Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2011
Storm Warning 52, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Sep 29, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 29, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 30, 2011, 2:15 AM AKDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
079 FZAK51 PAJK 292332 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-301400- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 991 MB STORM FORCE LOW WEST OF HAIDA GWAII WILL TRACK NORTH AND CROSS THE OUTER COAST NEAR CAPE DECISION OVERNIGHT. IT WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT CONTINUES TO THE NORTHEAST INTO CANADA. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA ON FRIDAY. $$ PKZ011-301400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ012-301400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ013-301400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ021-301400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-301400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-301400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-301400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-301400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT...BECOMING W AND DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-301400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-301400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-301400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE EVENING....THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE STRONGEST WINDS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
142 FZAK51 PAJK 300136 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-301400- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 991 MB STORM FORCE LOW WEST OF HAIDA GWAII WILL TRACK NORTH AND CROSS THE OUTER COAST NEAR CAPE DECISION OVERNIGHT. IT WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT CONTINUES TO THE NORTHEAST INTO CANADA. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA ON FRIDAY. $$ PKZ011-301400- GLACIER BAY- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ012-301400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ013-301400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ021-301400- ICY STRAIT- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-301400- CROSS SOUND- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-301400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-301400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-301400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT...BECOMING W AND DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-301400- FREDERICK SOUND- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-301400- SUMNER STRAIT- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-301400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 535 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE EVENING....THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE STRONGEST WINDS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
749 FZAK51 PAJK 300344 AAB CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-301400- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 991 MB STORM FORCE LOW WEST OF HAIDA GWAII WILL TRACK NORTH AND CROSS THE OUTER COAST NEAR CAPE DECISION OVERNIGHT. IT WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT CONTINUES TO THE NORTHEAST INTO CANADA. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA ON FRIDAY. $$ PKZ011-301400- GLACIER BAY- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ012-301400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ013-301400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ021-301400- ICY STRAIT- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-301400- CROSS SOUND- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-301400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-301400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-301400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT...BECOMING W AND DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-301400- FREDERICK SOUND- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-301400- SUMNER STRAIT- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-301400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 743 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 75 KT....DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE STRONGEST WINDS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
885 FZAK51 PAJK 300536 AAC CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-301400- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 991 MB STORM FORCE LOW WEST OF HAIDA GWAII WILL TRACK NORTH AND CROSS THE OUTER COAST NEAR CAPE DECISION OVERNIGHT. IT WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT CONTINUES TO THE NORTHEAST INTO CANADA. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA ON FRIDAY. $$ PKZ011-301400- GLACIER BAY- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ012-301400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ013-301400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ021-301400- ICY STRAIT- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-301400- CROSS SOUND- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-301400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-301400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-301400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT...BECOMING W AND DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-301400- FREDERICK SOUND- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-301400- SUMNER STRAIT- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-301400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 75 KT....DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE STRONGEST WINDS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
075 FZAK51 PAJK 301018 AAD CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 215 AM AKDT FRI SEP 30 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-301400- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 991 MB STORM FORCE LOW WEST OF HAIDA GWAII WILL TRACK NORTH AND CROSS THE OUTER COAST NEAR CAPE DECISION OVERNIGHT. IT WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT CONTINUES TO THE NORTHEAST INTO CANADA. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA ON FRIDAY. $$ PKZ011-301400- GLACIER BAY- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ012-301400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ013-301400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ021-301400- ICY STRAIT- 215 AM AKDT FRI SEP 30 2011 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-301400- CROSS SOUND- 215 AM AKDT FRI SEP 30 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-301400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-301400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-301400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT...BECOMING W AND DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-301400- FREDERICK SOUND- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-301400- SUMNER STRAIT- 934 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-301400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 215 AM AKDT FRI SEP 30 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT...STRONGEST WINDS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Sep 29, 2:12 PM AKDT, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 29, 2:12 PM AKDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
212 PM AKDT THU SEP 29 2011
.SHORT TERM...STRONG WINDS AND SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ARE THE MAIN FEATURES OF THE SHORT TERM FORECAST THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A 991 MB GALE FORCE LOW IMMEDIATELY WEST OF
HAIDA GWAII IS TRACKING RAPIDLY TO THE NORTH AND IS FORECAST TO
MAKE LANDFALL LATE THIS EVENING VICINITY CAPE DECISION.
ASSOCIATED WINDS ARE ALREADY RAMPING UP OVER THE SOUTHERN PUBLIC
ZONES AS WELL AS THE INNER CHANNELS AND SOUTHERN COASTAL MARINE
ZONES. UPSTREAM SYNOPTIC DATA HAS SHOWN THIS STORM CAPABLE OF
SUSTAINED 40 KTS OF WIND. BELIEVE IT WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN,
ALBEIT ONLY FOR A SHORT WHILE LONGER, IN THE LEFT DIVERGENT
QUADRANT OF A 140 KT JET MAXIMA, SO HAVE FORECAST A MAXIMUM OF
50 KTS OVER WATER TONIGHT OVER THE SOUTHERN ENTRANCE REGION OF
CLARENCE STRAIT. DO NOT FEEL THE LOW HAS GOT QUITE ENOUGH
STRENGTH TO PRODUCE HIGH WIND GUSTS, SO HAVE NOT ISSUED ANY HIGH
WIND WARNINGS WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST. 850 MB LOW LEVEL JET
IS MAXING OUT AT AROUND 65 KTS EARLY TONIGHT, SO AM EXPECTING
AROUND 50 MPH GUSTS OVER LAND, WHICH ACCOUNTS FOR THE CIRCULATION
AROUND THE STORM AS WELL AS THE SPEED OF ADVANCE OF THE LOW
ITSELF. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FORWARD QUADRANT AND
WILL HIT PUBLIC ZONE 27 THE HARDEST, FOLLOWED BY ZONE 28. WINDS
WILL CHANGE DIRECTION RAPIDLY TONIGHT, AS THEY HAVE WITH SIMILAR
COMPACT, FAST MOVING SYSTEMS WE HAVE SEEN OVER THE PAST FEW
WEEKS. EXPECT STRONGEST WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH LATE
THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY A BRIEF LULL, AND THEN AN INCREASE OUT
OF THE SOUTHWEST AS THE STORM TRACKS OVERLAND. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH RAPIDLY LATE TONIGHT AS THE STORM WEAKENS AND TRACKS
INTO CANADA.
HAVE RAIN TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY SHOWERS TOMORROW. SOME COLD AIR
AND SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY BEHIND THE LOW HAVE PROMPTED THE
INCLUSION OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
MARINE ZONES AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS
AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE DIXON ENTRANCE FOR TOMORROW. STOPPED
SHORT OF INCLUDING THUNDERSTORMS FOR OVERLAND ZONE 26 TOMORROW
AFTERNOON, SINCE RARELY DOES SUCH CONVECTION MAKE IT THAT FAR
INLAND BUT THAT WILL BE A PLACE TO WATCH CLOSELY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES DUE TO WIND, GALES, AND STORM WARNINGS
LIMITED TO SOUTHERN WATERS FROM CAPE EDGECUMBE SOUTH ON THE
OUTSIDE, AND SOUTHERN CHATHAM, SUMNER, AND CLARENCE STRAIT IN THE
INSIDE. DO NOT FEEL THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH
ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE STORM TO PRODUCE SMALL CRAFT WINDS
OVER FREDERICK SOUND. FARTHER NORTH, NORTHERN LYNN CANAL IS
ALREADY RESPONDING TO THE NORTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT AND AS OF
THIS AFTERNOON, HAVE 20 KTS THERE. HAVE NOT INCLUDED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN LYNN FOR THIS EVENING. ONCE THE LOW
HAS PASSED AND THE SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS IN TOMORROW, EXPECT WINDS
TO SHIFT OVER THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS AND LOOK FOR SMALL
CRAFT SOUTHERLIES OVER NORTHERN LYNN CANAL BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
USED A BLEND OF ECMWF AND GFS FOR PRESSURE AND WINDS. FELT NAM
WAS TRACKING THE SYSTEM TOO FAST AD TOO FAR EAST. BLENDED GFS AND
NAM TO EXISTING POP FIELD AND HAVE INCLUDED AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN
FOR TONIGHT. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE.
&&
.LONG TERM...LONG RANGE FORECAST IS LOOKING RATHER QUIET INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A BUILDING RIDGE FRIDAY NIGHT OVER THE PANHANDLE
WILL BE THE MAIN CULPRIT AS IT KEEPS MOST OF THE ADVANCING STORMS
OUT OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF. WHAT WE'RE LEFT WITH IS
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS LINGERING INTO SAT PARTICULARLY ALONG THE
COAST MOUNTAINS AS WEAK ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. BY EARLY SUNDAY
THAT FLOW SWITCHES AROUND TO AN E OR SE FLOW AND WILL HELP TO DRY
OUT AND PARTLY CLEAR OUT THE PANHANDLE FOR SUN INTO EARLY MONDAY.
WITH THE CLEARING SKIES SUNDAY AND THE LENGTHENING NIGHTS OF
FALL, SUNDAY MORNING AND SUNDAY NIGHT ARE LOOKING LIKE THEY MIGHT
GET SOMEWHAT COLD PARTICULARLY IN AREAS AWAY FROM THE WARM WATERS
OF THE CHANNELS. FROST MIGHT BE A POSSIBILITY IN SOME NORTHERN
PANHANDLE AREAS AND FOG MIGHT ALSO BE A POSSIBILITY WITH THE
LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE STILL IN THE AREA.
BY MONDAY, CLOUDS AND RAIN START MOVING NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE AS A NEW SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD OUT OF THE EAST
PACIFIC. IT IS HERE THAT THE MODEL AGREEMENT STARTS BREAKING DOWN
AS THEY CAN'T QUITE DECIDE WHAT TO DO WITH THAT SYSTEM. THEY ALL
GENERALLY KEEP IT SOUTH OF THE AREA WITH RAIN BANDS AFFECTING
MOST OF THE PANHANDLE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE FAR NORTHERN
AREAS AND YAKUTAT, BUT THAT IS ABOUT ALL THEY AGREE ON. THE EC IS
FAVORING MERGING THE SYSTEM WITH A BROADER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
BY TUES WHILE THE GFS MOSTLY RETAINS THE IDENTITY OF THE SYSTEM
AS OTHER SHORT WAVES MOVE AROUND IT TO THE SOUTH. NEXT THURSDAY
THERE APPEARS TO BE ANOTHER RIDGE MOVING IN AS WE GET ANOTHER
BRIEF DRY SPELL.
MODEL AGREEMENT IS DECENT THROUGH SUN THEN STARTS BREAKING
APART. FROM THAT POINT ON IT LOOKS LIKE THE NAM IS A BIT OF AN
OUTLIER. DECIDED TO UPDATE THE FORECAST WITH A NAM/EC BLEND UP TO
THE POINT THAT THE MODEL DIVERGE ON SUN, THEN CONTINUE ON WITH
GFS/EC INCORPORATING HPC INTO THE MIX FARTHER OUT. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE OUT TO SUN THEN BECOMES AVERAGE TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE AFTER SUN.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR AKZ027.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 1 AM AKDT FRIDAY FOR AKZ028.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ029.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ036.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041-042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-033-035-043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ051-052.
&&
FRITSCH/EALThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Sep 29, 5:35 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 hr | |
| Sep 29, 7:30 PM AKDT | High Wind Warning | AJK | 9 hr | |
| Sep 29, 7:43 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 8 hr | |
| Sep 30, 2:15 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 38 hr | |
| Sep 30, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 days | |
| Sep 30, 8:01 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 26 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.