. ROUGH SEAS MAY LINGER ON THE OCEAN WATERS.

MONDAY...
MUCH BETTER BOATING DAY WITH NW WINDS 10-15 KT AND GOOD VSBY. LOW
RISK OF AN AFTERNOON SHOWER OR TSTM. OTHERWISE FAIR WEATHER
PREVAILS.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

MON NIGHT...WINDS REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS BUT SEAS MAY HOLD
ABOVE 5 FT ALONG SE OUTER WATERS IN REMAINING SWELL.

TUE THRU THU...WINDS AND SEAS GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW SCA. -SHRA
AND ISOLD TSTMS POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS ESPECIALLY THRU WED.
THESE WILL CAUSE LOCALIZED LOWER VSBYS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THIS EVENT WILL BE LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY
EXPECTED WITH A BASIN AVERAGE OF 0.50-1.00 INCHES. LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER CT RVR VLY BUT NOT
LIKELY TO EXCEED 2 INCHES GIVEN THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM.

ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS ARE DRY AS A RESULT OF BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL.
MUCH OF REGION WAS RUNNING 1 TO 2 INCHES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
PAST 30 DAYS...AND FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE CORRESPONDINGLY
HIGH. THEREFORE THE RISK OF ANY FLOODING IS VERY LOW. HOWEVER SOME
MINOR POOR DRAINAGE/URBAN TYPE FLOODING REMAINS A LOW PROBABILITY
ACROSS CT/RI AND SOUTH OF I-90 IN MA.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR RIZ008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ235-237-250-254>256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOCERA
NEAR TERM...NOCERA
SHORT TERM...NOCERA
LONG TERM...DOODY
AVIATION...NOCERA/DOODY
MARINE...NOCERA/DOODY
HYDROLOGY...NOCERA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
330 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-071930-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
330 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
FLOOD ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FOR URBAN AREAS LATE TONIGHT DUE TO
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-071930-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
330 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.