Small Craft Advisory 721, NWS Anchorage, AK

514 
FZAK51 PAFC 031756 RRA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 3 2010

RETRANSMIT FOR STARCASTER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040000-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 3 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA
TONIGHT AND REACHES THE CENTRAL GULF BY SAT MORNING. THIS FRONT
CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-040000-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT WEST OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 7 FT WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040000-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 3 2010

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING. WINDS
BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-040000-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 3 2010

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-040000-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 3 2010

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WEST
WINDS GUSTING TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER THIS MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-040000-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-040000-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-040000-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-040000-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 3 2010

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 10 KT NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
6 FT EXCEPT 3 FT NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-040000-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 3 2010

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AKDT THU SEP 2 2010

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A SURFACE RIDGE LIES OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND SOUTHWEST MAINLAND.
A WEAK WEATHER FRONT MOVING OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE HAS BROUGHT
RAIN INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE
EASTERN BERING HAS MOVED MORE CLOUDS BACK INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. A
WEAK OVER THE YUKON TERRITORY AND THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA HAS KEPT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN. WEAK
NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA HAS CLEARED THE
CLOUDS OUT OF SUSITNA VALLEY AND WESTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN. AN AREA
OF INSTABILITY CENTERED OVER THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS HAS FORMED
SHOWER CLOUDS OVER THE THE EASTERN SUSITNA VALLEY AND THE MATANUSKA
VALLEY. A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
HAD IS MOVING EAST.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE ARE
DIFFERENCES INTO THE POSITION OF THE LOW OVER THE BERING SATURDAY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE  RIDGE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL SLIDE
EAST INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA FRIDAY AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA
SATURDAY. SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR OVER THE REGION THROUGH
FRIDAY.

A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY, KENAI PENINSULA
AND THE CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY. RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO KODIAK ISLAND FRIDAY EVENING THEN SPREAD INTO
THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND KENAI PENINSULA SATURDAY MORNING AND THE REST
OF SOUTHCENTRAL BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE WEATHER FRONT OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL
WEAKEN OVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TONIGHT. RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY THIS EVENING THEN BECOME SHOWERS LATER TONIGHT. A
WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL MOVE THROUGH THE ALASKA
PENINSULA FRIDAY AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA FRIDAY NIGHT. RAIN
WILL MOVE ONTO THE COASTAL SECTIONS FRIDAY EVENING AND SPREAD TO THE
REST OF THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RAIN WILL BECOME SHOWERS
SATURDAY.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...THE WEATHER FRONT OVER CENTRAL BERING SEA
WILL MOVE INTO OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA FRIDAY NIGHT. RAIN AND GALE
FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND
ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY. A MODERATE LOW SOUTHWEST OF ATTU WILL MOVE
INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SATURDAY. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OVER
THE REST OF THE BERING THROUGH SATURDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE RAIN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL TAPER TO SHOWERS ON SUNDAY
WITH SOME CLEARING SKIES MONDAY. ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT WILL BRING
MORE RAIN INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA MONDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...150 155 170 172 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM SEP 10