Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
927 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT AS
A FEW WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE MOVE ALONG IT. THIS FRONT THEN SLIDES TO
THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA DURING TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS
INTO THE REGION FOR WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST
AND SWEEPS THROUGH BY THURSDAY NIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS THEN
FORECAST TO FORM ALONG THE FRONT AND INTENSIFY AS IT PASSES EAST OF
THE AREA ON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO BUILD IN FOR
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
THE REMAINDER OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
THE BEST ACTIVITY HAS MOVED TO THE EAST. WHILE THERE IS CONVECTION
BACK OVER EASTERN AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...IT HAS LITTLE VERTICAL
STRUCTURE...AND THE BEST INSTABILITY IS DISSIPATING. MID LEVEL WINDS
MAY RESULT IN ENOUGH ORGANIZATION FOR CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT 1
TO 2 HOURS...BUT THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER IS
WANING.

AFTER THIS...THE CONVECTION OVER NORTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA IS
TRAVEL EAST SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE. THIS
ACTIVITY COULD SURVIVE TO AFFECTING NORTHERN AND CENTRAL AREAS
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHED ACROSS THE REGION WILL GRADUALLY
SLIDE SOUTHWARD DURING TUESDAY, EVENTUALLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE
DELMARVA. BOTH THE NAM AND THE GFS INDICATE THE CHANCE FOR
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND PERHAPS ISOLATED T-STORMS THROUGH TUESDAY,
WITH THE MOST LIKELY AREAS OF PRECIPITATION SHIFTING SOUTHWARD
THROUGH THE DAY. ANY ISOLATED T-STORMS SHOULD NOT BE AS VIGOROUS AS
COMPARED TO THE OVERNIGHT OF MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

BY LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH AND
EASTWARD INTO OUR REGION FROM SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. THE NAM AND GFS
INDICATE THAT SKIES SHOULD CLEAR OUT FAIRLY QUICKLY DURING THE EARLY
MORNING OF WEDNESDAY. THIS ALONG WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT NORTH WINDS
SHOULD PROVIDE FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING WITH LOW TEMPERATURES
RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S IN THE POCONOS TO THE LOWER 50S IN
SOUTHERN DELAWARE. CLEAR SKIES AND SUNSHINE WILL FOLLOW FOR THE
DAYTIME ON WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. A BLEND OF MET/MAV
GUIDANCE WAS USED FOR TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THERE ARE INITIAL COMMONALITIES AMONG THE MAJOR MODELS REGARDING
THE COASTAL SYSTEM THAT WILL DOMINATE THE EARLY PART OF THIS
PERIOD, AS THEY ALL BEGIN TO DEVELOP A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE
CAROLINA COAST IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING MID LEVEL SYSTEM.
AFTER THAT, AS OFTEN IS THE CASE THIS FAR OUT, THEY BEGIN TO
DIVERGE SOME WITH THE GFS /AND IN THIS CASE THE GEFS/ BEING LESS
PROGRESSIVE THAN THE CANADIAN OR THE ECMWF. WITH THIS RUN, THE
FORMER TWO STACK AND SLOW THE SURFACE LOW BY THE TIME IT
APPROACHES CAPE COD AT 00Z SATURDAY, WHILE THE CANADIAN AND THE
ECMWF DO THE SAME NEAR MAINE. THE MODELS QUITE POSSIBLY WILL
CHANGE ALLIANCES AND NOT SETTLE ON AN ULTIMATE SOLUTION FOR A
LITTLE WHILE YET, AND WHERE THE SYSTEM PARKS THE SURFACE LOW IS
KEY TO HOW THE FIRST PART OF THE LONG TERM PLAYS OUT.

FOR NOW, WE ARE FOCUSING OUR BEST POPS EARLY IN THE PERIOD,
MAINTAINING A RATHER WINDY AND COOL FORECAST DURING THAT TIME FRAME,
AND THEN GOING WITH CONTINUITY REGARDING IMPROVEMENT AS THE PERIOD
WEARS ON.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO HIGH IN THE BROAD SCALE AND GENERAL
FORECAST...BUT LOWER CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN THE SMALLER SCALE DETAILS.
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY VFR OUTSIDE OF ANY CONVECTION
OR STRONGER SHOWERS TONIGHT AND VERY EARLY TUESDAY. SYNOPTICALLY,
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND EASTERN
OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT AS IT MOVES THROUGH
PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...WITH THE LOW
PASSING THROUGH THE TAF SITES OVERNIGHT. A WEST-SOUTHWEST TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW OF 10 KNOTS OR LESS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME MORE
SOUTHERLY AS SPEEDS DROP TO 6 KNOTS OR LESS BY THIS EVENING.
WINDS...WITH FAIRLY LIGHT SPEEDS SUCH THAT THE FORECAST MAY BE MORE
OF A SUGGESTION...WILL SHIFT TO WEST AND NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AFTER
THE LOW AND FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND TO NORTH TUESDAY MORNING AS SPEEDS
INCREASE TO ABOUT 10 KNOTS BY MID AND LATE MORNING.

THE PLACEMENT AND STRENGTH OF PRECIPITATION IS PROBLEMATICAL FOR
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOUTHERN AREAS WOULD APPEAR TO BE
MORE UNSTABLE...WITH LIFTED INDICES DOWN TO MINUS 5 THIS EVENING...
BUT FORCING ALOFT IS NOT AS STRONG AS FURTHER NORTH. HOWEVER...
SOUTHERN AREAS WILL SEE THE UPPER WINDS INCREASE WITH TIME. PERHAPS
CONVECTION WILL BE MORE SCATTERED ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE AS IT
SPREADS EASTWARD INTO OUR SOUTHERN TAF SITES THIS EVENING. AN AREA
OF CONVECTION OVER NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AT 18Z WAS MOVING
SOUTHEASTWARD...BUT MAY REDEVELOP NORTH AND/OR SOUTH DURING THIS
AFTERNOON ACCORDING TO MODEL UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION FIELDS. THE MAIN
AREA OF FORCING IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA LATE
TODAY AND DEVELOP INTO NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND THE LOWER HUDSON
VALLEY BY THIS EVENING. ANY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG
TO LOCALLY SEVERE GIVEN THE INSTABILITY...WHICH IS DUE TO COLD AIR
ALOFT...AND THE STRONG UPPER WIND FIELD. THUNDERSTORM TOPS MAY
APPROACH OR JUST EXCEED 35 THOUSAND FEET THIS EVENING.

AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DROP
SOUTHEASTWARD WITH TIME. SO...WITH LOW CONFIDENCE...A VICINITY
SHOWER REMARK WAS USED TOWARD AND AROUND DARK ALONG WITH A CB
APPENDED TO THE CUMULUS...WITH THE TIMING EARLIER NORTH AND LATER
SOUTH. VFR SHOWERS WERE USED IN THE BODY OF THE FORECAST IN THE
EARLY OVERNIGHT PERIOD AND LINGERED INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL
THE FRONT PASSES.

SOME STRATOCUMULUS AND LOTS OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED FOR
TUESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW ACCORDING TO MODEL SOUNDINGS...BUT
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE VFR.

.OUTLOOK...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS AND SKIES CLEAR. HOWEVER...SOME LIGHT GROUND FOG MAY
FORM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY AT THE MORE RURAL TAF SITES.
DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS A POTENTIALLY STRONG STORM IS LOOKING
MORE LIKELY TO IMPACT OUR AREA. THIS MAY BRING MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
ALONG WITH LOW CEILINGS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS...WITH THE WINDS
LINGERING INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN GENERALLY BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA...AT LEAST UNTIL LATER IN THE WEEK WHEN A
POTENTIALLY STRONG COASTAL STORM IS SEEN TO BREW. WEAK LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH OUR AREA OVERNIGHT AND MOVE OFFSHORE
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY TONIGHT WILL BE SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST AND NORTH BEHIND THE
FRONT. SOME COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE LOW...BUT WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY...AS 925 HPA WINDS WERE LOWER THAN PREVIOUS MODEL
RUNS AT LESS THAN 20 KNOTS.

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE LOW TONIGHT.
ANY THUNDERSTORM WHICH MOVES OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT MAY BE
STRONG AND PRODUCE LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SOME HAIL.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD GRADUALLY WEDNESDAY BUT MOVE AWAY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT WEATHER-MAKER WILL ORGANIZE AND APPROACH
THURSDAY...WITH CONDITIONS FORECAST TO DETERIORATE LATER THURSDAY
AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. FROM THIS EARLY VANTAGE POINT...925
HPA WINDS LOOK LIKE THEY REMAIN BELOW STORM FORCE ON THE FRONT SIDE
OF THE STORM...BUT MAY REACH STORM FORCE AS THE STORM PULLS AWAY.
WIND GRIDS WILL BE CAPPED AT GALE CONDITIONS FOR NOW...WITH
APPROPRIATE WAVE GRIDS TO MATCH.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KLINE
NEAR TERM...HAYES
SHORT TERM...IOVINO/KLINE
LONG TERM...DELISI
AVIATION.../
MARINE.../

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
930 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-130130-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
930 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN INTO
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.

ANZ430-431-450>455-130130-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
930 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1055 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

NJZ008-010-012-120330-
MIDDLESEX NJ-MORRIS NJ-SOMERSET NJ-
1055 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MIDDLESEX...MORRIS AND SOMERSET
COUNTIES...

AT 1051 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MORRISTOWN...MOVING EAST AT
30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 4059 7423 4072 7438 4069 7442 4064 7440
      4060 7444 4066 7444 4066 7441 4069 7444
      4079 7443 4078 7437 4074 7436 4072 7438
      4059 7422

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1110 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-NJZ016>018-021>023-120415-
ATLANTIC NJ-CAMDEN NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-CECIL MD-CUMBERLAND NJ-
GLOUCESTER NJ-KENT MD-KENT DE-NEW CASTLE DE-SALEM NJ-
1110 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ATLANTIC...
CAMDEN...CAPE MAY...CECIL...CUMBERLAND... GLOUCESTER...KENT...NEW
CASTLE AND SALEM COUNTIES...

AT 1105 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 3 MILES EAST OF MIDDLETOWN...MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR CHAMBERSVILLE...PORT
PENN AROUND 1115 PM...SHILOH...GREENWICH AROUND 1130 PM...
BRIDGETON...FAIRTON AROUND 1145 PM...MILLVILLE...SOUTH VINELAND
AROUND MIDNIGHT...CUMBERLAND AND ESTELL MANOR AROUND 1215 AM.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3926 7477 3929 7531 3934 7535 3933 7537
      3943 7548 3946 7555 3950 7557 3952 7554
      3958 7554 3958 7556 3946 7558 3929 7542
      3930 7577 3966 7579 3966 7555 3962 7560
      3959 7559 3967 7552 3968 7477

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1114 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

DEZ002-003-120345-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT DE-
1114 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT KENT AND SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 1113 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DOVER...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3896 7550 3914 7549 3914 7540 3907 7540
      3901 7532 3901 7533 3898 7530 3896 7531
      3896 7530 3895 7531

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1117 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-120415-
CAROLINE MD-INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
TALBOT MD-
1117 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CAROLINE...
KENT...QUEEN ANNE'S...SUSSEX AND TALBOT COUNTIES...

AT 1113 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 12 MILES EAST OF CENTERVILLE...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR SANDTOWN...
FELTON AROUND 1130 PM...VIOLA AND WOODSIDE EAST AROUND 1145 PM.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3929 7556 3884 7551 3882 7603 3926 7605

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1125 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

NJZ019-020-026-027-120430-
COASTAL OCEAN NJ-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
1125 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BURLINGTON AND OCEAN COUNTIES...

AT 1122 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 18 MILES EAST OF CAMDEN...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR LEISURETOWNE...PEMBERTON HEIGHTS AROUND
1130 PM...PRESIDENTIAL LAKES...COUNTRY LAKE ESTATES AROUND 1145 PM...
HOLIDAY HEIGHTS...CEDAR GLEN LAKES AROUND MIDNIGHT...PINE BEACH...
SOUTH TOMS RIVER AROUND 1215 AM...LAVALLETTE AND MANTOLOKING AROUND
1230 AM.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 4003 7404 4000 7403 3997 7405 3996 7404
      3994 7405 3981 7408 3982 7410 3991 7409
      3989 7412 3986 7412 3981 7415 3984 7485
      4002 7486 4006 7402

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1129 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

NJZ010-012-013-015-019-020-PAZ069-120430-
BUCKS PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-
SOMERSET NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
1129 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BUCKS...BURLINGTON...MERCER...
MIDDLESEX...MONMOUTH...OCEAN AND SOMERSET COUNTIES...

AT 1127 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF NEW BRUNSWICK TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF TRENTON...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR HELMETTA...WINDSOR AROUND 1145
PM...MARLBORO...ROBERTSVILLE AROUND MIDNIGHT...LINCROFT AND HOWELL
AROUND 1215 AM.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 4038 7409 4004 7414 4005 7481 4039 7476

HAYES