Gale Warning 8, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

084 
WHUS71 KPHI 250507
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1207 AM EST THU FEB 25 2010

ANZ450-451-251800-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-100225T0500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0008.100225T1800Z-100226T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
1207 AM EST THU FEB 25 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 PM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A GALE WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. 


SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED TONIGHT TO BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.
 
A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE MARINE WATERS
LATER THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THIS LOW IS FORMING OVER THE
SOUTHEAST AND WILL INTENSIFY RAPIDLY ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THE LOW ITSELF IS
EXPECTED TO START TO WEAKEN LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AND
THE LIKELIHOOD FOR GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS FRIDAY
CONTINUES. ALSO THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MIGHT MEANDER INTO THE
AREA WATERS FRIDAY. IF THIS OCCURS... GALE FORCE WINDS MIGHT NOT
PERSIST AS CURRENTLY FORECAST FOR FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-452>455-251800-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0008.100225T1800Z-100226T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1207 AM EST THU FEB 25 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 PM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM
EST FRIDAY. 

A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE MARINE WATERS
LATER THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THIS LOW IS FORMING OVER THE
SOUTHEAST AND WILL INTENSIFY RAPIDLY ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THE LOW ITSELF IS EXPECTED TO
START TO WEAKEN LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AND THE
LIKELIHOOD FOR GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS FRIDAY
CONTINUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RPW

373 
WHUS71 KPHI 250900
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
400 AM EST THU FEB 25 2010

ANZ430-431-450>455-252100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0008.100225T0900Z-100226T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
400 AM EST THU FEB 25 2010

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY. 

A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THIS
MORNING WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTH TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL THEN BEGIN A COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP BACK
OVER OUR AREA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING AND
HEADING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE WINDS
ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RPW

253 
WHUS71 KPHI 251548
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1048 AM EST THU FEB 25 2010

ANZ430-431-451>455-260000-
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100226T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SR.W.0003.100225T1548Z-100226T1700Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1048 AM EST THU FEB 25 2010

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. THE GALE
WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THIS
MORNING WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTH TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL THEN BEGIN A COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP BACK OVER
OUR AREA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING AND HEADING OFF
TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY
THIS AFTERNOON WITH STORM FORCE GUSTS LIKELY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY
MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ450-260000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100226T1700Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
1048 AM EST THU FEB 25 2010

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. 

A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THIS
MORNING WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTH TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL THEN BEGIN A COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP BACK
OVER OUR AREA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING AND
HEADING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE WINDS
ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GIGI

103 
WHUS71 KPHI 252024
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
324 PM EST THU FEB 25 2010

ANZ450-261100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100226T1700Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
324 PM EST THU FEB 25 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. 

A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE LONG ISLAND COAST WILL
INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. THE
LOW WILL THEN BEGIN A COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP BACK OVER OUR AREA
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING AND HEADING OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-452>455-261100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100226T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.LO.Y.0004.100226T1600Z-100226T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
324 PM EST THU FEB 25 2010

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A LOW
WATER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY. A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. 

A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE LONG ISLAND COAST WILL
INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. THE
LOW WILL THEN BEGIN A COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP BACK OVER OUR NORTHERN 
AREA WATERS FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING AND HEADING
OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. FREQUENT STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS LIKELY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING.

INCREASING WEST WINDS WILL CAUSE WATER LEVELS TO DROP ON AREA
WATERS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. DURING THE LOW TIDE LATER TONIGHT,
WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM JUST ABOVE LOW WATER ADVISORY
CRITERIA. AS THE STRONG WEST WINDS CONTINUE, WATER LEVELS ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND 2.0 FEET BELOW MEAN LOWER LOW WATER
AROUND THE TIME OF LOW TIDE FROM LATE FRIDAY MORNING INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. LOW TIDE DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON FRIDAY WILL OCCUR
FROM AROUND NOON ON THE OCEAN FRONT TO AROUND 4 PM IN THE UPPER
DELAWARE BAY.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

ANZ451-261100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100226T1700Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
324 PM EST THU FEB 25 2010

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. 

A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE LONG ISLAND COAST WILL
INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. THE
LOW WILL THEN BEGIN A COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP BACK OVER OUR AREA
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING AND HEADING OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. FREQUENT STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE
LIKELY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$


GIGI

415 
WHUS71 KPHI 260915
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
415 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2010

ANZ450-261700-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100226T1700Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
415 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

INTENSE LOW PRESSURE JUST NORTH OF NEW YORK CITY WILL DROP
SOUTHWEST INTO NORTHERN NEW JERSEY THIS MORNING AND THEN
COMPLETE A COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP BY REACHING JUST SOUTH OF LONG
ISLAND BY LATE EVENING. IT WILL THEN HEAD SLOWLY OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-452>455-261700-
/O.CON.KPHI.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100226T1700Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0004.100226T1600Z-100226T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
415 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2010

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A LOW
WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EST THIS EVENING. 

INTENSE LOW PRESSURE JUST NORTH OF NEW YORK CITY WILL DROP
SOUTHWEST INTO NORTHERN NEW JERSEY THIS MORNING AND THEN
COMPLETE A COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP BY REACHING JUST SOUTH OF LONG
ISLAND BY LATE EVENING. IT WILL THEN HEAD SLOWLY OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. FREQUENT STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS 
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING.

STRONG WEST WINDS WILL CAUSE WATER LEVELS TO DROP ON AREA WATERS
TODAY. LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND 2.0 FEET BELOW MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER AROUND THE TIME OF LOW TIDE FROM LATE THIS MORNING
INTO THIS AFTERNOON. LOW TIDE WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND NOON ON THE
OCEAN FRONT TO AROUND 4 PM IN THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

ANZ451-261700-
/O.CON.KPHI.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100226T1700Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
415 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2010

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

INTENSE LOW PRESSURE JUST NORTH OF NEW YORK CITY WILL DROP
SOUTHWEST INTO NORTHERN NEW JERSEY THIS MORNING AND THEN
COMPLETE A COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP BY REACHING JUST SOUTH OF LONG
ISLAND BY LATE EVENING. IT WILL THEN HEAD SLOWLY OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. FREQUENT STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS 
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

RPW

281 
WHUS71 KPHI 261444
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
944 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2010

ANZ430-431-452>455-262200-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100226T1700Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100226T2200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0004.100226T1600Z-100226T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
944 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

INTENSE LOW PRESSURE CROSSING OVER NEW YORK CITY WILL DROP FARTHER
SOUTH BEFORE PUSHING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS LONG ISLAND BY LATE THIS
EVENING. THE LOW WILL THEN HEAD SLOWLY OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OVER
THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

STRONG WEST WINDS WILL CAUSE WATER LEVELS TO DROP ON AREA WATERS
TODAY. LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND 2.0 FEET BELOW MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER AROUND THE TIME OF LOW TIDE FROM LATE THIS MORNING
INTO THIS AFTERNOON. LOW TIDE WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND NOON ON THE
OCEAN FRONT TO AROUND 4 PM IN THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

ANZ451-262200-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100226T1700Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100226T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
944 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

INTENSE LOW PRESSURE CROSSING OVER NEW YORK CITY WILL DROP FARTHER
SOUTH BEFORE PUSHING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS LONG ISLAND BY LATE THIS
EVENING. THE LOW WILL THEN HEAD SLOWLY OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OVER
THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-262200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100226T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
944 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2010

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

INTENSE LOW PRESSURE CROSSING OVER NEW YORK CITY WILL DROP FARTHER
SOUTH BEFORE PUSHING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS LONG ISLAND BY LATE THIS
EVENING. THE LOW WILL THEN HEAD SLOWLY OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OVER
THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

404 
WHUS71 KPHI 262030
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
330 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2010


ANZ430-431-452>455-271000-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100226T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0021.100226T2030Z-100227T2100Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.LO.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-100226T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
330 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE LOW WATER ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY FROM THE REGION THIS EVENING.
AS A RESULT, GALE FORCE WINDS ARE NO LONGER OCCURRING. HOWEVER,
SEAS REMAIN ABOVE 5 FT ON THE OCEAN FRONT AND WINDS CONTINUE TO GUST
OVER 25 KT ACROSS THE WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-271000-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100226T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0021.100226T2030Z-100227T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
330 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY FROM THE REGION THIS EVENING.
AS A RESULT, GALE FORCE WINDS ARE NO LONGER OCCURRING. HOWEVER,
SEAS REMAIN ABOVE 5 FT AND WINDS CONTINUE TO GUST OVER 25 KT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
223 PM EST WED FEB 24 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST THIS AFTERNOON WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN. ANOTHER LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF CAPE
HATTERAS TONIGHT AND THEN INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTH TOWARD LONG
ISLAND ON THURSDAY. AS LOW PRESSURE ALOFT DEEPENS OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY, THE SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE MAY ACTUALLY MOVE WEST TOWARD NEW JERSEY. THE LOW SHOULD
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL TRY TO NOSE INTO OUR REGION FROM THE WEST FOR THE
EARLY PART OF THE NEW WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AN SMALL AREA OF RAIN IS MOVING THROUGH THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
DELMARVA THIS AFTERNOON AND COULD AFFECT OUR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
DELMARVA ZONES, AS WELL AS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. OVERALL, RAIN SHOULD NOT BE ALL THAT HEAVY TO
START OUT, BUT IT COULD BE MODERATE AT TIMES FOR SOUTHERN
DELAWARE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD BE IN
THE LOW TO MID 40S, EXCEPT THE FAR NORTHWESTERN ZONES WILL BE IN
THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
TEN WEEKS AGO, I WAS SITTING AT THIS VERY POSITION AS I WATCHED,
IN DISBELIEF, THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE FIRST SNOWSTORM TO HIT THE
REGION IN DECEMBER. SEVERAL WEEKS AGO, I ALSO WATCHED THE OTHER
TWO SNOWSTORMS DEVELOP AND IMPACT THE REGION.  AFTER THE VERY LONG
AND RECORD BREAKING WINTER, I GET TO WATCH YET ANOTHER POTENTIAL
WINTER STORM DEVELOP. THERE ARE SOME KEY DIFFERENCES THOUGH. IN
THE FIRST THREE (AND ESPECIALLY THE FIRST TWO) WE KNEW WE WERE
GOING TO GET HIT HARD AND IT WAS GOING TO BE ALL SNOW. THINGS WERE
FAIRLY CUT AND DRY. WITH THE THIRD SYSTEM, WE KNEW IT WOULD BE
ANOTHER BIG ONE BUT THERE WERE MORE P-TYPE QUESTIONS.

WITH THIS NEXT EVENT, CONFIDENCE IS QUITE LOW ON THE DETAILS AS
SEVERAL SCENARIOS COULD PLAY OUT.

FIRST, THE BIG PICTURE...A LARGE H5 TROF IS OVER THE ERN CONUS AND
THIS TROF IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND BECOME NEG TILTED OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. AS IT DOES, ONE SFC LOW WILL DEVELOP NR THE UPR LOW OVER
THE OH VLY AND SLIDE EWD. THEN, ENERGY WILL EJECT OUT OF THE
GLFMEX CST AND MOVE NEWD. THIS ENERGY WILL SPAWN A NEW SFC LOW NR
THE CAROLINA CST. THERE IS GOOD MDL AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO.
THERE IS LESS AGREEMENT ON WHAT HAPPENS AFTER THAT POINT. ALL OF
THE MDLS MOVE THE LOW NWD, THEN NWWD AND EVEN WWD AND THEN SWD IN
A PINWHEEL EFFECT AROUND THE LARGE UPR LOW. AGAIN THERE IS DECENT
MDL AGREEMENT THERE. HOWEVER, THE INDIVIDUAL MDL DETAILS WITH THE
LOW ARE ANYTHING BUT STRAIGHTFORWARD.

IT IS NEVER EASY WHEN DEALING WITH UPR LOWS AS THEY OFTEN HAVE
MINDS OF THEIR OWN. IN SOME CASES I HAVE SEEN ACTUAL EFFECTS BE
HUNDREDS OF MILES AWAY FROM WHERE THEY WERE FCSTED. THE ULTIMATE
POSN OF THE UPR LOW AND WHERE THE SFC LOW MOVES AS WELL AS HOW
STRONG THESE FEATURES ARE WILL ULTIMATELY DETERMINE WHAT WX WE
GET, AND THOSE DETAILS ARE STILL NOT CLEAR.

AS IS OFTEN THE CASE (AND HAS BECOME VERY COMMON OF LATE) THE NAM
AND GFS ARE IN ONE CAMP AND THE UKMET AND ECMWF ARE IN ANOTHER. I
MUST START OUT BY SAYING THAT, IN GENERAL, THE ECMWF AND UKMET ARE
THE TWO MOST RELIABLE MDLS. HOWEVER, THAT DOES NOT NECESSARILY
MEAN THERE SOLNS ARE IN THIS CASE. THE UKMET AND ECMWF ARE FURTHER
TO THE E THAN THE GFS THROUGH 26/00Z. THE NAM IS IN THE MIDDLE.
BY 26/12Z THE POSN DIFFS ARE NOT AS GREAT. HOWEVER, THERE STILL
REMAIN BIG DISCREPANCIES ON HOW THE MDLS HANDLE OTHER FEATURES,
ESPECIALLY WARM AIR. WITH THE LARGE UPR LOW NEARBY, THERE WILL BE
PLENTY OF COLD AIR ALOFT. BUT, BOTH THE UKMET AND ECMWF ARE WARMER
AT THE LOWER LEVELS THAN THE NAM AND GFS. IF THE UKMET OR ECMWF
WERE TO BE MORE CORRECT, THEN CERTAINLY THERE WOULD BE MORE P-TYPE
PROBLEMS, ESPECIALLY IF YOU GO S AND E ON THURSDAY. IF THE NAM OR
GFS WERE CORRECT, THAN IT WOULD BE MOSTLY, IF NOT ALL SNOW
EVERYWHERE.

WITH SUCH A STRONG UPR LOW, ONE WOULD THINK THAT THE COLDER SOLN
SHOULD ULTIMATELY BE THE FAVORED ONE, AND THAT CAN CERTAINLY BE
THE CASE. HOWEVER, I STRUGGLE TO RULE OUT THE ECMWF SOLN,
ESPECIALLY SINCE IT HAS SUPPORT FROM THE UKMET AND IS GENLY
RELIABLE. PLUS, IN THE FEBRUARY 9/10 EVENT, THE ECMWF WAS ONE OF
THE ONLY MDLS, IF NOT THE ONLY MDL THAT BROUGHT IN ENOUGH WARM AIR
TO BRING SOME FREEZING RAIN ACRS PHL AND NEARBY AREAS, AND THAT IS
EXACTLY WHAT HAPPENED.

BASED ON ALL OF THE UNCERTAINTY, IT WAS DECIDED TO LET THE WINTER
STORM WATCH RIDE FOR ANOTHER CYCLE. HOPEFULLY, THERE COULD BE SOME
BETTER MDL AGREEMENT WITH SUCCEEDING RUNS AND CHANGES/UPGRADES CAN
BE MADE WHERE NECESSARY.

IF EVERYTHING WERE TO FALL AS SNOW, WE WOULD BE LOOKING AT ANOTHER
SUBSTANTIAL SNOWSTORM, BUT ATTM, NOT AS MUCH AS ANY OF THE
PREVIOUS THREE STORMS. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WOULD BE OVER NRN
SECTIONS OF THE AREA, AS IS USUALLY THE CASE (EXCEPT FOR THIS
YEAR). IF THE WARMER SOLN VERIFIED, THEN ALL BETS ARE OFF. WITH
SCENARIOS LIKE THESE, THERE IS A HIGHER THAN AVERAGE CHANCE OF THE
FCST NOT WORKING OUT QUITE AS EXPECTED.

FOR THE SAKE OF EFFICIENCY, HAVE TRENDED TWD A COLDER SOLN (AGAIN,
CONFIDENCE IS LOW) AND SNOW ACCUM NUMBERS REPRESENT A
PREDOMINANTLY SNOW SOLN. PRESENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST MAYBE UP TO
FOUR INCHES OF SNOW IN SOUTHERN DELAWARE, PERHAPS 6 TOR 10 INCHES
IN PHILADELPHIA AND A FOOT OR MORE IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND THE
POCONOS. IF THE ECMWF/UKMET IS MORE CORRECT THEN THESE NUMBERS
WOULD BE TOO HIGH, IN GENERAL.

REGARDLESS, OF TYPE, PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN FROM S TO N BY
DAYBREAK THURSDAY. IT WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH THE HEAVIEST LIKELY COMING THURSDAY AFTN AND
NIGHT AND THEN ENDING ON FRIDAY. THE BULK OF THE EVENT SHOULD BE
OVER FRIDAY MORNING.

WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH GUSTS PSBLY
REACHING 30 MPH OR PSBLY GREATER. SFC LOW IS FCST TO BE IN THE
970-980 MB RANGE (WOW).  THIS WILL CAUSE ANY SNOW TO BLOW AND
DRIFT AND REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
IN LIGHT OF THE UPCOMING EVENT, DID NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES TO THE
EXTENDD. THE UPR LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
BUT NO NEW SFC LOWS ARE EXPECTED ATTM. THE UPR LOW WILL GRADUALLY
MOVE EWD (FINALLY) AND FILL BY SUNDAY, AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY
PUSHES IN FROM THE W. WILL KEEP THE EXTENDD BENIGN WITH NO SIG
PRECIP. TEMPS WILL START OFF BELOW NORMAL, WITH A WARMING TREND BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

THE ISSUED TAFS SHOW SOME IMPROVEMENT IN CIGS FOR THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS OUR TERMINALS AS DRIER AIR AT LOW
AND MID LEVELS IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO OUR REGION. NO VSBY
RESTRICTIONS ARE FORECAST BEFORE THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION.

ONCE PRECIPITATION STARTS LATER TONIGHT, IFR CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR AND CONTINUE. PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO
SPREAD FROM SE (KMIV) TO NW (KABE) BETWEEN 05Z AND 10Z WITH KPHL
GIVEN A STARTING TIME OF 07Z. INITIALLY FROM KPHL AND KILG SEWD
THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL WE WARM AND IF PRECIPITATION INTENSITY IS
LIGHT ENOUGH, THE PRECIPITATION MIGHT START OR MIX WITH RAIN.
CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER ABOUT THIS AT KACY AND KMIV THAN TERMINALS
FARTHER TO THE NW. AS PRECIPITATION INTENSITY INCREASES TOWARD
DAWN, ANY RAIN SHOULD CHANGE TO SNOW AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES
WITH LIFR CONDITIONS FORECAST FOR THE MORNING. LATER IN THE
MORNING AND EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON FROM KPHL SWD, A LESSENING OF
INTENSITY IS FORECAST, BUT IFR CONDITIONS ARE STILL FORECAST. IN
ADDITION, WINDS SHOULD START INCREASING THEN AND THIS WILL START
BLOWING AND DRIFTING THE SNOW AROUND.

OUTLOOK...
IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE QUITE LIKELY THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT AND POSSIBLY THROUGH FRIDAY DAY. GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED AND WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW.
CONDITIONS SHOULD START IMPROVING TO MVFR AND VFR AS FRIDAY
PROGRESSES AND ALL TERMINALS SHOULD BE PREDOMINATELY VFR OVER THE
WEEKEND ALTHOUGH SOME SHOWERS MIGHT OCCUR. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
OVER THE BAY, CONDITIONS ARE DROPPING BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AND WE
WILL LET THE ADVISORY EXPIRE AT 6 AM. WE EXTENDED THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY OVER THE LOWER OCEAN WATERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS SEAS
HAVE BEEN SUBSIDING SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN EXPECTED.

GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW THAT GALES REMAIN LIKELY FOR THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT OVER ALL WATERS, AND THAT THEY REMAIN SO THROUGH
FRIDAY FOR THE NORTHERN WATERS. THEY ALSO CONTINUE TO SHOW A CHANCE
OF STORM FORCE WINDS. THIS ALL BEGINS DURING THE THIRD PERIOD
/THURSDAY/, SO WE'RE NOT GOING TO BOOST OR TO START GIVING TOO MUCH
DEFINITION TO THE GALE WATCH AT THIS POINT. WE WILL MAINTAIN IT AS
IT STANDS.

SEAS WILL SLOWLY START TO COME DOWN, ALONG WITH THE WINDS, ON FRIDAY
OR FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WITH THE UPCOMING SYSTEM, LATEST GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THE THURSDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES
MAINLY ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT. WITH THIS OUT IN THE THIRD PERIOD WE
WILL HOLD OFF ISSUING ANY HEADLINES. THE NEXT CONCERN WILL BE
BLOWOUT TIDES BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW IS FORECAST TO
STALL JUST TO OUR NORTHEAST.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
     MORNING FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071.
NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
     MORNING FOR NJZ001-007>010-012>027.
DE...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
     MORNING FOR DEZ001>004.
MD...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
     MORNING FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR
     ANZ430-431-450>455.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     ANZ450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NIERENBERG
NEAR TERM...AMC/ROBERTSON
SHORT TERM...NIERENBERG
LONG TERM...NIERENBERG
AVIATION...GIGI
MARINE...DELISI/GIGI
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1021 AM EST WED FEB 24 2010

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-251530-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1021 AM EST WED FEB 24 2010

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>455-251530-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1021 AM EST WED FEB 24 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-251530-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1021 AM EST WED FEB 24 2010

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.