Tornado Warning 6, NWS Melbourne, FL

900 
WWUS52 KMLB 221007
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
507 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2010

FLC009-221015-
/O.CON.KMLB.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-100122T1015Z/
BREVARD-
507 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 AM EST FOR CENTRAL
BREVARD COUNTY...

AT 500 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
PORT CANAVERAL...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THE STORM CELL WILL PUSH 
OFFSHORE THE CAPE CANAVERAL AREA AND INTO THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC 
WATERS.

LAT...LON 2843 8056 2839 8059 2839 8063 2853 8058
      2858 8060 2854 8060 2845 8065 2838 8066
      2837 8072 2839 8073 2837 8074 2839 8074
      2839 8072 2855 8073 2860 8058 2845 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 1006Z 256DEG 37KT 2852 8046

$$

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
417 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2010

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT-TODAY...FRONTAL BOUNDARY/TROUGH ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
FLORIDA WITH STORMS AND SHOWERS MOVING WEST TO EAST AT 30 TO 35 MPH
ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA. SEVERAL CELLS SHOWING LOW LEVEL ROTATION
ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP FEEDING MOISTURE
INTO THE AREA THEREFORE WILL KEEP CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AREAWIDE FOR MOST OF THE DAY THEN CLEAR THE
NORTHERN HALF DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE BOUNDARY WEAKENS AND
DROPS INTO SOUTHERN FLORIDA.

TONIGHT...CLEARING SKIES AS FRONT CLEARS SOUTHERN AREAS. WINDS SHIFT
TO THE NORTHEAST AS HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EASTERN SEA BOARD BUILDS
INTO FLORIDA.

SAT-MON...BRIEF TRANSITION TO COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS SAT
WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGE TRANSITING THE AREA BEHIND WEAKENING COLD FRONT.
RATHER PROGRESSIVE PATTERN IN PLACE WILL CREATE AN EARLY RETURN TO
ONSHORE FLOW DURING SAT WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RECOVERY AS
MARINE INFLUENCE BEGINS. LATEST GFS BRINGS LOW POPS IN SAT
NIGHT...BUT WILL KEEP PREVIOUS FORECAST WHICH INTRODUCES SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS ON SUN AS IT BECOMES WARM WITH A BREEZY SOUTH WIND
FLOW. A DEEP MID LATITUDE TROUGH OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE
COUNTRY AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION
OF JET SHOULD PROVIDE LARGE SCALE LIFT AND BRING A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS/STORMS AHEAD OF NEXT COLD FRONT ON SUN NIGHT/MONDAY.

TUE-FRI...FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE MONDAY WILL BRING AN EXTENDED
PERIOD OF DRIER AND COOL CONDITIONS WELL INTO THE WEEK AS A LARGE
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN STATES AND
EVENTUALLY MOVES OUT OVER THE WESTERN ATLC. SLOW VEERING OF WINDS
TO ONSHORE BY LATE WEEK WILL BRING A GRADUAL MODERATING
TREND...WITH NO FORESEEABLE PRECIPITATION.

&&

.AVIATION...TEMPO IFR CONDITIONS MCO-MLB SOUTH IN/NEAR STORMS
THROUGH THE MORNING THEN VFR.

&&

.MARINE...ROPPING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AS WINDS DO NOT SUPPORT
CONTINUATION AND MENTION SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FOR 15 TO 20
KNOT WINDS BEYOND 20 MILES OF SHORE.

SAT...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE NOSING DOWN THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL
RESULT IN WINDS VEERING TO ONSHORE. LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL START TO INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON SO
EAST WINDS MAY PICK UP TO 15 KNOTS.

SUN...WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASE...WITH ADVISORY
LEVELS LIKELY REACHED.

MON-TUE...POST FRONTAL WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS LOOKS LIKE THEY WILL
STAY AT ADVISORY LEVELS AS GOOD MIXING SHOULD OCCUR DUE TO COLD
ADVECTION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  76  54  72  63 /  30  10  10  10
MCO  78  57  75  62 /  30  10  10  10
MLB  78  58  76  66 /  40  10  10  10
VRB  80  60  78  67 /  40  10  10  10
LEE  76  53  75  61 /  30  10  10  10
SFB  79  55  75  62 /  30  10  10  10
ORL  78  58  75  63 /  30  10  10  10
FPR  80  60  79  66 /  40  10  10  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WIMMER
LONG TERM....LASCODY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
545 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-212200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
545 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...HIGH WIND IMPACT...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS TO 30 MPH. THIS WILL POSE A DANGER TO BOATERS ON OPEN AREAS
...SUCH AS INLAND LAKE OR THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY. A LAKE WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
FOR THOSE BRAVE ENOUGH TO ENTER THE CHILLY SURF...THERE IS A
MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY DUE TO A SMALL LONG PERIOD
SWELL. CHECK WITH THE BEACH PATROL FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
ALWAYS SWIM WITHIN SIGHT OF A LIFEGUARD...AND NEVER SWIM ALONE.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
LIGHTNING STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM
LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MOVES INTO
NORTH FLORIDA LATE TODAY...AND THEN CENTRAL FLORIDA TONIGHT. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS FROM LATE AFTERNOON TO SUNSET WILL BE NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 4 ...WITH THE CHANCE FOR STORMS INCREASING AFTER
SUNSET FROM BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES SOUTH TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE
AND JUPITER. DUE TO INCREASING LOW LEVEL WINDS AND SHEAR...A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...EVEN AN ISOLATED TORNADO...COULD OCCUR
FROM OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES NORTHWARD...WITH THE GREATEST
CHANCE OVER LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
ANY STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL IMPACT INLAND LAKES
AS WELL AS THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEARSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS OF
BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
AN ISOLATED WATERSPOUT IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SOUTH WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL PUSH SEAS UP TO 6 TO
7 FEET BEYOND WELL OFFSHORE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA ON
MONDAY. THIS FRONT WILL BE PRECEDED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG. AHEAD OF THIS NEXT FRONT...WINDS
AND SEAS WILL INCREASE OVER THE ATLANTIC SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

CRISTALDI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
245 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2010

FLZ045-053-220830-
ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
245 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2010

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING SOUTHERN ORANGE COUNTY...
NORTHWESTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY...

AT 244 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG STORM 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ANIMAL KINGDOM...MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STRONG STORM INCLUDE CAMPBELL...LAKE
BUENA VISTA...LAKE MARY JANE...AND MAY REACH ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT BEFORE WEAKENING.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO
BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS OR CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON
SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING
AND LEAVE SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES.

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