Alert archive / New Mexico / Red Flag Warnings in 2011

Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Albuquerque, NM

February 24, 2011Harding County, San Miguel County, Union County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this red flag warning at Feb 24, 2011, 2:55 PM MST for Harding County, San Miguel County, Union County, New Mexico. It took effect at Feb 25, 2011, 11:00 AM MST. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 24, 2011, 2:55 PM MST (21:55 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 25, 2011, 11:00 AM MST
Expired
Feb 25, 2011, 7:00 PM MST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM

Counties Harding County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-02-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-02-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3506 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
81 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

617 
WWUS85 KABQ 242155
RFWABQ

FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
255 PM MST THU FEB 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST TODAY FOR 
THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM FRIDAY FOR EAST
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TO THE TEXAS STATE LINE DUE TO STRONG
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM SATURDAY FOR THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...PORTIONS OF THE WEST CENTRAL
AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK AND THE ENTIRE
EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT LATE SUN DAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS
AND LOW HUMIDITY...

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PERIOD EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SATURDAY WILL LIKELY BRING THE MOST WIDESPREAD OCCURRENCE OF
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...COVERING MOST OF CENTRAL...
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA.

WEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH...GUSTING TO 50
MPH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM CLINES CORNERS TO TUCUMCARI. THE LOWEST 
HUMIDITY WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS WITH
SINGLE DIGIT VALUES. CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE
ENTIRE EASTERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY AS THE FLOW ALOFT REMAINS STRONG.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREE ABOVE NORMAL. 

THE MOST INTENSE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY APPEARS TO BE ON
SATURDAY. STRONG WINDS ALOFT...COMBINED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES...
ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A VERY STRONG DRY
SLOT ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY. THIS EFFECTS AREAS SUCH AS THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY WHICH HAVE NOT SEEN THESE TYPES OF CONDITIONS SO
FAR THIS WINTER. 

NMZ108-250200-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0005.110225T1800Z-110226T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0007.110225T1800Z-110226T0200Z/
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0006.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0007.110227T1800Z-110228T0100Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110225T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
255 PM MST THU FEB 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CONTINUED THE RED
FLAG WARNING THROUGH 7 PM MST THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED FRIDAY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST. A
RED FLAG WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY. IN ADDITION...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
SUNDAY LATE MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS 
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH. STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY 
  AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT MINIMUM HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 5 AND 13 
  PERCENT. 

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS EACH DAY WILL TYPICALLY 
  BE FOUND BETWEEN 1 TO 5 PM MST ALTHOUGH THE LONGEST CRITICAL 
  PERIOD IS LIKELY TO BE ON SATURDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103-104-107-250200-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0005.110225T1800Z-110226T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0007.110225T1800Z-110226T0200Z/
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0006.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
255 PM MST THU FEB 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST FRIDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS 
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH LIKELY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS EACH DAY WILL TYPICALLY 
  BE FOUND BETWEEN 1 TO 5 PM MST ALTHOUGH THE LONGEST CRITICAL 
  PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO BE SATURDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ106-109-250200-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0006.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
255 PM MST THU FEB 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS 
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH LIKELY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 6 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND BETWEEN 1 
  TO 5 PM MST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

40
3 follow-up statements
262 
WWUS85 KABQ 250142 AAA
RFWABQ

FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
642 PM MST THU FEB 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM FRIDAY
FOR EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TO THE TEXAS STATE LINE DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM SATURDAY
FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...PORTIONS OF THE WEST
CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK AND THE
ENTIRE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PERIOD EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SATURDAY WILL LIKELY BRING THE MOST WIDESPREAD OCCURRENCE OF
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...COVERING MOST OF CENTRAL...
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA.

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH 
FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM CLINES CORNERS TO TUCUMCARI. THE LOWEST
HUMIDITY WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS WITH
SINGLE DIGIT VALUES. CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE
ENTIRE EASTERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY AS THE FLOW ALOFT REMAINS STRONG.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

THE MOST INTENSE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY APPEARS TO BE ON
SATURDAY. STRONG WINDS ALOFT...COMBINED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES...
ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A VERY STRONG DRY
SLOT ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY. THIS EFFECTS AREAS SUCH AS THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY WHICH HAVE NOT SEEN THESE TYPES OF CONDITIONS SO
FAR THIS WINTER.

NMZ108-251500-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110225T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0007.110225T1800Z-110226T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0007.110227T1800Z-110228T0100Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
642 PM MST THU FEB 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MST THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST FRIDAY. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS 
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH. STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY 
  AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT MINIMUM HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 5 AND 13 
  PERCENT. 

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS EACH DAY WILL TYPICALLY 
  BE FOUND BETWEEN 1 TO 5 PM MST ALTHOUGH THE LONGEST CRITICAL 
  PERIOD IS LIKELY TO BE ON SATURDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THE RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-104-107-251500-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0007.110225T1800Z-110226T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
642 PM MST THU FEB 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM
MST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS 
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH LIKELY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS EACH DAY WILL TYPICALLY 
  BE FOUND BETWEEN 1 TO 5 PM MST ALTHOUGH THE LONGEST CRITICAL 
  PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO BE SATURDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ106-109-251500-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
642 PM MST THU FEB 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS 
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH LIKELY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 6 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND BETWEEN 1 
  TO 5 PM MST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$
787 
WWUS85 KABQ 251409
RFWABQ

FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
709 AM MST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM TODAY FOR
EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TO THE TEXAS STATE LINE DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM SATURDAY
FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...PORTIONS OF THE WEST
CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK AND THE
ENTIRE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PERIOD EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SATURDAY WILL LIKELY BRING THE MOST WIDESPREAD OCCURRENCE OF
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...COVERING MOST OF CENTRAL...
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA. SUNDAY MAY 
WELL FEATURE THE STRONGEST WINDS...MAINLY EAST FROM THE SANDIA AND
MANZANO MOUNTAINS.

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND
50 MPH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS WEST TO THE EAST
SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND NEARLY THIS ENTIRE AREA
WILL EXPERIENCE CRITICAL CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

THE MOST WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY STILL LOOKS TO BE
SATURDAY. STRONG WINDS ALOFT...COMBINED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES...
ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A STRONG DRY SLOT ARE
EXPECTED SATURDAY. THIS IMPACTS AREAS SUCH AS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
WHICH HAVE NOT SEEN THESE TYPES OF CONDITIONS SO FAR THIS WINTER.

NMZ108-260200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0007.110225T1800Z-110226T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0007.110227T1800Z-110228T0100Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
709 AM MST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM MST THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH. THE MOST WIDESPREAD COVERAGE SHOULD BE
  SATURDAY...BUT THE STRONGEST WINDS MAY OCCUR SUNDAY TO THE EAST
  OF THE SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT MINIMUM HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 5 AND 13 
  PERCENT. 

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS EACH DAY WILL TYPICALLY BE
  BETWEEN 1 TO 5 PM MST ALTHOUGH THE LONGEST CRITICAL PERIOD IS
  LIKELY TO BE ON SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THE RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-104-107-260200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0007.110225T1800Z-110226T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
709 AM MST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM MST THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH LIKELY. THE MOST WIDESPREAD COVERAGE
  SHOULD BE SATURDAY...BUT THE STRONGEST WINDS MAY OCCUR SUNDAY
  TO THE EAST OF THE SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS EACH DAY WILL TYPICALLY BE
  BETWEEN 1 TO 5 PM MST ALTHOUGH THE LONGEST CRITICAL PERIOD IS
  EXPECTED TO BE SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ106-109-260200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
709 AM MST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS 
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH LIKELY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 6 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND BETWEEN 1 
  TO 5 PM MST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

43
939 
WWUS85 KABQ 260152
RFWABQ

FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
652 PM MST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM SATURDAY
FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST
MOUNTAINS AND CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK
AND THE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. SATURDAY WILL LIKELY BRING THE MOST WIDESPREAD OCCURRENCE
OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...COVERING THE SOUTHWEST
MOUNTAINS...MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND LOCALES ALONG
THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN TO THE TEXAS BORDER. 
STRONG WINDS ALOFT...COMBINED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES...AND
ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY.
THIS IMPACTS AREAS SUCH AS THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY
WHICH HAVE NOT SEEN THESE TYPES OF CONDITIONS SO FAR THIS YEAR.

SUNDAY MAY WELL FEATURE THE STRONGEST WINDS...MAINLY EAST AND
SOUTH FROM THE SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS.

NMZ108-261500-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110226T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0007.110227T1800Z-110228T0100Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
652 PM MST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MST THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS 
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH. THE MOST WIDESPREAD COVERAGE SHOULD BE 
  SATURDAY...BUT THE STRONGEST WINDS MAY OCCUR SUNDAY TO THE 
  EAST OF THE SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT MINIMUM HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 5 AND 13 
  PERCENT. 

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS EACH DAY WILL TYPICALLY 
  BE BETWEEN 1 TO 5 PM MST ALTHOUGH THE LONGEST CRITICAL PERIOD 
  IS LIKELY TO BE ON SATURDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THE RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-104-107-261500-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110226T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
652 PM MST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MST THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH LIKELY.  

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS EACH DAY WILL TYPICALLY BE
  BETWEEN 1 TO 5 PM MST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ106-109-261500-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0008.110226T1700Z-110227T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
652 PM MST FRI FEB 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS 
  BETWEEN 35 AND 50 MPH LIKELY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 6 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND BETWEEN 1 
  TO 5 PM MST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Feb 24, 3:19 AM MST, 11 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 24, 3:19 AM MST, 11 hours 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
319 AM MST THU FEB 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...
QUICK SHORTWAVE PASSING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO PROVIDING
ENOUGH MUSCLE TO TOUCH OFF SOME SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT...AS COOLER CIRCULATION BETWEEN SURFACE HIGH
OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA AND SURFACE LOW OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
OVERSPREADS THE EASTERN PLAINS. TIGHTER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS WILL SET UP WINDY AFTERNOON MAINLY SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 40...WITH ATTENDANT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AS GUSTY
WINDS HOOK UP WITH LOW HUMIDITIES.

MODELS...IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK...WITH SOME
TIMING AND PLACEMENT DIFFERENCES AND CORRESPONDINGLY REDUCED
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE LAST HALF OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
PLAUSIBLE SOLUTION MOVES SHORTWAVE EASTWARD TO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH FLOW ALOFT SHIFTING NORTHWEST AND REMAINING
BREEZY THROUGH THIS EVENING. TIGHT WEATHER SYSTEM TAKING SHAPE
OVER VANCOUVER ISLAND ON THE CANADIAN WEST COAST WILL MOVE ACROSS
SAN FRANCISCO BAY SATURDAY...WITH FLOW OVER NEW MEXICO BACKING TO
THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING SPEED. QUICK SYSTEM MOVE TO CENTRAL
ARIZONA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THENCE AN EASTWARD PUNCH ACROSS NEW
MEXICO ON SUNDAY WILL SET UP A WEEKEND WINTER WEATHER EVENT FOR
CENTRAL AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. WEATHER SYSTEM SHOULD
EJECT TO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND SET UP TRAILING
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO START MONDAY. WEAK RIDGING INTO TUESDAY
WITH BASIC ZONAL FLOW MAINTAINING THE PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
MODEL DISHARMONY EMERGING THURSDAY...WITH ECMWF COLLEAGUES DIGGING
WEAK TROUGH OVER NEW MEXICO WITH GFS KEEPING TROUGH OFFSHORE
CALIFORNIA AND MAINTAINING RIDGE OVER NEW MEXICO FOR THURSDAY. GFS
TROUGH ARRIVES OVER NEW MEXICO FRIDAY...AS ECMWF SOLUTION EJECTS
TROUGH TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS RIDGE BUILDS OVER NEW MEXICO. MAY
TAKE ANOTHER RUN OR TWO TO GET THE TIMING DOWN ON THESE FEATURES
AND WILL HOLD STEADY ON LATE WORK WEEK EXTENDED FORECAST FOR NOW.

NEAR TERM...TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...A TAD COOLER TODAY OVER
MOST SPOTS...WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING 5 DEGREES COOLER MAINLY
OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS TODAY. SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS NORTHERN HALF
OF THE STATE AND EJECT TO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE BY THIS EVENING.
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWER COVERAGE THIS MORNING MAINLY NORTH OF A GALLUP
TO SANTA FE LINE...AND ACCUMULATING SNOW CONFINED TO THE SUMMITS
AND HIGHER SLOPES. SNOW LEVELS WILL RISE DURING THE DAY...CHANGING
LIGHT SNOW TO SPRINKLES FOR MID AND LOWER SLOPES BY AFTERNOON. BIG
STORY WILL BE WIND AND HUMIDITIES MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40
FROM THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN EAST TO THE TEXAS BORDER. WILL
HOIST WIND ADVISORIES FOR THESE SPOTS TO COVER GUSTINESS THIS
AFTERNOON. LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO SET UP RED
FLAG CONDITIONS FOR THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS. A
LITTLE COOLER OVERNIGHT AS TROUGH MOVES WELL TO THE EAST AND SOME
WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW SHOWS UP AT THE SURFACE OVER THE NORTHERN END
OF THE STATE.

FOR FRIDAY...WARMING TREND PUSHING DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK
TOWARD NORMAL...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING WELL ABOVE NORMAL OVER
THE EASTERN PLAINS FOR THE LAST DAYS OF FEBRUARY. SPEEDY FLOW
ALOFT BACKING FROM NORTHWEST TO ZONAL DURING THE DAY...WITH A
QUICK BLIP SCRAPE ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS TOUCHING OFF SOME
SHOWERS NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER. DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO WILL TIGHTEN RATCHET ANOTHER CLICK ON SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT...WITH ANOTHER DAY OF ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS
LIKELY ALONG THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT EASTERN
SLOPES...EXTENDING EASTWARD ALONG THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR
TOWARD TUCUMCARI AND THE TEXAS LINE. WITH WIND AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...MORE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER ON TAP FOR THE EASTERN AND
NORTHEAST PLAINS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING THE
CALIFORNIA COAST FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BACK WINDS ALOFT TO SOUTHWEST
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT...WITH SNOW SHOWER COVERAGE EXPANDING ACROSS
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...AND SOUTHWARD ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE ACROSS INTERSTATE 40 BY DAYBREAK. ACCUMULATING SNOW MAINLY
OVER THE SAN JUANS AND HIGH PEAKS OF THE CHUSKA MOUNTAINS BY MORNING.

FOR SATURDAY...STORM CENTER MOVING SOUTHWARD UP THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY IN SOUTH CENTRAL CALIFORNIA TO CENTRAL ARIZONA BY SATURDAY
NIGHT. INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL
REINFORCE SHOWER COVERAGE NORTH AND WEST OF A GRANTS TO RATON
LINE...WITH SHOWERS SPILLING OVER INTERSTATE 40 FROM THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE WEST TO THE ARIZONA LINE. SNOW LEVELS NEAR 7000
FEET WILL DROP TO NEAR THE SURFACE OVER THE WEST SATURDAY NIGHT AS
SHOWER COVERAGE EXTENDS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
MOUNTAINS...AND EXPANDS EASTWARD ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. HEAVIEST SNOWFALLS WILL BE A COUPLE
INCHES OR BETTER OVER THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...AND ACROSS THE WEST
FACING SLOPES OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND ARIZONA BORDER
COUNTRY. LESSER AMOUNTS FURTHER EAST AND SOUTH. WILL ISSUE SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NOW TO ALERT OF POSSIBLE WEEKEND TRAVEL OR
OUTDOOR WEATHER ISSUES FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. WITH
SNOW WILL COME WIND AS WELL.. AS STRONG WINDS ALOFT AND RAPIDLY
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND STRONG
COLD FRONT BLASTS INTO THE STATE SATURDAY NIGHT. EARLY SATURDAY
ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH WILL ERODE RAPIDLY AS COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST.
WITH SATURDAY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...FIRE WEATHER ISSUES
INCREASE COVERAGE TO THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...RIO GRANDE
VALLEY...CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...AND YET ANOTHER DAY OVER THE EASTERN
AND NORTHEASTERN PLAINS.

FOR SUNDAY...STORM CENTER OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO MOVING TO TEXAS
PANHANDLE BY SUNDAY EVENING. SURFACE LOW STRENGTHENING RAPIDLY
OVER TEXAS WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER ARIZONA WILL SET UP
VERY TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT UNDER STRONG WINDS ALOFT.
WEST WINDS WILL PUSH UP TOWARD WARNING CRITERIA SPEEDS OVER THE
EASTERN PLAINS MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW IN FULL GLORY OVER THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND IN
SPOTS ALONG THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. WITH TEMPERATURES IN
DOUBLE DIGITS BELOW NORMAL FOR THE DAY...SNOW LEVELS WILL BE NEAR
SURFACE FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN END OF THE STATE...AND WILL TOUCH
THE SURFACE ONLY IN SPOTS TO THE EAST. EXPECTING AN ADDITIONAL
COUPLE OF INCHES OVER THE HIGH SPOTS WEST AND NORTH DURING THE
DAY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCH OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND
ADJACENT PLAINS BEFORE SNOW QUITS PROMPTLY BY SUNDAY EVENING. COLD
TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT NORTH AND WEST...WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST MAP AS SKIES CLEAR FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WARMING TREND PEAKING TUESDAY
AND LEVELING OFF WEDNESDAY LEAVING TEMPERATURES BROADLY ABOVE
EARLY MARCH NORMALS BY MIDWEEK WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND PRETTY
MUCH DRY UNDER WEAK RIDGE ALOFT. FIRE WOE EASING SOMEWHAT AS WIND
SPEEDS REDUCE THROUGH FIRST HALF OF WHAT IS SHAPING UP TO BE
FAIRLY BENIGN START TO UPCOMING WORK WEEK.

SHY

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BUT ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF N
CENTRAL NM WHERE MT OBSCURATIONS...LOCALIZED MVFR CIGS AND SNOW
RELATED VSBY REDUCTIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING. SANGRE
DE CRISTOS WILL EVEN SEE MORE LOCALIZED IFR CIGS AS A POSSIBILITY
THROUGH MID OR LATE MORNING BEFORE CIGS RISE SLOWLY. NOTE THAT THESE
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT ANY OF THE TERMINAL FORECAST
SITES. STRONGEST GUSTS OF WIND WILL BE FOUND ALONG AND NEAR A LINE
FROM CLINES CORNERS TO CLOVIS ON THURSDAY WITH A FEW INTRUSIONS
SOUTH INTO LINCOLN COUNTY. GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND NEARLY 45 KNOTS
WITHIN THIS AREA.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 22Z. 43

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER GROWING PERIOD STILL ON TAP FOR
SATURDAY...BUT THERE WILL VERY LIKELY BE CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS
TODAY IN THE E CENTRAL PLAINS AND FRI ACROSS MUCH OF THE E CENTRAL
PLAINS AND WEST INTO THE HIGHLANDS JUST E OF THE CENTRAL MTN CHAIN.
MID LEVEL DRY SLOT...HIGH ENOUGH LAPSE RATES...ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND STRENGTHENING WINDS ALOFT SHOULD LEAD TO THESE
CONDITIONS. SATURDAY LIKELY TO BRING THE LARGEST CRITICAL FIRE WX
COVERAGE...WITH FRI AREA INCLUDED PLUS MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND THE N GILA REGION. WATCHES AND WARNINGS CONTINUE AS
PREVIOUSLY ISSUED.

PACIFIC TROUGH ALOFT SPREADING SOME HIGHER RH AND ISOLATED TO
OCCASIONALLY SCATTERED...MOSTLY LIGHT...SNOW ACROSS N CENTRAL AND NW
NM. FEW IF ANY LOCALES WILL MANAGE WETTING AMTS OF PCPN. INCREASED
WIND SPEEDS EVEN A BIT MORE AGAIN ACROSS MUCH OF E HALF OF NM THIS
AFTN WITH THE RESULT THAT THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF ZONE 104 MAY
SEE UP TO 3 HOURS OF CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS THIS AFTN. THIS
AREA WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY TO SEE IF LONGER DURATION OR LARGER
ZONE COVERAGE MAY NECESSITATE INCLUSION OF THAT ZONE IN WARNING
TODAY...BUT FOR NOW WILL LEAVE OUT. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL TREND
SLIGHTLY HIGHER...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO ELIMINATE CRITICAL HUMIDITY
MINIMUMS IN ZONE 108. BUT LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH THERE
TO HELP ENSURE SEVERAL HOURS OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

WEATHER MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH STRENGTHENING THE UPPER LEVEL
FLOW THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE OVERALL FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL OVER THE
SOUTHWEST. HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BE POOR TO
MODERATE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD BUT GENERALLY GOOD ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST.

CONFIDENCE STILL GOOD FOR STRONGER UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER A LARGE
PORTION OF THE STATE ON FRIDAY. MODELS SHOW A FREE AIR 10000 FOOT
WIND BETWEEN 30 TO 45 MPH MUCH OF NM...MAKING FOR ANOTHER WINDY TO
VERY WINDY DAY AS THESE WINDS TO A FAIR DEGREE MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS STILL LOOK TO REACH
GENERALLY 5 TO 11 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THE DRY SLOT IS ALSO
EXPECTED TO EXPAND NORTH AND EASTWARD AND SHOULD PROVIDE SINGLE
DIGIT HUMIDITY MINIMUMS TO SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. THIS WOULD BE FOLLOWED BY POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY NIGHT.

BY SAT THE UPPER FLOW IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE SOUTHWESTERLY
AHEAD OF A VIGOROUS PACIFIC TROUGH. LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN
ACCORDINGLY AND GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 7 AND 8.5 DEGREES C BETWEEN
850 TO 500 MB...QUITE STEEP FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL
FAVORING THE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO DOWNSLOPE FLOW HEATING EFFECTS.
THIS COULD BE THE MOST EXPANSIVE CRITICAL CONDITIONS FOR THIS YEAR
SO FAR. ONE LIMITING POTENTIAL STILL LOOKS TO BE TIMING OF THE
PACIFIC TROUGH AND ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AHEAD OF IT.

IMPROVING CONDITIONS AREAWIDE SUN AS CLOUD COVER INCREASES AND
TEMPERATURES COOL. IF CRITICAL CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR...THEY WOULD
PROBABLY BE FOUND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS. BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW TO MODERATE FOR SUNDAY. MODELS STILL DEPICT SOME
WETTING PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT. LONG RANGE MODELS REMAIN DRIER AND WARMER FOR MOST OF
NEXT WEEK. VENTILATION ALSO DOES NOT LOOK TO BE TOO MUCH OF A
CONCERN FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK. THE MODELS HAVE SHOWN THIS TREND THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS.

43

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  46  26  51  30 /  10   5   5  10
DULCE...........................  43  19  45  21 /  10  10  20  20
CUBA............................  44  20  49  23 /  10   5  10  10
GALLUP..........................  44  22  48  25 /   5   5   5  10
EL MORRO........................  43  20  50  24 /   5   5   5   5
GRANTS..........................  48  21  55  23 /   5   5   5   5
QUEMADO.........................  48  23  55  24 /   0   0   0   5
GLENWOOD........................  58  26  63  25 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  38  13  42  15 /  20  10  20  20
LOS ALAMOS......................  44  25  51  28 /  10   5   5   5
PECOS...........................  46  23  50  27 /   5   0   0   5
CERRO/QUESTA....................  42  17  46  20 /  10   5   5  10
RED RIVER.......................  35  14  40  17 /  20   5   5  10
ANGEL FIRE......................  37  15  42  19 /  10   5   5  10
TAOS............................  44  21  50  23 /  10   5   5  10
MORA............................  42  20  49  25 /   5   5   5   5
ESPANOLA........................  53  22  56  25 /   5   5   5   5
SANTA FE........................  48  24  53  28 /   5   5   5   5
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  51  23  55  26 /   5   5   5   5
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  54  28  57  31 /   5   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  54  30  59  34 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  56  26  60  30 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  55  28  59  32 /   5   5   5   5
LOS LUNAS.......................  58  25  63  29 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  55  27  60  31 /   5   5   5   5
SOCORRO.........................  60  29  67  34 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  49  25  53  29 /   5   0   0   0
TIJERAS.........................  53  25  58  29 /   5   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  50  24  57  27 /   0   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  48  26  54  28 /   0   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  53  29  59  31 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  55  28  62  33 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  47  34  54  39 /   0   0   0   0
CAPULIN.........................  48  20  53  24 /   5   5   5   5
RATON...........................  52  20  56  24 /   5   5   5   5
SPRINGER........................  53  22  58  25 /   5   5   5   5
LAS VEGAS.......................  48  25  56  30 /   5   0   0   5
CLAYTON.........................  51  23  60  27 /   5   5   5   5
ROY.............................  53  26  60  29 /   5   5   5   5
CONCHAS.........................  62  31  67  34 /   5   0   0   0
SANTA ROSA......................  60  30  66  34 /   5   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  62  30  69  34 /   5   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  61  30  69  34 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  62  30  69  35 /   0   0   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  63  30  71  35 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  69  30  75  35 /   0   0   0   0
PICACHO.........................  61  30  68  38 /   0   0   0   0
ELK.............................  55  33  62  38 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103-104-107-108.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103-104-106>109.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ108.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ521>523-526-533-535>537-539.

&&

SHY/43
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 24, 5:31 AM MST, 9 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
531 AM MST THU FEB 24 2011

NMZ501>540-251300-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
531 AM MST THU FEB 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR FOR THE EASTERN
PLAINS WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. WEST NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE SPEED TO 35 MPH BY LATE MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH
DEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON FROM THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN EAST TO
THE TEXAS BORDER FROM INTERSTATE 40 SOUTHWARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN AND
NORTHEASTERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY WITH WEST WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUED LOW HUMIDITIES.

FOR SATURDAY...DANGEROUSLY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REDEVELOP
AND GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
40...AND OVER SUMMITS AND THROUGH GAPS OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS ACROSS INTERSTATE 25. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES FOR THE SOUTHWEST
MOUNTAINS...THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...AND
ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO.

SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...SNOW DEVELOPING OVER NORTHERN AND
WESTERN NEW MEXICO SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL EXPAND EAST AND SOUTH
TO THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN...AND ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. SNOW ON ROADS MAY IMPACT
TRAVEL ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH SUNDAY.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT MEASURED WIND SPEEDS...WIND
DAMAGE...OR WIND IMPACTS THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ...BY CALLING
1.888.386.7637...OR VIA AMATEUR RADIO. REPORT WILDFIRE STARTS TO
LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR EMERGENCY DISPATCHERS.

SHY

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 24, 1:28 PM MST, 1 hour 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
128 PM MST THU FEB 24 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0358 AM     SNOW             4 NNW TRES RITOS        36.18N 105.55W
02/24/2011  E1.0 INCH        TAOS               NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            GALLEGOS PEAK SNOTEL.

0512 AM     SNOW             8 SSW RED RIVER         36.59N 105.45W
02/24/2011  M2.0 INCH        TAOS               NM   PUBLIC

            TAOS SKI AREA.

0534 AM     SNOW             3 E RED RIVER           36.70N 105.35W
02/24/2011  M3.0 INCH        TAOS               NM   PUBLIC

            ENCHANTED FORECAST SKI AREA.

0614 AM     SNOW             8 SSW RED RIVER         36.59N 105.45W
02/24/2011  M4.0 INCH        TAOS               NM   PUBLIC

            TAOS SKI AREA.

0627 AM     SNOW             3 NW TRES RITOS         36.16N 105.55W
02/24/2011  M6.0 INCH        TAOS               NM   PUBLIC

            SIPAPU SKI AREA.

0700 AM     SNOW             12 NNW JEMEZ SPRINGS    35.95N 106.75W
02/24/2011  M2.0 INCH        SANDOVAL           NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM     SNOW             EAGLE NEST              36.56N 105.26W
02/24/2011  M1.0 INCH        COLFAX             NM   CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM     SNOW             15 SW COYOTE            36.02N 106.80W
02/24/2011  E2.0 INCH        RIO ARRIBA         NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            VACAS LOCAS SNOTEL.

0716 AM     SNOW             RED RIVER               36.71N 105.42W
02/24/2011  M7.0 INCH        TAOS               NM   PUBLIC

            RED RIVER SKI AREA.

0750 AM     SNOW             3 NW SANTA FE           35.71N 105.99W
02/24/2011  M1.1 INCH        SANTA FE           NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM     SNOW             CHAMA                   36.89N 106.58W
02/24/2011  M1.0 INCH        RIO ARRIBA         NM   CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM     SNOW             11 NNW CANON PLAZA      36.70N 106.25W
02/24/2011  E4.0 INCH        RIO ARRIBA         NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            HOPEWELL SNOTEL.

0904 AM     SNOW             3 ESE ANGEL FIRE        36.38N 105.24W
02/24/2011  M5.0 INCH        COLFAX             NM   PUBLIC

            ANGEL FIRE SKI AREA.

0915 AM     SNOW             2 SSE TAOS              36.36N 105.57W
02/24/2011  M1.2 INCH        TAOS               NM   PUBLIC

1000 AM     SNOW             8 E TESUQUE             35.76N 105.78W
02/24/2011  E3.0 INCH        SANTA FE           NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            SANTA FE SNOTEL.

1100 AM     SNOW             TRES RITOS              36.13N 105.52W
02/24/2011  E3.0 INCH        TAOS               NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            TRES RITOS SNOTEL.

1100 AM     SNOW             4 NNW TRES RITOS        36.18N 105.55W
02/24/2011  E5.0 INCH        TAOS               NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            GALLEGOS PEAK SNOTEL.

1200 PM     SNOW             8 NE ARROYO SECO        36.58N 105.45W
02/24/2011  E4.0 INCH        TAOS               NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            TAOS POWDERHORN SNOTEL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1100676 ABQ1100677 ABQ1100678 ABQ1100679 ABQ1100680
ABQ1100675 ABQ1100681 ABQ1100682 ABQ1100683 ABQ1100684 ABQ1100685
ABQ1100686 ABQ1100687 ABQ1100688 ABQ1100689 ABQ1100690 ABQ1100691
ABQ1100692

50

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 3:39 AM MSTWind AdvisoryABQ14 hr
Feb 24, 2:55 PM MSTFire Weather WatchABQ49 hr
Feb 24, 2:55 PM MSTRed Flag WarningABQBernalillo, Catron, Harding, Sandoval, San Miguel, Socorro and 2 more53 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.