River Flood Warning 53, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

722 
WGUS81 KPHI 310115
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
915 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
 
  POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC COUNTIES 
  RAMAPO RIVER AT POMPTON LAKES AFFECTING BERGEN...MORRIS AND PASSAIC 
  COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-031-311115-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-100401T0936Z/
/PPPN4.1.ER.100330T2252Z.100331T1200Z.100401T0336Z.NO/
915 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS.
* AT  8:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.7 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...PEQUANNOCK AVENUE AT ROOSEVELT STREET BEOMES 
  IMPASSABLE. ROUTE 23 EXIT RAMP AT ALEXANDER AVENUE BECOMES IMPASSABLE.

$$

NJC003-027-031-311114-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-100331T1200Z/
/PPTN4.1.ER.100331T0600Z.100331T0600Z.100331T0600Z.UU/
915 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RAMAPO RIVER AT POMPTON LAKES.
* AT  8:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...NEARBY HOMES BEGIN TO TAKE ON WATER.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

POMPTON RIVER
  POMPTON PLAINS   16.0   16.27  TUE 8 PM    16.8  WED 8 AM 

RAMAPO RIVER
  POMPTON LAKES    11.5   11.12  TUE 8 PM    11.5  WED 2 AM 

&&

380 
WGUS81 KPHI 310821
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
421 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE POMPTON RIVER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.

&&

NJC027-031-311821-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-100401T0700Z/
/PPPN4.1.ER.100330T2252Z.100331T0900Z.100401T0100Z.NO/
421 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS.
* AT 3:30 AM THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND IT SHOULD CREST NEAR
  16.9 FEET THIS MORNING. THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...PEQUANNOCK AVENUE AT ROOSEVELT STREET BECOMES 
  IMPASSABLE. THE ROUTE 23 EXIT RAMP AT ALEXANDER AVENUE BECOMES 
  IMPASSABLE.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

POMPTON RIVER
  POMPTON PLAINS   16.0   16.84  WED 3 AM    16.9  WED 5 AM 

&&

IOVINO

486 
WGUS81 KPHI 311407
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
1007 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
 
  POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-031-010007-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-100401T0800Z/
/PPPN4.1.ER.100330T2252Z.100331T1216Z.100401T0200Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS.
* AT 9:31 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...PEQUANNOCK AVENUE AT ROOSEVELT STREET BECOMES 
  IMPASSABLE. ROUTE 23 EXIT RAMP AT ALEXANDER AVENUE BECOMES IMPASSABLE.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

POMPTON RIVER
  POMPTON PLAINS   16.0   16.88  WED 10 AM    CRESTING 

&&

657 
WGUS81 KPHI 311948
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
348 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
 
  PEQUANNOCK RIVER BELOW MACOPIN DAM AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC 
  COUNTIES 
  POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC COUNTIES 
  WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM AFFECTING PASSAIC COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-031-010548-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-100401T1100Z/
/MCPN4.1.ER.100331T0615Z.100331T1745Z.100401T0500Z.NO/
348 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEQUANNOCK RIVER BELOW MACOPIN DAM.
* AT 3:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.

$$

NJC027-031-010548-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-100401T0900Z/
/PPPN4.1.ER.100330T2252Z.100331T1216Z.100401T0300Z.NO/
348 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS.
* AT 3:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...HOMES ON NORTH PEQUANNOCK AVENUE BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD. RESIDENCES ON PEQUANNOCK AVENUE ALONG THE RIVER BETWEEN MADISON
  AND SHADY STREETS BECOME SURROUNDED BY WATER. BUSINESSES ALONG ROUTE 23
  NORTH BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

NJC031-010548-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100402T0100Z/
/WNQN4.2.ER.100329T2345Z.100331T0845Z.100401T1900Z.NO/
348 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM.
* AT 3:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

$$

                    FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

PEQUANNOCK RIVER
  MACOPIN DAM       5.5    5.58  WED 3 PM     CRESTING 
POMPTON RIVER
  POMPTON PLAINS   16.0   16.47  WED 3 PM     CRESTED
WANAQUE RIVER
  WANAQUE DAM       5.0    5.85  WED 3 PM     CRESTED 

&&

066 
WGUS81 KPHI 312100
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
500 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
  PEQUANNOCK RIVER BELOW MACOPIN DAM AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC 
  COUNTIES 
  POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC COUNTIES
  
  WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM AFFECTING PASSAIC COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-031-010700-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-100401T1100Z/
/MCPN4.1.ER.100331T0615Z.100331T1745Z.100401T0500Z.NO/
500 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEQUANNOCK RIVER BELOW MACOPIN DAM.
* AT  4:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.


$$

NJC027-031-010659-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-100401T0900Z/
/PPPN4.1.ER.100330T2252Z.100331T1216Z.100401T0300Z.NO/
500 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS.
* AT  4:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.36 FEET AND FALLING.
  THE AHPS WEB PAGE STAGE OF 19 FEET IS INCORRECT.  
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...HOMES ON NORTH PEQUANNOCK AVENUE BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD. RESIDENCES ON PEQUANNOCK AVENUE ALONG THE RIVER BETWEEN MADISON
  AND SHADY STREETS BEOME SURROUNDED BY WATER. BUSINESSES ALONG ROUTE 23
  NORTH BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

NJC031-010659-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100402T0100Z/
/WNQN4.2.ER.100329T2345Z.100331T0845Z.100401T1900Z.NO/
500 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM.
* AT  4:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.


$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

PEQUANNOCK RIVER
  MACOPIN DAM      5.5    5.58  WED 4 PM     CRESTED, SLOWLY FALLING 

POMPTON RIVER
  POMPTON PLAINS   16.0   16.38  WED 4 PM    CRESTED AND FALLING

WANAQUE RIVER
  WANAQUE DAM      5.0    5.80  WED 4 PM     CRESTED AND FALLING

&&

433 
WGUS81 KPHI 010052
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
852 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
 
  PEQUANNOCK RIVER BELOW MACOPIN DAM AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC 
  COUNTIES 
  POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC COUNTIES 
  WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM AFFECTING PASSAIC COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-031-010753-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-100401T0753Z/
/MCPN4.1.ER.100331T0615Z.100331T1745Z.100401T0153Z.NO/
852 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEQUANNOCK RIVER BELOW MACOPIN DAM.
* AT  8:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET AND STEADY. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  THURSDAY MORNING.


$$

NJC027-031-010757-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-100401T0757Z/
/PPPN4.1.ER.100330T2252Z.100331T1216Z.100401T0157Z.NO/
852 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS.
* AT  8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...HOMES ON NORTH PEQUANNOCK AVENUE BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD. RESIDENCES ON PEQUANNOCK AVENUE ALONG THE RIVER BETWEEN MADISON
  AND SHADY STREETS BEOME SURROUNDED BY WATER. BUSINESSES ALONG ROUTE 23
  NORTH BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

NJC031-011052-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100402T0000Z/
/WNQN4.2.ER.100329T2345Z.100331T0845Z.100401T1800Z.NO/
852 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM.
* AT  8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

PEQUANNOCK RIVER
  MACOPIN DAM      5.5    5.54  WED 8 PM      CRESTED, FALLING. 

POMPTON RIVER
  POMPTON PLAINS   16.0   16.18  WED 8 PM     CRESTED, FALLING. 

WANAQUE RIVER
  WANAQUE DAM      5.0    5.65  WED 8 PM      CRESTED, FALLING. 

&&

439 
WGUS81 KPHI 010421
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1221 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE POMPTON RIVER...

&&

NJC027-031-010451-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-100401T0757Z/
/PPPN4.1.ER.100330T2252Z.100331T1216Z.100401T0155Z.NO/
1221 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE POMPTON RIVER AT POMPTON PLAINS.
* AT 11:15 PM THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

POMPTON RIVER
  POMPTON PLAINS   16.0   15.80  WED 11 PM    CRESTED 

&&

IOVINO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1102 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL STALL JUST EAST OF THE COAST TODAY...AND MOVE
SLOWLY EASTWARD TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
FILL IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW LATER WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE GFS AND NAM HAVE COME INTO A BIT OF A CONSENSUS THIS MORNING...
WITH THE SURFACE LOW REMAINING JUST A COUPLE OF MILES OFF THE COAST
AS OPPOSED TO BEING OVER LAND AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD TODAY.
HOWEVER...WRAP-AROUND RAIN WILL STILL AFFECT OUR AREA TODAY AS THE
UPPER LOW MOVES EASTWARD OVERHEAD AND JOINS WITH THE SURFACE LOW.
MOISTURE IS COPIOUS WITH THIS SYSTEM STILL...SO RAIN AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE RATHER HEALTHY, ALTHOUGH NOT AS EXCESSIVE AS ONCE
FEARED. SEE THE HYDROLOGY SECTION BELOW FOR A FEW MORE DETAILS.

WINDS WILL BE ANOTHER STORY. THE STRONG WINDS HAVE NOT MATERIALIZED
OVERNIGHT...AND IT IS THOUGHT THAT WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA TODAY. 925 HPA WINDS ON THE GFS AS WELL AS THE NAM
WERE 40 TO 45 KNOTS....AND 1000 HPA WINDS WERE HALF THAT. EVEN SO...
WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO GUST TO 35 TO 40 MILES AN HOUR TODAY.
THERE COULD EVEN BE SOME STRONGER GUSTS...UP TO ABOUT 45 MILES AN
HOUR...OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY. A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TO CALL
ATTENTION TO STRONG WIND GUSTS TODAY.

TEMPERATURES WERE CUT DOWN FROM WHAT WAS INHERITED BY A COUPLE OF
DEGREES AS WIND AND RAIN WILL PREVAIL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
THE WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE AND ENERGY IS FORECAST TO DIMINISH DURING
TONIGHT...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES DWINDLING FROM LIKELY TO CHANCE
OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW BEGINS TO PULL AWAY...TAKING THE RAIN AND
UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION WITH IT. SO...ANY RAIN SHOULD BECOME LIGHTER
WITH TIME AS WELL. OF COURSE, IT WILL REMAIN MOIST IN THE LOWEST
LEVELS...BUT CONTINUING WINDS SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY FOG FORMATION. ANY
LEFTOVER RAIN NORTH SHOULD DEPART WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH DRY
WEATHER BY AFTERNOON EVERYWHERE.

CONDITIONS WILL THEN IMPROVE MARKEDLY LATER WEDNESDAY AND INTO
THURSDAY AS A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TAKES AIM AT OUR AREA.
SKIES WILL CLEAR AND TEMPERATURES WILL RISE OVER 20 DEGREES BETWEEN
TUESDAY AND THURSDAY. HIGHS ONLY IN THE 40S TO NEAR 50 TODAY WILL
CLIMB TO THE MID AND POSSIBLY UPPER 70S THURSDAY. MOS GUIDANCE MAY
YET AGAIN BE TOO COOL AS NEAR-FULL APRIL SUNSHINE WORKS ITS MAGIC.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE UPPER AND SURFACE RIDGE THAT WILL BE MOVING TOWARD THE AREA
AT THE END OF THE SHORT TERM...WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE
WEATHER DURING MUCH OF THE LONG TERM PART OF THE FORECAST AS WELL.
THIS WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER AND PLEASANT TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE TEMPERATURES IN TODAY/S FCST ARE A LITTLE
BIT COOLER THAN YESTERDAYS...BUT OVERALL 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL WILL STILL BE A WELCOME CHANGE TO TH RECENT COOL/WET
PATTERN. HIGHS FRI-SUN WILL MAINLY BE IN THE LOW 70S WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE BEACHES. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM 45 TO 50 IN
MOST AREAS.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS SHOWN MOVING ACROSS EASTERN CANADA ON
SUNDAY WITH AN ATTACHED COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE AREA EARLY
MONDAY. IT/S TOO EARLY TO BE VERY PRECISE REGARDING LOCATIONS AND
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WITH THE FEATURE. IT APPEARS, HOWEVER, THAT THE
BETTER MOISTURE/LIFT WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH. I HAVE INCLUDED SMALL
CHC POPS FOR THE NORTHER COUNTIES FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST AT MID-MORNING
WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TO NEAR LONG ISLAND THEN GRADUALLY MOVE
EASTWARD TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A SHIELD OF RAIN CONTINUES TO WRAP
AROUND THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE STORM, WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING. THIS WILL IMPACT ALL OF OUR TERMINALS
THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. WHILE SOME VFR CEILINGS WERE HANGING
ON ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE KRDG AND KABE AREAS, OVERALL WE ARE
ANTICIPATING MVFR TO LOCALLY IFR CEILINGS TO OCCUR. AS A RESULT,
THE TAFS WERE AMENDED TO REFRESH THE EARLIER THINKING AND TO TAKE
INTO ACCOUNT TRENDS /VARYING VISIBILITIES/ SO FAR THIS MORNING.

A NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND WILL BE GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH
GUSTS TO ABOUT 30-35 KNOTS AT ALL OF OUR TERMINALS. THE GUSTY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING, ALTHOUGH A WEAKENING TREND
SHOULD TAKE PLACE THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE CONDITIONS MAY START TO
IMPROVE LATER TONIGHT AS THE LOW BEGINS TO WEAKEN AND SLOWLY MOVES
TO THE EAST.

OUTLOOK...
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE EVEN MORE BY WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW MOVES
FARTHER AWAY, HOWEVER WINDS MAY STILL BE GUSTY. CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE EVEN MORE LATER IN THE WEEK AND THE EARLY PART OF THE
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA.

&&

.MARINE...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST AT MID-MORNING
WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TO NEAR LONG ISLAND THEN GRADUALLY MOVE
EASTWARD TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. AS THE SYSTEM STRENGTHENED
EARLIER, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENED UP WITH SOME GALE FORCE
WINDS ALREADY OCCURRING. AS A RESULT, THE GALE WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF OUR WATERS. THE WINDS WILL COME DOWN SOONER
ALONG OUR FAR NORTHERN WATERS AS THE LOW PRESSURE SETTLES NEAR THE
AREA LATER IN THE DAY, BUT THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN GUSTY
FOR THE REST OF THE WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR A FEW HOURS ON WEDNESDAY AS THE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA, BUT
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE GREATLY FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND EARLY
PART OF THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA LATER THIS WEEK, KEEPING CONDITIONS WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CONTINUED THROUGH TODAY. SINCE MORE RAIN
WILL BE MOVING CYCLONICALLY INTO OUR AREA THIS MORNING...THE
POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO BE HIGHLIGHTED.
HOWEVER, RAIN AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN REDUCED SOMEWHAT FROM PREVIOUS
LEVELS. THE CURRENT THINKING IS FOR GENERAL ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF
0.75 TO 1.50 INCHES OF RAIN TODAY INTO TONIGHT...AND LOCALLY 2
INCHES.

THIS PREVIOUS AND FORECAST RAINFALL WOULD CAUSE MINOR TO MODERATE
FLOODING OF THE SMALLER STREAMS AND RIVERS...WITH A CHANCE OF
ISOLATED MAJOR FLOODING OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY, WHERE
RIVERS AND STREAMS CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH FROM THE PREVIOUS RAINS.

REGARDING THE LARGER RIVERS, THE HEADWATER AREAS OF THE DELAWARE,
SUSQUEHANNA AND SCHUYLKILL RIVERS CONTINUE TO BE SPARED HEAVY
RAINFALL, AND THOSE RIVERS WILL LIKELY BE LESS OF A CONCERN WITHIN
THE FLOOD WATCH AREA. THE RARITAN, MILLSTONE, AND THE PASSAIC RIVERS
ARE ANOTHER STORY, WHERE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE MINOR TO
MODERATE...WITH A CHANCE OF ISOLATED MAJOR FLOODING ON THE LATTER
TWO.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THE TIDES CONTINUE TO RUN ON THE HIGH SIDE, HOWEVER LEVELS DID NOT
QUITE REACH MODERATE THIS MORNING WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE. THE
MOST CONCERN WAS COASTAL MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES WHERE THE
ONSHORE FLOW LASTED LONGER, HOWEVER THE SANDY HOOK GAGE FELL
SHORT OF THE MODERATE FLOOD LEVEL. THERE CONTINUES TO BE AREAS OF
MINOR TIDAL FLOODING THOUGH AS RAINFALL AND FRESHWATER RUNOFF IN
CONCERT WITH THE HIGH TIDES KEEPS THE WATER LEVELS UP. THIS SHOULD
BE THE CASE AT LEAST THROUGH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING,
THEREFORE WE REPLACED THE WARNING WITH AN ADVISORY ALONG THE COAST
AND LOWER DELAWARE BAY. FOR NOW, WE RAN THIS THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT FOR THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE AS WATER LEVELS SHOULD THEN BE
COMING DOWN SOME.

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE FOR THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY AND TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER, WHICH
OCCURS BETWEEN NOON AND 300 PM THIS AFTERNOON. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
AN ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED AFTER THIS TIDE CYCLE FOR ADDITIONAL
MINOR FLOODING, AND THIS WILL BE LOOKED AT MORE CLOSELY THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR PAZ067>071.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     PAZ070-071.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NJZ008>010-012>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR
     NJZ012>014-020>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NJZ016>019.
DE...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR DEZ001.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR
     DEZ002>004.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     DEZ001.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ430-431-451>455.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ450.

&&

SYNOPSIS.../
NEAR TERM.../
SHORT TERM...NIERENBERG/
LONG TERM...NIERENBERG
AVIATION...GORSE/ROBERTSON
MARINE...GORSE/ROBERTSON
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...GORSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1112 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

NJZ008>010-015-PAZ067>069-311100-
MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
1112 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

ALSO...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR
ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ012>014-020>027-311100-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1112 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

ALSO...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR
ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-060>062-311100-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-
MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
1112 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR ARE
EXPECTED TODAY. ALSO...RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY AND CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-311100-
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
1112 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

ALSO...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR
ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-311100-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-
1112 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN
DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

ALSO...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR
ARE EXPECTED TODAY. ALSO...RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY AND
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-451>455-311100-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1112 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450-311100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
1112 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
216 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

PAZ054-055-302200-
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
216 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL CONTINUE, HEAVY AT TIMES.
MAINLY ABOVE 1500 FEET IN ELEVATION, THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE
TO SLEET AND SNOW AT TIMES DURING HEAVIER PRECIPITATION BURSTS. LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR, MAINLY ON GRASSY, NON-PAVED SURFACES AND
SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. PLEASE BE WARY FOR CHANGING ROAD
CONDITIONS AND BE CAUTIOUS WHEN DRIVING OVER BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES
AS WELL AS TERTIARY ROADS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE POCONOS.

TFG