Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Fairbanks, AK

288 
WWAK63 PAFG 102206
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
206 PM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WIND FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL INTERIOR...

AKZ223-110300-
/X.EXT.PAFG.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110511T0300Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
206 PM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WIND...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING. 

DISCUSSION...LOCAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS OCCURRING NEAR DELTA
JUNCTION THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS GUSTING OVER 25 MPH DUE TO A FRONT
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. RHS AT OR BELOW 30 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING WITH
THE TEMPERATURE DROPPING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

725 
WWAK63 PAFG 110249
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
649 PM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR
STRONG WIND FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL INTERIOR...

AKZ223-110400-
/X.EXP.PAFG.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110511T0300Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
649 PM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR
STRONG WIND...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

DISCUSSION...THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE BEGINNING TO SLOWLY
RECOVER EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE TEMPERATURE BEGINS TO FALL.
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT DELTA JUNCTION INCREASED FROM 
24 PERCENT AT 4 PM TO 32 PERCENT AT 6 PM.  WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 
30 MPH ARE STILL EXPECTED THIS EVENING. 

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
211 AM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN NEARLY LOCK STEP THROUGH NEARLY 60 HOURS. COLD UPPER
LEVEL LOW 400 NM NORTHWEST OF WRANGELL ISLAND WILL RETROGRADE AND
CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST. VERY COLD AIR WITH THIS LOW WILL
REMAIN WITH THE COLD LOW FOR THE MOST PART. SOME COOLER AIR WILL
SPILL SOUTHWARD TO THE WEST COAST BEFORE MOVING EASTWARD BUT WELL
MODIFIED.

LARGE UPPER BUILDING RIDGE IN THE BERING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
NORTH AND MOVE EASTWARD AT A VERY SLOW PACE. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
AXIS WILL SOMEWHERE FROM ABOUT COLD BAY TO GALENA TO NUIQSUT BY
THU AFTERNOON. BY THIS TIME FRAME THE WARM AIR WILL HAVE FULLY
ENGULFED ALL OF NORTHERN ALASKA.

CURRENTLY...MINIMUM BRISK WIND ADVISORY OVER MARINE ZONE 210 WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND THEN EXPAND TO A GALE ON THU WITH THE
BUILDING RIDGE MOVING EAST.

THE SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTHWEST
OF WRANGELL ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THROUGH TODAY. THE
COLDEST AIR WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL INTERIOR ON WED. THIS
MAY BE PRECEDED BY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS. HOWEVER...GIVEN HOW
DRY THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE CURRENTLY IS..NOT MUCH PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE GROUND.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO BE LOWER THAN 40 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL INTERIOR TODAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT
AND WILL REMAIN STRONGER AFTER THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
CURRENTLY...NO EXTREME WARM TEMPERATURES ARE GOING TO BE FELT IN
THE NORTHERN INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS SO BREAK UP SHOULD
CONTINUE TO BE ANTI- CLIMATIC FOR MOST AREAS. AS A SIDE NOTE
THOUGH...THERE IS A FLOOD WARNING FOR CROOKED CREEK IN THE LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY IN ZONE 152 THAT INCLUDES ANIAK AND SLEETMUTE.
THE AREA IS NOT IN NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST AREA THOUGH.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

CF MAY 11