Alert archive / Colorado / Winter Storm Warnings in 2011

Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

March 16, 20114 counties in Colorado

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO issued this winter storm warning at Mar 16, 2011, 3:11 PM MDT for 4 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Mar 17, 2011, 6:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 22 hr. 7 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 16, 2011, 3:11 PM MDT (21:11 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 17, 2011, 6:00 AM MDT
Expired
Mar 18, 2011, 4:13 AM MDT
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Counties Boulder County, CO, Grand County, CO, Jackson County, CO, Larimer County, CO

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 17, 8:54 PM MDTSNOW 21 Nw Fraser, COCURRENTLY SNOWING HEAVILY. 1 TO 1.5 INCH PER HOUR.
Mar 17, 9:00 PM MDTSNOW 2Grand Lake, COFARR PUMPING PLANT. 1-2 INCHES WITH MODERATE SNOW.
Mar 17, 9:10 PM MDTSNOW 5Sw Hot Sulphur Springs, CO4.5 INCHES SINCE MORNING. 2-3 INCHES SINCE 5 PM. CURRENTLY S+. 7700 FEET.
Mar 17, 10:08 PM MDTHEAVY SNOW 7.84 Nne Tabernash, COSNOWING HEAVILY SINCE 5 PM. 9000 FEET AT RED BIRD HILL.
Mar 18, 2:00 AM MDTHEAVY SNOW 10Rabbit Ears Pass, CO
Mar 18, 2:00 AM MDTHEAVY SNOW 14Cameron Pass, CO
Mar 18, 3:00 AM MDTHEAVY SNOW 72 Sse Tabernash, CO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 121 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2860 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
121 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

934 
WWUS45 KBOU 162111
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
311 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011

COZ031-170515-
/O.UPG.KBOU.WS.A.0005.110317T1200Z-110318T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110317T1200Z-110318T1200Z/
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS
311 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM
THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS
  EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT WHEN SNOWFALL RATES RATES UP TO
  2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 14 INCHES CAN
  BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE
  ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO
  25 MPH WILL OCCUR...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE AND
  THROUGH THE PASSES.

* MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BE ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH
  WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE
  REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER
  SNOWFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

COZ033-170515-
/O.UPG.KBOU.WS.A.0005.110317T1200Z-110318T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110318T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS
311 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM
THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY...AND THEN BECOME
  MORE WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANTLY HEAVIER THURSDAY NIGHT.
  SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
  NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
  WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE
  ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL BE
  15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE AND THROUGH
  THE PASSES.

* MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BE ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH
  WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE
  REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER
  SNOWFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
152 
WWUS45 KBOU 170404
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1004 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011

COZ031-171415-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110317T1200Z-110318T1200Z/
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS
1004 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
6 AM MDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO
  OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT WHEN SNOWFALL RATES RATES UP TO 2 INCHES
  PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 14 INCHES CAN
  BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE
  ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO
  25 MPH WILL OCCUR...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE AND
  THROUGH THE PASSES.

* MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED
  WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY
  BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF
  HEAVIER SNOWFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

COZ033-171415-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110318T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS
1004 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO
6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO
6 AM MDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON...AND THEN BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANTLY
  HEAVIER THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR
  WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
  WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE
  ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE
  15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE AND THROUGH
  THE PASSES.

* MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED
  WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY
  BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF
  HEAVIER SNOWFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$
707 
WWUS45 KBOU 171206
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
606 AM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

COZ031-172100-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS
606 AM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 14 INCHES CAN
  BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO
  25 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED 
  WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES 
  MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF 
  HEAVIER SNOWFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

COZ033-172100-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110318T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS
606 AM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...WITH SNOW
  BECOMING HEAVIER TONIGHT. 

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES CAN
  BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE
  ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE
  20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE.

* MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED 
  WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES 
  MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF 
  HEAVIER SNOWFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

GIMMESTAD
453 
WWUS45 KBOU 172155
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
355 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...SNOW SPREADING FROM THE MOUNTAINS ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND
PLAINS TONIGHT...

.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
INITIALLY...SOME RAIN WILL INITIALLY BE MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS THIS EVENING...WITH TEMPERATURES TURNING COLD
ENOUGH FOR MOSTLY SNOW FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. AT THIS TIME...THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR IN THE
MOUNTAINS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. ON THE PLAINS...THE HEAVIEST
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE FORT COLLINS AREA TOWARD THE
WYOMING BORDER...WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD DENVER.
PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE MAIN BAND OF
PRECIPITATION WORKS SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST COLORADO.

COZ031-180600-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS
355 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED
  WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL DECREASE
  BEFORE DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES CAN
  BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. 

* MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED
  WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE
  REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER
  SNOWFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY
HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

COZ033-180600-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110318T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS
355 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND
  THEN DECREASE BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES
  PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES CAN
  BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE
  ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO
  30 WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE WILL SLOWLY
  DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH.

* MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED 
  WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES 
  MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF 
  HEAVIER SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

COZ035-038-180600-
/O.NEW.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.110318T0300Z-110318T1200Z/
LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-
LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...NEDERLAND...
RED FEATHER LAKES...FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN
355 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY.

* TIMING...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND
  THEN TURN TO ALL SNOW BY MID TO LATE EVENING. PERIODS OF HEAVY
  SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE
  UNDER THE HEAVY SNOW BANDS. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE
  SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
  RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ON THE PLAINS OF EASTERN LARIMER AND
  NORTHERN WELD COUNTIES...WITH BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES IN THE
  FOOTHILLS OF LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES.

* IMPACTS...SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY
  AS SNOW INTENSITY INCREASES LATE THIS EVENING. ICY CONDITIONS
  MAY DEVELOP ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW
  FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL
DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
012 
WWUS45 KBOU 172323
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
523 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...SNOW SPREADING FROM THE MOUNTAINS ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND
PLAINS TONIGHT...

.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
INITIALLY...SOME RAIN WILL INITIALLY BE MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS THIS EVENING...WITH TEMPERATURES TURNING COLD
ENOUGH FOR MOSTLY SNOW FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. AT THIS TIME...THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR IN
THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. ON THE
PLAINS...THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE FORT COLLINS
AREA TOWARD THE WYOMING BORDER WHERE AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES OF SNOW
IS POSSIBLE. LIGHTER AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE ANTICIPATED
FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD DENVER. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS THE MAIN BAND OF PRECIPITATION WORKS SLOWLY EASTWARD
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST COLORADO.

COZ033-180730-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110318T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS
523 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND 
  THEN DECREASE BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 
  INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS 
  THIS EVENING. 

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES CAN
  BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO
  25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE WILL SLOWLY
  DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH.

* MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED 
  WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE 
  REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF 
  HEAVIER SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

COZ031-180730-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS
523 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY 
  AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE 
  EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL 
  DECREASE BEFORE DAYBREAK FRIDAY. 

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 14 INCHES CAN
  BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING.

* MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED 
  WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE 
  REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF 
  HEAVIER SNOWFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY
HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

COZ030-032-180730-
/O.EXB.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.110317T2323Z-110318T1200Z/
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-
GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOULD...NORTH PARK...RAND...SPICER...
WALDEN...DILLON...FRASER...GRANBY...GRAND LAKE...
HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS...KREMMLING
523 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
FRIDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED
  WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL DECREASE
  BEFORE DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
  RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL DEVELOP THIS
  EVENING. TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS ESPECIALLY AS TEMPERATURES
  FALL WELL BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL
DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ035-038-180730-
/O.CON.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.110318T0300Z-110318T1200Z/
LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-
LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...NEDERLAND...
RED FEATHER LAKES...FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN
523 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND 
  THEN TURN TO ALL SNOW BY MID TO LATE EVENING. PERIODS OF HEAVY 
  SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BE 
  POSSIBLE UNDER THE HEAVY SNOW BANDS. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO 
  DECREASE SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK. 

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
  RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ON THE PLAINS OF EASTERN LARIMER AND
  NORTHERN WELD COUNTIES...WITH BETWEEN 4 AND 9 INCHES IN THE
  FOOTHILLS OF LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES.

* IMPACTS...SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED 
  ESPECIALLY AS SNOW INTENSITY INCREASES LATE THIS EVENING. ICY 
  CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AS 
  TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL
DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
788 
WWUS45 KBOU 180356
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
956 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...SNOW SPREADING FROM THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS ACROSS THE
PLAINS THROUGH THE NIGHT...

.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. INITIALLY...SOME
RAIN WILL BE MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS THIS
EVENING...WITH TEMPERATURES TURNING COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW
OVERNIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.
ON THE PLAINS...THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE FROM
THE BOULDER AND FORT COLLINS AREA TOWARD THE WYOMING BORDER WHERE
2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. LIGHTER AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES CAN BE ANTICIPATED FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD DENVER AND THE
PALMER DIVIDE. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR AS THE MAIN BAND
OF PRECIPITATION WORKS SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST COLORADO OVERNIGHT.

COZ031-033-181200-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS
956 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THEN DECREASE
  BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR
  CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER BANDS OF SNOW.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 15 INCHES CAN
  BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN THE
  ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK AREA. 

* MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED
  WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE
  REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER
  SNOWFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

COZ030-032-181200-
/O.CON.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-
GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOULD...NORTH PARK...RAND...SPICER...
WALDEN...DILLON...FRASER...GRANBY...GRAND LAKE...
HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS...KREMMLING
956 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED
  WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS IN GRAND COUNTY INTO THE EARLY
  MORNING HOURS. SNOW WILL DECREASE SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK
  FRIDAY.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
  RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES...WITH UP TO 9 INCHES POSSIBLE IN GRAND
  COUNTY.  

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW AND ICE COVERED WITH HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL
DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ035-038-181200-
/O.CON.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-
LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...NEDERLAND...
RED FEATHER LAKES...FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN
956 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
  NIGHT. SOME BANDS OF HEAVIER SNOW WILL PRODUCE SNOWFALL RATES
  AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE
  SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK.

* ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
  RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ON THE PLAINS OF EASTERN LARIMER AND
  NORTHERN WELD COUNTIES...WITH BETWEEN 4 AND 9 INCHES IN THE
  FOOTHILLS OF LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES.

* IMPACTS...SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED
  ESPECIALLY AS SNOW INTENSITY INCREASES. ICY CONDITIONS MAY
  DEVELOP ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW
  FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL
DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH
205 
WWUS45 KBOU 181013
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
413 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

...WINTER STORM MOVING OUT OF COLORADO...

.THE WINTER STORM THAT MOVED ACROSS THE NORTHERN COLORADO
MOUNTAINS OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS WILL MOVE OUT OF NORTHEASTERN
COLORADO THIS MORNING. LINGERING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MOUNTAINS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY THIS MORNING.

THE HEAVIEST SNOW WITH THIS STORM WAS IN AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE
70. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS HAVE RANGED FROM 6 TO 14 INCHES
IN THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO...WITH 3 TO 7 INCHES IN
THE MOUNTAINS AROUND SUMMIT COUNTY.

COZ031-033-181115-
/O.CAN.KBOU.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS
413 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS
MORNING.

$$

COZ030-032-035-038-181115-
/O.CAN.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-
GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-
LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOULD...NORTH PARK...RAND...SPICER...
WALDEN...DILLON...FRASER...GRANBY...GRAND LAKE...
HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS...KREMMLING...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...
NEDERLAND...RED FEATHER LAKES...FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...
LOVELAND...NUNN
413 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

ISOLATED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL END BY MID MORNING.

$$

GIMMESTAD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Mar 16, 3:36 AM MDT, 11 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 3:36 AM MDT, 11 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
336 AM MDT WED MAR 16 2011

.SHORT TERM...INCREASING WSW FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE AREA THRU
TONIGHT.  SOME HIGHER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SO
OUTSIDE OF SOME CLOUDS IT LOOKS DRY OVER THE ENTIRE CWA THRU THE
AFTN.  BIGGEST CONCERN FROM MIDDAY THRU EARLY EVENING WILL BE FIRE
DANGER IN AND NR THE FOOTHILLS.  SO FAR IT LOOKS LIKE WINDS AND
HUMIDITIES WILL REACH RED FLAG CRITERIA LATER THIS MORNING IN THE
FOOTIHLLS AND ALONG THE FRONT RANGE BY EARLY AFTN SO WILL KEEP THE
RED WARNING IN PLACE.  COULD BRIEFLY SEE RED FLAG CONDITIONS SPREAD
INTO ZONES 42..43 AND 45 BY LATE AFTN AS WELL IF WINDS ARE STRONGER
THAN FCST.  AS FAR AS HIGHS BASED ON WSW LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD SEE
GOOD DOWNSLOPE WARMING WITH HIGHS RISING INTO THE 70S ACROSS ALL OF
NERN CO.  RECORD HIGH AT DENVER IS 74 SO THAT SHOULD BE BKN THIS
AFTN I WOULD THINK.

FOR TONIGHT MOISTURE WIL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN THE MTNS MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF PCPN DEVELPING NR A STG UPPER LEVEL
JET MAINLY OVER ZN 31 TOWARDS MORNING.  THUS WILL KEEP POPS ON THE
LOW SIDE IN MOST MTN LOCATIONS OVERNIGHT EXCEPT FOR THE GORE RANGE.
MEANWHILE GUSTY WINDS MAY SUBSIDE IN AND NR THE FOOTHILLS EARLY THIS
EVENING BUT WILL LIKELY INCREASE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT HOWEVER SPEEDS
SHOULD STAY BLO HIGH WIND CRITERIA.

.LONG TERM...MODELS INDICATE INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
THURSDAY THROUGH MID DAY FRIDAY...THEN A JET MAXIMUM IS PROGGED
ACROSS THE CWA.  PROGGED SPEEDS WITH THE JET ARE IN THE 95 TO 110
KNOT RANGE.  YESTERDAY'S 00Z MODEL RUNS INDICATED A 140 KNOT JET.
DECREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS PROGGED THE REST OF FRIDAY
AND FRIDAY NIGHT.  THERE IS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ANY SYNOPTIC SCALE
ENERGY PROGGED FOR THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
THE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS ARE WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY ON THURSDAY MORNING
...WITH FAIRLY DECENT SPEEDS IN THE FOOTHILLS AND IMMEDIATE PLAINS.
THE NAM BRINGS A NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY SURGE INTO THE PLAINS THURSDAY
MORNING...THE GFS BY AFTERNOON.  THE UPSLOPE GETS INTO THE LOWER
FOOTHILLS BY AFTERNOON.  THE GFS HAS HIGHER SPEEDS COMPARED TO THE
NAM...AND BOTH KEEP IT GOING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.  ON FRIDAY
MORNING...THE FLOW BECOMES SOUTHEASTERLY FOR THE PLAINS AND
CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY EVENING...WHEN NORMAL DIURNAL WIND TRENDS
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY.  THE PLAINS STAY PRETTY DRY ON
THURSDAY...EVEN WITH THE UPSLOPE...BUT THE GFS DOES HAVE SOME MID
AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AROUND BY AFTERNOON.  MOISTURE IS
INCREASING OVER THE MOUNTAINS THURSDAY MORNING...THEN GETS PRETTY
DEEP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  MOISTURE IS PRETTY DEEP OVER THE
MOUNTAINS THURSDAY EVENING...BUT THE THE GFS DRIES IT OUT
SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT.  THE NAM DECREASES IT
SOMEWHAT...BUT KEEPS SOME MOISTURE LINGERING OVER THE MOUNTAINS INTO
FRIDAY.  FOR THE PLAINS...MOISTURE IS POOR ON THURSDAY...THEN GETS
FAIRLY DEEP THURSDAY EVENING ON THE GFS...NOT UNTIL LATER IN THE
EVENING ON THE NAM.  MOISTURE STICKS AROUND OVER THE PLAINS ON THE
NAM INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT DECREASES MORE SO ON THE GFS DURING
THE MORNING FRIDAY.  THERE IS SOME MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION ON THE
QPF FIELDS OVER THE MOUNTAINS ON THURSDAY...MORE THURSDAY NIGHT...
THEN A BIT EARLY FRIDAY.  FOR THE PLAINS...THERE IS SOME THURSDAY
NIGHT AND A TAD FRIDAY MORNING.  THE NAM SHOWS CONSIDERABLY MORE
THAN THE GFS DOES...AND BOTH MODELS SHOW THE PRECIPITATION TO BE
VERY MUCH RELATED TO THE JET MAXIMUM THAT MOVES ACROSS THE CWA.  FOR
MOUNTAINS POPS...SNOW IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND MUCH OF THE
NIGHT FOR SURE.  SNOW MODEL YIELDS SNOW ADVISORY AMOUNTS IN ZONE 31
ONLY...NOT 33 OR 34...AND THAT IS ASSUMING THE NAM DATA WILL
ACTUALLY OCCUR.  IF THE GFS PARAMETERS ARE CORRECT...A SNOW ADVISORY
WOULD BE A STRETCH EVEN IN ZONE 31.  THE MOUNTAIN TOP FLOW IS NOT
GREAT FOR OROGRAPHIC HELP WHEN THE MOISTURE IS PROGGED ACROSS.
LAPSE RATES ARE POOR ON THE GFS...BETTER ON THE NAM.  THEN THERE IS
THE JET MAXIMUM THAT IS EXPECTED TO HELP.  WILL LEAVE WATCH
GOING...MAYBE THE 12Z MODELS WILL LOOK BETTER.  FOR THE PLAINS...
THERE IS SOME UPSLOPE THURSDAY NIGHT...FAIR MOISTURE..AND AGAIN THE
JET.  WILL GO WITH 10-30%S FOR NOW.  AS FAR AS THE FIRE WEATHER
HIGHLIGHT GO...WIND SPEEDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH OVER THE FOOTHILLS
AND IMMEDIATE PLAINS ON THURSDAY FOR A WARNING UNTIL THE UPSLOPE
MOVES IN DURING THE MORNING/AFTERNOON.  MOISTURE LOOKS TO GO UP A
BIT BEHIND THE FRONT...AND THE UPSLOPE WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT GREAT
...WITH THE GFS SHOWING THEM STRONGER...BUT NOT UP TO 25 MPH.
TEMPERATURES ARE DOWN ON THURSDAY AS WELL.  SO CONSIDERING THESE
LATEST MODEL RUNS...IT WILL BE A TIMING ISSUE...BUT THE WARNING'S
OUT ALREADY...SO WILL LET IT RIDE.  FOR TEMPERATURES...THURSDAY'S
HIGHS ARE 1-4 C COLDER THAN TODAY'S EXPECTED HIGHS...BUT COOLER
STILL OVER THE NORTHEAST CORNER.  FRIDAY'S HIGHS ARE 2-5 C COOLER
THAN THURSDAY'S.  FOR THE LATER DAYS...SATURDAY THROUGH...MODELS ARE
SLOWING DOWN THE SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY UPPER TROUGH NOW TO LATE
MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT ON THE ECMWF TO...IT NEVER REALLY MOVING ACROSS
NOW ON THE GFS.  MOISTURE IS FAIR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BUT OTHERWISE
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ARE FAIRLY DRY.  TEMPERATURES CONTINUE ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMALS...BUT COOL SOMEWHAT ON TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS THRU TONIGHT.  WINDS WILL BE SSW THRU
LATE MORNING AND THEN GRADUALLY BECOME MORE WLY BY 18Z WITH SPEEDS
INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 30 MPH.  WINDS MAY HAVE
MORE OF A MORE WNW COMPONENT BY 21Z BEFORE DECREASING BY 01Z. DURING
THE EVENING EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME MORE SSW AND STAY THAT WAY
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
COZ215-216-238>241-246-247.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 6 AM TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR COZ215-216-
239-241.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT FOR COZ031-033.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR COZ238-240-243>245-249.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR COZ246-247.

&&

RPK/RJK
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 16, 12:45 PM MDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1245 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011

COZ030>051-171200-
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND
COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000
FEET-SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/
SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-LARIMER AND
BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-JEFFERSON AND WEST
DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK
COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-LARIMER
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-NORTH DOUGLAS
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/
EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES
ABOVE 6000 FEET-NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD
COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS
COUNTY-
1245 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE FOOTHILLS...FRONT RANGE AND PALMER
DIVIDE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...
...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS NORTH OF I-70 FOR
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND VERY LOW
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE HIGH WILDLAND FIRE DANGER IN THE FOOTHILLS OF
THE FRONT RANGE...MUCH OF THE I-25 URBAN CORRIDOR...AND ON THE
PALMER DIVIDE EASTWARD ACROSS LINCOLN COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS
TO AROUND 45 MPH ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP IN THE FOOTHILLS BY AROUND
MIDDAY. AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20
MPH AND GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP NOT TOO LONG
AFTER THAT. THIS EVENING...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ON THE
PLAINS BUT REMAIN QUITE GUSTY ON EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE FRONT
RANGE OVERNIGHT. BECAUSE OF THESE GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND
MILD TEMPERATURES...THE WILDLAND FIRE DANGER MAY REMAIN HIGH THROUGH
THE NIGHT FOR FOOTHILL AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGH ON THURSDAY...MAINLY IN AND
NEAR THE FOOTHILLS AND OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE. SNOW IS EXPECTED IN
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH
ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 12 INCHES BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE PLAINS AND
FOOTHILLS MAY SEE A RAIN AND SNOW MIX LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MAY OCCUR LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT NORTH OF A LINE FROM BOULDER TO GREELEY.

DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA
MONDAY AND TUESDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. HOWEVER
REPORTS OF STRONG WINDS WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

BAKER/MEIER

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Colorado, 2011Every winter storm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.