Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2009

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310

May 15, 20096 counties in Kansas; 35 counties in Oklahoma; 4 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 15, 2009, 7:48 PM CDT for 6 counties in Kansas; 35 counties in Oklahoma; 4 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2009, 7:48 PM CDT (00:48 UTC)
Expired
May 16, 2009, 12:39 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 45 counties

Chautauqua County, KS, Elk County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McClain County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK, Washita County, OK, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer, Dewey and 3 more66 min
May 15, 8:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee58 min
May 15, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHarmon, Jackson67 min
May 15, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Cowley, Elk43 min
May 15, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Greer, Jackson, Kiowa32 min
May 15, 8:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Nowata, Osage, Pawnee, Washington72 min
May 15, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Custer, Dewey, Kingfisher, Lincoln, Logan and 2 more59 min
May 15, 8:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Cotton, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman54 min
May 15, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Montgomery50 min
May 15, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Grady44 min
May 15, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Creek, Mayes, Nowata, Okfuskee, Okmulgee and 7 more72 min
May 15, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLabette29 min
May 15, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee and 5 more70 min
May 15, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCanadian, Cleveland, McClain, Oklahoma36 min
May 15, 10:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee and 5 more72 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 40 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2009-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2577 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2009-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 75 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2577 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-126 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1117 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
202 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
4.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

506 
WWUS20 KWNS 160050
SEL0  
SPC WW 160050
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-160700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 310
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
750 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
       SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL...AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
       EXTREME NORTHWEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 750 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
CHILDRESS TEXAS TO 20 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF SPRINGFIELD
MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 305...WW 306...WW
307...WW 308...WW 309...

DISCUSSION...THE BROKEN BAND OF FRONTAL CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE SEWD TOWARD THE I-44 CORRIDOR INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WHILE
OTHER DRYLINE CONVECTION SPREADS EWD INTO SW OK/NW TX.  THE 00Z OUN
SOUNDING REVEALS STRONG INSTABILITY S AND E OF THE ONGOING
STORMS...AS WELL AS A SUBSTANTIAL CAP THAT WILL REQUIRE FOCUSED
LOW-LEVEL ASCENT TO BREACH.  IT APPEARS THE MORE PROBABLE SCENARIO
IS FOR A DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL THREAT TO CONTINUE ALONG THE FRONT
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR MERGING
CLUSTERS TO LEAD TO DEVELOPMENT OF A BOWING MCS NEAR OR JUST S OF
THE I-40 CORRIDOR FROM WRN INTO CENTRAL OK.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28025.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 7:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Butler, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood and 6 more64 min
May 15, 8:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis2 hr
May 15, 10:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Dade, Dent, Iron, Laclede, Madison and 6 more2 hr
May 15, 10:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Greene, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton and 1 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2009Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2009Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2009Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.