Coastal Flood Statement 16, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

816 
WHUS41 KPHI 172220
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
620 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

....THE LONG LIVED MAJOR HURRICANE IGOR MOVING TOWARD BERMUDA HAS
CAST ITS ENVELOPE OF SWELLS TO THE MID ATLANTIC SHORES AND THE
SWELLS ARE FORECAST TO SLOWLY INCREASE INTO MONDAY...

.SOUTHEAST SWELLS OF 4 TO 5 FEET WERE AFFECTING MUCH OF THE NEW
JERSEY AND DELAWARE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. THESE SHOULD BUILD
TO AROUND 8 FEET BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY...INCREASING THE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS AS THEY DO SO...BEFORE RAPIDLY SUBSIDING NEXT
TUESDAY.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-180900-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.S.0016.100918T1100Z-100919T0200Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
620 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL BE BORDERING ON HIGH
SATURDAY. THEREAFTER FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...RIP CURRENT RISK WILL
MORE THAN LIKELY BE VERY HIGH.

FUTURE FORECASTS MAY UPGRADE TO A HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY...IF AND WHEN EIGHT FOOT SWELLS ARE A NEAR
100 PERCENT CERTAINTY.

CONFIDENCE FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENT DEVELOPMENT IS WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG RIP CURRENTS CAN MOVE YOU AWAY FROM THE SHORELINE VERY
QUICKLY. SINCE THERE ARE NO LIFEGUARDS ON AREA BEACHES...IT IS
RECOMMENDED TO AVOID SWIMMING ON THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BEACHES...
ESPECIALLY LATE SATURDAY INTO MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE
LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

&&

$$

DRAG/MPD

718 
WHUS41 KPHI 180711
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
311 AM EDT SAT SEP 18 2010

...LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE IGOR AFFECTING THE NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE SHORE AREAS...

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-182100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.S.0016.100918T1100Z-100919T0200Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
311 AM EDT SAT SEP 18 2010

POWERFUL HURRICANE IGOR CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN THIS MORNING. POWERFUL SWELLS THAT HAVE
RUN OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE SHORE AREAS
OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. THESE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF
THE WEEKEND AND MOST LIKELY INTO MONDAY. THE SWELLS WILL MOSTLY BE
IN THE 4 TO 6 FOOT RANGE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. IF THE SURF
INCREASES ABOVE 8 FEET...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG RIP CURRENTS CAN MOVE YOU AWAY FROM THE SHORELINE VERY
QUICKLY. SINCE THERE ARE NO LIFEGUARDS ON AREA BEACHES...IT IS
RECOMMENDED TO AVOID SWIMMING ON THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BEACHES...
ESPECIALLY LATE SATURDAY INTO MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE
LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

&&

$$

824 
WHUS41 KPHI 181611
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1211 PM EDT SAT SEP 18 2010

...BUILDING SWELLS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS FROM HURRICANE IGOR
AFFECTING THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE SHORE AREAS...

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-190900-
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.S.0016.000000T0000Z-100919T0900Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
1211 PM EDT SAT SEP 18 2010

POWERFUL HURRICANE IGOR CONTINUED TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE WESTERN 
ATLANTIC OCEAN TODAY. POWERFUL SWELLS THAT HAVE RUN OUT AHEAD OF THE 
STORM ALREADY WERE AFFECTING THE SHORE AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND 
DELAWARE. THE SWELLS WERE RESULTING IN INCREASINGLY STRONG RIP 
CURRENTS. THESE SWELLS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE OVER 
THE WEEKEND AND MOST LIKELY INTO MONDAY.

THE SWELLS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE 4 TO 6 FEET RANGE TODAY AND EARLY
TONIGHT. IF THE SURF INCREASES ABOVE 8 FEET...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY
WILL BE ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG RIP CURRENTS CAN MOVE YOU AWAY FROM THE SHORELINE VERY
QUICKLY. SINCE THERE ARE NO LIFEGUARDS ON AREA BEACHES...IT IS
RECOMMENDED THAT YOU AVOID SWIMMING ON THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BEACHES
INTO MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

&&

$$

205 
WHUS41 KPHI 190026
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
826 PM EDT SAT SEP 18 2010

...BUILDING SWELLS AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS FROM DISTANT
HURRICANE IGOR AFFECTING THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE...

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-190900-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.S.0016.000000T0000Z-100919T0900Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
826 PM EDT SAT SEP 18 2010

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH SUNDAY...

LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO ARRIVE AND BUILD IN RESPONSE
TO WELL DISTANT BUT LARGE AND DANGEROUS HURRICANE IGOR. THESE
SWELLS ARE RESULTING IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS, WHICH WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AND MOST LIKELY INTO MONDAY.

THE SWELLS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE 4 TO 6 FOOT RANGE TONIGHT,
THEN BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FEET SUNDAY. IF THE SURF INCREASES TO ABOVE
8 FEET, THEN A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SINCE THERE ARE LITTLE TO NO LIFEGUARDS ON AREA BEACHES, IT IS
RECOMMENDED THAT YOU AVOID SWIMMING IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
BEACHES INTO MONDAY.

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS, ESPECIALLY IN
THE VICINITY OF JETTIES, PIERS AND SANDBARS. RIP CURRENTS ARE
LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. BE ESPECIALLY
CAUTIOUS WITH OUTGOING TIDES WHICH IMPROVE RIP CURRENT FORMATION.

RIP CURRENTS ARE STRONG, NARROW CHANNELS OF WATER THAT FLOW OUT TO
SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT, REMAIN CALM. TRY TO
SWIM ON A COURSE THAT IS PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL YOU GET AWAY
FROM THE RIP, THEN SWIM AT AN ANGLE IN TO SHORE. DO NOT TRY TO
SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE RIP, SINCE IT CAN EXHAUST
AND EVEN KILL THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

&&

$$

GORSE

494 
WHUS41 KPHI 190717
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
317 AM EDT SUN SEP 19 2010

...BUILDING SWELLS AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS FROM DISTANT
HURRICANE IGOR AFFECTING THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE...

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-192000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.S.0016.000000T0000Z-100920T1000Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
317 AM EDT SUN SEP 19 2010

LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO ARRIVE AND BUILD IN RESPONSE
TO WELL DISTANT BUT LARGE AND DANGEROUS HURRICANE IGOR. THESE
SWELLS ARE RESULTING IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS... WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TODAY AND MONDAY...PERHAPS INTO EARLY TUESDAY.

THE SWELLS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE 5 TO 8 FOOT RANGE TODAY. IF THE
SURF INCREASES TO ABOVE 8 FEET AT THE SHORE... THEN A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SINCE THERE ARE FEW...IF ANY...LIFEGUARDS ON AREA BEACHES... IT
IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU AVOID SWIMMING IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
BEACHES INTO MONDAY.

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS... ESPECIALLY
IN THE VICINITY OF JETTIES... PIERS AND SANDBARS. RIP CURRENTS
ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. BE ESPECIALLY
CAUTIOUS WITH OUTGOING TIDES WHICH IMPROVE RIP CURRENT FORMATION.

RIP CURRENTS ARE STRONG... NARROW CHANNELS OF WATER THAT FLOW OUT
TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT... REMAIN CALM. TRY
TO SWIM ON A COURSE THAT IS PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL YOU GET
AWAY FROM THE RIP... THEN SWIM AT AN ANGLE IN TO SHORE. DO NOT
TRY TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE RIP... SINCE IT
CAN EXHAUST AND EVEN KILL THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

&&

$$

565 
WHUS41 KPHI 191940
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
340 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2010

...BUILDING SWELLS RESULTING IN HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS FROM DISTANT HURRICANE IGOR AFFECTING THE COASTS OF NEW
JERSEY AND DELAWARE...

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-200900-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SU.Y.0001.100919T1940Z-100921T0400Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.S.0016.000000T0000Z-100921T0400Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
340 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2010

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A HIGH
SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY
NIGHT.

LONG PERIOD SWELLS CONTINUE TO BUILD FROM THE SOUTH ALONG THE
COASTLINES OF DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY. THE SWELLS WERE IN THE 4 TO
8 FEET RANGE EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST SWELLS SOUTH,
AND THEY WILL BUILD GRADUALLY INTO MONDAY. ACCORDING TO VIDEO FROM
THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COASTLINE, THESE SWELLS WERE REACHING THE
SHORE VIRTUALLY UNABATED. SURF HEIGHTS MAY OCCASIONALLY EXCEED 10
FEET BY MONDAY.

ALSO, THE SWELLS WERE RESULTING IN STRONG RIP CURRENTS, AND THE
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA. THE POWER OF HIGH SURF IS DANGEROUS IN AND OF
ITSELF TO ANYONE ENTERING THE WATER, AND HIGH SURF ALSO PRODUCES
RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION. 

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS, ESPECIALLY BUT
BY NO MEANS EXCLUSIVELY IN THE VICINITY OF JETTIES, PIERS AND
SANDBARS. 

RIP CURRENTS ARE STRONG, NARROW CHANNELS OF WATER THAT FLOW OUT
TO SEA. THEY ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS WITH OUTGOING TIDES, WHICH IMPROVE RIP
CURRENT FORMATION.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT, REMAIN CALM. TRY TO SWIM ON
A COURSE THAT IS PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL YOU GET AWAY FROM THE
RIP, THEN SWIM AT AN ANGLE IN TO SHORE. DO NOT TRY TO SWIM BACK TO
SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE RIP, SINCE IT CAN EXHAUST AND EVEN KILL
THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

SINCE THERE ARE FEW IF ANY LIFEGUARDS ON AREA BEACHES, PEOPLE ARE
STRONGLY ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER ALONG THE COASTLINES OF
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

$$

178 
WHUS41 KPHI 200128
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
928 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2010

...BUILDING SWELLS RESULTING IN HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS FROM WELL DISTANT HURRICANE IGOR CONTINUES TO AFFECT
THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS...

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-200900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-100921T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.S.0016.000000T0000Z-100921T0400Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
928 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2010

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY
NIGHT...
...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY
NIGHT. IN ADDITION, A HIGH RISK OF RIPS CURRENTS REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

LONG PERIOD SWELLS CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY BUILD ALONG THE COASTS OF 
DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY. THE SWELLS WILL BE IN THE 4 TO 8 FOOT
RANGE TONIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST SWELLS ROLLING IN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AREAS. THESE WILL BUILD GRADUALLY MONDAY. SURF HEIGHTS
MAY OCCASIONALLY EXCEED 10 FEET, ESPECIALLY DURING MONDAY.

ALSO, THE LARGE SWELLS CONTINUE TO RESULT IN DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS AND THE HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SINCE THERE ARE FEW, IF ANY, LIFEGUARDS ON AREA BEACHES, PEOPLE
ARE STRONGLY ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER ALONG THE COASTLINES
OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE THROUGH MONDAY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA. THE POWER OF HIGH SURF IS DANGEROUS IN AND OF
ITSELF TO ANYONE ENTERING THE WATER, AND HIGH SURF ALSO PRODUCES
RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION.

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS, ESPECIALLY BUT
BY NO MEANS EXCLUSIVELY IN THE VICINITY OF JETTIES, PIERS AND
SANDBARS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE STRONG, NARROW CHANNELS OF WATER THAT FLOW OUT
TO SEA. THEY ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS WITH OUTGOING TIDES, WHICH IMPROVE RIP
CURRENT FORMATION.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT, REMAIN CALM. TRY TO SWIM
ON A COURSE THAT IS PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL YOU GET AWAY FROM
THE RIP, THEN SWIM AT AN ANGLE IN TO SHORE. DO NOT TRY TO SWIM
BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE RIP, SINCE IT CAN EXHAUST AND
EVEN KILL THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

&&

$$

GORSE

469 
WHUS41 KPHI 200732
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
332 AM EDT MON SEP 20 2010

...BUILDING SWELLS RESULTING IN HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS FROM WELL DISTANT HURRICANE IGOR CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS...

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-202000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-100921T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.S.0016.000000T0000Z-100921T0400Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
332 AM EDT MON SEP 20 2010

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY
NIGHT. IN ADDITION... A HIGH RISK OF RIPS CURRENTS REMAINS IN
EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING.

LONG PERIOD SWELLS CONTINUE ALONG THE COASTS OF DELAWARE AND NEW
JERSEY. THE SWELLS WILL BE IN THE 6 TO 9 FOOT RANGE TODAY WITH
THE HIGHEST SWELLS ROLLING IN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AREAS. A FEW
BREAKERS MAY REACH 10 FEET AT TIMES. 

ALSO... THE LARGE SWELLS CONTINUE TO RESULT IN DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS AND THE HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SINCE THERE ARE FEW... IF ANY... LIFEGUARDS ON AREA BEACHES...
PEOPLE ARE STRONGLY ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER ALONG THE
COASTLINES OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE THROUGH MONDAY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA. THE POWER OF HIGH SURF IS DANGEROUS IN AND OF
ITSELF TO ANYONE ENTERING THE WATER... AND HIGH SURF ALSO
PRODUCES RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION.

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS... ESPECIALLY
BUT BY NO MEANS EXCLUSIVELY IN THE VICINITY OF JETTIES... PIERS
AND SANDBARS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE STRONG... NARROW CHANNELS OF WATER THAT FLOW OUT
TO SEA. THEY ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS WITH OUTGOING TIDES... WHICH IMPROVE RIP
CURRENT FORMATION.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT... REMAIN CALM. TRY TO SWIM
ON A COURSE THAT IS PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL YOU GET AWAY FROM
THE RIP... THEN SWIM AT AN ANGLE IN TO SHORE. DO NOT TRY TO SWIM
BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE RIP... SINCE IT CAN EXHAUST
AND EVEN KILL THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

&&

$$

632 
WHUS41 KPHI 201930
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
330 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2010

...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS FROM DISTANT HURRICANE IGOR WILL CONTINUE
TO AFFECT THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING...

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-210400-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-100921T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.S.0016.000000T0000Z-100921T0400Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
330 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2010

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
HIGH SURF ADVISORY. HOWEVER...A HIGH RISK OF RIPS CURRENTS REMAINS
IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING.

LONG PERIOD SWELLS CONTINUE ALONG THE COASTS OF DELAWARE AND NEW
JERSEY...ALTHOUGH THEY ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH 6 TO 9
FEET. THE SWELLS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 4 TO 6 FOOT RANGE FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

ALSO...THE SWELLS CONTINUE TO RESULT IN DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS...
AND A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SINCE THERE ARE FEW...IF ANY...LIFEGUARDS ON AREA BEACHES...
PEOPLE ARE STRONGLY ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER ALONG THE
COASTLINES OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY
BUT BY NO MEANS EXCLUSIVELY IN THE VICINITY OF JETTIES...PIERS
AND SANDBARS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE STRONG...NARROW CHANNELS OF WATER THAT FLOW OUT
TO SEA. THEY ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS WITH OUTGOING TIDES...WHICH IMPROVE RIP
CURRENT FORMATION.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...REMAIN CALM. TRY TO SWIM
ON A COURSE THAT IS PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL YOU GET AWAY FROM
THE RIP...THEN SWIM AT AN ANGLE IN TOWARD SHORE. DO NOT TRY TO
SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE RIP...SINCE IT CAN
EXHAUST AND EVEN KILL THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
354 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING FRONT
TODAY AND ENCOMPASSES THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY MORNING.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT MAY CROSS THE AREA LATER ON SUNDAY WITH ANOTHER
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING IN ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A WARM FRONT
WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY
SPILLING INTO WEDNESDAY WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT LATE ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS FRONT MAY STALL TO OUR SOUTH ON THURSDAY BECOME RE-ENERGIZED
AND MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
AN 18Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS OUR EARLIER DEPARTED LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT NOW SITTING OFFSHORE OF OUR
REGION. HIGH PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY SITTING BACK IN THE GREAT LAKES
REGION, BUT THIS WILL MOVE FURTHER EASTWARD THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. THERE IS A WEAK BOUNDARY, ALMOST AN INVERTED TROUGH SITTING
OVER NEW ENGLAND AT THE MOMENT, AND THIS FEATURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE
TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT.

MAINLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE SQUEEZING IN FROM
THE NORTHWEST. WITH YESTERDAY'S WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WE WILL SEE OUR
USUAL LOW LYING SPOTS DEVELOP FOG BY THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
SATURDAY. WAS CONSIDERING ON PUTTING FOG INTO THE FORECAST FOR
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW JERSEY, BUT MODELS ARE INDICATING A SURGE
IN HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ADVECTING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST. AS
WAS SAID ABOVE, THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE SOME SORT OF MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE LINE, OR AN INVERTED TROUGH ALLOWING FOR MORE CLOUD
COVER ALONG THE COAST AND SLIGHTLY FURTHER INLAND...HENCE, NO FOG
FORMATION. A PIECE OF ENERGY COINCIDING WITH THIS BOUNDARY MAY
PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT TO RING OUT A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST BY EARLY TO MID MORNING...ONLY TALKING A HUNDREDTH
OR TWO.

SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE NICELY IN MOST AREAS, EXCEPT WHERE THE
THICKER CLOUDS EXIST, WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING NEARLY 10 DEGREES
FROM FRIDAY MORNING, BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S. A BLEND OF THE
MAV/MET MOS SUFFICED FOR THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/...
FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY NO LATER THAN 15Z. THERE IS STILL A DECENT
AMOUNT OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AROUND, BUT BY THE MORNING HOURS THE
MID-LEVELS ARE PRETTY DRY, SO THE FOG WILL NOT BE TOO THICK...IT
STILL CAN REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO ABOUT A MILE OR TWO IN SOME
SPOTS. THE BOUNDARY OVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS WILL CONTINUE ON ITS
SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION AS THE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO WORK ITS
WAY INTO OUR CWA. AGAIN WITH THE AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE STICKING
AROUND, DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH RAIN LOCALES RECEIVED ON THURSDAY,
ANY PASSING PIECE OF ENERGY COULD PRODUCE SOME LOWER LEVEL CLOUDS
DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MORE OF THESE
CLOUDS IN NEW JERSEY WHERE OVER THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN
FELL ON THURSDAY, COMPARED TO A COUPLE TENTHS ON THE PENNSYLVANIA
SIDE.

WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE NEARLY OVERHEAD BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, WE
WILL BE DRY THROUGH A THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND, THAT IS UNTIL
THE HIGH SLIDES MORE TO THE NORTHEAST LATE ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL
ALLOW A WEAK COLD FRONT TO SAG IN FROM THE NORTHWEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY. MODELS ARE NOT SHOWING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FRONT, SO FOR THE TIME BEING, SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS WERE CARRIED JUST IN OUR FAR NORTHWESTERN ZONES. SOUNDINGS SHOW
THAT THESE AREAS MAY HAVE A LITTLE BIT MORE INSTABILITY TO PLAY WITH
TO PROVIDE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS AND MORE CLOUDS.

THE FRONT LETHARGICALLY PUSHES THROUGH BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE STARTS TO MOVE BACK IN. NOW WE SEE A TIGHTENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT ON MONDAY WITH THE HIGH NOSING IN AND HURRICANE IGOR MOVING
BY TO OUR EAST...NO EFFECTS FROM IGOR ARE EXPECTED OTHER THAN
HIGHER SURF CONDITIONS. WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTH TO AROUND 10
KNOTS, STRONGER ALONG THE COAST WITH SOME GUSTS UPWARDS OF 20 KNOTS.
AGAIN WE REMAIN PRECIPITATION FREE ON MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID-70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
WE START THE LONG TERM WITH A BUILDING MID LEVEL RIDGE AND SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE. WE RADIATE TEMPERATURES A BIT BELOW HPC GUIDANCE ON
MONDAY NIGHT IN ANTICIPATION OF RADIATIONAL COOLING. WE MAINTAIN THE
DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE LONG TERM.

ENERGY MOVING ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE THAT IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WE HAVE BEEN ADVERTISING FOR
WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY PRESENTLY IS PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, AND SINCE IT ALL IS MOVING INTO A STRONG RIDGE WE
ONLY ARE CARRYING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WITH IT. WE DO MENTION THUNDER.
WE ALSO RAISE HPC TEMPERATURES A BIT ON WEDNESDAY BASED ON THE
FRONTAL TIMING AND THE ECMWF H925 TEMPERATURES.

THE RIDGE AGAIN BECOMES THE DOMINANT INFLUENCE THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT, AND WE AGAIN RAISE HPC TEMPERATURES A BIT AND STAY DRY IN
RESPONSE. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MOVING ALONG THE RIDGE'S NORTHERN EDGE
MAY BRING A COLD FRONT FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. PRESENT TIMING HAS
FRONTAL PASSAGE FRIDAY NIGHT, AND WE CARRY CHANCE POPS NORTHWEST ON
FRIDAY AND NEAR AND NORTH OF THE I95 CORRIDOR ON FRIDAY NIGHT. WE
AGAIN MENTION THUNDER, AND WE CONTINUE THE TENDENCY TO RAISE HPC
TEMPERATURES A BIT.

THE UPSHOT IS THAT THE FORECAST FOR THE LONG TERM IS NOT VERY
UNSETTLED, BUT IT IS RATHER MILD AFTER TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...VFR SCT-BKN NEAR 4000 FT.

TONIGHT...VFR TO START. HOWEVER FORECAST CONFIDENCE LOW AFTER 03Z.

ONE REASON IS THE RATHER HUMID LAYER THE NAM IS FORECAST NEAR 4000
FT TO EVOLVE ACROSS NJ TONIGHT. IT COULD BE THAT DECK CURRENTLY
MOVING SOUTH SOUTHWEST THRU NYC AND W LI.

THEN THERE IS THE 500-1500 FT DECK IN RI/ERN MASSACHUSETTS THAT IS
MOVING RAPIDLY SW AND ASSOCIATED WITH A WIND SHIFT FROM NW TO NE
GUSTING 15-20 KTS. RGEM/NAM/GFS HAVE THIS WELL DEFINED THOUGH SPATIALLY
SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS. IN ANY CASE...HAVE FORECAST THIS TO
SPREAD INTO NEW JERSEY DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...POSSIBLY
REACHING THE DELAWARE RIVER AROUND 12Z BUT CONFIDENCE IS BELOW AVG
ON THE DETAILS OF THESE TWO CLOUD DECKS AND ASSOCIATED TIMING.

TSECS OF 950-900MB RH ARE QUITE HELPFUL IN THE MATCH OF CIG
OBSERVATIONS TODAY.

SO...PATCHY MVFR/IFR FOG IS IN THE NON URBAN TAF SITES LATE TONIGHT
AND A DECK OF STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO PENETRATE PARTIALLY INLAND ACROSS
NJ EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

NCEP MOS GUIDANCE AND SREF PROBS FOR CIGS HAVE NOT BEEN VERY GOOD
WITH THE NAM MOS BEST...AS WE CHECKED UPSTREAM IN NEW ENGLAND TODAY
TO SEE HOW THE MODEL GUIDANCE WAS PERFORMING.

CONVERGENCE OF ENE WIND ON THE OCEAN HITTING THE LAND AND MOIST BL
WITH ALREADY EMBEDDED SPRINKLES ALREADY PASSING KBID MAY PRODUCE A
FEW SPRINKLES/MIST IN A VERY MOIST LOWEST 2500 FEET SATURDAY
MORNING IN COASTAL NJ AND UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE NJ HILLS.

SFC WINDS WILL BEGIN LIGHT NW-N OR CALM THIS EVENING AND THEN TEND
TO SHIFT NE AFTER THE BACKDOOR PASSAGE. AGAIN FCST CONFIDENCE MUCH
LESS THAN THAN AVG.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY...AFTER WHATEVER MVFR/IFR ARRIVES/DEVELOPS PREDAWN SATURDAY
IN NJ TO THE DELAWARE RIVER...BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING SHOULD DISSIPATE
OR LIFT THE CIGS TO VFR BY FORENOON AND EVENTUALLY VFR IN THE AFTERNOON
EXCEPTING POSSIBLY KACY WHERE LOW CIGS MAY REMAIN ALL DAY. LIGHT ONSHORE
FLOW.

SATURDAY NIGHT...VFR TO START THEN IN THE LIGHT WIND FIELD...IFR
STRATUS AND POSSIBLE IFR FOG WILL FORM BY EARLY SUNDAY IN NJ TO
VICINITY OF THE DELAWARE RIVER.

SUNDAY-WEDNESDAY... HIGH PRESSURE IN THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL PROBABLY
REACH THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY TUESDAY AND OFF THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST NEXT WEDNESDAY. THERE MAY BE A SHORT PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK COOL FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY MONDAY OTHERWISE VFR CONDS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED. WINDS LIGHT EXCEPT NNW GUSTS TO 20 KTS MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND SW GUSTS TO 20 KTS WED AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
CONTINUING SCA FOR THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AS IS.

RELYING UPON 44009 FOR THIS MARINE FORECAST WAVE GUIDANCE.

KPHI TENDS NOT TO ISSUE SCA FOR SWELL ONLY SEAS OF 5 FT AND SO
THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SWELLS WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 FEET THROUGH
00Z/19 - SUNDAY. THEREAFTER THOUGH SWELLS WILL INCREASE AND AN SCA
FOR SEAS IS A HIGH PROBABILITY FOR LATE SAT NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

THE HIGHEST SWELL AND MOST POWERFUL PERIOD WILL PROBABLY OCCUR IN
OUR COASTAL WATERS MONDAY WITH A 15 SECOND PERIOD AND 8 TO 10 FOOT
SWELL AT THE BUOYS WITH AN UNKNOWN VALUE FOR OUR COASTAL BATHYMETRY
BUT CERTAINLY CLOSE TO THESE NUMBERS. THESE WILL PRODUCE ROUGH SURF
AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.

SWELLS ARE MODELED TO SUBSIDE RAPIDLY ON TUESDAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A 1 FOOT SURGE RAISES TIDES LATE MONDAY. IGOR PASSES WELL TO OUR
EAST BUT IF THE SEAS ARE UP...THERE MIGHT BE A LITTLE WAVE ACTION
SPILL OVER LATE IN THE DAY.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR INCREASING RISK OF
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE ADVISORY WILL
BE ONLY FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE BETTER THAN
EVEN CHANCE PROBABILITY THAT WE WILL NEED TO ISSUE A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

BUOY 44009 IS USED WAS THE PRIMARY GUIDE FOR CRITICAL SWELL PREDICTION
INT HIS FORECAST SINCE IT APPEARS TO HAVE A GOOD READ ON THE PREDOMINANT
SWELL OF NOW NEARLY 5 FT 12-13SEC AT 18Z/17 WHICH VERIFIES.

12Z GFDL NOW UNDER PREDICTING BY A FOOT AND THE 12Z/17 GFS WW GUIDANCE
IS CURRENTLY SLIGHTLY MORE ACCURATE.

TAKING THE CONSERVATIVE VALUE...MODERATE OR GREATER RISK OF DANGEROUS
RIP CURRENTS SATURDAY. SUNDAY AND MONDAY PROJECT HIGH RISK. ALSO
SUNDAY OR MONDAY WOULD PROBABLY NEED A MARGINAL HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

AS DISTANT HURRICANE IGOR MAKES ITS WAY NORTH, THE GREATEST EFFECTS
IN OUR AREA WILL BE FELT LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SWELLS AT THAT
TIME ARE FORECAST TO BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH A HEIGHT OF 8 TO
10 FT AND A PERIOD OF 15 TO 16 SECONDS. THIS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS
RIP CURRENTS AND VERY ROUGH SURF. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BE GREAT
FOR SURFERS BUT HORRIBLE FOR ANYONE ELSE WHO IS TRYING TO VENTURE
INTO OR ONTO THE OCEAN.

GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS ON MONDAY WILL ADD A WIND WAVE TO POSSIBLY CONFUSE
THE SEA AND SURF SPRAY SO THAT I THINK SUNDAY WILL BE MORE TRANQUIL
LOOKING OCEAN SWELL BEFORE IT BREAKS ASHORE.

SWELLS ARE MODELED TO DECREASE RAPIDLY ON TUESDAY.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
     NJZ014-024>026.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
     DEZ004.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HEAVENER
NEAR TERM...HEAVENER
SHORT TERM...HEAVENER
LONG TERM...DELISI
AVIATION...DRAG 354P
MARINE...DRAG 354P
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...354P
RIP CURRENTS...354P

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
343 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-015>019-PAZ054-
055-060>062-067>071-181945-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
343 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-181945-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
343 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS INTO TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

THERE WILL BE A CONSIDERABLE INCREASED RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS AND SLOWLY BUILDING SURF TODAY INTO MONDAY AS HURRICANE
IGOR LURKS WELL OFF THE EAST COAST. THEY SHOULD PEAK ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. PLEASE MONITOR THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER PROJECTIONS
OF IGOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ003-NJZ013-020>023-027-181945-
INLAND SUSSEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
343 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS INTO TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE WILL BE A CONSIDERABLE INCREASED RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS AND SLOWLY BUILDING SURF TODAY INTO MONDAY AS HURRICANE
IGOR LURKS WELL OFF THE EAST COAST. THEY SHOULD PEAK ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. PLEASE MONITOR THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER PROJECTIONS
OF IGOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>455-181945-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
343 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM DISTANT HURRICANE IGOR SHOULD AFFECT AREA
WATERS FROM SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PLEASE MONITOR TROPICAL
PREDICTION CENTER PROJECTIONS OF IGOR AND COASTAL MARINE FORECASTS
FROM THE MOUNT HOLLY OFFICE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-181945-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
343 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
139 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0442 PM     LIGHTNING        ELKTON                  39.60N 75.82W
09/16/2010                   CECIL              MD   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            LIGHTNING STRUCK A HOUSE AND TREE IN ELKTON, RESULTING IN
            A HOUSE FIRE.

0445 PM     TSTM WND GST     BEAR                    39.62N 75.68W
09/16/2010  M59.00 MPH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            59 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT BEAR.

0515 PM     TSTM WND GST     PERTH AMBOY             40.52N 74.27W
09/16/2010  M73.00 MPH       MIDDLESEX          NJ   MESONET

            73 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT PERTH AMBOY.

0517 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PERTH AMBOY             40.52N 74.27W
09/16/2010                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND BROKEN WINDOWS REPORTED IN PERTH
            AMBOY.

0520 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     OLD BRIDGE              40.39N 74.33W
09/16/2010                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POSSIBLE FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTED ALONG ROUTE 9 NEAR OLD
            BRIDGE.

0520 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WOODBRIDGE              40.55N 74.29W
09/16/2010                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIRES AND LARGE TREE BRANCHES DOWN NEAR WOODBRIDGE. ALSO
            POWER OUTAGES AND SOME URBAN FLOODING REPORTED AT SEVERAL
            LOCATIONS IN THE COUNTY.

0522 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROBERTSVILLE            40.34N 74.30W
09/16/2010                   MONMOUTH           NJ   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN AT NUMEROUS LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT
            MONMOUTH COUNTY.

0522 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GLASSBORO               39.70N 75.11W
09/16/2010                   GLOUCESTER         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE DOWN AND WIND GUST ESTIMATED AT 55 MPH IN
            GLASSBORO.

0522 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNW PITMAN            39.76N 75.15W
09/16/2010                   GLOUCESTER         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES DOWN THROUGHOUT GLOUCESTER
            COUNTY, INCLUDING AT SEWELL.

0525 PM     TSTM WND GST     BLACKWOOD               39.80N 75.06W
09/16/2010  M54.00 MPH       CAMDEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            54 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED IN BLACKWOOD.

0540 PM     TSTM WND GST     SANDY HOOK              40.44N 73.99W
09/16/2010  M45.00 MPH       MONMOUTH           NJ   MESONET

            A 45 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT SANDY
            HOOK.

0543 PM     TSTM WND GST     MOUNT HOLLY             39.99N 74.79W
09/16/2010  M55.00 MPH       BURLINGTON         NJ   ASOS

            55 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL
            AIRPORT.

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW LEISURETOWNE      39.91N 74.71W
09/16/2010                   BURLINGTON         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER POLE DOWN IN SOUTHAMPTON TOWNSHIP. ANEMOMETER
            BROKEN BEFORE WIND COULD BE MEASURED, BUT TRAINED SPOTTER
            ESTIMATED WIND GUST AT 60 MPH.

0550 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 E WARETOWN            39.79N 74.17W
09/16/2010  M39.00 MPH       ANZ451             NJ   MESONET

            A 39 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT BARNEGAT.

0605 PM     TORNADO          2 SW WOODRUFF           40.04N 74.49W
09/16/2010  F1               OCEAN              NJ   NWS STORM SURVEY

            THREE TO FOUR HOUSES DAMAGED IN PLUMSTED TOWNSHIP ALONG
            WITH NUMEROUS TREE TRUNKS SNAPPED. A FEW TELEPHONE POLES
            ALSO BENT AND SNAPPED. MUCH OF THE DAMAGE REPORTED ALONG
            LONG SWAMP ROAD, COLLIERS MILLS ROAD AND COUNTY ROUTE
            539. PATH LENGTH 2 MILES, WIDTH 250 YDS. MAX WINDS 90
            MPH.

0612 PM     TSTM WND GST     LAKEHURST               40.01N 74.32W
09/16/2010  M61.00 MPH       OCEAN              NJ   ASOS

            61 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT LAKEHURST NAS.

0619 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAKEWOOD                40.09N 74.21W
09/16/2010                   OCEAN              NJ   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES KNOCKED DOWN, ONE ONTO A VEHICLE, IN
            LAKEWOOD.

0635 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SSW MANTOLOKING       40.01N 74.06W
09/16/2010  M46.00 MPH       ANZ451             NJ   MESONET

            A 46 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT BRICK.

0710 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE MAYS LANDING      39.47N 74.68W
09/16/2010                   ATLANTIC           NJ   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A COUPLE OF TREES KNOCKED DOWN ON VEHICLES IN HAMILTON
            TOWNSHIP. NO INJURIES REPORTED.

&&

AMC