Hurricane Force Wind Warning 27, NWS Anchorage, AK

785 
FZAK52 PAFC 080020 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

CORRECTED ZONE 179

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-081500-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 973 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 350 NM NORTHWEST OF
ST PAUL TUE AFTERNOON AT 947 MB. THIS LOW MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AT
945 MB AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH TO 200 NM NORTHWEST OF GAMBELL
WED MORNING. 

$$

PKZ150-081500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT
NEAR THE COAST. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING NEAR THE COAST. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-081500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 12
FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-081500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-081500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM PORT MOLLER
E...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT
MOLLER E...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-081500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO SE 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 28 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 65 KT. SEAS 35 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-081500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 30 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
31 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-081500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY LATE EVENING. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-081500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. E OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 65 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 35 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-081500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 65 KT DIMINISHING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
38 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-081500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 65 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 34 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 65 KT BECOMING W 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 38 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-081500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 55 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 38 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 70 KT. SEAS 40 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 35 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-081500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 32 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
35 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

350 
FZAK52 PAFC 081243
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-090300-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 962 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF ATTU INTENSIFIES TO 945 MB TUE NIGHT 100
NM WEST OF GAMBELL AND THEN MOVES INTO EASTERN RUSSIA. HIGH PRESSURE
THEN BUILDS INTO THE BERING THROUGH WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-090300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE MORNING NEAR THE COAST.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-090300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-090300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-090300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-090300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 65 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
NUNIVAK ISLAND...S WIND 65 KT. SEAS 35 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-090300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT. FROM UNALASKA E...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO
50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 30 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
31 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-090300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-090300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 65 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 35 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-090300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 65 KT DIMINISHING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
38 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-090300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 65 KT BECOMING W 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT BUILDING TO 38 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-090300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 38 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 70 KT. SEAS 40 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 36 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-090300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
35 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

322 
FZAK52 PAFC 090013
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091500-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 945 MB LOW 420 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND MOVES TO 150 NM
NORTHEAST OF GAMBELL AT 943 MB TUE NIGHT AND THEN MOVES INTO THE
CHUKCHI SEA. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS INTO THE BERING THROUGH WED
NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ150-091500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 
FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-091500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT DURING THE EVENING. 
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-091500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-091500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-091500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 60 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
NUNIVAK ISLAND...S WIND 65 KT DIMINISHING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 31 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT EXCEPT SW 45 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS
26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-091500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
25 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-091500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-091500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
22 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-091500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-091500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-091500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 70 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 40 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 35 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
30 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-091500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO S 45 KT BY LATE EVENING. 
SEAS 35 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED AND PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES WITH ONE TROUGH
AXIS OVER CENTRAL ALASKA WITH TWO DISTINCT SURFACE LOWS ASSOCIATED
WITH IT. HIGH PRESSURE IS BRIEFLY IN CONTROL OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA
AHEAD OF THE MAJOR DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM THAT IS TAKING SHAPE OVER
THE NORTH PACIFIC THIS AFTERNOON.

AS A RESULT OF THE COLD AIR ADVECTING THROUGH THE ALASKA AND CHUGACH
RANGES...LEE-SIDE CYCLOGENESIS IS NOW EVIDENT NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND. A 993 MB LOW QUICKLY DEVELOPED THIS MORNING WHICH IS HELPING
TO FURTHER ENHANCE PRECIPITATION AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL AK. ANOTHER LOW
ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROF NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL
INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHEAST GULF.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS DOING AN EXCELLENT JOB CONSIDERING THE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN.
HAVE BEEN VERY PLEASED WITH THE CONSISTENCY FROM RUN TO RUN REGARDING
THE VERY STRONG OUT WEST...ALLOWING MAXIMUM LEAD TIME ON THE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS. OVERALL...ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE SHORT TERM AND NO
CHANGES TO THE MEDIUM AND LONG RANGE FORECAST AS WE CONCENTRATE OUR
EFFORTS ON THE MAJOR STORM OUT WEST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE DYNAMICS HAVE
SHIFTED EAST. IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH SURFACE
CONVERGENCE LED TO ONE LAST HEAVY SNOW BAND THAT HIT THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL DURING RUSH HOUR THIS MORNING. ONLY EXPECTING FLURRIES OR LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY ALONG THE MOUNTAINS OVER NIGHT AS THE NEWLY
DEVELOPED LOW WEAKENS AND DRIFTS SOUTHEAST.

THIS LOW WILL MERGE WITH THE SECONDARY LOW SOUTH OF THE AKPEN AND
INTENSIFY IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS NEW
DEVELOPMENT WILL STRENGTHEN THE GRADIENT ALONG THE GULF
COAST...LEADING TO STRONG WINDS THROUGH THE NORMAL CHANNELED TERRAIN.
RECENT SNOWFALL THROUGH THOMPSON PASS COULD BE PICKED UP AND BLOWN
LEADING TO A GROUND BLIZZARD AS THE WINDS INCREASE EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING.

FAIR WEATHER BUILDS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL TUESDAY THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE
AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THE GRADIENT ALONG THE GULF COAST
WEAKENS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN INCREASING CLOUDS WITH THE NEXT
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

SOUTHWEST...
ATTENTION TURNS OUT WEST WITH THE VERY STRONG LOW TO DEVELOP TONIGHT
AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING. WIDESPREAD HURRICANE FORCE WIND
WARNINGS AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR THE MAJORITY OF
THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN RANGE. WHILE THE MAJORITY OF THE IMPACTS
IN OUR DOMAIN WILL BE WIND RELATED...A BLIZZARD WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN
POSTED FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN JUST
COOL ENOUGH TO SUPPORT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. A CHALLENGE HAS BEEN
EXPECTED WINDS ALONG THE COAST WITH 80 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE DELTA IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DIMINISH TUESDAY EVENING ONCE WARMER
AIR ARRIVES ONSHORE...BUT THE 80 MPH GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT.

ANOTHER CONSIDERATION FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA HAS BEEN THE THREAT FOR
COASTAL FLOODING...BEACH EROSION...OR AT THE MINIMUM HIGH SURF. AT
THIS POINT...ALL MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THERE WILL NOT BE ANY
SIGNIFICANT HIGH SURF AND THEREFORE NO COASTAL FLOODING. WILL
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR AS THE STORM DEVELOPS TONIGHT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING...187 191 195
         BLIZZARD WARNING...131 155
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...172 175 176 179 180 185 411
          412 413 414
         STORM WARNING...165 170
         GALE WARNING...120 127 129 130 132 138 150 155 160 171
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AB NOV 11