Gale Warning 87, NWS Anchorage, AK

255 
FZAK51 PAFC 190029
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE NIGHT AND OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF WED. A 993 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 125 NM EAST OF
KODIAK CITY AND MOVE INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT THU MORNING AT 996 MB.
$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF 
CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO NE 45 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT
LATE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...E
WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 50 KT EXCEPT N 30 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

JAM JAN 11

566 
FZAK51 PAFC 191234
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
400 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON...AND OVER THE EASTERN GULF COAST
TONIGHT. A 993 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 160 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY TODAY
AND MOVE INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT THURSDAY MORNING AT 994 MB. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THURSDAY.

$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRING WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE THIS MORNING. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E TO NE WIND INCREASING TO 55 KT THIS MORNING. WINDS
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT EXCEPT 11 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT INCREASING 50 KT BY AFTERNOON EXCEPT N 25 KT N
OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...VERY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS REMAINS
ANCHORED OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WHILE AN IMPRESSIVE
935 MB LOW SPINS SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE OCCLUDED FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MASSIVE LOW IS BRINGING HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS TO
MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN CHAIN.

SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS BRINGING SOME
MOISTURE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST. WITH TEMPERATURES SO COLD...IT IS
NOT TAKING MUCH LIFT TO SQUEEZE OUT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE KENAI
PENINSULA. THIS AREA OF MOISTURE AND VERTICAL MOTION WILL SLOWLY
TRANSITION EAST TOWARD PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND OVERNIGHT.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...ALL MODELS DISPLAYING SIMILAR SYNOPTIC PATTERN
EVOLVING OVER THE NEXT 84 HOURS. THE CHALLENGE WILL BE FINE TUNING
THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE WAVES EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW AROUND THE
LOW IN THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. THE GLOBAL MODELS SEEM TO BE IN BETTER
AGREEMENT OF THE STRENGTH OF THE JET WHILE THE NAM IS WEAKER AND THUS
SLOWER ON THE ARRIVAL OF MOISTURE WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE WAS WEIGHTED HEAVILY TOWARD THE 12Z GFS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND THEN LINGER AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND OVERNIGHT. DRY
AIR WILL QUICKLY FILTER BACK OVER THE REGION TONIGHT. THE AIRMASS IS
MODIFYING SLOWLY BUT THE CLEARING SKIES AND CALM WINDS WILL AGAIN
HELP TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL. A
TRANSIENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONT WILL ARRIVE OVER SOUTHCENTRAL TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW AND WARM AIR OVERRUNNING THE ARCTIC AIRMASS LENDS ITSELF TO
LIGHT SNOW SPREADING ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA UP TO THE SUSITNA
VALLEY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS AN
OCCLUDED LOW DEVELOPS NEAR KODIAK ISLAND WEDNESDAY AND RAPIDLY MOVES
INLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT EAST OF CORDOVA. THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM WILL
HELP LIMIT SNOWFALL TOTALS INITIALLY ALTHOUGH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
REMAINS IN PLACE THE REST OF THE WEEK...SO MORE SNOW IS LIKELY AS
ADDITIONAL WAVES DEVELOP AND FOLLOW A SIMILAR PATH.

KODIAK ISLAND...SOMETHING WE WILL HAVE TO CONSIDER IS THE IMPACT OF
THIS STORM ON KODIAK ISLAND. A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW FELL
RECENTLY WITH 17 INCHES CURRENTLY REPORTED ON THE GROUND. AS THE
FRONT APPROACHES...PRECIPITATION WILL INITIALLY FALL AS SNOW BUT
QUICKLY TRANSITION TO RAIN. THE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT A
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAIN SHOULD FALL WITH THIS FRONT...AS MUCH ONE
INCH. THIS COULD LEAD TO LOCAL FLOODING PROBLEMS BETWEEN THE NEW RAIN
AND MELTING SNOW.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND BERING SEA...CLEAR AND COLD WEATHER PERSISTS
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AGAIN WITH TEMPERATURES 10 TO 20 BELOW NORMAL.
HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARRIVE TUESDAY WITH PRECIPITATION NOT TOO
FAR BEHIND...ARRIVING IN BRISTOL BAY TUESDAY EVENING AND SPREADING
INLAND OVERNIGHT. MOST AREAS WILL SEE SNOW BUT WE WILL START
ADVERTISING THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN AS WARM AIR OVERRUNS THE
COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS IN PLACE. THE CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN DOES NOT
LAST LONG AS THE OCCLUSION DEVELOPS NEAR KODIAK AND COLD AIR FILTERS
BACK ACROSS THE AREA AT ALL LEVELS. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOULD LAST
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING WITH ONLY A BRIEF BREAK BEFORE THE NEXT
SYSTEM APPROACHES BY THE WEEKEND.

THE CAUSE OF THIS ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS WAY OUT WEST...THE 935 MB
LOW SOUTH OF SHEMYA. WARNING LEVEL WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS WHILE THE FRONT
APPROACHES THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS DO NOT SEEM
OVERLY IMPRESSIVE LATER TONIGHT WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALTHOUGH
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT DOES...WITH 70 KT WINDS PROJECTED AT JUST 2000
FEET OFF THE SURFACE.

WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISH AS THE FRONT MOVES NORTH AND EAST AND THE
PARENT LOW FILLS. CONDITIONS BECOME MORE BENIGN THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK AS THE ACTION SHIFTS EAST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 185
         BLIZZARD WATCH 195
MARINE...STORM WARNING: 170 172
         GALE WARNINGS: 130 132 138 140 150 155 160 165 171 175 176
                        179 181
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNINGS: 121 127 128 129 140
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AB JAN 11