Storm Warning 1, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

243 
WHUS71 KPHI 052031
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
331 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

ANZ430-450-451-061100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0004.100206T0000Z-100207T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
331 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
EST SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY NIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM GEORGIA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
OFF THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND THEN HEAD
SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS AND
BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WIND GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY
EVENING BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-452>455-061100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SR.W.0001.100206T0000Z-100207T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
331 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
EST SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY NIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM GEORGIA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
OFF THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND THEN HEAD
SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS AND
BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING.  WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 50 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$


TFG

146 
WHUS71 KPHI 060235
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
935 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

ANZ430-450-451-061100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100207T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
935 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY
NIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT.

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE CAROLINAS IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE OFF THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND THEN
HEAD SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WIND GUSTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY
EVENING BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-452>455-061100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100207T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
935 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY
NIGHT...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT.

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE CAROLINAS IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE OFF THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND THEN
HEAD SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING. WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 50 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

812 
WHUS71 KPHI 060910
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
410 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

ANZ430-450-451-062200-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100207T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
410 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE CAROLINAS IS
EXPECTED TO HEAD SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.
WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 45 KNOTS BEFORE SLOWLY
DECREASING LATER TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-452>455-062200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100207T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
410 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE CAROLINAS IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 50 KNOTS BEFORE DECREASING LATE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

817 
WHUS71 KPHI 061507
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1007 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

ANZ430-450-451-062200-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100207T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
1007 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE DELMARVA COAST WILL MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD AND OUT TO SEA THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL
PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 45 KNOTS BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING
LATER TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-452>455-062200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100207T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1007 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE DELMARVA COAST WILL MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD AND OUT TO SEA THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL
PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 50 KNOTS BEFORE DECREASING LATE
TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

GORSE

217 
WHUS71 KPHI 062042
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
342 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

ANZ431-452>455-070500-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100207T0500Z/
/O.EXA.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100207T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
342 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

AN INTENSE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE DELMARVA COAST WILL MOVE
OUT TO SEA THROUGH TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS TO 45 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING. THE SEAS WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-450-451-070500-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100207T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
342 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

AN INTENSE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE DELMARVA COAST WILL MOVE
OUT TO SEA THROUGH TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS UP TO 45 KNOTS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING. THE SEAS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GORSE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
322 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC THIS MORNING WILL MOVE OFF
TO THE EAST BY THE AFTERNOON. A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL MOVE UP ALONG THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST TONIGHT AND THEN OFF
NORTH CAROLINA SATURDAY. IT WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER
IMPACTS TO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST
AREA TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND
THE DEPARTING STORM FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
THE LAST PERIOD OF RELATIVE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS BEFORE THE MAJOR
STORM AFFECTS THE AREA. THE 12 HOUR POP FOR TODAY INCLUDES LIKELY-
CATEGORICAL ACROSS THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COUNTIES WHERE SNOW
SHOULD BEGIN BY MID OR LATE AFTERNOON...THE ACCUMS FOR THE TODAY
PERIOD SHOULD HOLD AT 1 TO 2 INCHES FOR DE AND ERN MD. IT WILL BE
CLOUDY TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE LOW TO MID 30S IN MOST
AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE WINTER WEATHER FLAGS ISSUED ON THURSDAY WERE NOT CHANGED WITH
THIS FORECAST. DISCOUNTING THE 00Z NAM...THE CURRENT MODELS ARE ONLY
SHOWING MINOR CHANGES WITH REGARDS TO THE INTENSITY AND TRACK OF
THE SFC LOW. THE GREATEST QPF IS SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH...BUT
THERE IS STILL ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY TO KEEP THE WARNING WHERE THEY
ARE UP NORTH. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED ALONG THE
COASTAL AREAS WHERE WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH WILL CREATE NEAR ZERO
VSBYS IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT IN ALL AREAS AND MUCH OF
THE DAY SATURDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THERE WILL BE
IMPROVEMENT UP NORTH SATURDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL WORK ITS WAY
SOUTH AND EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE WIND EFFECTS
MAY PERSIST INTO SATURDAY NIGHT SO THE BLIZZARD WARNING MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED IN TIME BY LATER FCSTS. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR MAY OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
THE BUFKIT PROFILES SHOW THAT PLENTY OF OMEGA WITHIN THE SNOW
GROWTH AREA AND AMPLE RH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE IN ON SUNDAY WITH FAIR WEATHER EXPECTED.
THE COLD TEMPERATURES AND CONTINUED MODERATE WINDS WILL KEEP WIND
CHILLS IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST
TO BE LOCATED IN THE NOVA SCOTIA VICINITY ON SUNDAY EVENING. THE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS TO THE EAST AND OUT TO SEA. MEANWHILE,
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD EXTEND UP THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
AT THAT TIME. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS TO THE EAST WITH
ITS AXIS PASSING OVER OUR REGION IN THE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
TIME FRAME.

AN UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL STATES
ON SUNDAY NIGHT. THAT FEATURE WILL LIKELY PROGRESS TO THE EAST AND
IT SHOULD PASS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN STATES ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO INFLUENCE OUR REGION
FROM MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE FROM NORTHERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA ON MONDAY MORNING TO THE
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON TUESDAY MORNING. THE LOW IS THEN
ANTICIPATED TO PASS OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST ON TUESDAY NIGHT.
WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT AND
TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW, WE WILL SIMPLY MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS
CENTERED ON TUESDAY NIGHT, FOR THE TIME BEING. IT APPEARS AS THOUGH
THE AIR MASS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT ALL SNOW, IF ANY
PRECIPITATION FALLS AT THAT TIME.

DRY WEATHER SHOULD RETURN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

EXCELLENT VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING WITH NOTHING
MORE THAN CI. BUT SIGNS OF THINGS TO COME ARE ALREADY ON THE HORIZON.
MOISTURE IS STREAMING UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
EAST COAST STORM. PRECIPITATION HAS SPREAD INTO VIRGINIA AND IS
EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
NORTHERN PORTIONS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. CIGS WILL LOWER TO
ALTOSTRATUS TODAY AND THEN DROP QUICKLY ONCE THE SNOW MOVES IN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT IFR/LIFR TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE
SNOW. THE LOWEST CONDITIONS AND LONGEST LASTING IMPACTS WILL OCCUR
OVER SOUTHERN AND COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. LIGHT
WINDS TODAY WILL BECOME NE THIS EVENING AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KT
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE HIGHEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR IN OUR SOUTHERN
COASTAL AREAS WHERE SPEEDS COULD REACH OVER 40 KT.

OUTLOOK...
THE STORM WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA SATURDAY NIGHT ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE
TO PUSH IN FROM THE WEST SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING A
RETURN TO VFR FLYING CONDITIONS. THE HIGH WILL CROSS THE AREA
MONDAY NIGHT AND HEAD OFF TO THE EAST TUESDAY. ANOTHER APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM COULD BRING SOME PRECIPITATION WITH LOW CIGS AND VSBYS
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WE WILL CONTINUE WITH THE GALE WARNING AND STORM WATCH WITH THIS
FORECAST PACKAGE. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR STORM FORCE COULD OCCUR LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF GREAT EGG INLET
ON THE OCEAN AND ACROSS THE MOUTH OF DELAWARE BAY. IF THE NEXT MODEL
RUNS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE EXTREMELY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT, THE
STORM WATCH MAY NEED TO BE CHANGED TO A WARNING. THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR OUR DETERIORATING WEATHER IS DEVELOPING
ALONG THE GULF COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. IT WILL INTENSIFY AS IT
MOVES NORTHEAST TODAY, BECOMING A MAJOR EAST COAST STORM TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY AS IT MOVES OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THIS STORM
WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT MARINE IMPACTS, WITH STRONG WINDS AND HIGH
SEAS. CONDITIONS WILL START IMPROVING SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE INTENSE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE, BUT WILL PROBABLY TAKE A
WHILE FOR WINDS AND THEN SEAS TO DROP BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THE LATTER PROBABLY NOT UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BRIEFLY BUILD OVER THE AREA WATERS MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT
BEFORE ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR DELAWARE BAY,
COASTAL DELAWARE AND MOST OF COASTAL NEW JERSEY FOR THE HIGH TIDE
CYCLES ON SATURDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE NNW BY THE
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE. IF THE STORM DOES NOT MOVE OUT FAST
ENOUGH AND THE WIND SHIFT IS DELAYED, THE ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE
EXTENDED THROUGH THIS TIDE CYCLE. ON A RELATIVE BASIS WE ARE
EXTREMELY FORTUNATE THAT THIS IS OCCURRING THIS WEEKEND AND NOT
LAST, WHEN TIDE HEIGHTS WERE MUCH HIGHER. ALSO, THE HIGHER
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE OCCURRING EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WHEN THE
WINDS ARE JUST INCREASING TO GALE FORCE. WINDS WILL BE CLOSE TO
THEIR PEAK DURING LOW TIDE AND DURING THE LOWER OF THE TWO
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. LOCAL STUDIES ARE
PREDICTING TWO TO THREE FOOT TIDAL DEPARTURES WHICH WOULD GET US
TO AROUND THE THRESHOLD FOR MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH BOTH THE
EARLY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDES. SLIGHTLY HIGHER
DEPARTURES ARE POSSIBLE ON OUR EXTREME SOUTHERN OCEAN WATERS ALONG
THE DELAWARE COAST. BUT AT THIS TIME, IT STILL APPEARS AS IF ONLY
MINOR FLOODING WILL OCCUR. WAVE ACTION WILL CAUSE BEACH EROSION
AND EXACERBATE ANY TIDAL FLOODING.ALL OF THE ABOVE IS BASED ON
CURRENT MODEL PROJECTIONS COMING TO FRUITION, THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
IF THE COASTAL STORM IS STRONGER AND TRAVELS CLOSER TO US, THAT A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR MODERATE TIDAL
FLOODING WITH SUSSEX COUNTY DELAWARE AND CAPE MAY COUNTY NEW JERSEY
THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR PAZ060>062-067>069.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR PAZ070-071.
NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR NJZ007>010-012>015.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR NJZ020>027.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY
     FOR NJZ020>027.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR NJZ016>019.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR DEZ002>004.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY
     FOR DEZ002>004.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR DEZ001.
MD...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
MARINE...STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR
     ANZ431-451>455.
     GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
     ANZ431-451>455.
     GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     ANZ430-450.

&&

SYNOPSIS...O'HARA
NEAR TERM...O'HARA
SHORT TERM...O'HARA
LONG TERM...IOVINO
AVIATION...RPW
MARINE...RPW
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...RPW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
354 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

NJZ007>010-012>015-PAZ060>062-067>069-060900-
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-
BUCKS-
354 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND PERSIST INTO SATURDAY. HEAVY SNOWFALL, STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
ABUNDANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED. TRAVEL IS
STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

THE WINTER STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE CONDITIONS BEGIN TO IMPROVE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS, INCLUDING SNOWFALL TOTALS, ACCORDING TO STANDARD
OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ002>004-NJZ020>027-060900-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
354 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND PERSIST INTO SATURDAY. HEAVY SNOWFALL, STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
ABUNDANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED. TRAVEL IS
STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE WINTER STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE
CONDITIONS BEGIN TO IMPROVE.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS, INCLUDING SNOWFALL TOTALS, ACCORDING TO STANDARD
OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-060900-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
354 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND PERSIST INTO SATURDAY. HEAVY SNOWFALL, STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
ABUNDANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED. TRAVEL IS
STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

THE WINTER STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE
CONDITIONS BEGIN TO IMPROVE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS, INCLUDING SNOWFALL TOTALS, ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-060900-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
354 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT WITH LIGHT SNOWFALL
AND MODERATE WINDS. TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY BECOME SLICK. ANY CHANGE
IN MOVEMENT OF THE STORM MAY BRING HEAVIER SNOWFALL TOTALS, SO
CONSULT FUTURE STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE WINTER STORM WILL MOVE AWAY SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ431-451>455-060900-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
354 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.
   STORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

ANZ430-450-060900-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
354 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.