Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2011
Storm Warning 85, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 28, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 28, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 28, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
058 FZAK51 PAJK 281238 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-290100- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE FAR NORTHERN GULF WILL TRACK EAST NORTHEAST AND WEAKEN THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL TRACK OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA TODAY AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-290100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-290100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-290100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING... THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-290100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-290100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-290100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-290100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-290100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES... SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-290100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-290100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-290100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
147 FZAK51 PAJK 281612 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-290200- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE FAR NORTHERN GULF WILL TRACK EAST NORTHEAST AND WEAKEN THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL TRACK OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA TODAY AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-290200- GLACIER BAY- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-290200- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-290200- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING... THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-290200- ICY STRAIT- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-290200- CROSS SOUND- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-290200- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-290200- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-290200- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES... SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-290200- FREDERICK SOUND- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-290200- SUMNER STRAIT- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-290200- CLARENCE STRAIT- 709 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
655 FZAK51 PAJK 290017 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-291400- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A WEAKENING LOW IN THE FAR NORTHERN GULF WILL TRACK EAST NORTHEAST INTO THE YUKON AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH MON NIGHT. A RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND PANHANDLE THROUGH TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-291400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-291400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ013-291400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-291400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-291400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .THU...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-291400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-291400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-291400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-291400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-291400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-291400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 27, 3:55 PM AKST, 12 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 27, 3:55 PM AKST, 12 hours 5 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
355 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011
.SHORT TERM...COMPLICATED SHORT RANGE FORECAST IN THE WORKS.
STRONG STORM WILL BE AFFECTING THE AREA STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND
INTO TOMORROW. BRINGING MORE PRECIP AND WIND. THE MAIN FORECAST
CHALLENGE FOR THIS SYSTEM IS HOW FAST AND HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM
ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PUSH THE RAIN/SNOW LINE ON
MONDAY. THE VARIOUS SHORT RANGE MODELS ARE NOT AGREEING ON THIS
ISSUE VERY WELL. THE NAM IS THE COLDEST, KEEPING MANY AREAS COLD
ENOUGH THAT MOST OF THE PRECIP FALLS AS SNOW WITH SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS WELL INTO WARNING CRITERIA OVER MOST INNER CHANNEL AREAS.
THE GFS ON THE OTHER HAND IS MUCH WARMER SWITCHING THE SNOW OVER
TO RAIN EARLY ON MONDAY WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS NOT EVEN
APPROACHING ADVISORY LEVELS. WITH THE HIGH SPREAD BETWEEN THE
MODELS ON TEMPERATURE AND SNOWFALL DECIDED TO GO WITH A MIDDLE OF
THE ROAD APPROACH. THUS LARGELY LEFT THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
HEADLINES ALONE. STILL EXPECTING 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE ADVISORY
AREAS AND 5 TO 10 INCHES IN THE WARNING AREAS THROUGH MON
AFTERNOON BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF OR CHANGES TO RAIN.
IN ANY CASE THE MOISTURE WILL BE THERE TO SUPPORT THIS SYSTEM AS
A ATMOSPHERIC RIVER IS FEEDING IT ALL THE WAY FROM 20 DEGREES
NORTH LATITUDE AND A NICE BAROCLINIC LEAF IS FORMING ALONG THE
FRONT IN THE NORTH PACIFIC AS SEEN FROM SATELLITE IMAGES. TPW
VALUES UP TO 25 TO 30 MM WERE MEASURED WITH IN THIS SYSTEM FROM
THE MICROWAVE SENSORS ON THE VARIOUS POLAR SATELLITES AS WELL.
MODELS ARE ALSO SUGGESTING SOME DECENT ISENTROPIC LIFT OVER THE
AREA AS WELL.
WIND WILL ALSO BE PROBLEM AS THIS FRONT COMES THROUGH. GALE FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG ALL OF THE OUTSIDE WATERS LATE TONIGHT
AND WILL BE DIMINISHING MONDAY. FOR THE INNER CHANNELS, CLARENCE
STRAIT AND SUMNER STRAIT WILL SEE GALE FORCE WINDS AT SOME POINT
MONDAY. MOST OF THE OTHER INNER CHANNELS WILL SEE SMALL CRAFT
WINDS AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. AS FOR THE LAND AREAS, STRONG
WIND HEADLINES ARE UP FOR SITKA, HYDABURG, AND KETCHIKAN ZONES
LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MON AS A DECENT 65 KT 850 MB JET POUNDS
INTO THE PANHANDLE. I EXPECT GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH IN THE HEADLINED
AREA. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
PANHANDLE, BUT SOME OCCASIONAL HIGHER WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE AS
THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH.
SHORT RANGE MODELS DID NOT INITIALIZE IN THE UPPER LEVELS ALL
THAT WELL THIS MORNING. MOST WERE STILL A BIT TOO WEAK WITH THE
STRENGTH OF THE JET COMPARED TO SATELLITE DERIVED WIND VECTORS.
OTHER UPPER LEVEL FEATURES WERE NOT VERY WELL REPRESENTED EITHER.
ON THE OTHER HAND SURFACE INITIALIZATION WAS DECENT. 12Z NAM WAS A
BIT OFF WITH THE SURFACE LOW POSITION NEAR KODIAK ISLAND, BUT ALL
DID OK WITH REPRESENTING THE FRONT. DECIDED ON BLEND OF NAM AND
GFS WITH A SPRINKLING OF OTHER MODELS FOR THE VARIOUS FORECAST
FIELDS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE DUE TO UNCERTAINTY ON
TEMPERATURE AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.
&&
.LONG TERM...EXPECT A CHANGE IN THE LONG WAVE PATTERN BY MID WEEK
AS A STRONG HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE BUILDS FROM THE NORTHEAST
PACIFIC AND ACROSS B.C. AND LEAVS THE PANHANDLE UNDER A LONG FETCH
SW FLOW.
FIRST LOW FROM SHORT TERM WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN YUKON MONDAY
NIGHT LEAVING A MODERATE WESTERLY ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA
THROUGH TUESDAY. SURFACE HIGH AND RIDGE ALOFT MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN GULF TUESDAY NIGHT AND TILTS EAST INTO CANADA ON
WEDNESDAY. A STRONG 160 KT JET STREAM RIDES NE ON BACK SIDE OF THE
RIDGE INTO NE GULF WEDNESDAY AND SLOWLY PUSHES ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ALASKA THURSDAY. ANOTHER WAVE FOLLOWS FRIDAY. RIDGE REBUILDS
ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF SATURDAY.
WILL BEGIN THE LONG TERM WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW BEHIND FIRST
FRONT AND WESTERLY FLOW. DO NOT FORSEE SIGNIFICANT RAIN OR SNOW
AMOUNTS WITH THIS AS ATMO IS STABILIZING. POPS DROP OFF ACROSS
SOUTHERN HALF AS HIGH BUILDS IN MON NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE
WILL LIKELY BE AREAS OF FOG. HYDER COULD GET BACK INTO COLD
DRAINAGE FROM INTERIOR WITH SUBFREEZING TEMPS. NORTHERN AREAS
STILL IN ONSHORE FLOW AND WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF MIXED RAIN AND
SNOW.
AS RIDGE SHIFTS EAST ON WEDNESDAY...A 160 KT SSW JET STREAM MOVES
TO PAYA WITH HEAVY RAIN. SOLID SLY GALES MOVE INTO THE EASTERN
GULF FROM THE WEST ON WED AND WILL BRING WARMER TEMPS TO THE AREA.
GFS IS ADVERTISING 4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN FOR YAKUTAT ZONE. THIS
WILL FALL ON TOP OF AN UNUSUALLY DEEP NOVEMBER SNOW PACK AND WILL
INCREASE SNOW LOADS AND EVENTUALLY THE THREAT OF URBAN TYPE
FLOODING WHERE STORM DRAINS AND DITCHES ARE BURIED.
THE RAIN SPREADS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY WITH RAIN OR POSSIBLY SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN IN THE FAR
NORTH. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE MODERATELY HEAVY AND WILL ALSO HAVE
SNOW LOAD AND URBAN FLOOD ISSUES AS WELL AS INCREASED AVALANCHE
DANGER, WINDS ON THE INNER CHANNELS WILL INCREASE TO SMCR TO GALES
AND A STRONG WIND FOR CLARENCE AND SOUTHERN AND COASTAL ZONES.
SNOW LEVEL ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB TO 3K IN THE NORTH AND 6 K SOUTH.
A SECOND WAVE MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN GULF FRIDAY BUT STILL HAVE LOW
UNCERTAINTY IN POSITION TIMING AND INTENSITY. COULD SEE A QUICK
SHOT OF SNOW AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM BUT IT WILL GO BACK TO ALL RAIN
WITH ONSHORE WAA.
USED A NAM GFS BLEND THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY THEN HPC AND A GFS/EC
BLEND BEYOND.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM AKST
MONDAY FOR AKZ018-020-021-024>026.
STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
AKZ027.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM AKST MONDAY
FOR AKZ017-019-022.
STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM AKST MONDAY FOR
AKZ023.
STRONG WIND FROM 3 AM AKST MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
AKZ028.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-035-036-041>043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-031>034-053.
&&
EAL/MMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 27, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 15 hr | |
| Nov 27, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 15 hr | |
| Nov 27, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 31 hr | |
| Nov 27, 9:50 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 6 hr | |
| Nov 28, 12:30 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 16 hr | |
| Nov 28, 12:35 AM AKST | Hurricane Force Wind Warning | AJK | 3 hr | |
| Nov 28, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 19 hr | |
| Nov 28, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 28, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 28, 7:02 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 45 hr | |
| Nov 28, 7:09 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 21 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.