Alert archive / Colorado / Winter Storm Warnings in 2011
Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
NWS Denver/Boulder, CO issued this winter storm warning at Mar 16, 2011, 3:11 PM MDT for 4 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Mar 17, 2011, 6:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 22 hr. 7 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 16, 2011, 3:11 PM MDT (21:11 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 17, 2011, 6:00 AM MDT
- Expired
- Mar 18, 2011, 4:13 AM MDT
- In force
- 22 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Counties Boulder County, CO, Grand County, CO, Jackson County, CO, Larimer County, CO
The radar
The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 8:54 PM MDT | SNOW 2 | 1 Nw Fraser, CO | CURRENTLY SNOWING HEAVILY. 1 TO 1.5 INCH PER HOUR. |
| Mar 17, 9:00 PM MDT | SNOW 2 | Grand Lake, CO | FARR PUMPING PLANT. 1-2 INCHES WITH MODERATE SNOW. |
| Mar 17, 9:10 PM MDT | SNOW 5 | Sw Hot Sulphur Springs, CO | 4.5 INCHES SINCE MORNING. 2-3 INCHES SINCE 5 PM. CURRENTLY S+. 7700 FEET. |
| Mar 17, 10:08 PM MDT | HEAVY SNOW 7.8 | 4 Nne Tabernash, CO | SNOWING HEAVILY SINCE 5 PM. 9000 FEET AT RED BIRD HILL. |
| Mar 18, 2:00 AM MDT | HEAVY SNOW 10 | Rabbit Ears Pass, CO | |
| Mar 18, 2:00 AM MDT | HEAVY SNOW 14 | Cameron Pass, CO | |
| Mar 18, 3:00 AM MDT | HEAVY SNOW 7 | 2 Sse Tabernash, CO |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2860 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 121 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 147 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
934 WWUS45 KBOU 162111 WSWBOU URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 311 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 COZ031-170515- /O.UPG.KBOU.WS.A.0005.110317T1200Z-110318T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110317T1200Z-110318T1200Z/ WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF... EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS... RABBIT EARS PASS 311 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT WHEN SNOWFALL RATES RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 14 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL OCCUR...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE AND THROUGH THE PASSES. * MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BE ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. && $$ COZ033-170515- /O.UPG.KBOU.WS.A.0005.110317T1200Z-110318T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110318T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/ NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS... LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE... ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS 311 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY...AND THEN BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANTLY HEAVIER THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL BE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE AND THROUGH THE PASSES. * MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BE ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. && $$
6 follow-up statements
152 WWUS45 KBOU 170404 WSWBOU URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1004 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 COZ031-171415- /O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110317T1200Z-110318T1200Z/ WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF... EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS... RABBIT EARS PASS 1004 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT WHEN SNOWFALL RATES RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 14 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL OCCUR...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE AND THROUGH THE PASSES. * MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. && $$ COZ033-171415- /O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110318T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/ NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS... LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE... ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS 1004 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND THEN BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANTLY HEAVIER THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE AND THROUGH THE PASSES. * MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. && $$
707 WWUS45 KBOU 171206 WSWBOU URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 606 AM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 COZ031-172100- /O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF... EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS... RABBIT EARS PASS 606 AM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 14 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. && $$ COZ033-172100- /O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110318T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/ NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS... LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE... ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS 606 AM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...WITH SNOW BECOMING HEAVIER TONIGHT. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE. * MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. && $$ GIMMESTAD
453 WWUS45 KBOU 172155 WSWBOU URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 355 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...SNOW SPREADING FROM THE MOUNTAINS ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS TONIGHT... .AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. INITIALLY...SOME RAIN WILL INITIALLY BE MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS THIS EVENING...WITH TEMPERATURES TURNING COLD ENOUGH FOR MOSTLY SNOW FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AT THIS TIME...THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. ON THE PLAINS...THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE FORT COLLINS AREA TOWARD THE WYOMING BORDER...WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD DENVER. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE MAIN BAND OF PRECIPITATION WORKS SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST COLORADO. COZ031-180600- /O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF... EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS... RABBIT EARS PASS 355 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL DECREASE BEFORE DAYBREAK FRIDAY. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. && $$ COZ033-180600- /O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110318T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/ NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS... LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE... ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS 355 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THEN DECREASE BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS THIS EVENING. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH. * MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. && $$ COZ035-038-180600- /O.NEW.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.110318T0300Z-110318T1200Z/ LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET- LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...NEDERLAND... RED FEATHER LAKES...FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN 355 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND THEN TURN TO ALL SNOW BY MID TO LATE EVENING. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER THE HEAVY SNOW BANDS. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ON THE PLAINS OF EASTERN LARIMER AND NORTHERN WELD COUNTIES...WITH BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS OF LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES. * IMPACTS...SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY AS SNOW INTENSITY INCREASES LATE THIS EVENING. ICY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
012 WWUS45 KBOU 172323 WSWBOU URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 523 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...SNOW SPREADING FROM THE MOUNTAINS ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS TONIGHT... .AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. INITIALLY...SOME RAIN WILL INITIALLY BE MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS THIS EVENING...WITH TEMPERATURES TURNING COLD ENOUGH FOR MOSTLY SNOW FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AT THIS TIME...THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. ON THE PLAINS...THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE FORT COLLINS AREA TOWARD THE WYOMING BORDER WHERE AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. LIGHTER AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE ANTICIPATED FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD DENVER. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE MAIN BAND OF PRECIPITATION WORKS SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST COLORADO. COZ033-180730- /O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.110318T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/ NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS... LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE... ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS 523 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THEN DECREASE BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS THIS EVENING. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH. * MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. && $$ COZ031-180730- /O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF... EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS... RABBIT EARS PASS 523 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL DECREASE BEFORE DAYBREAK FRIDAY. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 14 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. && $$ COZ030-032-180730- /O.EXB.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.110317T2323Z-110318T1200Z/ JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET- GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOULD...NORTH PARK...RAND...SPICER... WALDEN...DILLON...FRASER...GRANBY...GRAND LAKE... HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS...KREMMLING 523 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL DECREASE BEFORE DAYBREAK FRIDAY. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES. * IMPACTS...SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING. TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS ESPECIALLY AS TEMPERATURES FALL WELL BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ035-038-180730- /O.CON.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.110318T0300Z-110318T1200Z/ LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET- LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...NEDERLAND... RED FEATHER LAKES...FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN 523 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND THEN TURN TO ALL SNOW BY MID TO LATE EVENING. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER THE HEAVY SNOW BANDS. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ON THE PLAINS OF EASTERN LARIMER AND NORTHERN WELD COUNTIES...WITH BETWEEN 4 AND 9 INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS OF LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES. * IMPACTS...SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY AS SNOW INTENSITY INCREASES LATE THIS EVENING. ICY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
788 WWUS45 KBOU 180356 WSWBOU URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 956 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...SNOW SPREADING FROM THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS ACROSS THE PLAINS THROUGH THE NIGHT... .AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. INITIALLY...SOME RAIN WILL BE MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS THIS EVENING...WITH TEMPERATURES TURNING COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. ON THE PLAINS...THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE FROM THE BOULDER AND FORT COLLINS AREA TOWARD THE WYOMING BORDER WHERE 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. LIGHTER AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE ANTICIPATED FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD DENVER AND THE PALMER DIVIDE. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR AS THE MAIN BAND OF PRECIPITATION WORKS SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST COLORADO OVERNIGHT. COZ031-033-181200- /O.CON.KBOU.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/ NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF... EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS... RABBIT EARS PASS...CAMERON PASS... LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE... ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS 956 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THEN DECREASE BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER BANDS OF SNOW. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 15 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK AREA. * MAIN IMPACT...MOUNTAIN ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW PACKED WITH WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. && $$ COZ030-032-181200- /O.CON.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET- GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOULD...NORTH PARK...RAND...SPICER... WALDEN...DILLON...FRASER...GRANBY...GRAND LAKE... HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS...KREMMLING 956 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS IN GRAND COUNTY INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. SNOW WILL DECREASE SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK FRIDAY. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES...WITH UP TO 9 INCHES POSSIBLE IN GRAND COUNTY. * IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW AND ICE COVERED WITH HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ035-038-181200- /O.CON.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET- LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...NEDERLAND... RED FEATHER LAKES...FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN 956 PM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT. SOME BANDS OF HEAVIER SNOW WILL PRODUCE SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK. * ACCUMULATION/WIND...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ON THE PLAINS OF EASTERN LARIMER AND NORTHERN WELD COUNTIES...WITH BETWEEN 4 AND 9 INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS OF LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES. * IMPACTS...SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY AS SNOW INTENSITY INCREASES. ICY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ BARJENBRUCH
205 WWUS45 KBOU 181013 WSWBOU URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 413 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011 ...WINTER STORM MOVING OUT OF COLORADO... .THE WINTER STORM THAT MOVED ACROSS THE NORTHERN COLORADO MOUNTAINS OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS WILL MOVE OUT OF NORTHEASTERN COLORADO THIS MORNING. LINGERING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY THIS MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WITH THIS STORM WAS IN AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS HAVE RANGED FROM 6 TO 14 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO...WITH 3 TO 7 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS AROUND SUMMIT COUNTY. COZ031-033-181115- /O.CAN.KBOU.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/ NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF... EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS... RABBIT EARS PASS...CAMERON PASS... LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE... ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS 413 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS MORNING. $$ COZ030-032-035-038-181115- /O.CAN.KBOU.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-110318T1200Z/ JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET- GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET- LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET- LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOULD...NORTH PARK...RAND...SPICER... WALDEN...DILLON...FRASER...GRANBY...GRAND LAKE... HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS...KREMMLING...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY... NEDERLAND...RED FEATHER LAKES...FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD... LOVELAND...NUNN 413 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. ISOLATED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL END BY MID MORNING. $$ GIMMESTAD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Denver/Boulder, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Mar 16, 3:36 AM MDT, 11 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 3:36 AM MDT, 11 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 336 AM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 .SHORT TERM...INCREASING WSW FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE AREA THRU TONIGHT. SOME HIGHER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SO OUTSIDE OF SOME CLOUDS IT LOOKS DRY OVER THE ENTIRE CWA THRU THE AFTN. BIGGEST CONCERN FROM MIDDAY THRU EARLY EVENING WILL BE FIRE DANGER IN AND NR THE FOOTHILLS. SO FAR IT LOOKS LIKE WINDS AND HUMIDITIES WILL REACH RED FLAG CRITERIA LATER THIS MORNING IN THE FOOTIHLLS AND ALONG THE FRONT RANGE BY EARLY AFTN SO WILL KEEP THE RED WARNING IN PLACE. COULD BRIEFLY SEE RED FLAG CONDITIONS SPREAD INTO ZONES 42..43 AND 45 BY LATE AFTN AS WELL IF WINDS ARE STRONGER THAN FCST. AS FAR AS HIGHS BASED ON WSW LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD SEE GOOD DOWNSLOPE WARMING WITH HIGHS RISING INTO THE 70S ACROSS ALL OF NERN CO. RECORD HIGH AT DENVER IS 74 SO THAT SHOULD BE BKN THIS AFTN I WOULD THINK. FOR TONIGHT MOISTURE WIL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN THE MTNS MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF PCPN DEVELPING NR A STG UPPER LEVEL JET MAINLY OVER ZN 31 TOWARDS MORNING. THUS WILL KEEP POPS ON THE LOW SIDE IN MOST MTN LOCATIONS OVERNIGHT EXCEPT FOR THE GORE RANGE. MEANWHILE GUSTY WINDS MAY SUBSIDE IN AND NR THE FOOTHILLS EARLY THIS EVENING BUT WILL LIKELY INCREASE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT HOWEVER SPEEDS SHOULD STAY BLO HIGH WIND CRITERIA. .LONG TERM...MODELS INDICATE INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THURSDAY THROUGH MID DAY FRIDAY...THEN A JET MAXIMUM IS PROGGED ACROSS THE CWA. PROGGED SPEEDS WITH THE JET ARE IN THE 95 TO 110 KNOT RANGE. YESTERDAY'S 00Z MODEL RUNS INDICATED A 140 KNOT JET. DECREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS PROGGED THE REST OF FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ANY SYNOPTIC SCALE ENERGY PROGGED FOR THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS ARE WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY ON THURSDAY MORNING ...WITH FAIRLY DECENT SPEEDS IN THE FOOTHILLS AND IMMEDIATE PLAINS. THE NAM BRINGS A NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY SURGE INTO THE PLAINS THURSDAY MORNING...THE GFS BY AFTERNOON. THE UPSLOPE GETS INTO THE LOWER FOOTHILLS BY AFTERNOON. THE GFS HAS HIGHER SPEEDS COMPARED TO THE NAM...AND BOTH KEEP IT GOING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. ON FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOW BECOMES SOUTHEASTERLY FOR THE PLAINS AND CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY EVENING...WHEN NORMAL DIURNAL WIND TRENDS DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE PLAINS STAY PRETTY DRY ON THURSDAY...EVEN WITH THE UPSLOPE...BUT THE GFS DOES HAVE SOME MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AROUND BY AFTERNOON. MOISTURE IS INCREASING OVER THE MOUNTAINS THURSDAY MORNING...THEN GETS PRETTY DEEP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MOISTURE IS PRETTY DEEP OVER THE MOUNTAINS THURSDAY EVENING...BUT THE THE GFS DRIES IT OUT SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT. THE NAM DECREASES IT SOMEWHAT...BUT KEEPS SOME MOISTURE LINGERING OVER THE MOUNTAINS INTO FRIDAY. FOR THE PLAINS...MOISTURE IS POOR ON THURSDAY...THEN GETS FAIRLY DEEP THURSDAY EVENING ON THE GFS...NOT UNTIL LATER IN THE EVENING ON THE NAM. MOISTURE STICKS AROUND OVER THE PLAINS ON THE NAM INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT DECREASES MORE SO ON THE GFS DURING THE MORNING FRIDAY. THERE IS SOME MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION ON THE QPF FIELDS OVER THE MOUNTAINS ON THURSDAY...MORE THURSDAY NIGHT... THEN A BIT EARLY FRIDAY. FOR THE PLAINS...THERE IS SOME THURSDAY NIGHT AND A TAD FRIDAY MORNING. THE NAM SHOWS CONSIDERABLY MORE THAN THE GFS DOES...AND BOTH MODELS SHOW THE PRECIPITATION TO BE VERY MUCH RELATED TO THE JET MAXIMUM THAT MOVES ACROSS THE CWA. FOR MOUNTAINS POPS...SNOW IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND MUCH OF THE NIGHT FOR SURE. SNOW MODEL YIELDS SNOW ADVISORY AMOUNTS IN ZONE 31 ONLY...NOT 33 OR 34...AND THAT IS ASSUMING THE NAM DATA WILL ACTUALLY OCCUR. IF THE GFS PARAMETERS ARE CORRECT...A SNOW ADVISORY WOULD BE A STRETCH EVEN IN ZONE 31. THE MOUNTAIN TOP FLOW IS NOT GREAT FOR OROGRAPHIC HELP WHEN THE MOISTURE IS PROGGED ACROSS. LAPSE RATES ARE POOR ON THE GFS...BETTER ON THE NAM. THEN THERE IS THE JET MAXIMUM THAT IS EXPECTED TO HELP. WILL LEAVE WATCH GOING...MAYBE THE 12Z MODELS WILL LOOK BETTER. FOR THE PLAINS... THERE IS SOME UPSLOPE THURSDAY NIGHT...FAIR MOISTURE..AND AGAIN THE JET. WILL GO WITH 10-30%S FOR NOW. AS FAR AS THE FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHT GO...WIND SPEEDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND IMMEDIATE PLAINS ON THURSDAY FOR A WARNING UNTIL THE UPSLOPE MOVES IN DURING THE MORNING/AFTERNOON. MOISTURE LOOKS TO GO UP A BIT BEHIND THE FRONT...AND THE UPSLOPE WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT GREAT ...WITH THE GFS SHOWING THEM STRONGER...BUT NOT UP TO 25 MPH. TEMPERATURES ARE DOWN ON THURSDAY AS WELL. SO CONSIDERING THESE LATEST MODEL RUNS...IT WILL BE A TIMING ISSUE...BUT THE WARNING'S OUT ALREADY...SO WILL LET IT RIDE. FOR TEMPERATURES...THURSDAY'S HIGHS ARE 1-4 C COLDER THAN TODAY'S EXPECTED HIGHS...BUT COOLER STILL OVER THE NORTHEAST CORNER. FRIDAY'S HIGHS ARE 2-5 C COOLER THAN THURSDAY'S. FOR THE LATER DAYS...SATURDAY THROUGH...MODELS ARE SLOWING DOWN THE SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY UPPER TROUGH NOW TO LATE MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT ON THE ECMWF TO...IT NEVER REALLY MOVING ACROSS NOW ON THE GFS. MOISTURE IS FAIR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BUT OTHERWISE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ARE FAIRLY DRY. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS...BUT COOL SOMEWHAT ON TUESDAY. && .AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS THRU TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE SSW THRU LATE MORNING AND THEN GRADUALLY BECOME MORE WLY BY 18Z WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 30 MPH. WINDS MAY HAVE MORE OF A MORE WNW COMPONENT BY 21Z BEFORE DECREASING BY 01Z. DURING THE EVENING EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME MORE SSW AND STAY THAT WAY OVERNIGHT. && .BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ215-216-238>241-246-247. RED FLAG WARNING FROM 6 AM TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR COZ215-216- 239-241. WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR COZ031-033. FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR COZ238-240-243>245-249. RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR COZ246-247. && RPK/RJK
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 16, 12:45 PM MDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1245 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 COZ030>051-171200- JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/ NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/ SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/ EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES- NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY- 1245 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE FOOTHILLS...FRONT RANGE AND PALMER DIVIDE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS... ...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS NORTH OF I-70 FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY WILL CREATE HIGH WILDLAND FIRE DANGER IN THE FOOTHILLS OF THE FRONT RANGE...MUCH OF THE I-25 URBAN CORRIDOR...AND ON THE PALMER DIVIDE EASTWARD ACROSS LINCOLN COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP IN THE FOOTHILLS BY AROUND MIDDAY. AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP NOT TOO LONG AFTER THAT. THIS EVENING...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ON THE PLAINS BUT REMAIN QUITE GUSTY ON EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE FRONT RANGE OVERNIGHT. BECAUSE OF THESE GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND MILD TEMPERATURES...THE WILDLAND FIRE DANGER MAY REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE NIGHT FOR FOOTHILL AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGH ON THURSDAY...MAINLY IN AND NEAR THE FOOTHILLS AND OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE. SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 12 INCHES BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE PLAINS AND FOOTHILLS MAY SEE A RAIN AND SNOW MIX LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MAY OCCUR LATE THURSDAY NIGHT NORTH OF A LINE FROM BOULDER TO GREELEY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. HOWEVER REPORTS OF STRONG WINDS WOULD BE APPRECIATED. BAKER/MEIER
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Colorado, 2011Every winter storm warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.