Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2011

Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Amarillo, TX

March 21, 201120 counties in Texas; Beaver County, Cimarron County, Texas County, Oklahoma

NWS Amarillo, TX issued this red flag warning at Mar 21, 2011, 3:37 PM CDT for 20 counties in Texas; Beaver County, Cimarron County, Texas County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Mar 22, 2011, 12:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 21, 2011, 3:37 PM CDT (20:37 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 22, 2011, 12:00 PM CDT
Expired
Mar 22, 2011, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Amarillo, TX
All 23 counties

Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-03-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-03-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 139 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2060 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
183 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

406 
WWUS84 KAMA 212037
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
337 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 9 PM
TODAY NORTHWEST OF AN ADRIAN TO DUMAS TO GUYMON LINE AND ACROSS ALL OF
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES BETWEEN NOON AND 9 PM TUESDAY...

OKZ001-002-TXZ001-002-006-007-011-220845-
/O.UPG.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110322T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HARTLEY-MOORE-OLDHAM-
337 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE CENTRAL
AND WEST OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AS WELL AS THE NORTHWEST TEXAS
PANHANDLE... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR ALL 
OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL
TEXAS PANHANDLE.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS. IN TEXAS...
  DALLAM...SHERMAN...HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM. 

* WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE
  EXPECTED THROUGH 9 PM TODAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
  NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN NOON AND 9 PM TUESDAY.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 3 AND 8
  PERCENT TODAY AND BETWEEN 6 AND 11 PERCENT ON TUESDAY.

* TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
  THROUGH 9 PM TODAY. EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
  EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
  TUESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ACCIDENTAL
SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO
WILDFIRES.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OKZ003-TXZ003-004-008-009-012>014-016>018-220845-
/O.UPG.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110322T0200Z/
BEAVER-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-POTTER-CARSON-GRAY-
DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-
337 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE 
AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY ALL OF 
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL
TEXAS PANHANDLE.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...BEAVER. IN TEXAS...HANSFORD...
  OCHILTREE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...POTTER...CARSON...GRAY... 
  DEAF SMITH...RANDALL...ARMSTRONG. 

* WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE
  EXPECTED THROUGH 9 PM TODAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
  NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 15
  PERCENT TODAY AND BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PERCENT ON TUESDAY.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 9
  PM. EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
  DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
  HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ACCIDENTAL
SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO
WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ005-010-015-019-020-220845-
/O.UPG.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
LIPSCOMB-HEMPHILL-WHEELER-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
337 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF TEXAS AND 
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR ALL 
OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...LIPSCOMB...HEMPHILL...WHEELER...
  DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. 

* WIND: WEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 10
  PERCENT ON TUESDAY.

* TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
  DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ACCIDENTAL
SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO
WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

MBS

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
7 follow-up statements
579 
WWUS84 KAMA 220201
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
901 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES BETWEEN NOON AND 9 PM TUESDAY...

OKZ003-TXZ003-004-008-009-012>014-016>018-221200-
/O.EXP.KAMA.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110322T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
BEAVER-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-POTTER-CARSON-GRAY-
DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-
901 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... 
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE 
AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...BEAVER. IN TEXAS...HANSFORD...
  OCHILTREE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...POTTER...CARSON...GRAY... 
  DEAF SMITH...RANDALL...ARMSTRONG. 

* WIND: WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50
  MPH ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 10
  PERCENT ON TUESDAY.

* TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
  DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
  HOURS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...
ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

OKZ001-002-TXZ001-002-006-007-011-221200-
/O.EXP.KAMA.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110322T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HARTLEY-MOORE-OLDHAM-
901 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... 
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE CENTRAL AND WEST OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE AS WELL AS THE NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS. IN TEXAS...
  DALLAM...SHERMAN...HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM. 

* WIND: WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50
  MPH ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN NOON AND 9 PM TUESDAY.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 10
  PERCENT ON TUESDAY.

* TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
  DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
  EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...
ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ005-010-015-019-020-221200-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
LIPSCOMB-HEMPHILL-WHEELER-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
901 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT
TUESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...LIPSCOMB...HEMPHILL...WHEELER...
  DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. 

* WIND: WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50
  MPH ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 
  10 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. 

* TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE 
  EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY 
  TUESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...
ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

KB

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
003 
WWUS84 KAMA 220309
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1009 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL
OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES BETWEEN NOON AND 9 PM
TUESDAY...

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-221200-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
1009 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT
TUESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS...BEAVER. IN 
  TEXAS...DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB... 
  HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...OLDHAM... 
  POTTER...CARSON...GRAY...WHEELER...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL... 
  ARMSTRONG...DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. 

* WIND: WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50
  MPH ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 
  10 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. 

* TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE 
  EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE 
  EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...
ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

SCHNEIDER

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
812 
WWUS84 KAMA 220912
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
412 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011


OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-222100-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
412 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS...BEAVER. IN 
  TEXAS...DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB... 
  HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...OLDHAM... 
  POTTER...CARSON...GRAY...WHEELER...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL... 
  ARMSTRONG...DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. 

* WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH ARE
  EXPECTED TODAY.

* HUMIDITY: RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15
  PERCENT BY THIS AFTERNOON.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE BY MID MORNING. HOWEVER...CRITICAL
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH QUICKLY BY EARLY THIS EVENING.
  HOWEVER THERE WILL BE POOR RECOVERY OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...
ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY
DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

JOHNSON

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
622 
WWUS84 KAMA 221541 AAA
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1041 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-230200-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
1041 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING 
FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS...BEAVER. IN 
  TEXAS...DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB... 
  HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...OLDHAM... 
  POTTER...CARSON...GRAY...WHEELER...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL... 
  ARMSTRONG...DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH.

* WIND: WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN NOON AND 7 PM BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25
  MPH BY 9 PM.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 8 AND 15
  PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY BY NOON. HOWEVER...
  CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER 7 PM. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE
  POOR RECOVERY OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...
ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

MBS

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
288 
WWUS84 KAMA 221743 AAB
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1243 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-230200-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110323T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
1243 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS ALL OF THE 
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS...BEAVER. IN 
  TEXAS...DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB... 
  HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...OLDHAM... 
  POTTER...CARSON...GRAY...WHEELER...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL... 
  ARMSTRONG...DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH.

* WIND: WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 7 PM BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY 9
  PM.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 7 AND 15
  PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

* TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
  THROUGH 9 PM. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 7 PM. HOWEVER...THERE WILL
  BE POOR RECOVERY OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...
ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

MBS

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
192 
WWUS84 KAMA 222032
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
332 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-230200-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110323T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
332 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS ALL OF THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING 
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS ALL OF THE 
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS...BEAVER. IN 
  TEXAS...DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB... 
  HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...OLDHAM... 
  POTTER...CARSON...GRAY...WHEELER...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL... 
  ARMSTRONG...DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. 

* WIND: WEST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED
  THROUGH 7 PM. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW 20 MPH AROUND 9 PM.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 8 AND 15
  PERCENT THROUGH 9 PM.

* TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
  THROUGH 9 PM. WINDS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
  HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE POOR RECOVERY OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
  TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...
ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

MBS

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
214 
WWUS84 KAMA 230204
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
904 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-230315-
/O.EXP.KAMA.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110323T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
904 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 21, 12:49 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 21, 12:49 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1249 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

.AVIATION...
WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN DURING THIS TAF CYCLE.
DRYLINE HAS BEEN SLOW TO MIX EASTWARD THUS FAR TODAY...BUT BELIEVE IT
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. WINDS
WILL INCREASE AS GRADIENT STRENGTHENS DURING THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT
SOUTHWEST WINDS NEAR 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40 KNOTS. HOWEVER...
WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING AN AWW ATTM AND WILL KEEP A CLOSE WATCH ON
THIS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL REMAIN UP DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AOA 15 KNOTS...THEN INCREASE ONCE AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING AS
A PACIFIC FRONT RACES ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
WSW TO BY THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD WITH 30 KNOTS WINDS PERHAPS
GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. LASTLY...INSERTED A SCATTERED LOW DECK AT AMA
FOR NOW AS NAM/GFS TIME HEIGHT CROSS SECTIONS DEPICT SOME LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE SNEAKING BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. WILL OMIT
MVFR CIGS/VSBYS ATTM DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRENCE AS WINDS
SHOULD BE SOUTHWESTERLY AND REMAIN AROUND 15 KNOTS.

TB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1208 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011/

..EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AND VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
MAINLY BETWEEN 2 AND 9 PM TODAY NORTHWEST OF AN ADRIAN TO DUMAS TO
GUYMON LINE...

UPDATE...
ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR AREAS MENTIONED IN THE HEADLINE ABOVE.
REMOVED AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCES OVER THE EAST PANHANDLES.
ALSO...ADJUSTED OTHER ELEMENTS...MAINLY SKY COVER AND DEWPOINTS.

DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE AND LOW CLOUDS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO DEPART THIS MORNING.
HOWEVER...WINDY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE
AFTERNOON. AS NOON CDT...THE DRYLINE WAS LOCATED NEAR A GRIGGS TO
DALHART TO BOOTLEG TEXAS LINE.

ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE LOCATIONS MENTIONED ABOVE WHERE
CONFIDENCE OF REACHING 35 MPH FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE IS HIGH BASED ON
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE AND LOCAL WIND RESEARCH PROJECT. THERE IS A
SMALL CHANCE THAT CONDITIONS MAY BE NEAR HIGH WIND WARNING NORTHWEST
OF A DALHART TO GUYMON LINE 4 TO 8 PM WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS MAY REACH
40 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 58 MPH. ALSO...ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE
EXPANDED EAST TO INCLUDE AMARILLO AND HEREFORD. WILL CLOSELY MONITOR.

REMOVED RAIN CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE FAR EAST PANHANDLES AS
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTED VERY STRONG CAPPING. A SURFACE
TEMPERATURE OF 89 TO 94 DEGREES WITH A 55 TO 58 DEGREE DEWPOINT WOULD
BREAK THE CAP...BUT DO NOT THINK HIGHS WILL GET THIS WARM ESPECIALLY
AS MORNING CLOUD COVER HAS LIMITED HEATING IN THESE AREAS.

THE DRYLINE HAS BEEN SLOW TO MOVE EAST SO FAR TODAY...BUT IS
EXPECTED TO QUICKLY MOVE EAST THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR
INCREASING WINDS...MORE SUN...AND VERY WARM TEMPERATURES. TODAY/S
RECORD HIGH OF 88 AT DALHART MAY BE IN JEOPARDY. FORECAST HIGHS ARE
IN GREAT SHAPE AND DID NOT ALTER.

PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

MBS

FIRE WEATHER...
DETERIORATING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHWEST PANHANDLES. THINK HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL DROP BELOW 5 PERCENT IN THESE AREAS ALONG WITH VERY
STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.

TODAY/S RED FLAG WARNING IS IN GREAT SHAPE.

LOOKING AHEAD TO TUESDAY...LATEST MODELS SUGGESTED POSSIBLE STRONGER
WINDS THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE PANHANDLES. WILL LIKELY
UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.

MBS

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 655 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011/

AVIATION...
SOME LIGHT BR OCCURRING AT KAMA SHOULD DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...WIND WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER
ELEMENT TODAY AS THE DRYLINE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE REGION AND THE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. RAMPED UP THE WINDS STARTING MID
MORNING AT ALL SITES...WITH STRONGEST SPEEDS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON...DIMINISHING SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. GUSTS MAY APCH 40 KTS AT
KAMA THIS AFTERNOON...BUT CONFIDENCE TOO LOW AND MARGINAL AT THIS
TIME FOR ISSUANCE OF AN AWW. LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO MONITOR
CLOSELY THIS AFTERNOON.

ANDRADE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 405 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011/

DISCUSSION...
FOR TODAY...THE MAIN CONCERN REMAINS THE DRYLINE. OVERNIGHT...THE
DRYLINE MANAGED TO MIX BACK TO NEARLY THE NM AND TX STATE LINE...AS
EVIDENCED BY THE 40 DEGREE DIFFERENCE IN DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES
BETWEEN KDHT AND KCAO. BASED ON WHAT HAPPENED YESTERDAY...EXPECT THE
DRYLINE TO RAPIDLY PUSH EAST TO THE CAPROCK BY AROUND 18Z. WITH
MOISTURE POOLING OFF THE CAPROCK...THE DRYLINE SHOULD AT THE VERY
LEAST SLOW ITS PROGRESSION...IF NOT STALL ENTIRELY...BY THE TIME IT
REACHES THOSE LOCATIONS. THIS IS THE SOLUTION THE NAM SHOWS WHILE THE
GFS SHOWS THE DRYLINE SLOWER AND FURTHER WEST. WITH THE GFS
SOLUTION...THE FAR WESTERN PANHANDLES COULD HIT WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA. HOWEVER...AM SKEPTICAL OF THE GFS WIND SPEEDS GIVEN THE
DISCREPANCY IN THE MOVEMENT OF THE DRYLINE. THEREFORE...HAVE KEPT
WINDS JUST BELOW WIND ADVISORY FOR NOW. EAST OF THE DRYLINE AND OFF
THE CAPROCK...THE ATTENTION WILL BE ON THE POSSIBILITY OF
THUNDERSTORMS. NAM SHOWS ML CAPE VALUES OVER 1000 J/KG. HOWEVER...CIN
VALUES ARE ALSO NEAR200 J/KG...EXCEPT JUST ALONG THE DRYLINE.
CONSIDERING THE STRENGTH OF THE CAP...THINK IT IS VERY UNLIKELY THAT
THERE WILL BE ANY CONVECTIVE INITIATION. HOWEVER...IF ANY OCCURS THE
STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH SOME SMALL HAIL.

TOMORROW...THE DEEP AND INTENSE UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OFF THE
WEST COAST WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO APPROACH THE HIGH PLAINS. AS IT DOES
SO...THE HEIGHT GRADIENT IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS WILL INCREASE
DRAMATICALLY AND THE SURFACE LOW...AND ASSOCIATED PACIFIC FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. WHILE THIS STILL LOOKS TO BE A WINDY
DAY...HAVE KEPT WINDS BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA MAINLY BECAUSE OF THE
TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM. THE PACIFIC FRONT SHOULD MOVE ALL THE WAY
THROUGH THE REGION BY 15 TO 18Z. WITH THIS TIMING...THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT COULD DECREASE AS EARLY AS 18Z. THIS LEAVES ONLY A BRIEF
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FROM THE TIME THE WINDS BEGIN TO MIX DOWN TILL
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES.

BY MID WEEK...MODEL SOLUTIONS REALLY BEGIN TO DIVERGE AS IS TYPICAL
THROUGH THE TRANSITION SEASONS. EXPECT THE NEXT SURFACE LOW TO BE
NEAR THE REGION BY THURSDAY...POSSIBLY SETTING THE STAGE FOR A DAY
SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ON THE CAPROCK...AND
THUNDERSTORM CONCERNS OFF THE CAPROCK. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW COULD
APPROACH THE REGION BY THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...THE ECMWF AND GFS ARE
IN STARK DISAGREEMENT ON TIMING AND TRACK OF THE LOW...SO FOR NOW
HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD.

JOHNSON

FIRE WEATHER...
WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEST OF
THE DRYLINE TODAY. THE ONLY UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HOW FAR EAST THE
DRYLINE WILL END UP. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE DRYLINE WILL STALL
NEAR THE CAPROCK...LEAVING LOCATIONS ON THE CAPROCK IN CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND OFF THE CAPROCK RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
COULD BE ABOVE 30 PERCENT. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE REGION. THOUGH COOLER WEATHER IS ON TAP FOR TOMORROW BEHIND A
PACIFIC FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES...WITH WINDS
20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. DRY WEATHER WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE OVER THE PANHANDLES THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...AND ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY ACROSS
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLES. BEYOND THURSDAY THERE IS TOO MUCH
UNCERTAINTY IN MODEL SOLUTIONS TO PINPOINT ANY DAYS WITH ELEVATED OR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

JOHNSON

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...GRAY...
     HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HUTCHINSON...MOORE...OCHILTREE...
     OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...SHERMAN.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...
     COLLINGSWORTH...DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...
     HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...
     MOORE...OCHILTREE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...
     SHERMAN...WHEELER.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: DALLAM...HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM...SHERMAN.

OK...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CIMARRON...TEXAS.

&&

10/17
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 21, 11:37 AM CDT, 4 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1137 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-220445-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
1137 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE COMBINATION OF SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH
HIGHER GUSTS...MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15
PERCENT...AND DRY GRASSES WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS
ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND MOST OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE EXCEPT
THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS. AS A RESULT...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AS
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

IN ADDITION...CAUTION IS ADVISED ON AREA LAKES TODAY AND TONIGHT DUE
TO THE WINDY CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF WEST WINDS IN THE 25 TO 30 MPH RANGE WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT...
AND DRY GRASSES WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON
TUESDAY ACROSS ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES. AS A RESULT...
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES ON THURSDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF
THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES THURSDAY NIGHT. ANY STORMS THAT
FORM ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AREA FIRE MANAGERS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND TUESDAY...AND ELEVATED TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY.

TB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Amarillo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 21, 11:20 AM CDTWind AdvisoryAMADallam, Hartley, Moore, Oldham, Sherman9 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2011Red Flag Warnings in Oklahoma, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.